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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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1122 · Jun 202219922001200920172026
4 results for near-deterministic

Bayesian regression underestimates parameter uncertainties in noisy models.

problem Parameter uncertainties are underestimated in Bayesian regression for imperfect models.
method Analyzed and designed an ansatz to correct for misspecification in near-deterministic surrogate models.
result Posterior distributions must cover all training points to avoid divergent generalization error.

Gaussian processes (GPs) are nonparametric priors over functions. Fitting a GP implies computing a posterior distribution of functions consistent with the observed data. Similarly, deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) should allow us to compute a posterior distribution of compositions of multiple functions giving rise to the…

2019-09-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper analyzes NAC with neural networks for efficient policy optimization.

problem Improving sample and iteration complexity in policy optimization.
method Entropy regularization, averaging, neural network approximation, and optimization techniques.
result Entropy regularization and averaging ensure stability and sharp sample complexity bounds.

VAEs improve representation learning by inverting the data-generating process through self-consistency.

problem VAEs struggle to invert the data-generating process, yet often succeed in representation learning.
method Studied VAEs in the limit of near-deterministic decoders, proving self-consistency and showing ELBO convergence to a regularized log-likelihood.
result VAEs can perform independent mechanism analysis (IMA), recovering true latent factors under specific conditions.