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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for model tracking

This paper reviews and analyzes various modeling approaches for financial index tracking.

problem Efficient replication of market index performance in financial markets.
method Categorization into three frameworks: optimization, statistical, and machine learning; empirical study on S&P 500 dataset.
result Optimization-based models deliver the most precise index tracking, statistical-based models achieve the strongest return-risk balance, and data-driven models provide competitive performance.

This work uses SVM to identify track component failures in AC Track Circuits.

problem Detecting and identifying specific track component failures in AC Track Circuits.
method Applied SVM classifier to STDS track circuit data.
result Successfully classified 15 different track component failures.

Generative model predicts menstrual cycle lengths accounting for self-tracking artifacts.

problem Uncertainty in self-tracked health data due to user adherence.
method Hierarchical, generative model using machine learning.
result Model yields state-of-the-art performance in predicting menstrual cycle lengths.

Online learners track optimal solutions with constant step-size.

problem Tracking optimal solutions in online learning settings.
method Established a link between steady-state performance and tracking performance using analogies with adaptive filters.
result Inferred tracking performance from steady-state expressions directly.

Improved tracking and prediction of moving objects in visual data streams.

problem Tracking and predicting multiple moving objects in visual data streams.
method Disentangled latent state-space model with amortized variational Bayesian inference.
result Significantly improved long-term prediction and object decomposition in the presence of occlusions.

We study a series of static and dynamic portfolios of VIX futures and their effectiveness to track the VIX index. We derive each portfolio using optimization methods, and evaluate its tracking performance from both empirical and theoretical perspectives. Among our results, we show that static portfolios of different VI…

2019-06-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian approach for constructing and rebalancing sparse index-tracking portfolios.

problem Sparse tracking of a reference index with uncertainty quantification.
method Sparse linear regression with Laplace prior, empirical-Bayes calibration, Langevin-type MCMC, threshold-based rules.
result Posterior uncertainty on tracking error, portfolio composition, and rebalancing moves.

The efficiency of a modern economy depends on what we call the Value-Tracking Hypothesis: that market prices of key assets broadly track some underlying value. This can be expected if a sufficient weight of market participants are valuation-based traders, buying and selling an asset when its price is, respectively, bel…

2019-03-23abs ↗pdf ↗

We study the tracking problem, namely, estimating the hidden state of an object over time, from unreliable and noisy measurements. The standard framework for the tracking problem is the generative framework, which is the basis of solutions such as the Bayesian algorithm and its approximation, the particle filters. Howe…

2012-03-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper introduces TAP-Vid, a benchmark for tracking any point in videos.

problem Tackles the problem of tracking arbitrary physical points on surfaces over longer video clips.
method Formalizes the problem as TAP, introduces TAP-Vid benchmark, uses crowdsourced pipeline with optical flow estimates, proposes TAP-Net model.
result TAP-Net outperforms all prior methods on TAP-Vid benchmark when trained on synthetic data.

New data-driven Cartan connection tracks complex vascular structures.

problem Tracking complex vascular structures in multi-orientation images.
method Formulated a data-driven Cartan connection on M2\mathbb{M}_2 for geodesic tracking.
result Improved geodesic tracking of vascular trees with globally optimal curves.

New approach uses Gaussian processes to learn and track complex systems with guaranteed accuracy.

problem Inaccurate first principle models for complex systems due to data complexity.
method Bayesian prediction error bound for Gaussian process regression, derived from kernel-based data density.
result Achieves vanishing tracking error with increasing data density, providing time-varying accuracy guarantees.

This paper describes a new online convex optimization method which incorporates a family of candidate dynamical models and establishes novel tracking regret bounds that scale with the comparator's deviation from the best dynamical model in this family. Previous online optimization methods are designed to have a total a…

2013-01-07abs ↗pdf ↗

IrisNet tracks tongue contours in ultrasound videos using deep learning.

problem Automatic and real-time tracking of tongue contours in ultrasound videos.
method Convolutional neural network mimicking peripheral vision.
result Outstanding generalization on various ultrasound tongue datasets.

New method uses cluster shapes to improve track finding in particle collisions.

problem Combining timing and additional detector information for efficient track finding.
method Neural networks to analyze cluster shapes for track seeding.
result Cluster shapes reduce fake combinatorial backgrounds while maintaining high track efficiency.

THRML uses energy-based models for index tracking, reducing portfolio tracking error and improving returns.

problem NP-hard combinatorial optimization in portfolio optimization under cardinality constraints.
method THRML reformulates index tracking as probabilistic inference on an Ising Hamiltonian, using GPU-accelerated block Gibbs sampling.
result THRML achieves 4.31 percent annualized tracking error compared to 5.66-6.30 percent for baselines, with 128.63 percent total return.

This study models target trajectories using stochastic processes for efficient tracking.

problem Efficiently modeling and predicting target trajectories in continuous time.
method Decomposes trajectory modeling into deterministic and stochastic components using Gaussian or Student's-tt processes.
result Demonstrates superior performance in tracking maneuvering targets compared to existing methods.

Tracking large numbers of densely-arranged, interacting objects is challenging due to occlusions and the resulting complexity of possible trajectory combinations, as well as the sparsity of relevant, labeled datasets. Here we describe a novel technique of collective tracking in the model environment of a 2D honeybee hi…

2018-12-31abs ↗pdf ↗

This review analyzes recent advances in solving index tracking problems.

problem Creating a portfolio that closely follows a specific index with lower costs.
method Systematic review of mathematical approaches and metaheuristics.
result Metaheuristics have been extensively applied and improved in solving index tracking problems.

This paper proposes a DGP approach with UCBs for point target tracking over WSNs.

problem Uncertainty quantification in distributed machine learning-based tracking over WSNs.
method Distributed Gaussian process (DGP) approach with upper confidence bounds (UCBs).
result UCBs provide 88% and 42% higher probability of encompassing true target states in X and Y coordinates, respectively.

This paper optimizes object tracking on edge devices with small matrices.

problem Efficiently tracking objects in video sequences on edge devices with small matrices.
method Parallelized a Simple Online and Real-time Tracking (SORT) application on shared-memory multicores.
result Throughput-based parallelization technique outperforms multi-threading for small matrices.

A robust visual tracking system requires an object appearance model that is able to handle occlusion, pose, and illumination variations in the video stream. This can be difficult to accomplish when the model is trained using only a single image. In this paper, we first propose a tracking approach based on affine subspa…

2014-03-03abs ↗pdf ↗

A DRL-based strategy improves vehicle tracking accuracy while saving energy.

problem Enhancing vehicle tracking accuracy in WSNs without increasing energy consumption.
method Decentralized strategy with dynamic reinforcement learning to adjust sensing areas.
result Simulation results demonstrate superior performance of DRL-aided design.

We study a simple model of bicycle motion: a segment of fixed length in multi-dimensional Euclidean space, moving so that the velocity of the rear end is always aligned with the segment. If the front track is prescribed, the trajectory of the rear wheel is uniquely determined via a certain first order differential equa…

2017-05-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved FDR control for sparse financial index tracking.

problem Maintaining FDR control in high-dimensional financial data with strong variable dependencies.
method Expanding T-Rex framework to handle overlapping groups of correlated variables with nearest neighbors penalization.
result Accurately tracks the S&P 500 index using only a small number of stocks.

A new model tracks indices without rebalancing, solving NP-hard problems.

problem Tracking indices without rebalancing and minimizing deviations.
method Metaheuristic algorithms and local branching for solving mixed integer linear programming.
result The heuristic generates portfolios that outperform commercial solvers in both in-sample and out-of-sample data.

We show that the subsurface projection of a train track splitting sequence is an unparameterized quasi-geodesic in the curve complex of the subsurface. For the proof we introduce induced tracks, efficient position, and wide curves. This result is an important step in the proof that the disk complex is Gromov hyperbolic…

2010-04-26abs ↗pdf ↗