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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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130260390520 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for motion prediction

Improved vehicle motion prediction with uncertainty estimation.

problem Robust motion prediction for autonomous vehicles, especially under distributional shift.
method Presented an approach significantly improving the benchmark and taking 2nd place on the leaderboard.
result Significantly improved motion prediction and uncertainty measurement.

Neural network predicts vessel motions with high accuracy.

problem Real-time prediction of heave and surge motions for improved performance and safety.
method Developed an LSTM-based machine learning model trained on measured waves and motion data.
result The model predicts vessel motions up to 46.5 seconds into the future with an average accuracy of 90%.

Paper compares stock price prediction models using Heston and Geometric Brownian Motion.

problem Predicting stock prices accurately.
method Developed Heston and Geometric Brownian Motion models using Ito's lemma and Euler-Maruyama methods.
result Models outperform statistical indicators in predicting stock prices.

Improved motion prediction for self-driving cars using trajectory sets and auxiliary losses.

problem Accurately predicting future vehicle motion for self-driving cars.
method Classification over trajectory sets with an auxiliary loss for off-road predictions and spatial-temporal relationships.
result Significant improvement in motion prediction performance on small datasets using map information.

DMGNN predicts 3D human motions using adaptive multiscale graphs.

problem Predicting 3D skeleton-based human motions accurately.
method Dynamic multiscale graph neural networks (DMGNN) with adaptive multiscale graphs and MGCU.
result DMGNN outperforms state-of-the-art methods in short and long-term predictions.

End-to-end learnable network for safer self-driving with interpretable intermediate representations.

problem Safe motion planning for self-driving vehicles.
method Differentiable semantic occupancy representation for cost calculation in motion planning.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art planners in imitating human behaviors and producing safer trajectories.

In a given scenario, simultaneously and accurately predicting every possible interaction of traffic participants is an important capability for autonomous vehicles. The majority of current researches focused on the prediction of an single entity without incorporating the environment information. Although some approache…

2018-10-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a new model for predicting future motion of road actors in autonomous vehicles.

problem Forecasting the long-term future motion of road actors for safe autonomous driving.
method Recurrent graph-based attentional approach with interpretable geometric and social relationships.
result Can produce diverse predictions conditioned on hypothetical or 'what-if' scenarios.

Human motion prediction is a stochastic process: Given an observed sequence of poses, multiple future motions are plausible. Existing approaches to modeling this stochasticity typically combine a random noise vector with information about the previous poses. This combination, however, is done in a deterministic manner,…

2019-08-02abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper presents a novel context-based approach for pedestrian motion prediction in crowded, urban intersections, with the additional flexibility of prediction in similar, but new, environments. Previously, Chen et. al. combined Markovian-based and clustering-based approaches to learn motion primitives in a grid-bas…

2018-06-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Accurately predicting the possible behaviors of traffic participants is an essential capability for future autonomous vehicles. The majority of current researches fix the number of driving intentions by considering only a specific scenario. However, distinct driving environments usually contain various possible driving…

2018-04-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Motion analysis is used in computer vision to understand the behaviour of moving objects in sequences of images. Optimising the interpretation of dynamic biological systems requires accurate and precise motion tracking as well as efficient representations of high-dimensional motion trajectories so that these can be use…

2018-10-08abs ↗pdf ↗

We tackle the task of diverse 3D human motion prediction, that is, forecasting multiple plausible future 3D poses given a sequence of observed 3D poses. In this context, a popular approach consists of using a Conditional Variational Autoencoder (CVAE). However, existing approaches that do so either fail to capture the …

2019-12-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep network predicts action sequences for complex tasks from a scene image.

problem Scalable task and motion planning from initial scene images.
method Deep convolutional recurrent neural network that predicts action sequences.
result Predicts promising action sequences, reducing motion planning problems.

Introduces Motion Programs for better video analysis of human motion.

problem Current video analysis focuses on raw pixels or keypoints, missing higher-level motion primitives.
method Introduces Motion Programs as a neuro-symbolic representation of motions as a composition of high-level primitives.
result Motion Programs accurately describe diverse human motions and improve downstream tasks.

Study constructs balanced datasets for seismic failure prediction.

problem Imbalanced datasets limit machine learning performance in seismic failure prediction.
method Framework with three steps: GMF identification, probability density estimation, and sample transformation.
result Framework improves machine learning performance in seismic failure mode prediction.

GCRL learns causal factors for motion forecasting, improving out-of-distribution prediction.

problem Sensitivity to out-of-distribution data in conventional supervised learning methods.
method Generative Causal Representation Learning (GCRL) leveraging causality for knowledge transfer.
result Significantly outperforms prior models on out-of-distribution prediction.

We consider so-called regular invertible Gaussian Volterra processes and derive a formula for their prediction laws. Examples of such processes include the fractional Brownian motions and the mixed fractional Brownian motions. As an application, we consider conditional-mean hedging under transaction costs in Black-Scho…

2017-08-09abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper explains how predictable order flow can lead to Brownian motion in financial prices.

problem Why financial prices exhibit Brownian motion despite predictable order flow.
method Generalized Lillo-Mike-Farmer model to nonlinear price-impact dynamics, mapping to Lévy-walk model.
result Price dynamics remain diffusive under the square-root law, even with persistent order flow.

New model uses generalized fractional Brownian motion for stock price prediction.

problem Traditional models fail to accurately predict stock price fluctuations.
method Introduces generalized fractional Brownian motion as a new stochastic process for price modeling.
result Validates the new model for option pricing and risk assessment.

We study the regular conditional law of mixed Gaussian Volterra processes under the influence of model disturbances. More precisely, we study prediction of Gaussian Volterra processes driven by a Brownian motion in a case where the Brownian motion is not observable, but only a noisy version is observed. As an applicati…

2019-04-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Navigated 2D multi-slice dynamic Magnetic Resonance (MR) imaging enables high contrast 4D MR imaging during free breathing and provides in-vivo observations for treatment planning and guidance. Navigator slices are vital for retrospective stacking of 2D data slices in this method. However, they also prolong the acquisi…

2018-04-12abs ↗pdf ↗

FDBM models use fractional Brownian motion to model complex stochastic processes.

problem Capturing memory effects and long-range dependencies in stochastic processes.
method Developed a generative diffusion bridge framework using a Markovian approximation of fractional Brownian motion.
result FDBM outperforms standard models in predicting future states and unpaired data translation.

New method for predicting paths of unpredictable objects with high confidence.

problem Need for dependable uncertainty estimates in motion planning with diverse unpredictable objects.
method Blend online conformal prediction, multiple time series techniques, and heteroscedasticity addressing.
result Simultaneous forecasting bands that cover entire paths with high probability.

A novel method predicts shape development using Riemannian shape spaces.

problem Predicting future shape development from a single observation.
method Proposes a novel prediction method that encodes shapes in a Riemannian shape space and learns hierarchical statistical models.
result Outperforms deep learning-supported variants and state-of-the-art methods in predicting shape development.

A new option pricing model uses a time-varying Hurst exponent for more accurate financial predictions.

problem Inaccurate modeling of financial time series due to constant memory parameter limitations.
method Modeling price fluctuations with multifractional Brownian motion and deriving option pricing formula.
result Empirical performance shows the multifractional model fits market quotes better than standard models.

This paper introduces a novel deep learning framework for image animation. Given an input image with a target object and a driving video sequence depicting a moving object, our framework generates a video in which the target object is animated according to the driving sequence. This is achieved through a deep architect…

2018-12-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Various neural network based methods are capable of anticipating human body motions from data for a short period of time. What these methods lack are the interpretability and explainability of the network and its results. We propose to use Dynamic Mode Decomposition with delays to represent and anticipate human body mo…

2019-12-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Understanding how images of objects and scenes behave in response to specific ego-motions is a crucial aspect of proper visual development, yet existing visual learning methods are conspicuously disconnected from the physical source of their images. We propose to exploit proprioceptive motor signals to provide unsuperv…

2015-05-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Method predicts LFSM increments from past observations using codifference.

problem Forecasting LFSM increments from discrete-time observations.
method Uses codifference for serial dependence, with conditional expectation or projection for α>1α>1 or α<2α<2.
result Method shows promising performance in forecasting volatilities, capturing kurtosis and serial dependence.

Discover equations of motion from distorted video frames.

problem Learning equations of motion from unlabeled, distorted video.
method Train an autoencoder to map frames into latent space, then use symbolic regression to find differential equations.
result The method can discover motion equations even when video is distorted.

In this paper, we focus on a prediction-based novelty estimation strategy upon the deep reinforcement learning (DRL) framework, and present a flow-based intrinsic curiosity module (FICM) to exploit the prediction errors from optical flow estimation as exploration bonuses. We propose the concept of leveraging motion fea…

2019-05-24abs ↗pdf ↗

This work improves motion planning for quadcopters by learning and reasoning about controller performance.

problem Improving motion planning for quadcopters with safety margins and execution reliability.
method Introspective learning and reasoning to correct execution bias and improve collision checking.
result Substantial reduction in safety margins for motion actions, leading to safer execution.