Introduces model class selection to find sets of near-optimal models.
problem Finding sets of near-optimal models within multiple model collections.
method Generalizes model set selection framework to model class selection, using data splitting approaches.
result Shows that simpler, interpretable models can perform similarly to complex machine learning models.
Lasso and other regularization procedures are attractive methods for variable selection, subject to a proper choice of shrinkage parameter. Given a set of potential subsets produced by a regularization algorithm, a consistent model selection criterion is proposed to select the best one among this preselected set. The a…
IWeS selects examples by entropy-based importance sampling for subset selection.
problem Efficiently selecting examples for model training in batch settings.
method IWeS uses importance sampling based on model entropy to select examples.
result IWeS outperforms other subset selection algorithms on seven datasets.
New algorithms for model selection in linear bandits adapt to instance complexity.
problem Adapting to the instance-dependent complexity of the true model in linear bandits.
method Design of algorithms in fixed confidence and fixed budget settings, leveraging experimental design and selection-validation procedures.
result Near instance optimal guarantees for model selection in linear bandits.
A stability-based method selects the most desirable conformal prediction set.
problem Selecting the most desirable conformal prediction set from multiple valid sets invalidates coverage guarantees.
method A stability-based approach that ensures coverage for the selected prediction set.
result The stability-based approach maintains coverage guarantees for the selected prediction set.
FIRES framework selects stable features from online data.
problem Efficiently selecting features in online settings with limited data.
method FIRES framework uses model parameter importance for feature selection.
result FIRES selects stable feature sets with minimal model complexity.
MPS selects models for nonstationary time series in real-time.
problem Model selection under nonstationary time series.
method Combines conformal inference with model confidence sets.
result Reliably identifies optimal models under nonstationarity.
This paper considers the problem of isolating a small number of exchange traded funds (ETFs) that suffice to capture the fundamental dimensions of variation in U.S. financial markets. First, the data is fit to a vector-valued Bayesian regression model, which is a matrix-variate generalization of the well known stochast…
We describe a simple, efficient, permutation based procedure for selecting the penalty parameter in the LASSO. The procedure, which is intended for applications where variable selection is the primary focus, can be applied in a variety of structural settings, including generalized linear models. We briefly discuss conn…
Proposes PEMI for online selective conformal prediction with asymmetric rules.
problem Challenges of handling asymmetric selection mechanisms in online selective conformal prediction.
method PEMI: permutation-based framework for selective conformal prediction with arbitrary asymmetric selection rules.
result Achieves exact selection-conditional coverage for any asymmetric selection mechanism and any prediction model.
Model selection for time series forecasting can be biased by the distribution of scores.
problem Model selection for probabilistic forecasting on time series data.
method Using proper scoring rules to aggregate scores across multiple time series.
result The mean score is immune to the skewness of the score distribution.
New causal models perform poorly when evaluated on biased training sets.
problem Sample selection bias affects the evaluation of causal models' prediction performance.
method Re-evaluated prediction performance of causal models on a genetic perturbation data set, proposing a less-biased evaluation set.
result Causal models have similar or worse performance when evaluated on a less-biased set compared to standard association-based estimators.
The paper explores MMPR to select diverse models for scientific insight.
problem Model selection often fails to bring multiple underlying patterns to light.
method Multi-model penalized regression (MMPR) to acknowledge model uncertainty.
result Different penalty settings can promote either shrinkage or sparsity of coefficients in separate models.
New method stabilizes model selection with theoretical guarantees.
problem Stability of model selection methods in the face of noisy or incomplete data.
method Combines bagging with an 'inflated' argmax operation to select a stable set of models.
result Stable model selection with high probability of overlap after removing any data point.
Paper introduces novel model selection for CRO to balance robustness and decision risk.
problem Balancing robustness and decision risk in CRO.
method Conformalized Robust Optimization with Model Selection (CROMS) framework.
result Significant improvements in decision efficiency across various applications.
New method predicts model performance under selection bias in healthcare.
problem Selection bias limits model generalizability in healthcare.
method Proposes a novel upper bound method for estimating model performance.
result Validates and demonstrates the practical utility of the method.
Proposes a new stability measure for model fitting on similar feature data sets.
problem Model fitting on data sets with similar features is challenging.
method Tuning hyperparameters in a multi-criteria fashion with predictive accuracy and feature selection stability.
result Our approach achieves similar or better predictive performance than single-criteria and stability selection approaches.
Comprehensive review of robust portfolio selection models.
problem Addressing uncertainty in financial portfolio optimization.
method Classification and analysis of various models and approaches.
result Identification of open research questions.
AXE evaluates explanations to avoid misleading Rashomon set model selection.
problem Evaluating explanations for Rashomon set models to avoid false selection.
method Proposed AXE method to evaluate explanation quality.
result AXE detects adversarial fairwashing with 100% success rate.
Gaussian processes are powerful, yet analytically tractable models for supervised learning. A Gaussian process is characterized by a mean function and a covariance function (kernel), which are determined by a model selection criterion. The functions to be compared do not just differ in their parametrization but in thei…
Study evaluates model selection methods for time series forecasting.
problem Evaluating which model is best for time series forecasting.
method Compared various estimation methods for selecting the best model.
result Accuracy of model selection estimators is low, and performance loss is significant.
In this paper we introduce a new feature selection algorithm to remove the irrelevant or redundant features in the data sets. In this algorithm the importance of a feature is based on its fitting to the Catastrophe model. Akaike information crite- rion value is used for ranking the features in the data set. The propose…
A new criterion selects models in overparameterized settings.
problem Model selection for overparameterized models with more parameters than data.
method Establishes Bayesian duality and introduces the Interpolating Information Criterion.
result The Interpolating Information Criterion selects models in overparameterized settings.
Effective and accurate model selection is an important problem in modern data analysis. One of the major challenges is the computational burden required to handle large data sets that cannot be stored or processed on one machine. Another challenge one may encounter is the presence of outliers and contaminations that da…
LMs perform poorly in true few-shot learning without held-out examples.
problem Evaluating few-shot performance of language models without access to held-out examples.
method Evaluated two model selection criteria (cross-validation and minimum description length) for choosing LM prompts and hyperparameters in true few-shot learning.
result Selection criteria often prefer models that perform worse than random selection, suggesting overestimation of few-shot ability.
Proposes a method to compute valid lower confidence bounds for multiple models selected based on their performance.
problem Model selection and evaluation in machine learning.
method Interprets model selection as a simultaneous inference problem, uses bootstrap tilting and maxT-type multiplicity correction.
result Yields valid lower confidence bounds that are at least as good as standard approaches and reliably reach nominal coverage probability.
Model selection is crucial to high-dimensional learning and inference for contemporary big data applications in pinpointing the best set of covariates among a sequence of candidate interpretable models. Most existing work assumes implicitly that the models are correctly specified or have fixed dimensionality. Yet both …
Framework for assessing fairness across similar predictive models.
problem Fairness in predictive models across different groups.
method Develops a framework for characterizing fairness over the set of good models under selective labels.
result Framework can replace or audit models for better fairness properties.
We present apricot, an open source Python package for selecting representative subsets from large data sets using submodular optimization. The package implements an efficient greedy selection algorithm that offers strong theoretical guarantees on the quality of the selected set. Two submodular set functions are impleme…
Scalable feature selection improves GBDT model training speed.
problem Efficiently selecting features for GBDT models in high-dimensional settings.
method Developed a scalable forward feature selection method using group testing.
result Significant speedups in training time with competitive model performance.
New feature selection methods improve uplift modeling accuracy.
problem Overfitting and poor interpretability in feature selection for uplift models.
method Explicitly designed feature selection methods inspired by statistics and information theory.
result Proposed methods outperform traditional feature selection methods in uplift modeling.
New method selects features for big data efficiently.
problem Feature selection challenges in huge data.
method Minipatch learning with STAMPS and AdaSTAMPS.
result AdaSTAMPS outperforms other methods in accuracy and speed.
Study compares single vs ensemble feature selection for cancer diagnosis.
problem Identifying relevant variables for cancer diagnosis and prognosis.
method Comparison of single feature selection algorithms and ensemble of diverse algorithms.
result Ensemble approach did not improve predictive performance over individual algorithms.
Model selection is indispensable to high-dimensional sparse modeling in selecting the best set of covariates among a sequence of candidate models. Most existing work assumes implicitly that the model is correctly specified or of fixed dimensions. Yet model misspecification and high dimensionality are common in real app…
Proposes a neural network framework for feature selection in high-dimensional settings.
problem Challenges in feature selection and non-linear function estimation in high-dimensional settings.
method Sparse-input neural networks using group concave regularization.
result Establishes finite-sample guarantees for variable selection consistency and prediction accuracy.
Algorithm selection (AS) deals with selecting an algorithm from a fixed set of candidate algorithms most suitable for a specific instance of an algorithmic problem, e.g., choosing solvers for SAT problems. Benchmark suites for AS usually comprise candidate sets consisting of at most tens of algorithms, whereas in combi…
Nonparametric undirected graphical model selection using diffusion models
problem Undirected graphical model selection
method Diffusion models
result Model selection consistency
Study examines inference methods after variable selection in Cox models.
problem Bias and misleading inference after variable selection in Cox models.
method Simulation study of inference procedures for Lasso and adaptive Lasso in Cox models.
result Performance of inference procedures varies, with debiased Lasso showing promise.
Beam search improves feature selection for better model performance.
problem Improving feature selection for better model performance.
method Proposed beam search as a generalization of forward selection for feature selection.
result Beam search can outperform forward selection, especially with correlated features.
Data selection methods, such as active learning and core-set selection, are useful tools for machine learning on large datasets. However, they can be prohibitively expensive to apply in deep learning because they depend on feature representations that need to be learned. In this work, we show that we can greatly improv…
Method evaluates classification uncertainty with adaptively chosen features.
problem Finding a balance between model efficiency and fairness.
method Adaptively selects features for equalized coverage in classification.
result Valid and effective method demonstrated on simulated and real data.
We propose a statistical inference framework for the component-wise functional gradient descent algorithm (CFGD) under normality assumption for model errors, also known as L2-Boosting. The CFGD is one of the most versatile tools to analyze data, because it scales well to high-dimensional data sets, allows for a very…
New algorithm finds best subset in high-dimensional data models.
problem Finding the best subset of predictors in high-dimensional data models.
method Proposes a scalable algorithm using a generalized information criterion.
result Directly proves consistency and oracle property for the best-subset selection.
Proposes a new algorithm for efficient online model selection of LLMs considering the increasing-then-converging trend.
problem Balancing cost and performance in choosing the best LLM among a diverse set of models.
method Introduces a time-increasing bandit algorithm (TI-UCB) that predicts model performance increases and balances exploration and exploitation.
result Achieves a logarithmic regret upper bound, indicating a fast convergence rate in model selection.
We consider the least-square linear regression problem with regularization by the ℓ1-norm, a problem usually referred to as the Lasso. In this paper, we first present a detailed asymptotic analysis of model consistency of the Lasso in low-dimensional settings. For various decays of the regularization parameter, w…
Study provides selective inference method for latent block models.
problem Challenges in constructing a test on a block structure selected by clustering algorithms.
method Developed a selective inference method for latent block models using squared residue minimization and simulated annealing.
result Proposed tests effectively handle selective bias in block structures compared to naive tests.
Though black-box predictors are state-of-the-art for many complex tasks, they often fail to properly quantify predictive uncertainty and may provide inappropriate predictions for unfamiliar data. Instead, we can learn more reliable models by letting them either output a prediction set or abstain when the uncertainty is…
The paper develops a test for independence of selected Gaussian variables after thresholding correlations.
problem Testing independence of selected Gaussian variables after thresholding correlations.
method The approach involves conditioning on the selection event and using a new characterization of the conditioning event in terms of canonical correlation.
result The proposed test has higher power than a naive approach that ignores selection effects.