Study relaxes identification assumptions for natural direct effects in non-randomized settings.
problem Identifying causal direct effects under unmeasured confounding.
method Developed relaxed conditions for identifying natural direct effects in non-randomized settings.
result Identified natural direct effect under unmeasured confounding conditions.
The study analyzes optimization trajectories in neural networks to reveal redundancy and redundancy-reducing strategies.
problem Understanding the directional structure and redundancy in neural network optimization.
method Introducing natural notions of complexity for optimization trajectories and analyzing their directional nature.
result Training only scalar batchnorm parameters can match the performance of training the entire network, indicating potential for hybrid optimization schemes.
Reparameterization of variational auto-encoders with continuous random variables is an effective method for reducing the variance of their gradient estimates. In the discrete case, one can perform reparametrization using the Gumbel-Max trick, but the resulting objective relies on an argmax operation and is non-dif…
The paper presents a new method to represent directed graphs using pseudo-Riemannian manifolds.
problem Representing directed graphs in a compact and meaningful way.
method Combines pseudo-Riemannian metric structure, non-trivial global topology, and a unique likelihood function.
result Low-dimensional cylindrical Minkowski and anti-de Sitter spacetimes produce equal or better graph representations than curved Riemannian manifolds.
Given an effectively parameterized family f:X→S of canonically polarized manifolds, the Kähler-Einstein metrics on the fibers induce a hermitian metric on the relative canonical bundle KX/S. We use a global elliptic equation to show that this metric is strictly positive everywhere and give estimates. The dire…
Understanding the statistical properties of recurrence intervals of extreme events is crucial to risk assessment and management of complex systems. The probability distributions and correlations of recurrence intervals for many systems have been extensively investigated. However, the impacts of microscopic rules of a c…
Novel GNN for signed and directed networks using magnetic signed Laplacian.
problem Efficiently modeling signed and directed networks for tasks like clustering and link prediction.
method Introduced a magnetic signed Laplacian for directed signed graphs, used it to construct a spectral GNN.
result Demonstrated effective performance on tasks involving signed and directional information.
Autoregressive flow models can perform causal discovery and inference tasks.
problem Causal inference tasks such as causal discovery and interventional predictions.
method Using autoregressive flow models to estimate causal directions and make predictions.
result Autoregressive flows can accurately perform causal inference tasks without restrictive assumptions.
Extends causal inference to hidden mediators with proxies.
problem Identifying causal effects with hidden mediators and error-prone proxies.
method Established causal hidden mediation analysis and hidden front-door criterion.
result Identification of population intervention indirect effect possible with hidden mediators.
ConMeZO speeds up zeroth-order optimization for large language models.
problem Slow convergence in high-dimensional parameter spaces of large language models.
method Adaptive directional sampling in a cone centered around a momentum estimate.
result Achieves the same convergence rate as MeZO but up to 2X faster.
The paper introduces a new method for interpreting model predictions by considering both direct and indirect effects.
problem Interpreting model predictions to understand the causes of decisions.
method Proposes a new approach to quantify feature relevance by combining different types of interpretations and measures.
result Integrates various types of interpretations and measures to provide meaningful insights into model predictions.
RVFL NNs perform well without direct links and output bias for regression.
problem Effect of direct links and output bias on RVFL performance.
method Classical and two new methods for generating hidden nodes' parameters tested.
result Direct links and output bias do not significantly improve RVFL accuracy for typical nonlinear regression problems.
We propose a new statistical model suitable for machine learning of systems with long distance correlations such as natural languages. The model is based on directed acyclic graph decorated by multi-linear tensor maps in the vertices and vector spaces in the edges, called tensor network. Such tensor networks have been …
Many machine learning problems can be expressed as the optimization of some cost functional over a parametric family of probability distributions. It is often beneficial to solve such optimization problems using natural gradient methods. These methods are invariant to the parametrization of the family, and thus can yie…
Optimization algorithms that leverage gradient covariance information, such as variants of natural gradient descent (Amari, 1998), offer the prospect of yielding more effective descent directions. For models with many parameters, the covariance matrix they are based on becomes gigantic, making them inapplicable in thei…
New method identifies valid IVs for bi-directional MR with invalid instruments.
problem Estimating causal effects from observational data with invalid instruments and unmeasured confounding.
method Theoretical investigation and cluster fusion-like method to discover valid IV sets.
result Theoretical demonstration and experimental validation of the method's effectiveness.
Proposes a novel approach using vector cross product to preserve directional edges in directed graphs.
problem Preserving directional edges in directed graphs for tasks like link prediction and node recommendation.
method Integrates the non-commutative property of vector cross product into a Siamese neural network to learn N-dimensional embeddings.
result Low-dimensional embeddings effectively preserve directional properties and outperform state-of-the-art methods.
Improved chemical reaction prediction using augmented NLP models.
problem Predicting chemical reactions from text representations.
method Data augmentation and Transformer architecture for SMILES representation.
result Significantly improved accuracy in predicting chemical reactions.
Gradient-free method solves infinite-dimensional optimization problems.
problem Optimizing functions in infinite-dimensional spaces.
method Uses directional derivatives and a pre-basis for Hilbert space.
result Proves convergence for solving PDEs using PINNs.
Resultant improves likelihood-based U-OOD detection across various tasks.
problem Improving likelihood-based U-OOD detection performance.
method Resultant combines post-hoc prior and dataset entropy-mutual calibration techniques.
result Resultant achieves new state-of-the-art U-OOD detection performance.
A method to assess sensitivity to unmeasured confounding with sharp bounds.
problem Assessing the impact of unmeasured confounding on causal effects.
method Sets two intuitive parameters to estimate sensitivity intervals.
result Bounds on true causal effects can be tighter than existing methods.
We study the effect of surgery on transverse knots in contact 3-manifolds. In particular, we investigate the effect of such surgery on open books, the Heegaard Floer contact invariant, and tightness. The overarching theme of this paper is to show that in many contexts, surgery on transverse knots is more natural than s…
Study introduces a new method to estimate causal mediation with multiple mediators.
problem Estimating causal effects with multiple mediators and confounders.
method Simulates potential outcomes using parametric and nonparametric models.
result General approach to estimating various causal mediation quantities.
Local causal structure learning aims to discover and distinguish direct causes (parents) and direct effects (children) of a variable of interest from data. While emerging successes have been made, existing methods need to search a large space to distinguish direct causes from direct effects of a target variable \emph{T…
MinShap improves feature selection accuracy and stability in complex models.
problem Challenging feature selection in unknown non-linear relationships.
method Combines Shapley values with a modified approach to feature selection.
result MinShap outperforms state-of-the-art algorithms in accuracy and stability.
DeepMed uses DNNs to estimate causal mediation effects without sparsity constraints.
problem Estimating Natural Direct and Indirect Effects in mediation analysis.
method DeepMed employs deep neural networks to cross-fit infinite-dimensional nuisance functions.
result DeepMed achieves semiparametric efficiency bound and adapts to low-dimensional nuisance structures.
New findings show single-treatment effects are unidentifiable in factorial experiments.
problem Identifying the effect of a single intervention in factorial experiments.
method Formalized sufficient conditions for the identifiability of single-treatment effects and developed nonparametric sharp bounds.
result Researchers must justify assumptions for extrapolating single-treatment effects.
A Python tool generates synthetic data for cluster analysis from high-level descriptions.
problem Creating synthetic data for cluster analysis is laborious and requires detailed geometric parameters.
method Proposes natural language-based synthetic data generation and implements it in a Python package.
result Makes it easy to set up interpretable and reproducible benchmarks for cluster analysis.
We propose a learning-based filter that allows us to directly modify a synthetic speech waveform into a natural speech waveform. Speech-processing systems using a vocoder framework such as statistical parametric speech synthesis and voice conversion are convenient especially for a limited number of data because it is p…
We focus on the problem of search in the multilingual setting. Examining the problems of next-sentence prediction and inverse cloze, we show that at large scale, instance-based transfer learning is surprisingly effective in the multilingual setting, leading to positive transfer on all of the 35 target languages and two…
Study efficient inference for network quantile causal effects with partial interference.
problem Estimating network causal effects on outcome quantiles with partial interference.
method Developed a nonparametric efficiency theory and a nonparametrically efficient estimator using a three-way cross-fitting procedure.
result Proposed estimator is consistent, asymptotically normal, and allows flexible estimation of nuisance functions.
Estimates causal effects using machine learning for binary treatment and mediator.
problem Estimating direct and indirect quantile treatment effects under selection-on-observables.
method Double/debiased machine learning estimators based on efficient score functions.
result Uniform consistency and asymptotic normality of effect estimators.
We introduce a new family of graphical models that consists of graphs with possibly directed, undirected and bidirected edges but without directed cycles. We show that these models are suitable for representing causal models with additive error terms. We provide a set of sufficient graphical criteria for the identifica…
A new protocol corrects confounding effects to measure alignment-induced activation shifts accurately.
problem Confounding effects in measuring alignment-induced activation shifts using naive methods.
method Introduces a four-variant decomposition to separate alignment shift from template effects.
result Correctly measures alignment-induced activation shifts, recovering behaviorally active subspace.
Develops a new neural spike train decoding framework using topological data.
problem Decoding neural spike trains from head direction and grid cells.
method Combines simplicial complex discovery with deep learning to capture higher-order connectivity.
result Demonstrates effectiveness on head direction and trajectory prediction datasets.
Survey examines types of systemic risk in financial networks.
problem Understanding systemic risk in financial networks.
method Taxonomy of systemic risk types and regulatory measures.
result Different types of systemic risk identified.
New analysis shows SNG's effectiveness in small samples.
problem Limited understanding of SNG in small data settings.
method Sketch-and-project analysis of SNG.
result Global convergence and rate characterization for SNG.
The well-known Mori-Zwanzig theory tells us that model reduction leads to memory effect. For a long time, modeling the memory effect accurately and efficiently has been an important but nearly impossible task in developing a good reduced model. In this work, we explore a natural analogy between recurrent neural network…
We propose a method to learn causal response representations through direct effect analysis.
problem Uncovering direct causal effects in complex, multivariate settings.
method Our method bridges conditional independence testing with causal representation learning, formulating an optimisation problem to maximise evidence against conditional independence.
result The largest eigenvalue distribution can be bounded by an F-distribution, providing testable conditional independence. Deep RL policies are vulnerable to adversarial perturbations, but vanilla training yields more robust policies.
problem Vulnerability of deep reinforcement learning policies to adversarial perturbations.
method Analysis of deep reinforcement learning policy landscape and comparison of vanilla vs. adversarial training.
result Vanilla training yields more robust policies compared to adversarial training.
We propose some kinetic models of wealth exchange and investigate their behavior on directed networks though numerical simulations. We observe that network topology and directedness yields a variety of interesting features in these models. The nature of asset distribution in such directed networks show varied results, …
Muon optimizer improves federated learning performance.
problem Improving federated learning performance with Muon optimizer.
method Proposed FedMuon algorithm with orthonormalized update direction.
result FedMuon's learning rate is independent of problem-specific parameters.
I-BERT extends Transformer's self-attention to arbitrary input lengths.
problem Transformer models struggle with inductive generalization to unseen input lengths.
method Replaces positional encodings with a recurrent layer.
result I-BERT achieves state-of-the-art results on algorithmic tasks.
Study evaluates and compares traditional and causal machine learning methods for estimating direct price effects of environmental amenities.
problem Estimating direct price effects of environmental amenities in housing markets.
method Empirical Monte Carlo simulation to compare traditional regression and causal machine learning approaches.
result Causal Machine Learning (CML) methods, particularly causal forest DID, perform comparably to generalized DID in most scenarios.
Into a geometric setting, we import the physical interpretation of index theorems via semi-classical analysis in topological quantum field theory. We develop a direct relationship between Fedosov's deformation quantization of a symplectic manifold X and the BV quantization of a one-dimensional sigma model with target X…
Directed graphs occur throughout statistical modeling of networks, and exchangeability is a natural assumption when the ordering of vertices does not matter. There is a deep structural theory for exchangeable undirected graphs, which extends to the directed case via measurable objects known as digraphons. Using digraph…
We consider learning the possible causal direction of two observed variables in the presence of latent confounding variables. Several existing methods have been shown to consistently estimate causal direction assuming linear or some type of nonlinear relationship and no latent confounders. However, the estimation resul…
A new model prices assets considering market microstructure effects.
problem Including market microstructure effects in dynamic asset pricing.
method Discrete binary tree model with history-dependent underlying security prices.
result The model preserves historical price dynamics and is market-complete, arbitrage-free.