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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for microstructure model

Enhances topology optimization with multiclass microstructures using latent variable Gaussian process.

problem Lack of an inherent ordering or distance measure between different classes of microstructures.
method Extended latent-variable Gaussian process (LVGP) models to multi-response LVGP (MR-LVGP) models for metamaterials.
result Improved performance through consistent load-transfer paths for micro- and macro-structures.

A VAE model predicts material properties and microstructures.

problem Building forward and inverse structure-property linkages in materials science.
method Combines VAE with regression, using a two-level prior and multi-modal Gaussian mixture.
result The model achieves accurate forward and inverse predictions of material properties and microstructures.

Establishes a microstructural foundation for a rough log-normal volatility model.

problem Developing a robust model for financial volatility under microstructural effects.
method Introduced a sequence of order-driven financial market models with Poisson process arrivals and analyzed their convergence to a log-normal rough volatility model.
result Weak convergence of price-volatility process to a log-normal rough volatility model with established weak error rates.

Paper clusters microstructure measures for better stock return prediction.

problem Finding the best microstructure measures for predicting stock returns.
method Clustering model of market microstructure features studied in 10-second time-frequency.
result Identifies the most effective microstructure measures for accurate stock return prediction.

Two models incorporate market microstructure noise into asset pricing and option valuation.

problem Effect of market microstructure noise on asset pricing and option valuation.
method Developed two models: a continuous-time Black-Scholes-Merton model and a discrete binomial tree model.
result Extracted coefficients to quantify noise impact on volatility and drift.

Paper establishes MLE consistency for market microstructure models.

problem Estimating parameters in partially observed diffusion models.
method Tractable sufficient condition for MLE consistency based on stationary distribution.
result Maximum likelihood estimators are consistent for market microstructure parameters.

Optimizes natural frequencies of cellular composites with various microstructures.

problem Designing cellular composites with diverse microstructures for maximizing natural frequencies.
method Data-driven topology optimization with a latent-variable Gaussian process model.
result Cellular designs with multiclass microstructures achieve higher natural frequencies.

Cryptocurrency patterns stable across market caps, validated by microstructure theory.

problem Stable patterns in cryptocurrency microstructure across different market caps.
method Unified CatBoost modeling pipeline with time-series cross validation, validated by backtests.
result Feature rankings and partial effects are stable across assets despite heterogeneous liquidity and volatility.

TradeFM learns market microstructure from trade events, improving financial model accuracy.

problem Lack of generalizable models for market microstructure.
method Generative Transformer model trained on billions of trade events, using scale-invariant features and universal tokenization.
result TradeFM generates rollouts that match key stylized facts of financial returns and outperforms existing models.

A framework uses deep generative modeling to design metamaterials efficiently.

problem Designing metamaterials with complex properties is challenging due to high-dimensional design space and high computational cost.
method A variational autoencoder (VAE) and a regressor are trained on a large database to map microstructures to a latent space, enabling interpolation and manipulation of microstructures.
result The latent space provides a distance metric for shape similarity and encoding meaningful patterns of variation, enabling efficient design of microstructures and multiscale systems.

Enhances binomial model with machine learning for microstructure effects.

problem Traditional binomial models ignore market microstructure effects like bid-ask spreads.
method Augments binomial tree with Random Forest classifiers trained on market data.
result Achieves 88.25% AUC in forecasting price movements using real-world data.

Framework automates microstructure image analysis for materials science.

problem Complex microstructures in materials require automated analysis.
method Combines unsupervised and supervised learning for classification and segmentation.
result Framework can automatically segment and classify micrographs.

This paper presents a new interacting particle system and uses it as a spin model for financial market microstructure. The asymptotic analysis of this stochastic process exhibits a lower bound to the contemporaneous measurement of price and trading volume under the invariant measure in the `frozen' phase of the supercr…

2004-09-06abs ↗pdf ↗

The study finds a liquidity premium in stock returns, but only after correcting for microstructure noise.

problem The positive association between expected idiosyncratic volatility and expected stock returns.
method Developed a novel method to eliminate microstructure influences from stock returns and estimate idiosyncratic volatility.
result The liquidity premium in value-weighted portfolios is driven by liquidity in the prior month after correcting for microstructure noise.

Unified framework for forward and inverse PDE problems in multiphase media.

problem Non-differentiable inverse problems in discrete-valued material fields.
method GenPANIS: Latent-variable generative framework preserving discrete microstructures.
result Unified bidirectional inference with minimal labeled pairs and physics-aware decoder.

Study confirms rough volatility in financial data, independent of microstructure noise.

problem Characterizing volatility in financial markets, especially rough volatility.
method Used range-based volatility estimators to confirm findings from fractional behavior.
result Log-volatility behaves like fractional Brownian motion with an even lower Hurst exponent.

Method detects effects of synthesis parameters on plutonium oxide microstructure.

problem Detecting effects of synthesis parameters on material microstructure.
method Copula theory, high dimensional distribution distances, and permutational statistics.
result Effects of strike order and oxalic acid feed on plutonium oxide microstructure detected.

The paper models market dynamics using a limit order book system to explain slippage and inefficiency.

problem Inefficiency in matching markets due to structural liquidity constraints and slippage.
method Introduces a market microstructure framework with a latent preference state matrix and a dynamic discrete choice execution model.
result Persistent slippage and regional invariance of preference orderings are explained by liquidity thresholds.

A new model captures irregularly spaced high-frequency prices and their volatility.

problem Modeling high-frequency prices with irregular spacing and market noise.
method Observation-driven model using Skellam distribution with time-varying volatility and smoothing splines.
result The model provides a good fit to IBM stock data and measures daily realized volatility.

Paper optimizes material microstructures with limited data using probabilistic methods.

problem Optimizing material properties with uncertain process-structure-property links.
method Flexible probabilistic formulation, data-driven surrogate, active learning.
result Significant improvement in accuracy with small training data.

We show that typical behaviors of market participants at the high frequency scale generate leverage effect and rough volatility. To do so, we build a simple microscopic model for the price of an asset based on Hawkes processes. We encode in this model some of the main features of market microstructure in the context of…

2016-09-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Study models market volatility with persistent and temporary impacts.

problem Microstructure of rough volatility models driven by Poisson measures.
method Existence and uniqueness of solutions for stochastic path-dependent Volterra equations.
result Volatility process converges to fractional Heston model with spikes.

The paper reviews recent statistical methods for financial markets, focusing on jumps, volatility, and microstructure noise.

problem Analyzing financial market data with statistical models.
method Review and development of statistical methods for financial markets, including jump tests, rough volatility, and microstructure noise.
result Established a minimax lower bound for volatility recovery and proposed new statistical methods for financial market analysis.

Method detects jumps in high-frequency order prices using local minima.

problem Detecting jumps in high-frequency order prices with noisy data.
method Developed methods to estimate, locate and test for jumps using local minima of best ask quotes.
result Consistently estimated jump sizes and times, established asymptotic properties of tests, and demonstrated faster convergence rates.

We investigate the relative information efficiency of financial markets by measuring the entropy of the time series of high frequency data. Our tool to measure efficiency is the Shannon entropy, applied to 2-symbol and 3-symbol discretisations of the data. Analysing 1-minute and 5-minute price time series of 55 Exchang…

2016-09-14abs ↗pdf ↗

We simulate a series of daily returns from intraday price movements initiated by microstructure elements. Significant evidence is found that daily returns and daily return volatility exhibit first order autocorrelation, but trading volume and daily return volatility are not correlated, while intraday volatility is. We …

2000-11-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Study applies market microstructure to Cuban informal currency market, finding market makers improve liquidity.

problem Understanding dynamics of informal currency markets.
method Modeling bid/ask intentions using Limit Order Book, applying Avellaneda-Stoikov model with Market Maker.
result Market Maker improves market quality and bid/ask dynamics.

Develops a validated trading framework for market microstructure signals.

problem Overfitting and lookahead bias in algorithmic trading.
method Interpretable hypothesis-driven signal generation, reinforcement learning, strict out-of-sample testing.
result Modest annualized returns with strong downside protection and market-neutral characteristics.

In this short paper we define the wealth process in a spin model for market microstructure, for individual agents and in aggregate. The agents in our model try to balance their desire to belong to the local majority (herding behavior), defined over random network neighborhoods, and the occasional advantage of belonging…

2005-02-07abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper proves the consistency and efficiency of a volatility estimator in noisy data.

problem Proving the consistency and efficiency of a volatility estimator in the presence of microstructure noise.
method Proves asymptotic normality using Central Limit Theorem for Fourier spot volatility estimator.
result Proves consistency and asymptotic efficiency of the Fourier spot volatility estimator in noisy data.

The purpose of this paper is to extend the Green-Naghdi-Rivlin balance of energy method to continua with microstructure. The key idea is to replace the group of Galilean transformations with the group of diffeomorphisms of the ambient space. A key advantage is that one obtains in a natural way all the needed balance la…

2008-11-13abs ↗pdf ↗