Deep learning speeds CAT bond valuation.
problem Valuation of Catastrophe bonds.
method Deep neural networks trained to price CAT bonds.
result Trained model provides fast and accurate pricing.
New framework values football players based on in-game interactions.
problem Valuing football players based on in-game performance.
method Combining financial models and network theory using a passing matrix.
result Dynamic and individualized player valuation framework.
This paper addresses credit valuation adjustment with a new closeout convention.
problem Accurate estimation of financial claim value considering counterparty credit risk.
method Theoretical and computational analysis of a nonlinear valuation system using neural networks.
result A neural network-based algorithm effectively solves the high-dimensional nonlinear valuation system.
The paper presents formulas for valuing debt and equity in interconnected firms with comonotonic endowments.
problem Valuation of debt and equity in interconnected firms with comonotonic endowments.
method Formulas derived under comonotonic setting, demonstrating lower and upper bounds using Jensen's inequality.
result The comonotonic setting provides a lower bound and Jensen's inequality an upper bound to the price of debt.
Permutation-equivariant neural networks improve auction mechanisms by reducing regret and sample complexity.
problem Designing optimal auction mechanisms that balance revenue and bidders' regret.
method Introduced permutation-equivariant neural networks to auction mechanisms.
result Permutation-equivariant neural networks decrease expected ex-post regret and improve model generalizability.
We introduce a general model for the balance-sheet consistent valuation of interbank claims within an interconnected financial system. Our model represents an extension of clearing models of interdependent liabilities to account for the presence of uncertainty on banks' external assets. At the same time, it also provid…
Neural networks assess asset-liability risk over time.
problem Challenging valuation of portfolios with complex products.
method Neural network approach for conditional portfolio valuation.
result Effective risk assessment for banking and insurance portfolios.
Model clarifies network effects on CVA, revealing significant differences in derivative contract values.
problem Network effects on CVA in financial contracts.
method Developed a model to analyze default probabilities in a network of contracts.
result Network effects can significantly alter CVA values, leading to multi-modal distributions.
The paper examines how NFT valuations correlate with market data and social trends.
problem Predicting NFT valuations based on market data and social trends.
method Utilizes public market data, NFT metadata, and social trends data; employs linear regression and recurrent neural networks.
result Identifies correlations between NFT valuations and various features.
Managing and hedging the risks associated with Variable Annuity (VA) products require intraday valuation of key risk metrics for these products. The complex structure of VA products and computational complexity of their accurate evaluation have compelled insurance companies to adopt Monte Carlo (MC) simulations to valu…
New method preserves option structure while using neural networks for volatility.
problem Inconsistent exotic option prices with model calibration.
method Volatility Feature Approach (VFA) using neural networks.
result VFA outperforms model calibration approach for practical volatility surfaces.
Paper introduces new actuarial-consistent valuations for insurance liabilities.
problem Valuation of insurance liabilities considering both financial and actuarial risks.
method Proposes two-step actuarial valuations and actuarial-consistent procedures.
result Actuarial-consistent valuations are equivalent to two-step actuarial valuations under coherence.
Measures systemic risk in interconnected financial firms.
problem Contagion effects and systemic risk in financial networks.
method Formal computation of sensitivities (Greeks) in network context.
result Proposes network Δ as a measure of systemic risk. The paper models and prices cyber insurance risks, distinguishing idiosyncratic, systematic, and systemic risks.
problem Modeling and pricing cyber insurance policies, especially for systemic risks.
method Distinguishes three types of cyber risks and proposes methods for their valuation.
result Complex methods are needed for systemic cyber risks, including risk-neutral valuation and monetary risk measures.
On December 16, Zynga, the well-known social game developing company went public. This event is following other recent IPOs in the world of social networking companies, such as Groupon, Linkedin or Pandora to cite a few. With a valuation close to 7 billion USD at the time when it went public, Zynga has become the bigge…
Study shows cryptocurrency market impact on DeFi returns stronger than other drivers.
problem Understanding drivers of DeFi returns and their relative importance.
method Investigated four drivers: cryptocurrency market exposure, network effect, investor attention, and valuation ratio. Designed a new market index, DeFiX.
result Cryptocurrency market impact on DeFi returns is stronger than other drivers and provides superior explanatory power.
Paper recovers uncertainty from dynamic valuation rules.
problem Recovering latent uncertainty from observable valuation rules.
method Developed procedures to identify and characterize uncertainty structures from valuation rules.
result Valuation rules contain sufficient information to identify and recover uncertainty structures.
Enhances systemic risk analysis by incorporating debt valuation factors.
problem Systemic risk in financial networks due to bank failures.
method Incorporates debt valuation factors into existing risk analysis frameworks.
result Additional debt valuation factors substantially influence risk assessment outcomes.
ANNs solve financial option valuation problems without numerical methods.
problem Valuation of European and American financial options.
method Unsupervised learning with artificial neural networks (ANNs) for solving PDEs.
result ANNs accurately compute option values for various stock scenarios.
Study convolution of invariant valuations on Lie groups.
problem Understanding convolution of valuations on Lie groups.
method Explicit formula for left-invariant valuations, showing existence of smooth bi-invariant valuations, defining convolution on arbitrary Lie groups.
result Unified convolution operations on Lie groups.
SL(n) covariant valuations on Orlicz spaces are represented and characterized.
problem Representing SL(n) covariant valuations on Orlicz spaces.
method Representation theorem established for continuous, SL(n) covariant vector-valued valuations.
result Unique characterization of SL(n) covariant valuations as moment vectors.
Proof-of-Stake networks with EIP-1559 exhibit stable token prices and secure network security.
problem Token valuation and institutional capital in Proof-of-Stake networks under EIP-1559
method Open-economy macroeconomic equilibrium model
result Stable steady-state equilibrium price for ETH
Market valuation duration is 175 years, but drops to 46 years during crises.
problem Understanding the duration of market valuation and its impact on returns.
method Comparing market valuation ratios and dividends to estimate duration, analyzing the discount rate effect.
result Valuation duration is negatively correlated with market returns, with a robust out-of-sample R2 of 15%.
Paper simplifies default process modeling and credit valuation.
problem Modeling and pricing derivative securities with credit risk.
method Integrates default process, probability, and correlation into a unified framework.
result Risky valuation is Martingale in the proposed model.
Business cycles affect startup valuations, both directly and indirectly.
problem How do business cycles impact startup valuations?
method Structural Equation Model approach using a dataset of 1,089 venture capital investments.
result Business cycles impact startup valuations both directly and indirectly.
Classification of SL(n) covariant valuations on Orlicz spaces.
problem Classifying continuous SL(n) covariant valuations on Orlicz spaces.
method Complete classification without symmetric assumptions, focusing on moment matrix and a new functional in dimension two.
result The moment matrix is the only SL(n) covariant valuation for n≥3, and a new functional appears in dimension two.
Framework optimizes PV-battery investment timing to maximize value.
problem Optimizing investments in residential PV-battery systems under uncertain market conditions.
method Real options valuation framework with multi-stage compound options, incorporating Monte Carlo simulation.
result Optimal timing of PV-battery investment increases overall value.
We present a neural-network valuation of financial derivatives in the case of fat-tailed underlying asset returns. A two-layer perceptron is trained on simulated prices taking into account the well-known effect of volatility smile. The prices of the underlier are generated using fractional calculus algorithms, and opti…
We prove new kinematic formulas for tensor valuations and simplify previously known Crofton formulas by using the recently developed algebraic theory of translation invariant valuations. The heart of the paper is the computation of the Alesker-Fourier transform on the large class of spherical valuations, which is achie…
Classifies contravariant matrix-valued valuations on polytopes without continuity assumptions.
problem Classifying contravariant matrix-valued valuations on polytopes without continuity assumptions.
method Complete classification of contravariant matrix-valued valuations on polytopes in Rn without continuity assumptions. result The only such valuation is the general Lutwak-Yang-Zhang matrix in dimension n≥4, and a new function in dimension 3. Let SO+(p,q) denote the identity connected component of the real orthogonal group with signature (p,q). We give a complete description of the spaces of continuous and generalized translation- and SO+(p,q)-invariant valuations, generalizing Hadwiger's classification of Euclidean isometry-invari…
New method for insurance valuation combining hedging and risk minimization.
problem Current insurance valuation methods do not reflect regulatory risk measures.
method Two-step hedging procedure using generalised regression.
result The method produces portfolios neutral to risk measures like VaR or expectiles.
Study evaluates valuation models for UK companies using case studies.
problem Determining how accounting numbers affect business value.
method Comprehensive review of three valuation models: FCFVM, REVM, AEGM.
result Accounting numbers through valuation models can affect business value.
This paper proposes a paradigm shift in the valuation of long term annuities, away from classical no-arbitrage valuation towards valuation under the real world probability measure. Furthermore, we apply this valuation method to two examples of annuity products, one having annual payments linked to a mortality index and…
This paper provides intuition on the relationship of accrual and mark-to-market valuation for cash and forward interest rate trades. Discounted cashflow valuation is compared to spread-based valuation for forward trades, which explains the trader's view on valuation. This is followed by Taylor series approximation for …
A new method estimates corporate bond defaults in financial networks efficiently.
problem Challenges in valuing corporate bonds in interconnected financial systems.
method Bi-Level Importance Sampling with Splitting
result The method efficiently estimates rare default events in financial networks.
The classification of continuous, translation invariant Minkowski valuations which are contravariant (or covariant) with respect to the complex special linear group is established in a 2-dimensional complex vector space. Every such valuation is given by the sum of a valuation of degree of homogeneity 1 and 3. In dimens…
Computes tube formulas for valuations in complex space forms.
problem Computing values of valuations on complex space forms.
method Develops tube formulas for valuations in complex space forms and generalizes classical formulas.
result Generalizes classical formulas of Weyl, Gray and others.
Value-tracking in financial markets breaks down when non-valuation-based traders dominate.
problem Understanding the threshold for value-tracking in financial markets.
method Simple discrete-time model to show how non-valuation-based traders can cause tracking errors.
result A threshold above which value-tracking breaks down without changes in asset value.
Classifies SL(n) covariant matrix-valued valuations on Lp-spaces.
problem Classifying SL(n) covariant matrix-valued valuations on Lp-spaces.
method Established a complete classification for continuous and SL(n) covariant matrix-valued valuations on Lp(Rn,|x|2dx), eliminating matrix symmetry assumption.
result Unique characterization of such valuations by the moment matrix in n>2, rotation matrix in 2D.
Existence of smooth valuations on subspaces is shown for certain conditions.
problem Existence of smooth valuations on subspaces with given restrictions.
method Analyzing compatibility and using recursive descriptions of the cosine transform.
result Compatibility is sufficient for extensibility in certain regimes.
Develops a new method to study algebraic tangent cones of sheaves using valuations.
problem Analyzing tangent cones of torsion-free sheaves on algebraic varieties.
method Introduces a slope stability theory and uses it to define a canonical tangent cone for quasi-regular valuations.
result Shows the existence of a canonical tangent cone for torsion-free sheaves, up to equivalence.
We study the properties of the multiplicative structure on valuations on convex sets. We prove a new version of the hard Lefschetz theorem for even translation invariant continuous valuations, and discuss related problems of integral geometry. Then we formulate a conjectural analogue of this result for odd valuations.
Fair market valuations ignore future worker profits in employee-owned firms.
problem Ignoring future worker profits in fair market valuations for employee-owned firms.
method Analyzing property rights and residual claimants in employee-owned firms.
result Fair market valuations are inappropriate for employee-owned firms.
We give an explicit classification of translation-invariant, Lorentz-invariant continuous valuations on convex sets. We also classify the Lorentz-invariant even generalized valuations.
A description of continuous rigid motion compatible Minkowski valuations is established. As an application, we present a Brunn-Minkowski type inequality for intrinsic volumes of these valuations.
We introduce the new notion of convolution of a (smooth or generalized) valuation on a group G and a valuation on a manifold M acted upon by the group. In the case of a transitive group action, we prove that the spaces of smooth and generalized valuations on M are modules over the algebra of compactly supported g…
Study breaks down graphs into structural and featural components for task-agnostic data valuation.
problem Lack of methods to assess the value of graphs in data marketplaces.
method Introduces blind message passing framework to evaluate graphs without specific task metrics.
result Demonstrates effectiveness in capturing structural disparities, relevance, and diversity of seller data for buyers.