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16 results for microfoundations

This study models AI traders' impact on financial markets using a multi-agent framework.

problem Lack of a comprehensive model to assess AI traders' effects on market price formation and volatility.
method Developed a multi-agent market model with microfoundations of the GARCH model.
result Validated the model through simulations and analyzed AI traders' impact.

A Kyle-inspired model with adaptive agents explains excess volatility and volatility clustering.

problem Reconciling asymmetrically informed traders with adaptive market hypothesis.
method Proposes a model with adaptive agents using inductive reasoning, reconciling Kyle model with Adaptive Market Hypothesis.
result Microfoundations for GARCH models and volatility clustering explained.

We provide a microfoundation for linear price impact models in a stationary market.

problem Deriving linear price impact models in a stationary market with asymmetric information.
method Deriving linear price impact models as the equilibrium of an agent-based system.
result The model shows compatibility with universal price diffusion at small times and non-universal mean-reversion at larger times.

In this paper we sketch some reflections on the pitfalls and inconsistencies of the research program - currently dominant among the profession - aimed at providing microfoundations to macroeconomics along a Walrasian perspective. We argue that such a methodological approach constitutes an unsatisfactory answer to a wel…

2006-08-14abs ↗pdf ↗

New model of vague knowledge without strict partitions or transitivity.

problem Standard economic models of information fail to capture real-world vague knowledge.
method Relaxing assumptions of transitivity and partition structure to formalize vague knowledge.
result Vague knowledge can distinguish some states but not partition the state space.

The paper explores how AI trading agents' similar information representation can cause financial market instability.

problem Systemic instability in AI-dominated financial markets due to similar information representation.
method Structural multi-agent market model with two-layer decision architecture for AI agents.
result Representation homogeneity can lead to systemic instability in financial markets.

Macroscopic price evolution models are commonly used for investment strategies. There are first promising achievements in defining microscopic agent based models for the same purpose. Microscopic models allow a deeper understanding of mechanisms in the market than the purely phenomenological macroscopic models, and thu…

2011-03-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Educational game on crypto investment helps students grasp macroeconomics.

problem Weak connections between microeconomic decision-making and macroeconomic concepts in classroom games.
method Design and study of an educational game on cryptocurrency investment.
result Engages students in understanding macroeconomics through incentivized individual investment decisions.

Geometric theory explains substitutability in market outcomes based on production constraints.

problem Understanding substitutability in markets with structured feasible products.
method Modeling the set of feasible products as a compact Riemannian manifold to study intrinsic geometry and its effects on substitutability.
result Intrinsic geometry of the feasible set governs substitutability and market outcomes, with curvature controlling technological substitution elasticity.

Proposes a method to infer the distributional impacts of predictive models on stakeholders.

problem The influence of predictive models on target variable distribution, leading to performative prediction.
method Modeling agents' responses as a cost-adjusted utility maximization problem and using optimal transport to align pre- and post-model distributions.
result Provides estimates for the cost associated with these responses and demonstrates the quality of these estimates.

This paper suggests that business cycles may be a manifestation of coupled real economy and stock market dynamics and describes a mechanism that can generate economic fluctuations consistent with observed business cycles. To this end, we seek to incorporate into the macroeconomic framework a dynamic stock market model …

2018-03-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Two models predict similar high-frequency price dynamics but differ in low-frequency impact strength.

problem Understanding the relationship between market prices and fundamental information.
method Comparing a microfounded linear model with a data-driven model at high and low frequencies.
result Both models predict similar high-frequency price dynamics but differ in low-frequency impact strength.