Paper proposes a model to predict default risk in networked-guarantee loans.
problem Prediction of default risk in networked-guarantee loans is challenging due to imbalanced data and contagion risk.
method Developed a positive weighted k-nearest neighbors (p-wkNN) algorithm for standalone cases and integrated a data-driven default diffusion model.
result Proposed method outperforms conventional credit risk methods in terms of AUC on real-world data.
iConViz helps banks manage default contagion risk in networked loans.
problem Managing default contagion risk in networked loans during economic downturns.
method Developed iConViz, an interactive tool, and a novel metric (contagion effect) to quantify and analyze the risk.
result iConViz facilitates closed-loop analysis and helps avoid ad hoc methods.
XGBoost predicts bank loan defaults with improved accuracy.
problem Predicting bank loan defaults to reduce bad loans.
method Used XGBoost algorithm on loan data.
result Improved accuracy metrics in loan default prediction.
In this paper we first introduce two new financial products: stock loan and capped stock loan. Then we develop a pure variational inequality method to establish explicitly the values of these stock loans. Finally, we work out ranges of fair values of parameters associated with the loans.
Examines how extending home loan durations affects French households financially.
problem Financial implications for households with extended home loan durations.
method Analysis of French and international home loan systems, including bullet loans and Japanese home loans.
result Extending home loan durations can reduce monthly payments but raises financial risks.
Two models predict net loan losses using Bayesian and frequentist regression.
problem Predicting net loan losses using financial and sociological data.
method Bayesian and frequentist regression analysis.
result Improved understanding of net loan loss relationships.
AI models predict loan rejection and default risk, reducing default risk by 70%.
problem Predicting loan rejection and default risk to reduce default risk.
method Applied Logistic Regression, Support Vector Machine, and Deep Neural Networks to lending data.
result Deep Neural Networks achieved best performance for default prediction, reducing default risk by 70%.
Current auto loans converge to super-prime credit despite remaining underwater.
problem Inefficient consumer behavior in auto loans leading to suboptimal credit risk.
method Large-sample statistical hypothesis test on transition matrix between risk bands.
result All current risk bands converge to super-prime credit, despite remaining underwater.
Paper develops a credit scoring system for micro-loans, addressing interpretability and data quality challenges.
problem Developing a credit scoring system for micro-loans with interpretability and data quality concerns.
method Introduces semi-supervised algorithm to aid model development and evaluates its performance.
result Semi-supervised algorithm aids in model development and demonstrates improved performance.
An integrated and extendable approach for stress-testing loan portfolios
problem Stress-testing loan portfolios
method Simulate completed portfolios, generate uncertain cash flow history, compute credit risk metrics
result Enhanced stress-testing practices within any bank
Study shows group loans on Kiva platforms speed up funding time by 3.3 days.
problem Measuring the effect of group loans on funding time in Kiva microfinance platform.
method Deep learning in natural language processing to analyze loan descriptions.
result Forming group loans speeds up funding time by about 3.3 days.
A stock loan is a loan, secured by a stock, which gives the borrower the right to redeem the stock at any time before or on the loan maturity. The way of dividends distribution has a significant effect on the pricing of the stock loan and the optimal redeeming strategy adopted by the borrower. We present the pricing mo…
Extends ASRF model for green and brown loans, accounting for systematic and idiosyncratic risks.
problem Credit risk assessment for portfolios of green and brown loans.
method Two-factor copula structure, skewed distributions for systematic risk, Gaussian for idiosyncratic risk, non-uniform exposure setting.
result Portfolio loss convergence to a limit reflecting green and brown loan characteristics.
Paper solves stock loan pricing with finite maturity using integral equations.
problem Valuation of margin-call stock loans with finite maturities.
method Fourier Sine transform and Volterra integral equation approach.
result Integral representation of margin-call stock loan value.
Derivatives impact U.S. banking sector's systemic risk, but loan and leverage ratios are more significant.
problem Systemic risk in U.S. banking sector due to derivatives and loans.
method Analysis of derivatives and loan data to assess systemic risk.
result Loan and leverage ratios are more influential in systemic risk than derivatives holdings.
This paper builds a recommendation system for borrowers on P2PL platforms to lower interest rates.
problem Help borrowers make wise decisions on P2PL platforms to achieve lower interest rates.
method Developed a recommendation system to suggest the type of loan borrowers should apply for.
result Borrowers can achieve lowered interest rates with a higher likelihood of getting funded using the recommendation system.
Optimal student loan repayment strategies vary based on loan size.
problem Finding the most cost-effective repayment strategy for federal student loans.
method Analyzing the impact of different repayment strategies on total cost for varying loan sizes.
result Optimal repayment strategies depend on the loan balance, with different approaches for small, large, and intermediate balances.
We derive a "semi-analytic" solution for a stock loan in which the lender forces liquidation when the loan-to-collateral ratio drops beneath a certain threshold. We use this to study the sensitivity of the contract to model parameters.
This paper works out fair values of stock loan model with automatic termination clause, cap and margin. This stock loan is treated as a generalized perpetual American option with possibly negative interest rate and some constraints. Since it helps a bank to control the risk, the banks charge less service fees compared …
Paper calculates loan loss after default using Bayesian model.
problem Determining loan loss after borrower default.
method Bayesian scheme considering repayment period, volumes, moments, and parameters.
result Allows setting LGD less than or equal to 1 for accurate estimates.
A stock loan is a contract whereby a stockholder uses shares as collateral to borrow money from a bank or financial institution. In Xia and Zhou (2007), this contract is modeled as a perpetual American option with a time varying strike and analyzed in detail within a risk--neutral framework. In this paper, we extend th…
Study finds economic cycle affects bank loan recovery rates.
problem Understanding how economic conditions impact bank loan recovery rates.
method Used a two-state Markov switching mechanism to model credit cycle states and analyze recovery rates.
result Recovery rates and their determinants differ between good and bad economic times.
In 1979 following a decade of hyperinflation, Iceland introduced Verðtryggð lán, negatively amortised, index-linked loans whose outstanding principal is increased by the rate of the consumer price inflation index(CPI). The loans were part of a general government policy which used indexation to the CPI to address the ec…
Flashot visualizes Flash Loan attacks in DeFi systems.
problem Lack of standard tools to study Flash Loan attacks in DeFi.
method Proposes Flashot, a prototype to transparently illustrate asset flows.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of Flashot in studying Flash Loan attacks.
Paper uses BERT to assess P2P borrowers' credit risk from loan descriptions.
problem Information asymmetry in P2P lending due to lack of borrower data.
method Fine-tunes BERT on Lending Club dataset to generate risk scores from loan descriptions.
result BERT-generated risk scores improve XGBoost classifier's performance in loan granting.
The study examines how limited liability and haircut affect a bank's loan portfolio's liquidity risk.
problem Impact of limited liability and haircut on a bank's loan portfolio's liquidity risk.
method Constructed a novel loan portfolio model with limited liability and haircut constraint, analyzed at three time steps.
result Model with haircut constraint leads to lesser liquidity risk.
Model estimates loan cure rate using Markov chains.
problem Estimating the cure rate of non-performing loans.
method Developed a Markov-chain model for portfolios.
result Efficient and accessible for smaller institutions.
Zero-Liquidation loans protect ETH borrowers from liquidation risks.
problem Risk of liquidation in DeFi lending protocols.
method Allows borrowers to repay in either USDC or pledged ETH, compensating liquidity providers with higher yield.
result More robust and less contagion-prone lending compared to traditional protocols.
Retail investors set interest rates for P2P loans based on borrower characteristics.
problem Understanding how individual investors price credit risk in online consumer loan auctions.
method Reverse auction framework, analyzing interest rate variance and borrower characteristics.
result Retail investors exhibit strong predictability in pricing, with gender and marital status influencing interest rates.
The authors examine the concept of probability of default for asset-backed loans. In contrast to unsecured loans it is shown that probability of default can be defined as either a measure of the likelihood of the borrower failing to make required payments, or as the likelihood of an insufficiency of collateral value on…
Quantum mechanics applied to credit loans for better repayment schedules.
problem Improving repayment schedules for credit loans.
method Introducing quantum mechanics concepts to credit loans, defining operators for debt, amortization, interest, and installments, and using SO(M) symmetry to optimize periodic payments.
result Optimized repayment schedules for borrowers without altering lender's earnings.
Two studies explain high margin loan rates by brokers.
problem High margin loan rates charged by stock brokers.
method Two approaches: finite revisions and monopolistic pricing.
result Small differences in revision frequency or monopoly pricing can explain loan rates.
Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) generates user-friendly explanations for loan denials.
problem Lack of explainable AI for financial services, especially in loan denials.
method Developed a GAN to generate explanations for loan denials, using a representative dataset.
result Demonstrated the GAN can generate explanations for various stakeholders, including applicants and decision makers.
Optimizes loan recovery timing by forecasting cash flows.
problem Minimizing overall credit loss in loan portfolios.
method Forecast future cash flows using probabilistic and Markov chain models.
result Empirical illustration of loss-optimal recovery timing.
5D AI model detects bad loans without biased features, improving consumer protection.
problem Detecting bad loans without biased features and improving consumer protection.
method Machine learning, BiMOPT features, European Banking Authority principles, AI principles, historical and validation datasets.
result 5D correctly detected 1,461 bad loans out of 1,613 (Sensitivity = 0.91, Prevalence = 0.0253, Positive Predictive Value = 0.19).
Model assesses loan profitability under changing credit conditions.
problem Financial institutions face risks of default and prepayment.
method Develops a Random Net Present Value (RNPV) model to evaluate profitability.
result Mean and variance of RNPV calculated at individual and portfolio levels.
Machine learning improves risk prediction for online lending.
problem Traditional credit scoring models fail to utilize big data effectively.
method Collected diverse data, built and tested ensemble machine learning models (random forest and XGBoost).
result XGBoost model outperforms traditional models in loan default probability prediction.
High-value transactions between Australian banks are settled in the Reserve Bank Information and Transfer System (RITS) administered by the Reserve Bank of Australia. RITS operates on a real-time gross settlement (RTGS) basis and settles payments sourced from the SWIFT, the Austraclear, and the interbank transactions e…
This paper studies the payoff amounts in simple interest loans without arbitrage.
problem Understanding the payoff amounts in simple interest loans without arbitrage.
method Developed a formula for the payoff amount for simple interest loans, studied within a model of a loan market.
result The sequence of payoff amounts is increasing before a certain critical time and then decreasing.
Study examines how MFI ratings and loan features influence online microfunding behavior.
problem Understanding the impact of MFI ratings and loan features on lending behavior.
method Quantitative data mining techniques, focusing on Kiva's online platform.
result MFI ratings and loan features significantly influence lending behavior.
Deep neural networks reduce loan portfolio risk.
problem Minimizing risk in peer-to-peer lending portfolios.
method Proposed DeNN and DSNN models to predict default probability and time.
result DeNN model significantly reduces portfolio VaRs at various confidence levels.
This paper optimizes DC pension plan investments using O-U process and loan.
problem Optimizing investment strategy for DC pension plans under specific market conditions.
method Dynamic programming and Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation to derive optimal investment strategy.
result Explicit expression for optimal investment strategy derived.
THD technique identifies loan applicants at risk.
problem Lack of explainable machine learning in finance.
method Topological Hierarchical Decomposition (THD) algorithm.
result THD identifies groups of loan applicants at risk.
Paper analyzes U.S. broker call rate laws of motion and their implications.
problem Understanding the dynamics and pricing of margin loans in the U.S. market.
method Analysis of monthly observations, derivation of stochastic differential equations, application of arbitrage theory.
result Margin loan interest rate follows mean-reverting behavior, with total call loan volume constituting over 70% of leveraged portfolios.
Paper tackles optimal redemption of stock loans under uncertain stock trends.
problem Optimal redemption strategy of stock loans under drift uncertainty.
method Probabilistic and functional analysis to handle degenerate parabolic HJB equation.
result Optimal redemption strategies differ significantly between bull and bear trends.
Optimizes loan recovery timing across various portfolios.
problem Comparing and evaluating bank's loan recovery decision rules.
method Simulation-based expert system considering time value of money and costs.
result Threshold optima exist across different risk scenarios and portfolio compositions.
System designs for analyzing and pricing non-performing consumer credit portfolios.
problem Technical challenges in analyzing and pricing portfolios of non-performing consumer credit loans.
method Bottom-up architecture, simultaneous quantile regression, R-copula, Gaussian one-factor copula model.
result Successfully developed a methodology for analyzing credit portfolio risks of consumer loans.
Study improves loan default risk estimation using advanced regression models.
problem Modeling loan default risk over time is challenging and affects financial reserves.
method Comparative study of three multistate regression techniques: Markov chain, beta regression, and multinomial logistic regression.
result Each successive model outperforms the previous, indicating greater sophistication.