Kernel methods identify treatment effects with unobserved confounding using negative controls.
problem Learning causal relationships with unmeasured confounding.
method Kernel ridge regression algorithms for nonparametric treatment effects.
result Uniform consistency and finite sample rates of convergence proved.
New solutions found with negative mass in general relativity.
problem Finding metrics with negative mass in general relativity.
method Constructing families of metrics with specific properties.
result Obtained new classes of solutions with negative mass.
New regularization method corrects over-shrinkage in small data regression.
problem Over-shrinkage in small data regression leading to underfitting.
method Negative-capable ridge family that permits negative regularization.
result Negative regularization acts as controlled anti-shrinkage, increasing effective complexity.
The paper introduces negative controls to evaluate causal discovery algorithms, improving their reliability.
problem Lack of a general guideline for evaluating causal discovery algorithms.
method Derive exact distributional results under random guessing for evaluation metrics and propose a pipeline for using negative controls.
result Evaluation metrics can achieve very favorable values under random guessing, highlighting the need for negative control results.
New DKPP family controls positive and negative dependence in random subsets.
problem Challenges in seamlessly bridging probabilistic models for positive and negative dependence.
method Introduced DKPP family and developed computational methods for probabilistic operations and inference.
result Controllability of positive and negative dependence demonstrated through numerical experiments.
New approach uses negative controls to estimate causal parameters without completeness conditions.
problem Estimating causal parameters when not all confounders are observed.
method Identification strategy based on minimax learning formulations for general function classes.
result Avoids completeness conditions and uniqueness assumptions on bridge functions.
Study controls error rates of binary classifiers using hypothesis testing.
problem Traditional binary classifiers have uncontrolled error rates.
method Combines binary classification with statistical hypothesis testing.
result Trained classifiers can be made to meet target error rate thresholds.
New method identifies causal relationships using proxy variables in the presence of unmeasured confounders.
problem Challenges in inferring causal relationships due to unmeasured confounding.
method Develops a general nonparametric approach using a single negative control outcome (NCO) and negative control exposure (NCE).
result Establishes a new identification result and proposes a kernel-based testing procedure.
New method controls FDR for sparse GLMs, identifying positive and negative relationships.
problem Sparse GLMs with high-dimensional data and varying sample size.
method Debiased-Lasso estimator and CLIME method for precision matrix estimation.
result Asymptotically controls directional FDR and FDV for sparse GLMs.
Algorithm transforms weakly negative plumbing trees to negative definite ones.
problem Transforming weakly negative plumbing trees to negative definite ones.
method Combining plumbing calculus with diagonalization algorithm to systematically eliminate positive eigenvalues.
result Explicit algorithm reduces weakly negative definite plumbing trees to negative definite ones.
We state and prove a Chern-Osserman-type inequality in terms of the volume growth for complete surfaces with controlled mean curvature properly immersed in a Cartan-Hadamard manifold N with sectional curvatures bounded from above by a negative quantity KN≤b<0
In this paper, we show synchronization for a group of output passive agents that communicate with each other according to an underlying communication graph to achieve a common goal. We propose a distributed event-triggered control framework that will guarantee synchronization and considerably decrease the required comm…
Optimizes dividend control in a bankruptcy process using a special Levy process.
problem Optimizing dividend payouts in a bankruptcy process.
method Using a non-standard spectrally negative Levy process with endogenous regime switching.
result Optimal dividend control is of the barrier type and the optimal barrier can be identified.
A new method removes biases in data integration by using surrogate control outcomes.
problem Data integration methods can be biased due to data-dependent processes.
method Post-integrated inference method using surrogate control outcomes to account for latent heterogeneity.
result The method provides consistent and efficient estimators under minimal assumptions and potential misspecifications.
This paper investigates dividend optimization of an insurance corporation under a more realistic model which takes into consideration refinancing or capital injections. The model follows the compound Poisson framework with credit interest for positive reserve, and debit interest for negative reserve. Ruin occurs when t…
Continuous control imitation learning fails if expert actions are smooth.
problem Continuous control imitation learning fails if expert actions are smooth.
method Study of imitation learning in discrete-time, continuous state-and-action control systems.
result Any smooth, deterministic imitator policy suffers exponentially larger error than the expert.
New method for inference on covariates in NMF with random effects.
problem Formal inference for covariate effects in NMF with non-negativity constraints.
method NMF-RE model with random effects, ridge updates, df-based cap, asymptotic linearization, wild bootstrap.
result Valid inference on covariates with non-negativity constraint, avoiding degeneracy.
The paper introduces the concept of a cluster structure to define a joint distribution of the sample size and its exchangeable random partitions. The cluster structure allows the probability distribution of the random partitions of a subset of the sample to be dependent on the sample size, a feature not presented in a …
New unsupervised method selects hard negative samples for contrastive learning.
problem How to select good negative examples for contrastive learning without using true similarity information.
method Developed a new family of unsupervised sampling methods for hard negative selection.
result Improves downstream performance across multiple modalities.
Study optimizes dividend payout strategies under fluctuating interest rates.
problem Maximizing dividends under stochastic interest rates with negative values.
method Analytical HJB approach and backward SDEs for analysis.
result Explicit optimal strategies found for both time-dependent and strategy-independent stopping times.
Extends conformal prediction for controlling expected risk of monotone loss functions.
problem Controlling expected risk of monotone loss functions.
method Generalizes split conformal prediction with coverage guarantee, extending to distribution shift, quantile risk, multiple, adversarial, and expectations of U-statistics.
result Tight up to an O(1/n) factor, with worked examples in computer vision and natural language processing. We find a local solution to the Ricci flow equation under a negative lower bound for many known curvature conditions. The flow exists for a uniform amount of time, during which the curvature stays bounded below by a controllable negative number. The curvature conditions we consider include 2-non-negative and weakly $\t…
Wave maps from circle to manifold controllable if homotopy classes match.
problem Global controllability of wave maps from circle to Riemannian manifolds.
method Characterization of controllability via homotopy classes, uniform-time global controllability between steady states, quantitative exponential stability.
result Global controllability is equivalent to homotopy class of data.
Study shows tori metrics converging to flat under specific conditions.
problem Understanding convergence of metrics on tori with non-negative scalar curvature.
method Uniformly conformal metrics and controlled geometry sequences.
result Sequence of metrics converges to flat metric in multiple senses.
Study stabilizes second-order systems to first-order dynamics.
problem Stabilizing second-order systems to first-order dynamics.
method Feedback control of second-order systems on manifolds.
result Second-order systems can globally exponentially stabilize first-order dynamics for fully actuated systems.
New method handles many noisy proxy controls for causal inference.
problem Causal inference with many noisy proxy controls and unknown confounders.
method Linear models with rank-restricted and sparse nuisance parameters, penalization methods.
result Estimators achieve better performance in high dimensions, especially with many proxies.
Motivated by the AIG bailout case in the financial crisis of 2007-2008, we consider an insurer who wants to maximize the expected utility of the terminal wealth by selecting optimal investment and risk control strategies. The insurer's risk process is modelled by a jump-diffusion process and is negatively correlated wi…
The paper examines how macroeconomic control tools lost effectiveness, leading to a 'dark ages' period.
problem Loss of effectiveness of control tools in macroeconomic stabilization policy.
method Historical analysis of macroeconomic stabilization policy from 1948 to 1993.
result The overstatement of the Lucas critique and Kydland and Prescott's time-inconsistency led to a period of ineffective stabilization policy.
In this paper, we consider voxel selection for functional Magnetic Resonance Imaging (fMRI) brain data with the aim of finding a more complete set of probably correlated discriminative voxels, thus improving interpretation of the discovered potential biomarkers. The main difficulty in doing this is an extremely high di…
New method learns from either positive or negative feedback alone.
problem Limited applicability of existing preference optimization methods in scenarios with only unpaired feedback.
method Decouples learning from positive and negative feedback, using expectation-maximization (EM) to optimize probability of positive outcomes and explicitly incorporate negative examples.
result Stable learning from negative feedback alone demonstrated.
This paper proposes a method for estimating the effect of a policy intervention on an outcome over time. We train recurrent neural networks (RNNs) on the history of control unit outcomes to learn a useful representation for predicting future outcomes. The learned representation of control units is then applied to the t…
Synthetic splitting theorem for Lorentzian spaces with non-negative curvature.
problem Proving a splitting theorem for globally hyperbolic Lorentzian length spaces with non-negative timelike curvature.
method Synthetic approach using triangle comparison and parallelity of timelike lines.
result Establishes a splitting of a neighborhood of a complete timelike line, leading to global inextendibility.
Study online control of unknown time-varying systems with negative and positive results.
problem Online control of time-varying systems with unknown dynamics.
method Algorithmic upper bounds and lower bounds for different policy classes.
result Sublinear adaptive regret bounds for Disturbance Response policies.
In a seminal paper Abadie, Diamond, and Hainmueller [2010] (ADH), see also Abadie and Gardeazabal [2003], Abadie et al. [2014], develop the synthetic control procedure for estimating the effect of a treatment, in the presence of a single treated unit and a number of control units, with pre-treatment outcomes observed f…
The paper proves isoperimetric inequalities in manifolds with small negative Ricci curvature.
problem Proving isoperimetric inequalities in manifolds with small negative Ricci curvature.
method Expanding on the ABP method, the paper uses the elliptic Kato constant to control the non-negativity of the Ricci-tensor and applies techniques from Li-Tam and Kasue.
result Sharp isoperimetric inequalities in the limit are proven in the presence of small negative curvature.
With the success of modern machine learning, it is becoming increasingly important to understand and control how learning algorithms interact. Unfortunately, negative results from game theory show there is little hope of understanding or controlling general n-player games. We therefore introduce smooth markets (SM-game…
Optimal investment and risk control strategies for insurers are derived using a time-consistent approach.
problem Optimal investment and risk control for insurers under mean-variance criterion.
method Introducing a deterministic forward auxiliary process to formulate a time-consistent problem.
result Optimal strategy and value function obtained in closed-form for the new problem.
We generalize most of the known Ricci flow invariant non-negative curvature conditions to less restrictive negative bounds that remain sufficiently controlled for a short time. As an illustration of the contents of the paper, we prove that metrics whose curvature operator has eigenvalues greater than −1 can be evolve…
A new framework for robust transfer learning that avoids negative transfer in domains with unequal information.
problem Negative transfer in unsupervised domain adaptation, especially when source and target domains have different levels of informativeness.
method Decision-theoretic framework based on Le Cam's theory of statistical experiments, using constructive approximations to replace strict invariance with directional simulability.
result Le Cam Distortion achieves near-perfect frequency estimation and zero source utility loss in various domains, demonstrating superior performance compared to traditional methods.
We show that stochastic recovery always leads to counter-intuitive behaviors in the risk measures of a CDO tranche - namely, continuity on default and positive credit spread risk cannot be ensured simultaneously. We then propose a simple recovery variance regularization method to control the magnitude of negative credi…
We introduce negative binomial matrix factorization (NBMF), a matrix factorization technique specially designed for analyzing over-dispersed count data. It can be viewed as an extension of Poisson matrix factorization (PF) perturbed by a multiplicative term which models exposure. This term brings a degree of freedom fo…
The paper proves stability of certain cosmological models with negative spatial curvature.
problem Stability of Friedmann-Lemaître-Robertson-Walker cosmological models with negative spatial curvature.
method Linear stability analysis using Hodge decomposition and energy estimates.
result Uniform boundedness and decay of solutions to the linearized Einstein-Euler system.
Zero-Shot learning has been shown to be an efficient strategy for domain adaptation. In this context, this paper builds on the recent work of Bucher et al. [1], which proposed an approach to solve Zero-Shot classification problems (ZSC) by introducing a novel metric learning based objective function. This objective fun…
Develops a framework to control risk in online learning models.
problem Rigorous uncertainty quantification for online learning models.
method A framework for constructing uncertainty sets that provably control risk.
result Guarantees risk control at any user-specified level even with distribution shifts.
We introduce a new normalization technique that exhibits the fast convergence properties of batch normalization using a transformation of layer weights instead of layer outputs. The proposed technique keeps the contribution of positive and negative weights to the layer output balanced. We validate our method on a set o…
A new method controls risk for set predictors using cross-validation.
problem Inefficient set predictors when data limited.
method Cross-validation conformal risk control (CV-CRC).
result CV-CRC offers theoretical guarantees and reduces set size.
GNCL algorithm controls diversity in deep ensembles.
problem Managing bias and variance in deep ensembles.
method Generalized bias-variance decomposition for arbitrary loss functions, leading to GNCL algorithm.
result Explicit control over ensemble diversity and smooth interpolation between independent and joint training.
New metrics improve scRNA-seq perturbation modeling by reducing mode collapse.
problem Outperformed by simple mean prediction in scRNA-seq perturbation modeling.
method Introduce DEG-aware metrics (WMSE, Rw2(Δ)) and negative/positive baselines. result WMSE loss function reduces mode collapse and improves model performance.