Machine learning identifies distinctive mood patterns in bipolar and borderline personality disorders.
problem Challenges in diagnosing bipolar and borderline personality disorders using retrospective mood recall.
method Signature-based machine learning model using daily mood ratings from smartphone apps.
result The model effectively separates participants into three groups with high accuracy.
Detecting early signs of mood episodes in bipolar disorder patients.
problem Early identification of mood episodes in bipolar disorder patients for timely treatment.
method Signature-based model derived from stochastic analysis applied to real-time mood data.
result The signature method can identify the onset of mood episodes in bipolar disorder patients.
This study uses smartphone data to predict when mood interventions are needed for bipolar disorder.
problem Chronic mental illness with extreme mood changes that lead to personal or social consequences.
method Anomaly detection framework using Temporal Normalization to predict mood anomalies from natural speech data.
result A framework for real-world speech-focused mood monitoring using deep learning.
Bayesian market views improve asset allocation performance.
problem Leveraging public mood for trusted and interpretable asset allocation.
method Formalize public mood into market views, use Bayesian asset allocation model, train neural models.
result Formalized market views increase portfolio profitability by 5-10% annually.
Deep learning model outperforms traditional methods in music mood prediction.
problem Predicting the emotional state of music from audio and lyrics.
method Implemented deep learning model alongside traditional feature engineering methods and compared their performance.
result Deep learning model outperforms traditional methods in arousal detection.
The study analyzes sentiment of European tweets during the pandemic.
problem Understanding public sentiment during the COVID-19 pandemic.
method Cross-language sentiment analysis of multilingual tweets using neural networks and sentence embeddings.
result Sentiment analysis reveals that lockdown announcements correlate with a deterioration of mood, which recovers quickly.
We propose a new heavy-tailed distribution --- Gaussian-Chain (GC) distribution, which is inspirited by the hierarchical structures prevailing in social organizations. We determine the mean, variance and kurtosis of the Gaussian-Chain distribution to show its heavy-tailed property, and compute the tail distribution tab…
Study examines how pandemic anxiety affects financial market trust.
problem Anxiety during pandemic and trust in financial markets.
method Used Google search volume and stock market data to create mood indicators.
result Different clusters of countries and markets in terms of pessimism and optimism emerged.
The paper uses facial keypoints to estimate post-surgical pain intensity.
problem Accurately assessing pain levels from self-reported ratings is challenging.
method The approach analyzes 2D and 3D facial keypoints to estimate pain intensity.
result The pain estimation model uses multiple instance learning.
Federated learning algorithm reduces global model size by combining local and global representations.
problem Scalability issues in training large models on private data distributed over multiple devices.
method Proposes a federated learning algorithm that jointly learns compact local representations and a global model.
result The global model can be smaller since it only operates on local representations, reducing the number of communicated parameters.
Deep single-index Fréchet regression for metric space-valued outputs
problem Predicting outputs in non-Euclidean spaces
method DeSI (Deep Single-Index Fréchet Regression)
result Interpretable index direction for inputs
In Part III of this study, we apply the price dynamical model with big buyers and big sellers developed in Part I of this paper to the daily closing prices of the top 20 banking and real estate stocks listed in the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. The basic idea is to estimate the strength parameters of the big buyers and the…
AlphaGo Zero is explained as a GAN system with good convergence properties.
problem Explaining the success of AlphaGo Zero in a new light.
method Qualitative analysis of AlphaGo Zero as a GAN system.
result AlphaGo Zero's success may not indicate a new AI generation.
mcanalysis quantifies menstrual cycle effects in health data.
problem Lack of standardised statistical methods for menstrual cycle research.
method Fourier-basis generalised additive model (GAM) pipeline.
result Nine out of 15 health outcomes showed significant association with menstrual cycle.
We investigate possible origins of trends using a deterministic threshold model, where we refer to long-term variabilities of price changes (price movements) in financial markets as trends. From the investigation we find two phenomena. One is that the trend of monotonic increase and decrease can be generated by dealers…
We have applied a Long Short-Term Memory neural network to model S&P 500 volatility, incorporating Google domestic trends as indicators of the public mood and macroeconomic factors. In a held-out test set, our Long Short-Term Memory model gives a mean absolute percentage error of 24.2%, outperforming linear Ridge/Lasso…
Transformer models improve financial sentiment measurement.
problem Capturing nuanced sentiment from financial news articles.
method Transformer-based language models for sentiment classification and aggregation.
result Transformer models outperform traditional dictionary-based methods in sentiment classification.
A vast amount of textual web streams is influenced by events or phenomena emerging in the real world. The social web forms an excellent modern paradigm, where unstructured user generated content is published on a regular basis and in most occasions is freely distributed. The present Ph.D. Thesis deals with the problem …
This paper discusses sentiment analysis on social media text.
problem Detecting sentiments in short text messages for applications like mental health monitoring.
method Combines concepts from Natural Language Processing and Machine Learning.
result Explains techniques used in sentiment analysis of textual data.
Paper presents a stress prediction model for students using wearable data.
problem Predicting students' stress levels from wearable data is challenging.
method Used Auto-encoders and Multitask learning to predict stress from sensor data and covariates.
result Model improved stress prediction by 45.6% on StudentLife dataset.
Neural network model predicts alternating event-free periods.
problem Dynamic prediction of alternating recurrent events with statistical nuance.
method Developed an online dynamic prediction framework using neural network theory.
result Outstanding performance in predicting alternating recurrent event-free time.
This paper predicts stock prices during unusual events like the pandemic.
problem Lack of models to predict stock price changes during catastrophic events.
method ARIMA, LSTM, sentiment analysis models trained on historical data.
result Achieved 98% prediction accuracy for stock prices during anomalous circumstances.
GIFsentiment predicts stock market returns and investor sentiment from social media GIFs.
problem Understanding investor sentiment in the stock market.
method Constructing a sentiment index from social media GIFs and analyzing its correlation with market returns and volume.
result GIFsentiment positively predicts stock market returns and negatively predicts returns for up to four weeks.
We study precursors to the global market crash that occurred on all main stock exchanges throughout the world in October 2008 about three weeks after the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. on 15 September. We examine the collective behavior of stock returns and analyze the market mode, which is a market-wide c…
Model detects depression from transcribed interviews using affective language.
problem Detecting depression from transcribed clinical interviews.
method Hierarchical Attention Network with affective conditioning.
result Model achieves state-of-the-art F1 scores in depression detection.
Financial economic models often assume that investors know (or agree on) the fundamental value of the shares of the firm, easing the passage from the individual to the collective dimension of the financial system generated by the Share Exchange over time. Our model relaxes that heroic assumption of one unique "true val…
Study uses neural networks to predict stress from smartphone GPS data.
problem Predicting users' stress levels using smartphone data.
method Employed neural network models with GPS metrics from smartphones.
result Effective prediction of users' stress levels using smartphone GPS data.
LSTM predicts CSI300 volatility using search volume data.
problem Accurate prediction of financial market volatility.
method Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network applied to Baidu search volume data.
result LSTM outperforms GARCH model in CSI300 volatility forecasting.
We study the relationship between the sentiment levels of Twitter users and the evolving network structure that the users created by @-mentioning each other. We use a large dataset of tweets to which we apply three sentiment scoring algorithms, including the open source SentiStrength program. Specifically we make three…
A general framework is suggested to describe human decision making in a certain class of experiments performed in a trading laboratory. We are in particular interested in discerning between two different moods, or states of the investors, corresponding to investors using fundamental investment strategies, technical ana…
Moon phases added to stock market analysis for better pattern recognition.
problem Finding meaningful patterns in stock market data using irregular time sampling.
method Incorporating Moon phases into the Gregorian calendar time sampling methods for stock market analysis.
result Moon phases provide unique, irregular sampling features for stock market pattern recognition.
Model predicts increased social unrest during COVID-19 using social media data.
problem Detecting rising conflict potential in societies during pandemics.
method Neural implicit motive pattern recognition from social media texts.
result Significant increase in conflict indicators during the pandemic.
Review of machine learning methods for detecting depression from resting EEG.
problem Improving depression diagnosis from EEG data.
method Analysis of machine learning approaches in detecting depression from resting-state EEG.
result Discussion of various machine learning models for depression detection.
SentARL uses sentiment features to improve trading profits.
problem Improving profit stability in single-asset trading.
method Sentiment-Aware Reinforcement Learning (SentARL) system.
result SentARL consistently outperforms baselines across multiple assets and conditions.
The study finds solar terms significantly impact China's stock market returns and volatility.
problem Investigating the effect of solar terms on China's stock market.
method Regression framework, analyzing multiple solar terms and their impact on return and volatility.
result Solar terms 1, 3, and 4 cause significant positive returns, while 8, 11, and 14 bring high volatility.
This paper improves stock price prediction using multimodal data.
problem Accurate stock price prediction with diverse data integration.
method Combining financial metrics, tweets, and news articles through multimodal machine learning.
result Significant performance improvement in stock price prediction by up to 5%.
Study identifies personality traits from dance movements in music.
problem Predicting individual differences from music-induced movement.
method Identified Big Five personality traits and EQ/SQ scores from dance movements.
result Successfully explored unseen space for personality and EQ/SQ.
Deep learning diagnoses MS from smartphone data.
problem Diagnosing MS with complex clinical assessments and tests.
method Deep-learning approach using smartphone-derived digital biomarkers.
result Deep-learning models distinguish MS with 88% accuracy.
Study limits of circadian synchronization under different light signals.
problem Disruption of circadian rhythms due to misalignment with external light signals.
method Matrix-free approach for locating periodic steady states, numerical continuation, bifurcation diagrams, unsupervised learning.
result Limits of circadian synchronization to external light signals of different frequency and duty cycle.
Research uses activity analysis to identify mental health symptoms.
problem Identifying mental health symptoms using objective activity metrics.
method Proposes a framework for mHealth monitoring of psychiatric patients based on physical activity time series.
result Identifies distinct behavioural phenotypes and measures for mood assessment.
Gaussian Process model improves blood glucose prediction using contextual data.
problem Improving blood glucose prediction with contextual information.
method Gaussian Process model combining blood glucose and contextual data.
result Gaussian Process model outperforms common methods and blood glucose values alone.
Study predicts online procrastination using machine learning.
problem Predicting procrastination in eLearning to prevent drop-outs.
method Comparison of multiple machine learning models with subjective and objective predictors.
result Models with objective predictors outperform those with subjective predictors.
Taureau uses Twitter sentiment analysis to predict stock market movement.
problem Predicting stock market movement using public opinion on Twitter.
method Obtained historical tweets, filtered and labeled, generated word embeddings, assessed sentiment scores, correlated with stock price movement, designed and evaluated predictive model.
result Taureau can predict stock price movement from lagged sentiment scores.
Unimodal approach for group-level emotion recognition without individual features.
problem Privacy issues in individual-based emotion recognition models.
method Frugal approach using global features, state-of-the-art and synthetic corpora.
result 59.13% accuracy on VGAF test set, 11th place in EmotiW Challenge 2020.
Two-step model estimates DLMO using both daily and frequent data.
problem Expensive and time-consuming DLMO measurement.
method Two-step framework combining daily and frequent data.
result Two-step model with two time-scale features has lower errors.
Q-learning with cSMART data assesses cAI tailoring variables.
problem Evaluating moderators in cAI construction.
method Clustered Q-learning with M-out-of-N Cluster Bootstrap.
result Constructs confidence intervals for causal effect moderation.
Financial market prediction on the basis of online sentiment tracking has drawn a lot of attention recently. However, most results in this emerging domain rely on a unique, particular combination of data sets and sentiment tracking tools. This makes it difficult to disambiguate measurement and instrument effects from f…
Trans-Sense uses smartphones to predict public transit wait times and schedules.
problem Traffic congestion and lack of public transportation in developing countries.
method Crowdsourced mobile phones to estimate waiting times and transit schedules.
result Achieves high accuracy in predicting passenger arrival times and station dimensions.