A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
A framework models order book dynamics using point processes and mass transport.
Optimized variable orderings improve autoregressive model performance.
We develop a second-order model for limit order books in a single scaling regime.
We propose a parametric model for the simulation of limit order books. We assume that limit orders, market orders and cancellations are submitted according to point processes with state-dependent intensities. We propose new functional forms for these intensities, as well as new models for the placement of limit orders …
We study the analytical properties of a one-side order book model in which the flows of limit and market orders are Poisson processes and the distribution of lifetimes of cancelled orders is exponential. Although simplistic, the model provides an analytical tractability that should not be overlooked. Using basic result…
MDMs train to decode tokens in a random order, which affects performance; we show they can be optimized for a favorable order.
We propose an analytically tractable class of models for the dynamics of a limit order book, described through a stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) with multiplicative noise for the order book centered at the mid-price, along with stochastic dynamics for the mid-price which is consistent with the order flo…
Improved queue-reactive model considers order sizes for better market simulation.
We develop high-order approximations for the Heston model.
Exact partitioning of high-order planted models achieved through convex optimization.
A novel transformer model improves classification of partially ordered sequences.
Paper studies second order tail probabilities in risk models.
Modeling financial markets with a novel order flow model.
With higher-order neighborhood information of graph network, the accuracy of graph representation learning classification can be significantly improved. However, the current higher order graph convolutional network has a large number of parameters and high computational complexity. Therefore, we propose a Hybrid Lower …
Paper proposes a COP model for Algo trading using LQR.
Hierarchical Partial-Order Models for Ranking
A first-order model for a stock market assigns to each stock a return parameter and a variance parameter that depend only on the rank of the stock. A second-order model assigns these parameters based on both the rank and the name of the stock. First- and second-order models exhibit stability properties that make them a…
MarketGPT models financial time series with realistic order flow data.
Simulates financial market orders using anomalous diffusion models.
Statistical shape models enhance machine learning algorithms providing prior information about deformation. A Point Distribution Model (PDM) is a popular landmark-based statistical shape model for segmentation. It requires choosing a model order, which determines how much of the variation seen in the training data is a…
Optimal stock trading strategy with market orders and limit orders in a risky market.
The paper proposes a time-dependent Markov model for a limit order book.
Modeling high-frequency order book data with Hawkes-Markovian process.
A new autoregressive model learns the order of graph generation tasks.
Combines neural networks and probabilistic graphical models for efficient higher-order inference.
We briefly review data analysis of the Island order book, part of NASDAQ, which suggests a framework to which all limit order markets should comply. Using a simple exclusion particle model, we argue that short-time price over-diffusion in limit order markets is due to the non-equilibrium of order placement, cancellatio…
Researchers simulate and estimate a market model with a matching engine to understand its impact on order submission and management.
Review and compare model order reduction methods for process engineering.
Order book dynamics play an important role in both execution time and price formation of orders in an exchange market. In this study, we aim to model the limit order arrival rates in the vicinity of the best bid and the best ask price levels. We use limit order book data for Garanti Bank, which is one of the most trade…
New statistical models for predicting ranked preferences from partial orders.
Generative model simulates financial market price variations from order flow.
Predicts node sequences in graphs using multi-order network models.
We consider a simplified model of the continuous double auction where prices are integers varying from to with limit orders and market orders, but quantity per order limited to a single share. For this model, the order process is equivalent to two queues. We study the behaviour of the auction in the low…
A Hawkes process with state-dependent factor models order flows in limit order books.
Using agent-based modelling, empirical evidence and physical ideas, such as the energy function and the fact that the phase space must have twice the dimension of the configuration space, we argue that the stochastic differential equations which describe the motion of financial prices with respect to real world probabi…
We propose a new high-order alternating direction implicit (ADI) finite difference scheme for the solution of initial-boundary value problems of convection-diffusion type with mixed derivatives and non-constant coefficients, as they arise from stochastic volatility models in option pricing. Our approach combines differ…
We develop an empirical behavioural order-driven (EBOD) model, which consists of an order placement process and an order cancellation process. Price limit rules are introduced in the definition of relative price. The order placement process is determined by several empirical regularities: the long memory in order direc…
New method for pricing options in stochastic volatility models.
We present a sparse grid high-order alternating direction implicit (ADI) scheme for option pricing in stochastic volatility models. The scheme is second-order in time and fourth-order in space. Numerical experiments confirm the computational efficiency gains achieved by the sparse grid combination technique.
In a recent paper, Alfonsi, Fruth and Schied (AFS) propose a simple order book based model for the impact of large orders on stock prices. They use this model to derive optimal strategies for the execution of large orders. We apply these strategies to an agent-based stochastic order book model that was recently propose…
Model simulates correlation emergence in two coupled limit order books.
We propose a model for the dynamics of a limit order book in a liquid market where buy and sell orders are submitted at high frequency. We derive a functional central limit theorem for the joint dynamics of the bid and ask queues and show that, when the frequency of order arrivals is large, the intraday dynamics of the…
PARD generates graphs efficiently and invariantly to node ordering.
The paper analyzes fill probabilities in limit order books with varying price levels.
We propose a limit order book (LOB) model with dynamics that account for both the impact of the most recent order and the shape of the LOB. We present an empirical analysis showing that the type of the last order significantly alters the submission rate of immediate future orders, even after accounting for the state of…
We consider a simple model for the evolution of a limit order book in which limit orders of unit size arrive according to independent Poisson processes. The frequencies of buy limit orders below a given price level, respectively sell limit orders above a given level are described by fixed demand and supply functions. B…
In financial markets, the order flow, defined as the process assuming value one for buy market orders and minus one for sell market orders, displays a very slowly decaying autocorrelation function. Since orders impact prices, reconciling the persistence of the order flow with market efficiency is a subtle issue. A poss…
We present high-order compact schemes for a linear second-order parabolic partial differential equation (PDE) with mixed second-order derivative terms in two spatial dimensions. The schemes are applied to option pricing PDE for a family of stochastic volatility models. We use a non-uniform grid with more grid-points ar…