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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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4793140186 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for negative contributions

The paper introduces Absolute Shapley Value to handle negative contributions in machine learning model training.

problem Negative marginal contributions in machine learning model training.
method Investigates three philosophies: Original Shapley Value, Zero Shapley Value, and Absolute Shapley Value.
result Absolute Shapley Value significantly outperforms other definitions in evaluating data importance.

Investigates chaotic financial time series with monthly contributions and devaluation.

problem Analyzing chaotic behavior in financial processes with piecewise contributions and negative interest rates.
method Examines a financial process with monthly contributions and devaluation, showing dichotomy in behavior.
result Financial time series exhibit either periodic sequences or Cantor set of ω-limit points, with chaotic behavior at points of a Cantor attractor.

Social media systems rely on user feedback and rating mechanisms for personalization, ranking, and content filtering. However, when users evaluate content contributed by fellow users (e.g., by liking a post or voting on a comment), these evaluations create complex social feedback effects. This paper investigates how ra…

2014-05-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Data analysis in high energy physics often deals with data samples consisting of a mixture of signal and background events. The sPlot technique is a common method to subtract the contribution of the background by assigning weights to events. Part of the weights are by design negative. Negative weights lead to the diver…

2019-05-28abs ↗pdf ↗

New method learns from either positive or negative feedback alone.

problem Limited applicability of existing preference optimization methods in scenarios with only unpaired feedback.
method Decouples learning from positive and negative feedback, using expectation-maximization (EM) to optimize probability of positive outcomes and explicitly incorporate negative examples.
result Stable learning from negative feedback alone demonstrated.

Data analysis in high energy physics has to deal with data samples produced from different sources. One of the most widely used ways to unfold their contributions is the sPlot technique. It uses the results of a maximum likelihood fit to assign weights to events. Some weights produced by sPlot are by design negative. N…

2019-10-17abs ↗pdf ↗

We introduce a new normalization technique that exhibits the fast convergence properties of batch normalization using a transformation of layer weights instead of layer outputs. The proposed technique keeps the contribution of positive and negative weights to the layer output balanced. We validate our method on a set o…

2018-12-11abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper aims to explore the impacts of bi-demographic structure on the current account and growth. Using a SVAR modeling, we track the dynamic impacts between these underlying variables. New insights have been developed about the dynamic interrelation between population growth, current account and economic growth. Th…

2018-03-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper breaks down risk contribution into inherent and correlation risk components.

problem Understanding the sources of risk in portfolio contributions.
method Leave-one-out decomposition approach to separate inherent and correlation risk contributions.
result The decomposition reveals distinct contributions of position volatility and correlation to portfolio risk.

Study finds topological restrictions for stable free boundary CMC surfaces in negatively curved settings.

problem Understanding topological constraints for stable free boundary CMC surfaces in negatively curved settings.
method Established intrinsic area-length-topology inequalities via a conformal upper bound for a constrained first Robin eigenvalue of the Jacobi operator.
result Explicit topological restrictions for stable free boundary CMC surfaces, showing low genus and few boundary components.

In this paper, we introduce the rich classes of conditional distortion (CoD) risk measures and distortion risk contribution (ΔΔCoD) measures as measures of systemic risk and analyze their properties and representations. The classes include the well-known conditional Value-at-Risk, conditional Expected Shortfall, and r…

2019-01-15abs ↗pdf ↗

This study uses NLP to predict stock performance based on analyst reports.

problem Predicting stock performance using textual information from analyst reports.
method Natural language processing (NLP) and a customized BERT deep learning model for Chinese text.
result Strong positive sentiment in analyst reports increases excess return and intraday volatility, while strong negative sentiment increases volatility and trading volume but decreases excess return.

In this paper we describe the Seiberg-Witten invariants, which have been introduced by Witten, for manifolds with b+=1b_+=1. In this case the invariants depend on a chamber structure, and there exists a universal wall crossing formula. We take into account the contribution of the 1-homology of the base-manifold. For ever…

1996-03-29abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose Deep Asymmetric Multitask Feature Learning (Deep-AMTFL) which can learn deep representations shared across multiple tasks while effectively preventing negative transfer that may happen in the feature sharing process. Specifically, we introduce an asymmetric autoencoder term that allows reliable predictors fo…

2017-08-01abs ↗pdf ↗

A novel GNN architecture improves link prediction by combining positive and negative samples.

problem Link prediction accuracy limited by node-wise methods and increased model complexity of edge-wise methods.
method Proposes a novel GNN architecture that uses both positive and negative samples to inform node embeddings.
result The method retains the inference speed of node-wise models while achieving competitive accuracy with edge-wise alternatives.

Study examines cash conversion cycle in manufacturing firms, finding negative relationships with profitability and size.

problem Understanding cash conversion cycle in manufacturing firms and its impact on profitability and size.
method Empirical study of 30 manufacturing firms in Dhaka Stock Exchanges, categorizing them into six industries, analyzing industry averages and relationships with size and profitability.
result Negative relationship between cash conversion cycle and profitability, especially ROE; negative relationship with firm size in terms of net sales.

The paper examines the tilted empirical risk's generalization and robustness under negative tilt.

problem The generalization error of machine learning algorithms under negative tilt.
method Uniform and information-theoretic bounds on the tilted generalization error under negative tilt.
result The tilted empirical risk's generalization error has a convergence rate of \(O(n^{-ε/(1+ε)})\).

Oil prices affect Russian banks' stability, with negative impacts from decreases.

problem The impact of international oil prices on Russian public banks' financial stability.
method Data from 17 Russian public banks (2008-2016), Pool Mean Group (PMG) estimator.
result An increase in international oil prices and price to book value ratio positively affects Russian public banks' stability in the long run, while negative shocks have the opposite effect.

New model predicts weekly earthquakes with better tail risk assessment.

problem Violation of Poisson assumption in seismic data.
method Neural network for per-cell overdispersion estimation.
result 8.6% reduction in mean pinball deviation, 12.5% lower CRPS in tail events.

This paper shows DPPs can outperform random coresets in machine learning tasks.

problem Building efficient coresets for machine learning models.
method Using determinantal point processes (DPPs) to construct coresets with provable improvements over random sampling.
result DPPs can provably outperform independently drawn coresets in terms of approximation of total loss.

A study on optimizing data augmentation weights for improved test-time predictions.

problem Improving robustness of predictions during testing with data augmentation methods.
method A weighted Test-Time Augmentation (TTA) approach based on variational Bayesian framework to optimize weights.
result Optimizing weights suppresses unwanted data augmentations and improves prediction performance.

Studies of wealth inequality often assume that an observed wealth distribution reflects a system in equilibrium. This constraint is rarely tested empirically. We introduce a simple model that allows equilibrium but does not assume it. To geometric Brownian motion (GBM) we add reallocation: all individuals contribute in…

2016-05-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Study excess logarithmic residues for foliations to bound invariant hypersurfaces and test log canonicity.

problem Bounding invariant hypersurfaces and testing log canonicity of singularities.
method Introduce excess logarithmic residues, prove residue formula, derive Poincaré-type bound, and use them to recover log discrepancies.
result Componentwise logarithmic residues of a lifted foliation along the exceptional divisor recover log discrepancies of singularities.

We discuss a peculiar interplay between the representation theory of the holonomy group of a Riemannian manifold, the Weitzenboeck formula for the Hodge-Laplace operator on forms and the Lichnerowicz formula for twisted Dirac operators. For quaternionic Kaehler manifolds this leads to simple proofs of eigenvalue estima…

2000-01-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Stability of Morse index for harmonic maps on degenerating surfaces analyzed.

problem Analyzing stability of Morse index for harmonic maps on degenerating Riemann surfaces.
method Analysis of second variation of energy, identification of conditions for upper semicontinuity, explicit contribution of geodesics.
result Sharper control of spectrum of Jacobi operator, explicit contribution of geodesic segments to Morse index.

Machine learning models predict bluebottles' presence on beaches, addressing class imbalance and unreliable absence data.

problem Predicting bluebottles' presence on beaches with machine learning, tackling class imbalance and unreliable absence data.
method Used Multilayer Perceptron, Random Forest, and XGBoost models; employed data augmentation techniques like SMOTE, Random Undersampling, and Synthetic Negative Approach.
result Random Forests combined with Synthetic Negative Approach provided the best predictive model, identifying wind direction as a key factor.

In this article we use rate-distortion theory, a branch of information theory devoted to the problem of lossy compression, to shed light on an important problem in latent variable modeling of data: is there room to improve the model? One way to address this question is to find an upper bound on the probability (equival…

2019-04-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Analyzing a comprehensive news dataset, we document that joint news coverage triggers attention contagion, causing temporarily inflated valuations for affected stocks. Tracing SEC EDGAR visits from unique IPs, we provide direct evidence of attention spillovers between stocks. Stocks with greater joint news coverage exh…

2017-03-08abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a novel algorithm for learning fair representations that can simultaneously mitigate two notions of disparity among different demographic subgroups in the classification setting. Two key components underpinning the design of our algorithm are balanced error rate and conditional alignment of representations. …

2019-10-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Non-negative matrix factorization (NMF) approximates a non-negative matrix XX by a product of two non-negative low-rank factor matrices WW and HH. NMF and its extensions minimize either the Kullback-Leibler divergence or the Euclidean distance between XX and WTHW^T H to model the Poisson noise or the Gaussian noise.…

2012-07-14abs ↗pdf ↗