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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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2875748601,147 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for missing outcome data

New methods for estimating treatment effects with missing data.

problem Missing outcome data complicates estimating treatment effects.
method Proposed two de-biased machine learning estimators (mDR-learner and mEP-learner) to address under-representation.
result Oracle efficiency of the proposed estimators under reasonable conditions.

Study tackles variable selection with missing covariates and outcomes using machine learning and imputation.

problem Missing data in both covariates and outcomes complicates variable selection in health studies.
method Exploits machine learning flexibility and bootstrap imputation for variable selection, comparing multiple methods.
result XGBoost and BART perform best in variable selection with bootstrap imputation, achieving high F1F_1 scores and low Type I errors.

TMLE improves causal effect estimation in missing data scenarios with various positivity violations.

problem Estimating causal effects in studies with missing data and positivity violations.
method Targeted Maximum Likelihood Estimation (TMLE) with various missing data methods.
result Complete cases with TMLE incorporating an outcome-missingness model exhibit lower bias and greater robustness against positivity violations.

Two methods use BART to model missing data in leaf photosynthetic trait data.

problem Handling missing data in multivariate outcomes with non-ignorable mechanisms.
method Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) for joint modeling of data and missingness indicators.
result Both methods effectively recover various missingness mechanisms and outperform existing approaches.

Study uses surrogate data to improve treatment effect estimation with scarce outcome data.

problem Limited outcome data hinders estimating treatment effects.
method Uses abundant surrogate data to estimate treatment effects without stringent assumptions.
result Improves precision of treatment effect estimation.

The paper proposes a method to estimate treatment effects using surrogates when primary outcomes are missing.

problem Missing primary outcomes in causal inference applications can lead to biased estimates.
method Doubly robust method that uses both labeled and unlabeled data, incorporating surrogates.
result The proposed estimator is asymptotically normal and has improved variance compared to methods using only labeled data.

Estimator improves prediction with missing data in multi-environment settings.

problem Handling missing data in multi-environment settings for robust prediction.
method Derive an estimator from invariance objective under missing outcomes.
result The estimator achieves lower prediction error despite using a biased imputation model.

Estimates missing distributions using nearest neighbors with kernel methods.

problem Missing data and unobserved confounding in multivariate distributions.
method Distributional matrix completion framework with kernel nearest neighbors.
result Consistent recovery of underlying distributions with missing data.

Two-stage TMLE reduces bias and improves efficiency in CRTs.

problem Differential outcome measurement and imbalance in baseline predictors in CRTs.
method Two-stage targeted minimum loss-based estimator (TMLE) to adjust for baseline covariates.
result Our approach nearly eliminates bias due to differential outcome measurement.

Kernel ridge regression for causal inference with missing data.

problem Estimating treatment effects with missing data in selected samples.
method Kernel ridge regression estimators for nonparametric dose response curves and semiparametric treatment effects.
result Uniform consistency and finite sample rates for continuous treatment, root-n consistency for discrete treatment.

Study examines impact of missing data on multi-armed bandit algorithms.

problem Impact of missing data on performance of multi-armed bandit algorithms.
method Extensive simulation study of two-armed bandit algorithms with binary outcomes, considering different probabilities of missingness.
result Impact on performance varies depending on the balance between exploration and exploitation.

Proposes a method to improve CATE estimation by imputing missing potential outcomes.

problem Statistical discrepancy between distinct treatment groups in CATE estimation.
method Contrastive learning approach to reliably impute missing potential outcomes for a subset of individuals.
result Improves the accuracy and robustness of CATE estimation models.

HPPCA improves imputation of longitudinal data with missing values.

problem Handling incomplete, high-dimensional longitudinal data with nested sources of variation and temporal dependency.
method Hierarchical probabilistic principal component analysis (HPPCA) with a two-level latent factor model and Gaussian process.
result HPPCA outperforms standard PPCA and multivariate functional PCA in imputation accuracy, even under heavy missingness and model misspecification.

ELMV uses ensemble learning to handle missing values in EHR data.

problem Significant missing values in EHR data cause bias and unreliable conclusions.
method ELMV constructs multiple subsets with lower missing rates and uses a support set for ensemble learning.
result ELMV outperforms conventional methods in critical feature identification and outcome prediction.

Missing responses is a missing data format in which outcomes are not always observed. In this work we develop kernel machines that can handle missing responses. First, we propose a kernel machine family that uses mainly the complete cases. For the quadratic loss, we then propose a family of doubly-robust kernel machine…

2018-06-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Imputation-free method learns tabular data with missing values using transformer.

problem Machine learning on tabular data with missing values often leads to unreliable outcomes due to synthetic imputation.
method Incremental attention learning (IFIAL) using transformer with attention masks.
result IFIAL outperforms state-of-the-art methods in 17 diverse tabular data sets.

The paper addresses estimating long-term treatment effects with monotone missing data.

problem Estimating long-term treatment effects with missing data, especially monotone missing.
method The paper introduces the sequential missingness assumption for identification and proposes three novel estimation methods: inverse probability weighting, sequential regression imputation, and SeqMSM. It also introduces a balancing-enhanced approach, BalanceNet, to improve estimation accuracy.
result The proposed methods, including BalanceNet, effectively estimate long-term treatment effects with monotone missing data.

Novel concentration inequalities are obtained for the missing mass, i.e. the total probability mass of the outcomes not observed in the sample. We derive distribution-free deviation bounds with sublinear exponents in deviation size for missing mass and improve the results of Berend and Kontorovich (2013) and Yari Saeed…

2015-03-20abs ↗pdf ↗

New approach uses autoregressive models to explore and quantify uncertainty in decision-making.

problem Quantifying and exploring uncertainty in online decision-making.
method Reformulates uncertainty as missing future outcomes, training autoregressive models for next-outcome prediction.
result Establishes a reduction from online learning to offline next-outcome prediction, controlling Bayesian regret by sequence prediction loss.

Method tackles missing covariates in large-scale datasets.

problem Cross-population missing data problem in large-scale datasets.
method Augmented transfer regression learning method combining importance-weighted estimating equations and imputation terms.
result Estimator is n1/2n^{1/2}-consistent and asymptotically normal, attaining semiparametric efficiency bound under correct specification.

Estimates treatment effects in time series data with always-missing controls.

problem Lack of control group in time series data, especially during specific events.
method Recover control group in event period, account for confounders and temporal dependencies.
result Robust estimation of control group's potential outcome and accurate predicted holiday effect.

Bayesian approach models nonignorable missing data using copulas and marginal quantiles.

problem Nonignorable missing data in lead exposure and test score analysis.
method Gaussian copula model with auxiliary marginal quantiles for missingness indicators and study variables.
result Efficient MCMC algorithm estimates copula correlation and marginal distributions consistently.

BSFP method reveals latent patterns in multi-omic data for predicting lung function in HIV-associated OLD.

problem Limited understanding of multi-omic molecular phenomena and clinical outcomes in obstructive lung disease.
method Bayesian Simultaneous Factorization and Prediction (BSFP) method for multi-omic data, accommodating imputation and full posterior inference.
result BSFP reveals distinct clusters of patients with OLD and multi-omic patterns related to lung function decline.

FOCUS method forecasts counterfactuals in panel data with time series dynamics.

problem Forecasting unobserved potential outcomes in causal inference with missing entries and latent factors.
method FOCUS extends matrix completion methods by leveraging time series dynamics of latent factors.
result FOCUS method outperforms existing benchmarks in predicting future counterfactuals.

New framework predicts 5-year glucose values with missing data.

problem Significant missing data in longitudinal glucose studies.
method Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Spaces (RKHS) with missing responses analysis.
result Identifies new factors affecting long-term glucose evolution.

Approach collects missing outcomes to improve fairness in classification.

problem Lack of true outcomes for incorrectly classified samples leads to biased classifiers.
method Exploration-based data collection to ensure all subpopulations are represented and fairness properties are encoded.
result Trained classifier converges to a fair classifier with bounded false positives.

Modern bio-technologies have produced a vast amount of high-throughput data with the number of predictors far greater than the sample size. In order to identify more novel biomarkers and understand biological mechanisms, it is vital to detect signals weakly associated with outcomes among ultrahigh-dimensional predictor…

2018-05-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops methods to analyze feature-outcome associations in subpopulations.

problem Challenges in understanding feature-outcome associations in high-dimensional data.
method Geometric decomposition framework using gradient flow and co-monotonicity decomposition.
result Identifies context-dependent patterns and improves statistical power and interpretability.

New estimator handles covariate shift with closed-form solution and super-efficiency.

problem Handling covariate shift in missing data and causal inference problems.
method Minimum Wasserstein distance estimation framework.
result Closed-form expression and super-efficiency relative to semiparametric efficient estimator.