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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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100200299399 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for model-free bounds

A new model-free algorithm achieves near-optimal regret for infinite-horizon MDPs.

problem Model-free reinforcement learning for infinite-horizon average-reward MDPs.
method Exploration Enhanced Q-learning (EE-QL) for weakly communicating MDPs.
result Achieves O(T)O(\sqrt{T}) regret bound for general weakly communicating MDPs.

Improved model-free reinforcement learning with decision-estimation coefficient.

problem Interactive decision making, including structured bandits and reinforcement learning.
method Combining Estimation-to-Decisions with optimistic estimation to achieve better regret bounds.
result Regret bounds for model-free reinforcement learning with value function approximation.

Improved bounds on the copula of a bivariate random vector are computed when partial information is available, such as the values of the copula on a given subset of [0,1]2[0,1]^2, or the value of a functional of the copula, monotone with respect to the concordance order. These results are then used to compute model-free bo…

2010-04-23abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm tackles non-stationary RL with near-optimal regret bounds.

problem Model-free reinforcement learning in non-stationary Markov decision processes.
method Proposed RestartQ-UCB algorithm with Freedman-type bonus terms.
result Achieves near-optimal dynamic regret bound in non-stationary RL.

Paper develops efficient algorithms for zero-sum Markov games with general function classes.

problem Challenging settings in zero-sum Markov games with parameterized value functions or models.
method Developed new model-free and model-based algorithms for decoupled and coordinated settings.
result Improved sample complexity and regret bounds for various settings.

In a model free discrete time financial market, we prove the superhedging duality theorem, where trading is allowed with dynamic and semi-static strategies. We also show that the initial cost of the cheapest portfolio that dominates a contingent claim on every possible path ωΩω\in Ω, might be strictly greater than the …

2015-06-22abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method for matrix completion with model-free weights.

problem Matrix completion under non-uniform missing structures.
method Constructs weights via convex optimization to adjust for non-uniformity without modeling observation probabilities.
result Recover matrix with stronger theoretical guarantees, especially in heterogeneous missing settings.

The paper develops bounds for multi-asset derivatives using option prices.

problem Computing model-free upper and lower bounds for multi-asset derivatives.
method Develops a fundamental theorem of asset pricing and superhedging duality, recasting the problem into a linear semi-infinite optimization problem and providing algorithms for exact computation.
result Provides ε\varepsilon-optimal upper and lower bounds for multi-asset derivatives, characterizing optimal pricing measures.

New algorithms reduce regret in both stochastic and deterministic environments.

problem Designing algorithms that perform well in both types of MDPs.
method Proposed new environment norms and algorithms with variance-dependent regret bounds.
result First algorithm with simultaneously optimal bounds for both stochastic and deterministic MDPs.

A new method stabilizes deep reinforcement learning by using QGraphs to retain replay memory information.

problem Stabilizing model-free off-policy deep reinforcement learning with soft divergence.
method Representing past experiences as a QGraph, selecting a subgraph with favorable structure, and using lower bounds for temporal difference learning.
result QG-DDPG method is less prone to soft divergence and more robust to hyperparameters.

Unified Latent Dynamics unifies model-free and model-based reinforcement learning.

problem Combining the efficiency of model-free methods with the representational strengths of model-based approaches.
method Embedding state-action pairs into a latent space where the true value function is approximately linear, using synchronized updates of encoder, value, and policy networks.
result ULD achieves cross-domain competence with minimal tuning and a fraction of the parameter footprint.

Paper proposes a model-free algorithm for CMDPs with long-term constraints, achieving optimal regret bounds.

problem Optimizing systems with long-term constraints where transition probabilities are unknown.
method Combines concepts from constrained optimization and Q-learning to propose an algorithm.
result Achieves optimal regret bounds for reward and constraint violation.

New method refines model-free evaluation of complex machine learning models.

problem Evaluating the excess risk of opaque machine learning predictors.
method Perturbing derivatives to create pseudo-outcomes and refitting the model twice.
result Upper bound on excess risk derived efficiently without prior function class knowledge.

Study compares model-free valuation to actual financial outcomes, finds it slightly conservative.

problem Evaluating the quality of model-free valuation approaches for financial derivatives.
method Empirical analysis using historical option prices from S&P 500 constituents.
result Model-free valuation approaches are only marginally more conservative than industry-standard models.

Researchers find a way to price American options without relying on specific asset price models.

problem Determining the upper bound on the price of American options under model uncertainty.
method Using martingale optimal transport problem to describe model uncertainty and proving that optimal exercise schemes must be nonrandomized under certain conditions.
result The price upper bound and its relaxed version coincide under suitable convexity conditions, removing the need for the model-free price upper bound to be nonrandomized.

Paper proves efficiency of MARL with transformers, addressing agent complexity.

problem Theoretical understanding of MARL with many agents and limited relational reasoning.
method Set Transformer for relational reasoning, model-free and model-based MARL algorithms.
result Provable efficiency of MARL algorithms, suboptimality gaps independent of number of agents.

Algorithm learns NE in imperfect information games with imperfect feedback.

problem Learning Nash equilibrium in imperfect information games with bandit feedback.
method IXOMD algorithm for model-free learning with 1/T1/\sqrt{T} convergence rate.
result IXOMD achieves 1/T1/\sqrt{T} convergence rate to NE.

New model-free DR-RL algorithm with finite sample complexity.

problem Limited model-free DR-RL methods with convergence guarantees or sample complexities.
method Integrates Multi-level Monte Carlo (MLMC) technique with threshold mechanism.
result First model-free DR-RL approach with finite sample complexity for total variation and Chi-square divergence.

New RL algorithm achieves sublinear regret and constraint violation without simulators.

problem Maximizing reward under utility constraints in large-scale systems.
method Model-free, simulator-free algorithm using LSVI-UCB with primal-dual optimization and soft-max policy.
result Achieves ildeO(d3H3T) ilde{\mathcal{O}}(\sqrt{d^3H^3T}) regret and ildeO(d3H3T) ilde{\mathcal{O}}(\sqrt{d^3H^3T}) constraint violation bounds.

Paper develops efficient RL algorithm for general value function approximation.

problem Lack of theory for RL with general value function approximation.
method Provable efficient RL algorithm using bounded eluder dimension.
result Achieves a regret bound of O~(poly(dH)T)\widetilde{O}(\mathrm{poly}(dH)\sqrt{T}).

Paper improves neural network robustness analysis for safety-critical systems.

problem Uncertainty in neural network outputs for safety-critical systems.
method Unified propagation and partition approaches to provide tighter bounds.
result Proposed algorithms give tighter bounds than existing methods for the same computation time.

Study dynamic trading in options to improve price bounds for exotic derivatives.

problem Improving price bounds for exotic derivatives through dynamic option trading.
method Extend semi-static trading strategies to include dynamic option trading, analyze duality results and pricing rules.
result Improved price bounds for exotic derivatives compared to conventional methods.

New algorithms reduce risk in reinforcement learning with provable regret bounds.

problem Risk-sensitive reinforcement learning in Markov decision processes.
method Two novel DRL algorithms leveraging the independence property of entropic risk measure.
result Regret bounds of ildeO(exp(βH)1βHS2AK) ilde{\mathcal{O}}(\frac{\exp(|β| H)-1}{|β|}H\sqrt{S^2AK}) for model-free and model-based algorithms.

Fine-grained gap-dependent regret bounds for reinforcement learning.

problem Achieving optimal regret bounds for reinforcement learning with suboptimality gaps.
method Developed novel analytical frameworks and refined algorithms for UCB-based and non-UCB-based reinforcement learning.
result Established the first fine-grained gap-dependent regret bounds for both UCB-based and non-UCB-based algorithms.

We study specific nonlinear transformations of the Black-Scholes implied volatility to show remarkable properties of the volatility surface. Model-free bounds on the implied volatility skew are given. Pricing formulas for the European options which are written in terms of the implied volatility are given. In particular…

2010-08-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Model-free deep reinforcement learning has been shown to exhibit good performance in domains ranging from video games to simulated robotic manipulation and locomotion. However, model-free methods are known to perform poorly when the interaction time with the environment is limited, as is the case for most real-world ro…

2018-03-19abs ↗pdf ↗

New RL algorithm reduces sample complexity for optimal learning.

problem Achieving optimal learning with minimal samples in RL.
method Early-settled variance reduction method with Q-learning sequences.
result Near-optimal regret achieved with sample size SApoly(H)SA\,\mathrm{poly}(H).

Improved bounds for multi-asset options using deep learning and market prices.

problem Computing model-free bounds for multi-asset options with uncertainty in dependence structure.
method Fundamental theorem of asset pricing, superhedging duality, penalization approach, deep learning.
result Deep learning approximations improve computational efficiency and accuracy.

Paper proposes FedQ-Advantage for federated Q-learning with near-optimal regret and low communication cost.

problem Near-optimal federated Q-learning with low communication cost.
method Reference-advantage decomposition for variance reduction, synchronization between agents and server, policy update.
result Achieves almost optimal regret and near-linear regret speedup compared to single-agent learning.

Develops model-free methods for event history analysis and efficient covariate adjustment.

problem Estimating treatment effects while accounting for confounding and understanding event history.
method Model-free prediction techniques, Local Covariance Measure (LCM), Debiased Outcome-adapted Propensity Estimator (DOPE), Aalen Covariance Measure (ACM).
result Demonstrates the effectiveness and robustness of the proposed methods in various settings.

New algorithms for model selection in off-policy evaluation of reinforcement learning.

problem Hyperparameter tuning for off-policy evaluation methods in reinforcement learning.
method Developed new model-free and model-based selectors with theoretical guarantees and a new experimental protocol.
result New model-free selector, LSTD-Tournament, demonstrates promising empirical performance.