This work identifies and mitigates reasoning shortcuts in Neuro-Symbolic models.
problem Neuro-Symbolic models can achieve high accuracy by using unintended concepts.
method Characterized reasoning shortcuts as unintended optima of the learning objective and identified four key conditions.
result Reasoning shortcuts are difficult to mitigate, casting doubt on NeSy solutions' trustworthiness and interpretability.
Proposes a network-based strategy to manage financial market risks.
problem Managing extreme events in volatile financial markets.
method Extreme value theory, network model, maximum independent set, value at risk, expected shortfall.
result Developed portfolio strategies improve risk diversification.
Study aims to measure and mitigate biases in motor insurance pricing.
problem Ethical biases in motor insurance pricing that affect fairness and regulatory compliance.
method Statistical methodologies and data analysis to measure and mitigate biases.
result Developed tools to measure and mitigate ethical biases in motor insurance pricing.
This paper evaluates six strategies for mitigating imbalanced data: oversampling, undersampling, ensemble methods, specialized algorithms, class weight adjustments, and a no-mitigation approach referred to as the baseline. These strategies were tested on 58 real-life binary imbalanced datasets with imbalance rates rang…
Mathematical analysis shows annealing prevents mode collapse in Gaussian mixtures.
problem Mode collapse in variational inference for multimodal distributions.
method Analyzed annealing strategies for Gaussian mixtures, derived formulas, and tested on neural networks.
result Appropriately chosen annealing schemes can robustly prevent mode collapse.
Nowadays, advanced intrusion detection systems (IDSs) rely on a combination of anomaly detection and signature-based methods. An IDS gathers observations, analyzes behavioral patterns, and reports suspicious events for further investigation. A notorious issue anomaly detection systems (ADSs) and IDSs face is the possib…
Deep networks can handle noisy labels up to a certain threshold.
problem Deep learning's robustness to noisy labels.
method Applying classical statistical theory and universal consistency of DNNs.
result Certain DNNs can tolerate massive symmetric label noise up to the information-theoretic threshold.
Exactly solvable model reveals how data geometry influences ML bias.
problem How data geometry affects machine learning bias.
method High-dimensional data imbalance model, statistical physics tools.
result Exact predictions for fairness metrics and mitigation strategies.
This paper examines fairness and arbitrariness in bias mitigation methods.
problem Understanding how different bias mitigation strategies affect individual predictions and whether they introduce arbitrariness.
method FRAME framework to evaluate bias mitigation through five dimensions: Impact Size, Change Direction, Decision Rates, Affected Subpopulations, and Neglected Subpopulations.
result Significant differences in the behaviors of debiasing methods were exhibited, highlighting the limitations of current fairness criteria and the inherent arbitrariness in the debiasing process.
Optimal early liquidation strategy reduces financial losses during crises.
problem Substantial losses from simultaneous asset liquidation at depressed prices.
method Developed a worst-case approach for optimal early liquidation, considering uncertainty of other banks' decisions.
result Proposed robust optimal strategy maximizes liquid assets' value at clearing, even with uncertainty.
New methods reduce bias in synthetic data for machine learning.
problem Statistical bias in synthetic data generated for privacy.
method Re-weighting strategies using privatised likelihood ratios.
result Private importance weighting enhances synthetic data utility.
Investigates optimal PPI strategies in jump-diffusion models to mitigate downside risk.
problem Gap risk in PPI strategies due to jumps in asset price dynamics.
method Optimization problem with S-shaped utility functions, solved via martingale approach in a jump-diffusion framework.
result Determines optimal PPI strategy to maximize expected utility of terminal wealth.
Proposes a method to quantify and explain deep learning model uncertainties.
problem Deep learning model predictions are sensitive to perturbations and adversarial attacks.
method Gradient-based uncertainty attribution method to identify problematic regions and propose mitigation strategies.
result Proposed UA-Backprop method achieves competitive accuracy and efficiency compared to existing methods.
Study finds more flood risk strategies can improve outcomes in NYC.
problem Managing future flood risks with complex models.
method Used an intermediate complexity model to analyze flood risk strategies.
result More combinations of risk mitigation strategies expand the solution set and improve outcomes.
This paper proposes a cascading failure mitigation strategy based on Reinforcement Learning (RL) method. Firstly, the principles of RL are introduced. Then, the Multi-Stage Cascading Failure (MSCF) problem is presented and its challenges are investigated. The problem is then tackled by the RL based on DC-OPF (Optimal P…
Study on model collapse in regression models, proposing a mitigation strategy.
problem Model collapse in recursive training of regression models.
method Analytic formulae and adaptive regularization strategy.
result Modified scaling laws and mitigation strategy for model collapse.
Framework mitigates overfitting in quantitative trading strategies.
problem Overfitting during strategy transition from backtest to live trading.
method Three-stage protocol: IS, WFA, OOS; majority pass, purge gaps, cliff veto, etc.
result Demonstrates how to detect overfitting through performance decay and drawdown behavior.
New method detects and mitigates historical bias in data.
problem Detecting and explaining historical bias in data.
method Developed a sample bias criterion and algorithms to measure and counter sample bias.
result Derived bias score provides sample-level attribution and explanation of historical bias.
New method mitigates bias without sensitive data using causal graph and variational autoencoder.
problem Lack of fairness strategies when sensitive attributes are not collected.
method SRCVAE framework based on causal graph for inferring a proxy sensitive attribute.
result Significant improvements in fairness metrics over existing methods.
Omega method mitigates noise in stochastic game optimization.
problem Noise sensitivity and convergence issues in stochastic game optimization.
method Omega method incorporates EMA of historic gradients in its update rule.
result Omega method outperforms optimistic gradient method in stochastic games.
Favorit strategy helps farmers mitigate market price fluctuations.
problem Mitigating adverse impact of price fluctuation on farmers.
method Analyzes historical price data to select optimal market timing for crops.
result Developed a strategy to reduce volatility risk for Indian farmers.
Adversarial examples in machine learning for images are widely publicized and explored. Illustrations of misclassifications caused by slightly perturbed inputs are abundant and commonly known (e.g., a picture of panda imperceptibly perturbed to fool the classifier into incorrectly labeling it as a gibbon). Similar atta…
New algorithm tackles adversarial bandits with arbitrary strategies.
problem Adversarial bandit problem against arbitrary strategies.
method Adopted master-base framework using online mirror descent method (OMD). Proposed adaptive learning rates for OMD.
result Achieved improved regret bounds compared to previous methods.
The paper investigates overfitting in hyperparameter optimization.
problem Overfitting in hyperparameter optimization (overtuning).
method Formal definition, large-scale reanalysis of HPO benchmark data, analysis of factors affecting overtuning.
result Overtuning is more common than previously assumed, leading to worse generalization error in 10% of cases.
Excessive leverage, i.e. the abuse of debt financing, is considered one of the primary factors in the default of financial institutions. Systemic risk results from correlations between individual default probabilities that cannot be considered independent. Based on the structural framework by Merton (1974), we discuss …
Paper assesses risks of stablecoins, from lending to business-to-business.
problem Credit risks in decentralized stablecoin issuance.
method Examines mechanisms, risks, and mitigation strategies at each layer.
result Potential for scaling stablecoins while maintaining systemic health.
While harms of allocation have been increasingly studied as part of the subfield of algorithmic fairness, harms of representation have received considerably less attention. In this paper, we formalize two notions of stereotyping and show how they manifest in later allocative harms within the machine learning pipeline. …
Motivated by recent advances in the spectral theory of auto-covariance matrices, we are led to revisit a reformulation of Markowitz' mean-variance portfolio optimization approach in the time domain. In its simplest incarnation it applies to a single traded asset and allows to find an optimal trading strategy which - fo…
Non-parametric bootstrap improves robust portfolio and trading strategy optimization.
problem Mitigating uncertainty in expected returns and covariances in financial decision-making.
method Non-parametric bootstrap framework for robust optimization without distributional assumptions.
result Improved out-of-sample performance with smoother, more stable results.
The role of portfolio construction in the implementation of equity market neutral factors is often underestimated. Taking the classical momentum strategy as an example, we show that one can significantly improve the main strategy's features by properly taking care of this key step. More precisely, an optimized portfoli…
Study uses RL to hedge financial derivatives, showing robust strategies outperform non-robust ones.
problem Risk mitigation and gain-seeking in hedging path-dependent financial derivatives.
method Robust risk-aware reinforcement learning (RL) with policy gradient approach.
result Robust hedging strategies outperform non-robust ones under varying data generating processes.
Proposes a new factor to improve BAB strategies by recognizing bad-beta assets.
problem Investors often misprice assets based on beta, ignoring bad-beta.
method Double-sorting on beta and bad-beta to create a new factor.
result The Betting Against Bad Beta factor improves BAB strategies.
The paper proposes a new order slicing strategy to reduce market impact in large-volume trading.
problem Significant market impact and slippage in large-volume trading.
method Volatility-volume-based order slicing strategy using Exponential Weighted Moving Average and Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulations.
result Improves trade execution efficiency and reduces market impact.
Investigates sports betting strategies using modern portfolio theory and Kelly criterion.
problem Mitigating risk in sports betting investments.
method Modern portfolio theory and Kelly criterion, with modifications for practical risk control.
result Adaptive fractional Kelly method is suitable across various sports settings.
Paper benchmarks CF mitigation in federated time series forecasting.
problem Catastrophic forgetting in federated learning for time series forecasting.
method Comprehensive evaluation of CF mitigation strategies in federated time series forecasting.
result Introduction of a new benchmark for CF in time series federated learning.
Paper proposes a new framework for combining investment strategies without market-specific assumptions.
problem Lack of a distribution-free and consistent preference framework for decision-making in combining investment strategies.
method Introduces a novel framework for decision-making in combining strategies, free from market conditions and statistical assumptions.
result Proposed strategies outperform individual component strategies in long-term wealth accumulation, with small tradeoffs in Sharpe ratios.
Study reveals model misspecification significantly impacts neural SBI algorithms.
problem Impact of model misspecification on neural SBI algorithms.
method Comprehensive study of neural SBI algorithms under various forms of model misspecification.
result Misspecification profoundly deleterious to performance of neural SBI algorithms.
Membership inference attacks seek to infer the membership of individual training instances of a privately trained model. This paper presents a membership privacy analysis and evaluation system, called MPLens, with three unique contributions. First, through MPLens, we demonstrate how membership inference attack methods …
A new method combines MCMC results to avoid failures in parallel computing.
problem Parallel MCMC's sensitivity to subposterior sampling issues leads to failures.
method Parallel Active Inference (PAI) uses Gaussian Process (GP) surrogate modeling and active learning.
result PAI successfully combines MCMC results where previous methods fail.
The proliferation of fake news on social media has opened up new directions of research for timely identification and containment of fake news, and mitigation of its widespread impact on public opinion. While much of the earlier research was focused on identification of fake news based on its contents or by exploiting …
Accelerates optimal transport computation by 10x with spectral insights.
problem Exponential slow-down of convergence in Entropic Optimal Transport as regularization weakens.
method Spectral insights and spectral warm-start strategy to mitigate convergence issues.
result Faster convergence compared to the reference method Sinkhorn algorithm.
Study characterizes and mitigates imbalances in neurosymbolic learning.
problem Characterizing and mitigating class-specific risks in neural classifiers.
method Theoretical analysis and practical techniques including estimating marginal gold labels and mitigating imbalances at training and testing time.
result Learning imbalances can be greatly impacted by the symbolic component σ, unlike in supervised and weakly supervised learning.
A RL framework selects features to balance bias and accuracy dynamically.
problem Bias in automated feature selection when predictors are correlated.
method Multi-component reward function with policy gradient for dynamic regularization and bias mitigation.
result Model balances fairness and accuracy during training.
This study analyzes bias in face generation models and proposes mitigation techniques.
problem Bias in face generation models that may misrepresent certain social groups.
method Three approaches: generators, attribute modifier, and post-processing bias mitigators.
result Generators suffer from bias across all social groups, while post-processing mitigators show different feature concentration.
Unified definition of hallucinations in language models.
problem Persistent hallucinations despite mitigation efforts.
method Unified definition of hallucination as inaccurate world modeling.
result Unified framework distinguishes hallucinations from other errors.
Investment strategy for NYSE stocks minimizes market correlation.
problem Minimizing market correlation for steady returns.
method Combining momentum, fundamentals, and analyst recommendations; feature selection; backtesting various portfolio construction methods.
result Risk parity outperformed other methods, offering higher Sharpe ratio and lower beta.
Extreme classification problems are multiclass and multilabel classification problems where the number of outputs is so large that straightforward strategies are neither statistically nor computationally viable. One strategy for dealing with the computational burden is via a tree decomposition of the output space. Whil…
Algorithmic trading is well studied in traditional financial markets. However, it has received less attention in centralized cryptocurrency exchanges. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) attributed the 2010 flash crash, one of the most turbulent periods in the history of financial markets that saw the Dow…