Symmetry analysis of financial trends returns reveals bi-modality and multi-scale behavior.
problem Analyzing distributional symmetry in financial trends returns.
method Statistical procedure based on symmetry statistic, applied to daily financial trends returns.
result Daily financial trends returns exhibit bi-modality and multi-scale behavior.
This paper reviews some of the phenomenological models which have been introduced to incorporate the scaling properties of financial data. It also illustrates a microscopic model, based on heterogeneous interacting agents, which provides a possible explanation for the complex dynamics of markets' returns. Scaling and m…
EXFormer predicts foreign exchange returns with high accuracy using a multi-scale self-attention mechanism and dynamic variable selection.
problem Accurately forecasting daily exchange rate returns in international finance.
method EXFormer uses a multi-scale trend-aware self-attention mechanism with dynamic variable selection and embedded squeeze-and-excitation blocks.
result EXFormer outperforms other models in forecasting daily exchange rate returns, achieving statistically significant improvements in directional accuracy.
Paper proposes MSSDDPG for better financial trading strategies.
problem Extracting accurate features from noisy, non-stationary financial time series.
method Multi-scale stroke deep deterministic policy gradient reinforcement learning model (MSSDDPG).
result MSSDDPG outperforms other strategies in China's CSI 300 and SSE Composite.
WaveLSFormer learns profitable trading policies from financial time series data.
problem Challenges in learning profitable intraday trading policies from financial time series data.
method WaveLSFormer uses a learnable wavelet-based long-short Transformer to jointly perform multi-scale decomposition and return-oriented decision learning.
result WaveLSFormer consistently outperforms MLP, LSTM, and Transformer backbones in trading performance.
Optimizes trading strategies with price impact, predictable returns, and stochastic volatility.
problem Dynamic portfolio optimization under complex market conditions.
method Multi-scale volatility expansion, singular and regular perturbations, asymptotic approximations.
result Improved portfolio strategy with reduced profit and loss (PnL) through corrections for small price impact.
Novel neural network solves PDEs with multi-scale resolution.
problem Solving time-dependent PDEs with varying spatial and temporal scales.
method Multi-scale message passing neural network with temporal and spatial gating modules.
result Outperforms baselines on PDEs with diverse scales.
This study presents a new lossy image compression method that utilizes the multi-scale features of natural images. Our model consists of two networks: multi-scale lossy autoencoder and parallel multi-scale lossless coder. The multi-scale lossy autoencoder extracts the multi-scale image features to quantized variables a…
In this paper, we use the generalized Hurst exponent approach to study the multi- scaling behavior of different financial time series. We show that this approach is robust and powerful in detecting different types of multiscaling. We observe a puzzling phenomenon where an apparent increase in multifractality is measure…
Modeling the evolution of a financial index as a stochastic process is a problem awaiting a full, satisfactory solution since it was first formulated by Bachelier in 1900. Here it is shown that the scaling with time of the return probability density function sampled from the historical series suggests a successful mode…
Paper introduces multi-scale methods to improve CATE estimation from EO data.
problem Challenges in balancing fine-grained and contextual information in EO-based causal inference.
method Multi-Scale Representation Concatenation, combining Vision Transformer and Causal Forests.
result Multi-scale approach captures effect heterogeneity better than single-scale models.
We make use of wavelet transform to study the multi-scale, self similar behavior and deviations thereof, in the stock prices of large companies, belonging to different economic sectors. The stock market returns exhibit multi-fractal characteristics, with some of the companies showing deviations at small and large scale…
Study analyzes Nifty 50 returns over 34 years, showing P/E ratio predicts long-term gains.
problem Understanding equity return dynamics in the Indian market over various horizons.
method Unified, distribution-aware, complexity-informed framework using 34 years of Nifty 50 data.
result P/E ratio probabilistically maps return distributions across different investment horizons.
Proposes MscaleDNN for solving high-dimensional PDEs efficiently.
problem Solving high-dimensional PDEs efficiently.
method Radial scaling in frequency domain and compact support activation functions.
result Increased power in multi-scale resolution and high frequency capturing.
Bayesian VAR and Elliptical Black-Litterman models improve portfolio optimization during regime changes and heavy-tailed returns.
problem Portfolio optimization under market regime changes and heavy-tailed returns.
method BAVAR-BLED algorithm combining BAVAR and Black-Litterman models with Elliptical Distributions.
result Significant outperformance of state-of-the-art methods in Sharpe, Sortino ratios, and total returns.
Boosting theory explains why multi-scale GNNs work.
problem Over-smoothing in graph neural networks.
method Gradient boosting and transductive learning analysis.
result Test error bound decreases with more node aggregations.
We study the daily trading volume volatility of 17,197 stocks in the U.S. stock markets during the period 1989--2008 and analyze the time return intervals τ between volume volatilities above a given threshold q. For different thresholds q, the probability density function P_q(τ) scales with mean interval <τ> as P_q(τ…
CAST improves spectral clustering for multi-scale data by integrating reachability similarity.
problem Applying spectral clustering to multi-scale data where clusters vary in size and density.
method CAST integrates reachability similarity with distance-based similarity to derive a coefficient matrix, then applies trace Lasso regularization.
result CAST provides excellent performance and robustness across various multi-scale data test cases.
MRC-LSTM predicts Bitcoin prices using CNN and LSTM.
problem Predicting Bitcoin price with high volatility and complex factors.
method Combines MRC and LSTM, focusing on multi-scale features and long-term dependencies.
result MRC-LSTM significantly outperforms other models in Bitcoin price prediction.
A new model decomposes equity returns and volatilities into memory components.
problem Understanding long-term equity dynamics and volatility patterns.
method Proposes a multivariate generalization of the variance ratio to decompose long-horizon equity dynamics.
result Identifies a five-factor model capturing persistent, antipersistent, and multi-scale memory in returns and volatility.
We attempt to unveil the fine structure of volatility feedback effects in the context of general quadratic autoregressive (QARCH) models, which assume that today's volatility can be expressed as a general quadratic form of the past daily returns. The standard ARCH or GARCH framework is recovered when the quadratic kern…
Proposes a new multi-scale architecture for generative flows to improve log-likelihood and sampling quality.
problem Challenges of high-dimensional latent space in flow models.
method Data-dependent dimension factorization based on likelihood contribution heuristic.
result Improvements in log-likelihood score and sampling quality on image benchmarks.
The analysis of temporal networks has a wide area of applications in a world of technological advances. An important aspect of temporal network analysis is the discovery of community structures. Real data networks are often very large and the communities are observed to have a hierarchical structure referred to as mult…
A new multi-scale vector quantization method for unsupervised data.
problem Efficiently reconstructing unsupervised data with minimal distortion.
method Reconstruction trees, inspired by decision trees, explore data in a multi-scale fashion.
result Analysis of expected distortion under fixed unknown distribution, with asymptotic and finite sample results.
New GCNs improve graph classification with deeper multi-scale information.
problem Limited expressive power of existing GCNs.
method Generalized spectral graph convolution and deep GCN architectures, showing equivalence under certain conditions.
result Two new architectures achieve better performance on node classification tasks.
Embed nodes with multi-scale attributes for robust network analysis.
problem Capturing complex node attributes across different scales.
method Multi-scale attributed node embedding (AE & MUSAE) using Skip-gram approach.
result Proves node-feature mutual information is implicitly factorized by embeddings.
Framework for multi-scale clustering using phase transitions.
problem Clustering datasets with multi-scale structures.
method Cascade of phase transitions in simulated annealing of Expectation-Maximisation algorithm with weighted local covariance.
result Approximation of the number and size of clusters at different scales.
EvoMSN tackles time series forecasting under distribution shifts by evolving multi-scale normalization.
problem Accurate long-term time series forecasting under complex distribution shifts.
method EvoMSN framework with multi-scale statistics prediction and adaptive ensembling for collaborative updating.
result Improves forecasting performance of five mainstream methods on benchmark datasets.
Superstatistics is a widely employed tool of non-equilibrium statistical physics which plays an important role in analysis of hierarchical complex dynamical systems. Yet, its "canonical" formulation in terms of a single nuisance parameter is often too restrictive when applied to complex empirical data. Here we show tha…
New PINN architectures learn high-frequency features using Fourier features.
problem PINNs struggle with high-frequency or multi-scale features.
method Employ spatio-temporal and multi-scale random Fourier features.
result Effective PINN models for multi-scale PDEs.
Compactifies moduli spaces of abelian differentials with specific zeroes and poles.
problem Constructing a compactification of moduli spaces of abelian differentials.
method Using a blowup of the incidence variety compactification, defining families of projectivized multi-scale differentials, and performing a real oriented blowup.
result The moduli space of multi-scale differentials is a complex orbifold with normal crossing boundary.
Proposes OC4Seq for detecting anomalies in discrete event sequences.
problem Challenges in detecting anomalies in discrete event sequences, including data imbalance, discrete events, and sequential nature.
method Integrates anomaly detection with recurrent neural networks (RNNs) to embed sequences into latent spaces and designs a multi-scale RNN framework to capture multi-scale sequential patterns.
result OC4Seq consistently outperforms various baselines on three benchmark datasets.
Paper tackles leverage effect estimation from noisy data.
problem Estimating leverage effect from high-frequency data with microstructure noise.
method Holistic multi-scale framework operating directly on leverage effect, using Subsampling-and-Averaging Leverage Effect (SALE) and Multi-Scale Leverage Effect (MSLE) estimators.
result Holistic multi-scale framework achieves substantial efficiency gains over existing benchmarks.
New method improves robustness of large models without sacrificing accuracy.
problem Improving robustness of large pre-trained models without accuracy loss.
method Multi-scale diffusion denoised smoothing, selectively applying smoothing at multiple noise scales.
result Strong certified robustness at high noise levels with accuracy close to non-smoothed classifiers.
DRFormer uses dynamic tokenization and multi-scale transformer to forecast long time series.
problem Forecasting long-term time series data across diverse scales.
method Dynamic tokenizer, multi-scale transformer, dynamic sparse learning, rotary position encoding.
result DRFormer outperforms existing methods in forecasting accuracy.
We construct a new map from a convex function to a distribution on its domain, with the property that this distribution is a multi-scale exploration of the function. We use this map to solve a decade-old open problem in adversarial bandit convex optimization by showing that the minimax regret for this problem is $\tild…
CrossAD detects anomalies in time series data by considering cross-scale associations and cross-window modeling.
problem Anomaly detection in time series data is challenging due to varying patterns at different scales and fixed window sizes.
method CrossAD incorporates cross-scale reconstruction and a query library to capture dynamic cross-scale associations and comprehensive context.
result CrossAD achieves state-of-the-art performance in anomaly detection across multiple real-world datasets.
Simple feature engineering beats complex models in financial prediction.
problem Understanding when complex models outperform simple alternatives in financial prediction.
method Independent Component Analysis (ICA), Wavelet Coherence, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks with attention mechanisms.
result A simple linear model using normalized flows achieves superior returns compared to complex models.
In the present work we address the problem of evaluating the historical performance of a trading strategy or a certain portfolio of assets. Common indicators such as the Sharpe ratio and the risk adjusted return have significant drawbacks. In particular, they are global indices, that is they do not preserve any 'local'…
Novel framework for systemic risk analysis in financial markets.
problem Systemic risk in financial markets.
method Multi-scale network dynamics, transfer entropy networks, agent-based modeling, wavelet decomposition, Model Context Protocol (MCP).
result Multi-scale approach reveals hidden systemic risk patterns.
Space2Vec learns multi-scale spatial representations from grid cell insights.
problem Encoding spatial features with varying scales from GIS data.
method Proposes Space2Vec, a multi-scale representation learning model using grid cell insights.
result Space2Vec outperforms baselines in predicting POI types and image classification with geo-locations.
Improved Q-learning for robot control with faster data-efficiency.
problem Poor data-efficiency and stochasticity in deep Q-learning.
method Composite Q-learning: Decomposes Q-function into short- and long-term predictions.
result Significant learning speedup and improved data-efficiency in robot tasks.
We extend and test empirically the multifractal model of asset returns based on a multiplicative cascade of volatilities from large to small time scales. The multifractal description of asset fluctuations is generalized into a multivariate framework to account simultaneously for correlations across times scales and bet…
Federated learning improves CRC grading accuracy and privacy.
problem Inter-observer variability and data privacy in CRC grading.
method Multi-scale federated learning framework integrating ResNetRS50.
result Framework achieves 83.5% accuracy, outperforming centralized models.
MCFNet recovers spatial detail and fuses it with semantic information for real-time segmentation.
problem Recovering spatial detail information and fusing it with semantic information in real-time.
method Proposes a new architecture (MCFNet) with feature refinement and fusion modules, and a gating unit.
result Achieves competitive performance with high speed (75.5% mIOU, 151.3 FPS on Cityscapes).
Langevin Dynamics speeds up mixing time with manifold hypothesis and multi-scale approach.
problem Langevin Dynamics struggles in high dimensions and nonconvex landscapes.
method Utilizes manifold hypothesis to reduce mixing time and employs multi-scale approach to improve image generation quality.
result Mixing time depends on intrinsic dimension rather than ambient dimension, significantly reducing computational complexity.
Locally adaptive clustering for tree delineation.
problem Tree delineation from distance data.
method Locally adaptive hierarchical cluster termination.
result Multi-scale alternative to conventional termination criteria.
Improves speaker verification for variable-duration utterances using a feature pyramid module.
problem Improving robustness for variable-duration utterances in speaker verification.
method Integrates a feature pyramid module into multi-scale aggregation to enhance speaker-discriminative information from multiple layers.
result Improves performance for both short and long utterances compared to state-of-the-art approaches.