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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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90179269358 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for multiplicity correction

Bayesian method corrects for model selection multiplicity in regression.

problem Model selection multiplicity in regression analysis.
method Developed a Bayesian prior distribution based on Holm procedure analogy.
result Adequate multiplicity correction requires sparsity not provided by recommended priors.

Max-rank improves multiple testing in conformal prediction.

problem Simultaneous testing of multiple hypotheses in scientific inquiries.
method Introduces max-rank, a novel correction for positive dependencies in simultaneous testing.
result Max-rank efficiently controls family-wise error rate and improves predictive uncertainty estimates.

A method for inferring ground-truth signals from degraded sensor data.

problem Inferring ground-truth signals from multiple degraded sensor signals.
method Iterative correction of degraded signals using a Bayesian multi-sensor data fusion method.
result The method effectively infers ground-truth signals from noisy and degraded sensor data.

Closed formulas for η-corrections in the once-punctured torus identified.

problem Identifying η-corrections in the Kauffman bracket skein algebra of the once-punctured torus.
method Explicit closed formulas for Chebyshev-threaded families and η-corrections.
result Explicit Chebyshev expansions and coefficients for η-corrections.

Industrial recommender systems deal with extremely large action spaces -- many millions of items to recommend. Moreover, they need to serve billions of users, who are unique at any point in time, making a complex user state space. Luckily, huge quantities of logged implicit feedback (e.g., user clicks, dwell time) are …

2018-12-06abs ↗pdf ↗

We determine the sample complexity of pure exploration bandit problems with multiple good answers. We derive a lower bound using a new game equilibrium argument. We show how continuity and convexity properties of single-answer problems ensures that the Track-and-Stop algorithm has asymptotically optimal sample complexi…

2019-02-09abs ↗pdf ↗

The problem of finding itemsets that are statistically significantly enriched in a class of transactions is complicated by the need to correct for multiple hypothesis testing. Pruning untestable hypotheses was recently proposed as a strategy for this task of significant itemset mining. It was shown to lead to greater s…

2014-07-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Ogburn et al. (2019, arXiv:1910.05438) discuss "The Blessings of Multiple Causes" (Wang and Blei, 2018, arXiv:1805.06826). Many of their remarks are interesting. But they also claim that the paper has "foundational errors" and that its "premise is...incorrect." These claims are not substantiated. There are no foundatio…

2019-10-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper shows unique decomposition of 3-manifolds and multiplicative property of Reidemeister torsion.

problem Unique decomposition of compact 3-manifolds.
method Study of adjoint Reidemeister torsion on disk sum decompositions.
result Adjoint Reidemeister torsion has a multiplicative property on unique decompositions.

We address the problem of non-parametric multiple model comparison: given ll candidate models, decide whether each candidate is as good as the best one(s) or worse than it. We propose two statistical tests, each controlling a different notion of decision errors. The first test, building on the post selection inference…

2019-10-27abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper certifies cluster assignments from sum-of-norms clustering algorithms.

problem Certifying the correct cluster assignments from approximate solutions of sum-of-norms clustering.
method Presented a clustering test that identifies and certifies the correct cluster assignment from an approximate solution.
result The correct cluster assignment is guaranteed to be certified by a primal-dual path following algorithm after sufficient iterations.

Leveraging weak or noisy supervision for building effective machine learning models has long been an important research problem. Its importance has further increased recently due to the growing need for large-scale datasets to train deep learning models. Weak or noisy supervision could originate from multiple sources i…

2019-11-10abs ↗pdf ↗

CRC improves multivariate forecasting accuracy without risking performance degradation.

problem Systematic errors and lack of guarantees in multivariate forecasters.
method CRC uses a causality-inspired encoder and hybrid corrector with a safety mechanism.
result CRC consistently improves accuracy and ensures high non-degradation rates.

The study corrects measurement error in evaluating health effects of multiple pollutants.

problem Bias in estimating health effects of air pollution constituents due to mismeasurement.
method Used a linear regression calibration model and extended DML approach to correct for measurement error.
result Identified two PM2.5 constituents (Br and Mn) that show a negative causal effect on cognitive function after correction.

This work explores test-time scaling strategies for LLMs, improving sample efficiency and expressiveness.

problem Understanding the sample efficiency and expressiveness of test-time scaling strategies for LLMs.
method Established separation and expressiveness results for self-consistency, best-of-nn, and self-correction strategies.
result Self-correction enables Transformers to simulate online learning over multiple tasks without prior knowledge.

Proposes a new algorithm to estimate invariant subspaces across multilayer networks.

problem Estimating invariant subspaces across heterogeneous multiple networks.
method Bias-corrected joint spectral embedding algorithm that recursively calibrates diagonal bias and iteratively updates the subspace estimator.
result Established entrywise subspace perturbation bound and entrywise eigenvector central limit theorem for the algorithm.

Most distortion correction methods focus on simple forms of distortion, such as radial or linear distortions. These works undistort images either based on measurements in the presence of a calibration grid, or use multiple views to find point correspondences and predict distortion parameters. When possible distortions …

2019-11-15abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we extend the ββ-CNMF to two dimensions and derive exact multiplicative updates for its factors. The new updates generalize and correct the nonnegative matrix factor deconvolution previously proposed by Schmidt and Mørup. We show by simulation that the updates lead to a monotonically decreasing ββ-dive…

2018-11-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Confidence intervals improve evaluation of binary prediction rules in data mining.

problem Uncertainty in performance measures estimation from finite datasets.
method Asymptotic normal approximations for confidence intervals, with a blurring correction.
result Improved finite sample coverage probabilities and general performance measures inference.

In this letter, we generalize the convolutional NMF by taking the ββ-divergence as the contrast function and present the correct multiplicative updates for its factors in closed form. The new updates unify the ββ-NMF and the convolutional NMF. We state why almost all of the existing updates are inexact and approximat…

2018-03-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a method to compute valid lower confidence bounds for multiple models selected based on their performance.

problem Model selection and evaluation in machine learning.
method Interprets model selection as a simultaneous inference problem, uses bootstrap tilting and maxT-type multiplicity correction.
result Yields valid lower confidence bounds that are at least as good as standard approaches and reliably reach nominal coverage probability.

This note corrects a mistake in the original book in the evolution equations of total curvature for the curve-shrinking flow in an ambient Ricci Flow. The resulting upper bound for the evolution of total curvature is an exponential bound in time. The change involves the multiplicative constant. Here we show that it dep…

2015-12-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified approach for multicalibration in weakly supervised learning.

problem Existing multicalibration methods require clean input-label pairs, which are unavailable in weakly supervised learning.
method Developed estimators and post-hoc correction methods for multicalibration under weak supervision.
result Unified framework for estimating and correcting multicalibration under weak supervision with finite-sample guarantees.

This work uses adversarial learning to detect and correct feature shifts in various datasets.

problem Detecting and correcting feature shifts in real-world datasets.
method Adversarial learning applied to multiple discriminators to detect and correct feature shifts.
result Mainstream classifiers can effectively localize and correct feature shifts, outperforming existing techniques.

Algorithm identifies and corrects noisy labels using Gaussian process regression.

problem Detecting and correcting real-valued noisy labels from mixed data.
method Gaussian process regression with heteroscedastic noise model and leave-one-out cross-validation.
result The method can pinpoint corrupted sample points and improve regression models.

In 1978 Brakke introduced the mean curvature flow in the setting of geometric measure theory. There exist multiple variants of the original definition. Here we prove that most of them are indeed equal. One central point is to correct the proof of Brakke's §3.5, where he develops an estimate for the evolution of the mea…

2017-05-24abs ↗pdf ↗

New method learns to answer questions from correct demonstrations without assuming bounded complexity of the demonstrator.

problem Learning to generate answers from correct demonstrations with multiple correct answers.
method Formalizes imitation learning in contextual bandits, relying on reward model complexity, not policy complexity.
result Achieves nearly optimal performance with sample complexity logarithmic in reward class cardinality.

Suppose that multiple experts (or learning algorithms) provide us with alternative Bayesian network (BN) structures over a domain, and that we are interested in combining them into a single consensus BN structure. Specifically, we are interested in that the consensus BN structure only represents independences all the g…

2011-01-10abs ↗pdf ↗