FedSight AI predicts federal funds rate using LLMs and multi-agent reasoning.
problem Predicting Federal Open Market Committee's decisions on federal funds rate.
method Multi-agent framework with large language models, structured and unstructured inputs, and CoD extension for efficient reasoning.
result Achieved 93.75% accuracy and 93.33% stability in predicting FOMC outcomes.
Improves neural relational inference for dynamic multi-agent trajectories.
problem Limited accuracy of NRI in short output sequences for relational inference in multi-agent trajectories.
method Proposes DYnamic multi-AgentRelational Inference (DYARI) model to handle changing interactions over time.
result DYARI model outperforms NRI in dynamic relational inference tasks.
MACC learns communication protocols by adapting counterfactual reasoning.
problem Credit assignment and non-stationarity in communication environments.
method Adapts counterfactual reasoning to overcome credit assignment and uses action policy and Q-function of other agents to handle non-stationarity.
result MACC outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in four scenarios.
Humans are capable of attributing latent mental contents such as beliefs or intentions to others. The social skill is critical in daily life for reasoning about the potential consequences of others' behaviors so as to plan ahead. It is known that humans use such reasoning ability recursively by considering what others …
AGENTICAITA uses AI agents to autonomously trade markets without human intervention.
problem Inability of traditional trading systems to adapt to market complexity.
method Introduces an agentic AI framework with specialized LLM agents reasoning, negotiating, and acting.
result Demonstrated operational correctness and non-trivial inter-agent negotiation in live market conditions.
Recent breakthroughs in AI for multi-agent games like Go, Poker, and Dota, have seen great strides in recent years. Yet none of these games address the real-life challenge of cooperation in the presence of unknown and uncertain teammates. This challenge is a key game mechanism in hidden role games. Here we develop the …
PEAR dynamically reconfigures agent roles to prevent persistent biases in multi-agent debates.
problem Persistent positional biases and sensitivity to role assignments in fixed topologies.
method Dynamic reconfiguration of agent roles and sparse topologies based on evolving agent states.
result Significantly improves average accuracy over debate baselines across multiple reasoning benchmarks.
New system resists meme coin copy trading bots.
problem Manipulative bots exploit copy trading in illiquid meme coins.
method Multi-agent architecture with LLM and CoT reasoning.
result System outperforms other methods in prediction and economic performance.
Recent findings in multi-agent deep learning systems point towards the emergence of compositional languages. These claims are often made without exact analysis or testing of the language. In this work, we analyze the emergent language resulting from two different cooperative multi-agent game with more exact measures fo…
For autonomous vehicles (AVs) to behave appropriately on roads populated by human-driven vehicles, they must be able to reason about the uncertain intentions and decisions of other drivers from rich perceptual information. Towards these capabilities, we present a probabilistic forecasting model of future interactions b…
Study on multi-agent decision making complexity, showing sample efficiency gaps.
problem Understanding sample efficiency in multi-agent decision making.
method General framework for interactive decision making, focusing on equilibrium computation.
result No 'reasonable' complexity measure can close gaps between single and multiple agents.
Attackers can significantly reduce team rewards in cooperative multi-agent reinforcement learning.
problem Robustness of cooperative multi-agent reinforcement learning to adversaries.
method Novel attack method involving training a policy network and using targeted adversarial examples.
result Reduces team reward from 20 to 9.4 by attacking a single agent, reducing winning rate from 98.9% to 0%.
Novel approach models opponent learning dynamics in multi-agent reinforcement learning.
problem Adaptation and learning of other agents in multi-agent settings cause non-stationarity, challenging existing algorithms.
method Develops a novel approach called Learning to Model Opponent Learning (LeMOL) to accurately model opponent learning dynamics.
result Structured opponent model is more accurate and stable than naive baselines.
KVCOMM optimizes multi-agent LLM systems by reusing KV-caches, reducing redundant processing.
problem Substantial overhead from reprocessing overlapping contexts across multi-agent systems.
method KVCOMM reuses KV-caches and adjusts offsets for shared content using a pool of cached examples (anchors).
result Achieves over 70% reuse rate across diverse multi-agent tasks, up to 7.8x speedup.
HabitatAgent offers a multi-agent system for transparent housing consultation.
problem Opaque reasoning and brittle multi-constraint handling in housing recommendation systems.
method HabitatAgent is a multi-agent architecture with specialized roles for memory, retrieval, generation, and validation.
result HabitatAgent achieves 95% accuracy in real user consultation scenarios, significantly outperforming a strong baseline.
The paper addresses human-like decision-making in multi-agent systems using bounded risk-sensitive Markov Games.
problem Modeling human-like decision-making in multi-agent systems with risk-seeking and loss-aversion behaviors.
method Forward policy design and inverse reward learning with iterative reasoning and cumulative prospect theory.
result The proposed algorithms demonstrate both risk-averse and risk-seeking behaviors in multi-agent systems.
R2-B2 optimizes game interactions with recursive reasoning.
problem Optimizing interactions between boundedly rational agents with unknown payoff functions.
method Recursive Reasoning-Based Bayesian Optimization (R2-B2) for repeated games.
result R2-B2 achieves faster asymptotic convergence to no regret than non-recursive methods.
Agents learn social skills from each other, improving performance.
problem Independent RL agents fail to use social learning.
method Imposed constraints, model-based auxiliary loss, mixed training.
result Agents trained with social learning outperform solo-trained agents.
FinHEAR combines LLMs with human expertise for better financial decision-making.
problem Challenges in financial decision-making for language models.
method Multi-agent framework with specialized LLMs for historical analysis, event interpretation, and expert retrieval.
result FinHEAR outperforms baselines in financial tasks with higher accuracy and risk-adjusted returns.
Study designs incentives for adapting multi-agent systems without knowing their learning dynamics.
problem Designing incentives for an adapting population in multi-agent systems without prior knowledge of their learning dynamics.
method Introduces a model-based non-episodic Reinforcement Learning (RL) formulation for steering Markovian agents towards desired policies, focusing on history-dependent strategies to handle model uncertainty.
result Identifies conditions for the existence of steering strategies to guide agents to desired policies and provides empirical algorithms to approximately solve the objective.
A multi-agent system improves crypto portfolio management by processing diverse data types.
problem Managing cryptocurrency portfolios requires processing various data types under high volatility.
method A multi-agent system with three specialized agents for market dynamics, news sentiment, and signal fusion.
result The best configuration, Hierarchical (Skill), achieved a 133.52% cumulative return and 1.502 Sharpe ratio.
How to best explore in domains with sparse, delayed, and deceptive rewards is an important open problem for reinforcement learning (RL). This paper considers one such domain, the recently-proposed multi-agent benchmark of Pommerman. This domain is very challenging for RL --- past work has shown that model-free RL algor…
This work explains crises in markets without external news using bounded rational agents.
problem Inability to model out-of-equilibrium dynamics in economic markets.
method Modeling bounded rational strategic reasoning in multi-agent market games.
result Bounded rational strategic reasoning can lead to endogenously emerging crises.
Agent Trading Arena trains LLMs in real-time financial markets to improve numerical reasoning.
problem Limited real-world training for LLMs in financial markets.
method Virtual zero-sum stock market with competitive multi-agent trading.
result LLMs perform better with chart-based visualizations and a reflection module.
New approach treats coordination as an architectural layer to improve LLM-based multi-agent systems.
problem Coordination defects lead to high failure rates in LLM-based multi-agent systems.
method Treats coordination as a configurable architectural layer separable from agent logic and information access.
result Configurations leave distinguishable signatures, enabling architectural reasoning and Pareto frontiers.
Many machine learning problems can be formulated as consensus optimization problems which can be solved efficiently via a cooperative multi-agent system. However, the agents in the system can be unreliable due to a variety of reasons: noise, faults and attacks. Providing erroneous updates leads the optimization process…
PyFi uses adversarial agents to train VLMs on financial image understanding.
problem Training VLMs to understand complex financial questions.
method PyFi-600K dataset and adversarial MCTS mechanism.
result Fine-tuned VLMs improve by 19.52% and 8.06% on financial question accuracy.
A new multi-agent learning method improves performance in complex games.
problem Performance gap between MAPG and value-based multi-agent approaches.
method Introduces value function decomposition into multi-agent actor-critic framework for off-policy learning.
result DOP significantly outperforms state-of-the-art multi-agent reinforcement learning algorithms.
We propose a unified mechanism for achieving coordination and communication in Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning (MARL), through rewarding agents for having causal influence over other agents' actions. Causal influence is assessed using counterfactual reasoning. At each timestep, an agent simulates alternate actions t…
PPO algorithm converges to global optimality in multi-agent reinforcement learning.
problem Designing statistical guarantees for policy optimization methods in multi-agent reinforcement learning.
method Leveraging a multi-agent performance difference lemma, a localized action value function is used as a descent direction for each local policy, leading to a multi-agent PPO algorithm.
result The multi-agent PPO algorithm converges to the globally optimal policy at a sublinear rate under standard regularity conditions.
The paper formalizes and analyzes multi-agent Q-learning with value factorization.
problem Understanding and improving the convergence of multi-agent Q-learning with value factorization.
method Formalized a multi-agent fitted Q-iteration framework for analyzing factorized multi-agent Q-learning.
result Multi-agent Q-learning with linear value factorization can converge under certain conditions.
This paper extends off-policy reinforcement learning to the multi-agent case in which a set of networked agents communicating with their neighbors according to a time-varying graph collaboratively evaluates and improves a target policy while following a distinct behavior policy. To this end, the paper develops a multi-…
FACMAC combines deep policy gradients with factored critic for multi-agent reinforcement learning.
problem Cooperative multi-agent reinforcement learning in discrete and continuous action spaces.
method FACMAC uses a centralised but factored critic, combining per-agent utilities into a joint action-value function.
result FACMAC outperforms MADDPG and other baselines on multi-agent particle environments and StarCraft II tasks.
This work benchmarks MARL algorithms in cooperative tasks.
problem Lack of evaluation tasks and criteria for comparing MARL algorithms.
method Systematic evaluation of three MARL algorithm classes in diverse cooperative tasks.
result Insights into the effectiveness of different learning approaches.
NeuroMAS treats multi-agent systems as neural networks for scalable, trainable coordination.
problem Designing multi-agent systems as hand-designed workflows is inefficient and inflexible.
method NeuroMAS treats multi-agent systems as a neural network architecture with reinforcement learning for scalable coordination.
result NeuroMAS improves significantly over multi-agent baselines and can be scaled progressively.
Study compares MAPF and MARL algorithms for warehouse automation.
problem Optimizing multi-agent pickup and delivery in warehouse settings.
method Compared conflict-based search (MAPF) and shared experience actor-critic (MARL).
result Comprehensive benchmarking of MAPF and MARL in a simulated warehouse environment.
MARL algorithm uses regularization to avoid explicit structures, improving performance.
problem Lack of effective reinforcement learning methods for multi-agent systems.
method MARQ uses regularization to promote structured exploration without explicit centralized structures.
result MARQ outperforms existing methods in multi-agent environments.
Improved exploration in cooperative multi-agent reinforcement learning.
problem Limited expressiveness of Gaussian policies in DecSPG hinders effective exploration.
method Proposes decentralized diffusion policy learning (DDPL) with denoising diffusion probabilistic models.
result Consistently improved performance on various MARL benchmarks.
New method combines value function decomposition and policy gradients for cooperative multi-agent reinforcement learning.
problem Challenges in cooperative multi-agent reinforcement learning, especially credit assignment and large action spaces.
method Decomposed Soft Actor-Critic (mSAC) method with Q network architecture, discrete probabilistic policy, and counterfactual advantage function.
result Significantly outperforms policy-based approach COMA and achieves competitive results with SOTA value-based approach Qmix.
Paper tackles delays in multi-agent reinforcement learning, improving performance.
problem Challenges in reinforcement learning due to delays in real-world systems.
method Proposes a novel framework for multi-agent reinforcement learning with delays, using Delay-Aware Markov Games and centralized-decentralized training.
result Demonstrates significant improvement in performance with delay-aware multi-agent reinforcement learning.
AutoDIME automates design of multi-agent environments for RL.
problem Designing multi-agent environments for reinforcement learning is challenging.
method Developed intrinsic teacher rewards for multi-agent settings and evaluated them in various tasks.
result Value disagreement was found to be most consistent and effective across tasks.
Reinforcement learning in multi-agent scenarios is important for real-world applications but presents challenges beyond those seen in single-agent settings. We present an actor-critic algorithm that trains decentralized policies in multi-agent settings, using centrally computed critics that share an attention mechanism…
This work tackles uncertainty in multi-agent multi-modal trajectory forecasting.
problem Measuring and ranking uncertainty in multi-agent multi-modal trajectory forecasting.
method Proposes collaborative uncertainty (CU) and a CU-aware regression framework.
result The CU-aware regression framework improves SOTA systems' performances.
While multi-agent interactions can be naturally modeled as a graph, the environment has traditionally been considered as a black box. We propose to create a shared agent-entity graph, where agents and environmental entities form vertices, and edges exist between the vertices which can communicate with each other. Agent…
A blindfolded LLM trading framework validates market signals without ticker memorization.
problem Ensuring LLMs trade based on genuine market understanding, not memorized data.
method Anonymize tickers and company names, verify signals through reasoning embeddings, and use PPO-DSR policy.
result Achieved Sharpe ratio of 1.40 +/- 0.22 across 20 seeds, robust in volatile markets.
A variety of cooperative multi-agent control problems require agents to achieve individual goals while contributing to collective success. This multi-goal multi-agent setting poses difficulties for recent algorithms, which primarily target settings with a single global reward, due to two new challenges: efficient explo…
Imitation learning algorithms can be used to learn a policy from expert demonstrations without access to a reward signal. However, most existing approaches are not applicable in multi-agent settings due to the existence of multiple (Nash) equilibria and non-stationary environments. We propose a new framework for multi-…
In this paper, we explore using deep reinforcement learning for problems with multiple agents. Most existing methods for deep multi-agent reinforcement learning consider only a small number of agents. When the number of agents increases, the dimensionality of the input and control spaces increase as well, and these met…