Proposes a new model for clustering passenger trips considering hierarchical and multi-dimensional data.
problem Clustering passenger trips with hierarchical and multi-dimensional data, especially in large-scale transportation systems.
method Tensor Dirichlet Process Multinomial Mixture (Tensor-DPMM) model, incorporating Dirichlet Process for automatic cluster number determination and tensor representation for multi-mode data.
result Automatic determination of the number of clusters and improved clustering quality.
Proposes a new model for clustering passenger trajectories with graphs.
problem Hierarchical trip structure, inaccurate clustering number, and lack of spatial semantic graphs.
method Tensor Dirichlet Process Multinomial Mixture model with graphs and a tensor version of Collapsed Gibbs Sampling.
result Automatic determination of the number of clusters and better cluster quality.
Deep learning improves trip prediction accuracy in transportation planning.
problem Traditional models fail to accurately predict person and vehicle trips due to complexity and dynamics.
method Developed and trained a deep learning model using NHTS data.
result Deep learning model achieved 98% accuracy for person trip prediction and 96% for vehicle trip estimation.
Accurate expected time of arrival (ETA) information is crucial in maintaining the quality of service of public transit. Recent advances in artificial intelligence (AI) has led to more effective models for ETA estimation that rely heavily on a large GPS datasets. More importantly, these are mainly cabs based datasets wh…
Owing to the expeditious growth in the information and communication technologies, smart cities have raised the expectations in terms of efficient functioning and management. One key aspect of residents' daily comfort is assured through affording reliable traffic management and route planning. Comprehensively, the majo…
ProbETA models travel time correlations between trips for better navigation.
problem Trip correlations not captured by existing methods.
method Deep hierarchical joint probabilistic model with learnable link representations.
result ProbETA outperforms state-of-the-art methods with 12.60% MAPE reduction.
Trip recommendation is an important location-based service that helps relieve users from the time and efforts for trip planning. It aims to recommend a sequence of places of interest (POIs) for a user to visit that maximizes the user's satisfaction. When adding a POI to a recommended trip, it is essential to understand…
New method proves Jones Polynomial's connect sum property.
problem Jones Polynomial's behavior under connect sums.
method Trip matrix method for calculating Jones Polynomial.
result Jones Polynomial is multiplicative under connect sums.
In this paper, we develop a reinforcement learning (RL) based system to learn an effective policy for carpooling that maximizes transportation efficiency so that fewer cars are required to fulfill the given amount of trip demand. For this purpose, first, we develop a deep neural network model, called ST-NN (Spatio-Temp…
Study analyzes how discounts affect train ticket purchases and rescheduling in Switzerland.
problem Understanding how discounts influence train ticket buying and rescheduling behavior.
method Machine learning techniques, including causal machine learning, to analyze survey data.
result Increasing a discount rate by 1% increases the rescheduled trip share by 0.16% among always buyers.
Model predicts next destination for users based on past trips and features.
problem Predicting the next destination in multi-destination trips.
method Used Cleora for city graph embedding and EMDE for prediction.
result Achieved 2nd place in Booking Data Challenge.
Real-time estimation of destination and travel time for taxis is of great importance for existing electronic dispatch systems. We present an approach based on trip matching and ensemble learning, in which we leverage the patterns observed in a dataset of roughly 1.7 million taxi journeys to predict the corresponding fi…
New system assigns vehicles to routes for cost and energy efficiency.
problem Optimizing vehicle route assignment for cost and energy efficiency.
method Machine learning-based neural network algorithm to estimate energy consumption and provide real-time recommendations.
result Demonstrated efficient vehicle assignment for medium and heavy duty trucks.
Automated scoring prioritizes risky driving behavior in telematic auto insurance policies.
problem Identifying risky driving behavior in telematic auto insurance policies using machine learning.
method Bayesian approach using MCMC to model propensity of policyholders to undertake trips resulting in positive classification.
result The approach improves efficiency of human resource allocation in identifying risky driving behavior.
TEAFormers preserve multi-dimensional time series structures for better forecasting.
problem Traditional Transformers flatten multi-dimensional time series data, losing critical multi-dimensional relationships.
method Tensor-Augmented Transformer (TEAFormer) with Tensor-Augmentation (TEA) module.
result Significant performance enhancements in time series forecasting across benchmarks.
Travel time estimation is a fundamental problem in transportation science with extensive literature. The study of these techniques has intensified due to availability of many publicly available large trip datasets. Recently developed deep learning based models have improved the generality and performance and have focus…
This study is a detailed analysis of Speculation Game, a minimal agent-based model of financial markets, in which the round-trip trading and the dynamic wealth evolution with variable trading volumes are implemented. Instead of herding behavior, we find that the emergence of volatility clustering can be induced by the …
Optimal persuasion involves projecting state vectors onto lower-dimensional 'optimal information manifolds'.
problem Optimal persuasion of another agent observing multi-dimensional data.
method Performing non-linear dimension reduction by projecting state vectors onto the 'optimal information manifold'.
result Optimal information design splits information into 'good' and 'bad' components, revealing only the direction of good information.
The paper applies thermodynamics to financial markets to prove no-arbitrage constraints.
problem No arbitrage in financial markets under price impact.
method Stochastic thermodynamics applied to financial trading cycles.
result Proves any round-trip trading strategy yields non-positive expected profit.
Improved crude oil price forecasting using multi-dimensional LLM sentiment signals.
problem Challenges in predicting crude oil prices due to unstructured news.
method Extracted five sentiment dimensions from GPT-4o, Llama 3.2-3b, and FinBERT models on energy-sector news articles.
result Combining GPT-4o and FinBERT yields the best predictive performance for weekly WTI crude oil futures returns.
Many signals on Cartesian product graphs appear in the real world, such as digital images, sensor observation time series, and movie ratings on Netflix. These signals are "multi-dimensional" and have directional characteristics along each factor graph. However, the existing graph Fourier transform does not distinguish …
In building intelligent transportation systems such as taxi or rideshare services, accurate prediction of travel time and distance is crucial for customer experience and resource management. Using the NYC taxi dataset, which contains taxi trips data collected from GPS-enabled taxis [23], this paper investigates the use…
We consider the optimization of an uncertain objective over continuous and multi-dimensional decision spaces in problems in which we are only provided with observational data. We propose a novel algorithmic framework that is tractable, asymptotically consistent, and superior to comparable methods on example problems. O…
We describe our first-place solution to the Animal Behavior Challenge (ABC 2018) on predicting gender of bird from its GPS trajectory. The task consisted in predicting the gender of shearwater based on how they navigate themselves across a big ocean. The trajectories are collected from GPS loggers attached on shearwate…
In this study, we present a machine learning approach to infer the worker and student mobility flows on daily basis from static censuses. The rapid urbanization has made the estimation of the human mobility flows a critical task for transportation and urban planners. The primary objective of this paper is to complete i…
Public special events, like sports games, concerts and festivals are well known to create disruptions in transportation systems, often catching the operators by surprise. Although these are usually planned well in advance, their impact is difficult to predict, even when organisers and transportation operators coordinat…
Leveraging the intrinsic symmetries in data for clear and efficient analysis is an important theme in signal processing and other data-driven sciences. A basic example of this is the ubiquity of the discrete Fourier transform which arises from translational symmetry (i.e. time-delay/phase-shift). Particularly important…
TripDecoder recovers metro routes and travel times from smart card data.
problem Recover unknown routes and travel times in metro systems.
method Decouples two inference tasks: travel time and route preference.
result TripDecoder improves accuracy and efficiency compared to competitors.
Paper proposes a risk index combining frequency and severity of abnormal driving patterns.
problem Assessing driver risk based on telematics data.
method Combines frequency of abnormal driving patterns with severity quantified through tail rarity.
result Developed a risk index that enables reliable discrimination and ranking of drivers.
Study develops a new model for predicting individual mobility based on activity patterns.
problem Existing mobility prediction methods overlook underlying activity patterns.
method Activity-based hidden Markov model (IOHMM) using transit smart card data.
result Proposed model achieves similar prediction performance to LSTM but also provides behavioral insights.
The study focuses on estimating and predicting time-varying origin to destination (OD) trip tables for a dynamic traffic assignment (DTA) model. A bi-level optimisation problem is formulated and solved to estimate OD flows from pre-existent demand matrix and historical traffic flow counts. The estimated demand is then …
Edge features contain important information about graphs. However, current state-of-the-art neural network models designed for graph learning, e.g. graph convolutional networks (GCN) and graph attention networks (GAT), adequately utilize edge features, especially multi-dimensional edge features. In this paper, we build…
TRIP detects unreliable feature importance scores in random forests.
problem Unreliable feature importance scores in random forests due to model extrapolation.
method Develops TRIP (Test for Reliable Interpretation via Permutation) to detect unreliable permutation feature importance scores.
result TRIP reliably detects unreliable permutation feature importance scores in high-dimensional settings.
Recurrent Networks are one of the most powerful and promising artificial neural network algorithms to processing the sequential data such as natural languages, sound, time series data. Unlike traditional feed-forward network, Recurrent Network has a inherent feed back loop that allows to store the temporal context info…
Reliable uncertainty estimation for time series prediction is critical in many fields, including physics, biology, and manufacturing. At Uber, probabilistic time series forecasting is used for robust prediction of number of trips during special events, driver incentive allocation, as well as real-time anomaly detection…
Proposes a deep neural network for multi-dimensional functional data classification.
problem Classifying multi-dimensional functional data with non-Gaussian distributions.
method Trains a deep neural network on the principle components of the training data.
result FDNN achieves minimax optimality when log density ratio has a locally connected modular structure.
TRACE improves conformal prediction for multi-dimensional outputs.
problem Challenges in constructing valid and informative conformal prediction regions for multi-dimensional outputs.
method TRACE uses transport alignment in diffusion and flow matching models to define nonconformity scores.
result TRACE yields valid and adaptive conformal prediction regions for multimodal and non-convex distributions.
Method estimates travel times on urban roads using Uber data.
problem Estimating travel times on urban roads where data is scarce.
method Graph representation, trip sampling, least-squares optimization.
result Estimates travel times on arterial roads using aggregated Uber data.
Introduces tensor bandits for multi-dimensional online decision making.
problem Optimal decision making in multi-dimensional online scenarios.
method Stochastic low-rank tensor bandits, tensor elimination, tensor epoch-greedy, tensor ensemble sampling.
result Tensor elimination and tensor epoch-greedy algorithms outperform existing methods.
The paper focuses on the sparse approximation of signals using overcomplete representations, such that it preserves the (prior) structure of multi-dimensional signals. The underlying optimization problem is tackled using a multi-dimensional split Bregman optimization approach. An extensive empirical evaluation shows ho…
A low-rank tensor model simplifies multi-dimensional Markov chains.
problem Simplifying the dynamics of multi-dimensional Markov chains.
method Low-rank tensor decomposition for multi-dimensional state spaces.
result Our tensor model requires fewer parameters and samples than conventional methods.
The increasing use of multiple sensors, which produce a large amount of multi-dimensional data, requires efficient representation and classification methods. In this paper, we present a new method for multi-dimensional data classification that relies on two premises: 1) multi-dimensional data are usually represented by…
Study optimal stopping times for multi-dimensional processes with non-exponential discounting.
problem Optimal stopping in multi-dimensional processes with non-exponential discounting.
method Probabilistic potential theory to establish existence of optimal equilibria.
result Existence of optimal equilibria for multi-dimensional stopping problems.
New method for valid and exact statistical inference of multi-dimensional change-points.
problem Statistical inference of change-points in multi-dimensional sequences.
method Proposes a method to guarantee the statistical reliability of both location and components of detected changes.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of the method in genomic abnormality identification and human behavior analysis.
NICE model estimates causal effects for image treatments.
problem Challenges in causal effect estimation for multi-dimensional treatments.
method Proposes NICE model for image treatments, incorporating rich multidimensional information.
result NICE significantly outperforms existing models in estimating causal effects for image treatments.
Paper solves robust multi-dimensional scaling with accelerated projections.
problem Localize point locations from noisy pairwise distances.
method Alternating projections with tangent space acceleration.
result Linear convergence of reconstructed points to original points.
Paper defines multi-dimensional fractional Brownian motion under volatility uncertainty.
problem Volatility uncertainty in fractional Brownian motion.
method Definition and study of multi-dimensional fractional Brownian motion (G-fBm) with Hurst index.
result First results on stochastic calculus for G-fBm with Hurst index > 0.5.
Generative models produce realistic objects in many domains, including text, image, video, and audio synthesis. Most popular models---Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) and Variational Autoencoders (VAEs)---usually employ a standard Gaussian distribution as a prior. Previous works show that the richer family of pri…