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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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3587151,0731,430 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for model trees

We introduce block-tree graphs as a framework for deriving efficient algorithms on graphical models. We define block-tree graphs as a tree-structured graph where each node is a cluster of nodes such that the clusters in the graph are disjoint. This differs from junction-trees, where two clusters connected by an edge al…

2010-07-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Latent tree models are graphical models defined on trees, in which only a subset of variables is observed. They were first discussed by Judea Pearl as tree-decomposable distributions to generalise star-decomposable distributions such as the latent class model. Latent tree models, or their submodels, are widely used in:…

2017-08-02abs ↗pdf ↗

A novel tree algorithm improves time series forecasting accuracy.

problem Improving accuracy in non-linear time series forecasting.
method Developed a hierarchical TAR model as a regression tree that trains globally across series, introducing a forecasting-specific tree algorithm with cross-series learning.
result Significantly higher accuracy than state-of-the-art tree-based algorithms and benchmarks across four metrics.

The task of translating between programming languages differs from the challenge of translating natural languages in that programming languages are designed with a far more rigid set of structural and grammatical rules. Previous work has used a tree-to-tree encoder/decoder model to take advantage of the inherent tree s…

2018-07-04abs ↗pdf ↗

ForestPrune optimizes tree ensemble pruning for compactness and speed.

problem Large tree ensembles in predictive models consume excessive memory and reduce interpretability.
method Developed a specialized optimization algorithm to efficiently prune tree ensembles by depth layers.
result ForestPrune produces compact, high-performing models that outperform existing post-processing methods.

Multistage Defer Trees improve model accuracy while maintaining interpretability.

problem Balancing model accuracy and interpretability, especially in noisy domains.
method A sequence of sparse decision trees that defer predictions to the next tree or a black box.
result Matches the performance of complex tree-based ensembles while using only one or a few sparse trees.

Flexible tree ensemble learning framework supports arbitrary loss functions and multi-task learning.

problem Limited modeling capabilities of existing tree ensemble learning toolkits.
method Differentiable tree ensembles with tensor-based formulation for efficient training.
result Our framework leads to 100x more compact and 23% more expressive tree ensembles.

The paper uses tensor decompositions to improve neural network models for tree data.

problem Encoding structural knowledge from tree-structured data efficiently.
method Introduces new aggregation functions using Canonical and Tensor-Train decompositions.
result Proposed models outperform traditional methods on tree classification tasks.

Hidden tree Markov models allow learning distributions for tree structured data while being interpretable as nondeterministic automata. We provide a concise summary of the main approaches in literature, focusing in particular on the causality assumptions introduced by the choice of a specific tree visit direction. We w…

2018-05-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Although adversarial examples and model robustness have been extensively studied in the context of linear models and neural networks, research on this issue in tree-based models and how to make tree-based models robust against adversarial examples is still limited. In this paper, we show that tree based models are also…

2019-02-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Collaborative Trees model analyzes feature interactions and additive effects.

problem Analyzing complex statistical associations between features and response variables.
method Proposes a novel tree model and its bagging version to decompose mean decrease in impurity and visualize feature contributions.
result Demonstrates the superior capability of the tree model in estimating additive effects and interaction effects.

The study analyzes when Bayesian averaging over decision trees is reliable.

problem When do Bayesian model averaging weights over decision trees provide reliable information?
method Closed-form solution for Bayesian decision trees with Catalan-exponential priors.
result Established a complete non-asymptotic theory of rational commitment thresholds.

A new tree-based model improves uncertainty estimation in sequential optimization.

problem Improving uncertainty estimation in sequential model-based optimization.
method Proposed a new ensemble of randomized trees (BwO forest) with bagging and oversampling.
result BwO forest outperforms existing tree-based models in various optimization scenarios.

We propose a tree regularization framework, which enables many tree models to perform feature selection efficiently. The key idea of the regularization framework is to penalize selecting a new feature for splitting when its gain (e.g. information gain) is similar to the features used in previous splits. The regularizat…

2012-01-07abs ↗pdf ↗

BART and MOTR-BART improve tree-based predictions with local linear models.

problem Non-linearity and high-order interactions in data.
method Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) and Model Trees BART (MOTR-BART) using piecewise linear functions.
result MOTR-BART achieves equal or better performance with fewer trees than BART.

GLMM trees identify subgroups with different growth patterns in longitudinal data.

problem Identifying subgroups with distinct growth trajectories in longitudinal studies.
method Extended GLMM trees for longitudinal data.
result Extended GLMM trees outperform other methods in accuracy and speed.

Tree ensembles, such as random forest and boosted trees, are renowned for their high prediction performance, whereas their interpretability is critically limited. In this paper, we propose a post processing method that improves the model interpretability of tree ensembles. After learning a complex tree ensembles in a s…

2016-06-17abs ↗pdf ↗

A new tree method for tensor data improves regression accuracy.

problem Efficiently modeling tensor data for regression problems.
method Scalar-output regression tree models for scalar-on-tensor problems, and tensor-on-tensor problems using additive tree ensemble approaches.
result The tensor-input tree (TT) method outperforms tensor-input GP models in efficiency and accuracy.

Kauri is a novel unsupervised binary tree for clustering that outperforms existing methods.

problem Learning a tree end-to-end for clustering without labels is an open challenge.
method Greedy maximization of the kernel KMeans objective without centroids.
result Kauri often outperforms existing unsupervised clustering methods, especially with non-linear kernels.

TRUST improves tree models' accuracy while maintaining interpretability.

problem Piecewise-constant regression trees lack in predictive accuracy compared to black-box models.
method Combines Random Forest accuracy with interpretability of shallow trees and sparsity of linear models, using LLMs for explanations.
result TRUST outperforms other interpretable models in predictive accuracy and matches Random Forest's accuracy.

Gradient boosted decision trees are a popular machine learning technique, in part because of their ability to give good accuracy with small models. We describe two extensions to the standard tree boosting algorithm designed to increase this advantage. The first improvement extends the boosting formalism from scalar-val…

2017-10-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep neural networks have been proven powerful at processing perceptual data, such as images and audio. However for tabular data, tree-based models are more popular. A nice property of tree-based models is their natural interpretability. In this work, we present Deep Neural Decision Trees (DNDT) -- tree models realised…

2018-06-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Meta-learning interpretable decision trees with synthetic data.

problem Lack of efficient, scalable methods for generating synthetic data for decision tree meta-learning.
method Synthetic generation of near-optimal decision trees using the MetaTree transformer architecture.
result Meta-learning of decision trees achieves performance comparable to real-world data or optimal decision trees, with significant computational cost reduction.

Shallow trees in ensemble models make models more interpretable and sometimes better.

problem Lack of transparency in high-performing tree ensemble models.
method Developed an interpretation algorithm to convert tree ensembles into functional ANOVA representations. Proposed strategies to enhance interpretability.
result Shallow trees in ensemble models can lead to better generalization performance and improved interpretability.

Decision trees perform well in complex interactions, even when interactions are not fully accounted for.

problem Interpreting complex interactions in machine learning models.
method Experiments on datasets and two methods for robust GLMs.
result Tree depth compensates for model misspecification, enhancing performance in complex scenarios.

Partition Tree estimates conditional densities for mixed continuous and categorical variables.

problem Estimating conditional densities for mixed data types.
method Tree-based framework modeling conditional distributions as piecewise-constant densities on adaptive partitions, minimizing conditional negative log-likelihood.
result Improved probabilistic prediction compared to CART-style trees and state-of-the-art methods.

Optimal survival trees ensemble reduces tree count and improves predictive performance.

problem Improving predictive performance in survival analysis.
method Grows a forest of optimal survival trees by ranking and selecting the best trees based on out-of-bag error.
result Reduces the number of trees in the ensemble while improving predictive performance.

A new decision tree induction method using MIP for faster optimization.

problem Optimizing decision tree split rules for better classification performance.
method Mixed-integer programming (MIP) for Gini reduction maximization, efficient search algorithm.
result bsnsing trees outperform other tree models in new case discrimination.