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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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4997146194 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for misleading output

Feature selection from wide datasets leads to misleading results.

problem Feature selection in wide datasets with few samples can lead to misleading results.
method Derived sample size requirement for declaring features different, used real datasets to illustrate issues.
result Feature selection from very wide datasets may lead to misleading results.

T-BFA targets and misleads specific DNN inputs to a chosen output.

problem Targeted attack on DNN weight parameters to hijack function.
method Identifies critical weight bits, ranks them by class dependence, and flips them to mislead inputs.
result Successfully misclassifies images from 'Hen' to 'Goose' class with 100% success rate, maintaining 59.35% validation accuracy.

MALCOM generates fake comments to fool fake news detectors.

problem Adversaries can manipulate fake news detection models with malicious comments.
method Proposes a novel threat model and develops an adversarial comment generation framework (MALCOM).
result MALCOM can fool fake news detectors 90-94% of the time, depending on the model and dataset.

New method tackles label noise on imbalanced datasets by considering class-specific uncertainty.

problem Label noise and class imbalance in imbalanced datasets.
method Epistemic and aleatoric uncertainty-aware class-specific noise modeling.
result Proposed ULC framework improves performance on imbalanced datasets.

This research analyzes how input and output layers affect deep neural networks' resistance to adversarial attacks.

problem The vulnerability of deep neural networks to adversarial inputs, especially non-gradient based attacks.
method Analysis of three different fully connected dense network classes with manipulated input and output layers.
result Manipulating input and output layers can significantly enhance a deep neural network's robustness against adversarial attacks.

In this paper, we analyze efficacy of the fast gradient sign method (FGSM) and the Carlini-Wagner's L2 (CW-L2) attack. We prove that, within a certain regime, the untargeted FGSM can fool any convolutional neural nets (CNNs) with ReLU activation; the targeted FGSM can mislead any CNNs with ReLU activation to classify a…

2018-11-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Topic models are Bayesian models that are frequently used to capture the latent structure of certain corpora of documents or images. Each data element in such a corpus (for instance each item in a collection of scientific articles) is regarded as a convex combination of a small number of vectors corresponding to `topic…

2018-02-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have shown huge superiority over humans in image recognition, speech processing, autonomous vehicles and medical diagnosis. However, recent studies indicate that DNNs are vulnerable to adversarial examples (AEs), which are designed by attackers to fool deep learning models. Different from re…

2018-09-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Method removes misleading data to improve ML model accuracy.

problem Unhealthy fear of missing out on data leads to model instability and poor performance.
method Bayesian sequential selection method that identifies and selects critical information.
result Improves sample-wise error convergence and eliminates model instabilities.

We analyse an issue when comparing survival curves between two subgroups. We show that there is a direct relationship between estimates of subgroups' survival at a time point and positive and negative predictive values in the binary classification settings. Our findings present a case where current methods of comparing…

2016-11-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Machine learning confound removal biases results, leading to misleading predictions.

problem Common confound removal methods in machine learning lead to misleading predictions.
method Featurewise removal of confound variance by linear regression before applying ML.
result This common deconfounding approach can leak information, amplifying null or moderate effects.

Social networks offer a ready channel for fake and misleading news to spread and exert influence. This paper examines the performance of different reputation algorithms when applied to a large and statistically significant portion of the news that are spread via Twitter. Our main result is that simple crowdsourcing-bas…

2019-02-10abs ↗pdf ↗

DVERGE diversifies adversarial vulnerabilities to enhance robust ensemble models.

problem Diverse adversarial vulnerabilities for robust ensemble models.
method Isolates and diversifies adversarial vulnerabilities through distillation and training.
result Achieves higher robustness against transfer attacks compared to previous methods.

Saliency methods have emerged as a popular tool to highlight features in an input deemed relevant for the prediction of a learned model. Several saliency methods have been proposed, often guided by visual appeal on image data. In this work, we propose an actionable methodology to evaluate what kinds of explanations a g…

2018-10-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Adversarial examples are intentionally perturbed images that mislead classifiers. These images can, however, be easily detected using denoising algorithms, when high-frequency spatial perturbations are used, or can be noticed by humans, when perturbations are large. In this paper, we propose EdgeFool, an adversarial im…

2019-10-27abs ↗pdf ↗

CROP verifies clean prefixes in reasoning traces, improving downstream repair accuracy.

problem Uncertainty in reasoning traces prevents full certification of entire responses.
method CROP selects a calibrated threshold to certify the longest prefix with low risk proxies.
result CROP improves downstream repair accuracy by preserving valid reasoning and discarding misleading suffixes.

Popular deep learning uncertainty estimation methods often mislead on out-of-distribution data.

problem Misleading uncertainty estimates on out-of-distribution data.
method Analysis of Gaussian process, Bayesian neural networks, and Monte Carlo dropout methods.
result BNNs and MCDropout do not always provide high uncertainty estimates on out-of-distribution samples.

We study empirical covariance matrices in finance. Due to the limited amount of available input information, these objects incorporate a huge amount of noise, so their naive use in optimization procedures, such as portfolio selection, may be misleading. In this paper we investigate a recently introduced filtering proce…

2005-09-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Improves visualization of high-dimensional data by correcting misleading artifacts in neighbor embedding methods.

problem Misleading visual artifacts in t-SNE and UMAP due to lack of data-independent manifold learning interpretations.
method LOO-map framework that extends embedding maps to the entire input space, identifying and correcting map discontinuities.
result Developed point-wise diagnostic scores to detect unreliable embedding points and improve hyperparameter selection.

We investigate task clustering for deep-learning based multi-task and few-shot learning in a many-task setting. We propose a new method to measure task similarities with cross-task transfer performance matrix for the deep learning scenario. Although this matrix provides us critical information regarding similarity betw…

2017-08-26abs ↗pdf ↗

New research shows CI in few-shot learning is misleading due to sampling with replacement.

problem Misleading confidence intervals in few-shot learning due to sampling with replacement.
method Comparative analysis of CIs computed with and without replacement.
result Significant underestimation of CI by the predominant method.

Paper proposes forecast-necessity testing for accurate causal interpretation in nonlinear time-series models.

problem Misinterpretation of causal scores from nonlinear models as regression coefficients.
method Systematic edge ablation and forecast comparison to evaluate causal necessity.
result Causal relationships with similar scores can differ in their necessity for accurate prediction.

XAI methods often misattribute importance to suppressor variables, limiting their reliability.

problem XAI methods lack theoretical and empirical evidence for the correctness of their explanations.
method Analytical expressions for XAI methods on a simple binary classification problem.
result XAI methods will often attribute non-zero importance to non-class-related suppressor features.

Backdoor attacks make models predict a specific class near triggers, smoothing their decision function.

problem Understanding and mitigating backdoor attacks on deep neural networks.
method Defined a measure to quantify backdoor smoothing and detected other smoothing patterns.
result Backdoor attacks induce a smoother decision function around triggered samples.

Proposes an active RBI framework using Rényi information measures for more informed decision-making.

problem Optimal latent variable estimates in real-time settings with streaming noisy observations.
method Unified inference and query selection steps through Rényi entropy and α-divergence; new objective called Momentum for exploration.
result Analytically demonstrates superior performance compared to conventional methods like mutual information.

Proposes ICE-based metric for better understanding interactions in black-box models.

problem Misleading global sensitivity metrics in black-box models due to interaction effects.
method Individual Conditional Expectation (ICE) curves to compute feature importance and interactions.
result ICE-based metric provides richer insights into feature importance and interactions.

The increasing occurrence of ordinal data, mainly sociodemographic, led to a renewed research interest in ordinal regression, i.e. the prediction of ordered classes. Besides model accuracy, the interpretation of these models itself is of high relevance, and existing approaches therefore enforce e.g. model sparsity. For…

2019-02-20abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper uses Gaussian processes to forecast short-term stock price volatility.

problem Inaccurate short-term volatility forecasts for high-frequency trades.
method Combines numerical and probabilistic models, specifically Gaussian Processes (GPs), to correct and forecast stock price data.
result Effective short-term volatility forecasts for high-frequency trades using Gaussian Processes.

Adversarial examples are delicately perturbed inputs, which aim to mislead machine learning models towards incorrect outputs. While most of the existing work focuses on generating adversarial perturbations in multi-class classification problems, many real-world applications fall into the multi-label setting in which on…

2019-01-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Measures faithfulness of LLM explanations to reveal hidden biases and misleading claims.

problem LLM explanations can misrepresent the model's reasoning process, leading to over-trust and misuse.
method Defines faithfulness in terms of concept influence and uses counterfactuals and Bayesian models to estimate it.
result Can quantify and discover interpretable patterns of unfaithfulness in LLM explanations.

Task loss matching misrepresents similarity between neural network layers.

problem Measuring similarity between neural network layers using task loss matching.
method Task loss matching vs. direct matching; comparison with CCA and CKA.
result Direct matching provides a better similarity index than task loss matching.