DFNNs predict non-Euclidean responses from Euclidean predictors.
problem Regression with non-Euclidean responses.
method Deep Fréchet neural networks (DFNNs) approximating conditional Fréchet means.
result DFNNs consistently outperform existing methods in empirical studies.
Paper discusses binary classification with metric space predictors, privacy constraints, and convergence rates.
problem Binary classification with metric space predictors under privacy constraints.
method Derives convergence rates for Proto-NN classifier with and without privacy constraints.
result Proto-NN classifier is universally consistent under privacy constraints.
New method for reducing dimensions of distributional data.
problem Nonlinear sufficient dimension reduction for distribution-on-distribution regression.
method Building universal kernels on metric spaces to characterize conditional independence.
result Method outperforms competing methods in synthetic and real data applications.
DFR models dynamic distributional data with weighted Fréchet means.
problem Regression of distribution-valued responses over time.
method Dynamic Fréchet Regression (DFR) with index-aware weighting and feature selection.
result Improved predictive accuracy and feature recovery over existing methods.
ID-ExpO fine-tunes neural networks for more faithful explanations.
problem Improving the faithfulness of explanations for complex machine learning models.
method Differentiable insertion/deletion metric-aware regularizers for optimization.
result Fine-tuned predictors produce more faithful explanations.
Characterizes sample complexity for outcome indistinguishability in machine learning.
problem Outcome indistinguishability in machine learning, focusing on distinguishers and predictors.
method Sample complexity characterized by metric entropy of predictor and distinguisher classes, using dual Minkowski norms.
result Equivalence and tightness of sample complexity characterizations in distribution-specific and distribution-free settings.
Novel framework for uncertainty quantification in metric spaces.
problem Uncertainty quantification in regression models with metric responses.
method Developed algorithms for large datasets, agnostic to predictive models, with asymptotic and non-asymptotic guarantees.
result Asymptotic and non-asymptotic guarantees for special cases, demonstrated in clinical applications.
Bayesian model averaging under predictor redundancy
problem Reporting Bayesian model averaging posterior without changing the Bayesian target
method Using hard or soft regions of support space
result Region reports often give shorter and clearer summaries while preserving the main posterior information
We study the model selection problem in conditional average treatment effect (CATE) prediction. Unlike previous works on this topic, we focus on preserving the rank order of the performance of candidate CATE predictors to enable accurate and stable model selection. To this end, we analyze the model performance ranking …
WeakNAS uses a set of weaker predictors to find top architectures with fewer samples.
problem Finding the best neural architecture with heavy computation costs.
method Proposes a paradigm shift from fitting the whole architecture space to progressively fitting a search path through a set of weaker predictors.
result WeakNAS produces coarse-to-fine iteration to gradually refine the ranking of sampling space, requiring fewer samples to find top-performance architectures.
Unified framework certifies predictor performance under distribution shift.
problem Certifying predictor performance under distribution shift.
method Unified framework with explicit inequalities, sound verification, and identifiable structure.
result Explicit upper bound on excess risk under shift.
The paper develops predictors for functional data on manifolds.
problem Functional data prediction on time-varying manifolds.
method Least-squares local linear Fréchet curve predictor and weighted Fréchet mean approach.
result Asymptotical optimality of the proposed predictors.
Random forests are a statistical learning method widely used in many areas of scientific research because of its ability to learn complex relationships between input and output variables and also its capacity to handle high-dimensional data. However, current random forest approaches are not flexible enough to handle he…
Paper introduces new importance metrics for machine learning models, linking them to CATE.
problem Interpreting black-box models' importance metrics due to data dependence and non-parametric nature.
method Introduces MVIM and CVIM, proposing permutation-based estimation and bias-variance decomposition.
result MVIM and CVIM have a quadratic relationship with CATE, addressing bias in correlated predictors.
BRP-NAS uses GCNs to predict neural network performance for more efficient NAS.
problem Inaccurate performance metrics in NAS lead to suboptimal model designs.
method Proposes BRP-NAS, a hardware-aware NAS using GCNs for accurate performance prediction.
result BRP-NAS outperforms previous methods on NAS-Bench-101 and 201, improving model sample efficiency.
LESS combines local predictors for subsets to learn from heterogeneous input-output pairs.
problem Learning from heterogeneous input-output pairs in populations with varied behavior.
method LESS algorithm: generates subsets, trains local predictors, combines them.
result LESS is highly competitive compared to state-of-the-art methods.
Proposes a new method to unlearn from specific data points in conformal predictors.
problem Challenges of existing unlearning methods in conformal predictors.
method Formalizes conformal unlearning, introduces practical metrics, and presents an optimization algorithm.
result Demonstrates effective removal of targeted information while preserving utility.
GATES improves neural architecture search by modeling operations as information transformation.
problem Improving predictor-based neural architecture search efficiency.
method GATES models operations as information transformation, covering both node and edge cell search spaces.
result GATES boosts sample efficiency and improves predictor performance.
Operations is a key challenge in the domain of machine learning pipeline deployments involving monitoring and management of real-time prediction quality. Typically, metrics like accuracy, RMSE etc., are used to track the performance of models in deployment. However, these metrics cannot be calculated in production due …
Defines a new metric to measure importance of predictors in complex machine learning models.
problem Measuring importance of predictors in black box machine learning models.
method Introduces a new metric, GVIM, based on true conditional expectation functions and causal interpretation.
result The GVIM can be represented as a function of Conditional Average Treatment Effect (CATE), providing a causal interpretation.
This work improves structured prediction by learning the balance between signal and random noise.
problem Structured prediction with random perturbations.
method Learning the variance of randomized structured predictors to balance signal and noise.
result Learning the balance improves structured prediction effectiveness.
Study evaluates 31 performance predictors in NAS, recommending best for different settings.
problem Understanding and comparing different performance prediction techniques in NAS.
method Analysis of 31 techniques, testing correlation and rank-based measures, speed-up potential.
result Certain predictor families can be combined for better predictive power.
This paper explores the impact of metric choice on Fréchet regression.
problem Choosing the right metric for Fréchet regression in complex data.
method Review and extensive numerical studies of existing dimension reduction methods.
result Different metrics significantly affect the estimation of central and central mean space.
Improves reward bounds for prediction with expert advice using abstention.
problem Prediction with expert advice under bandit feedback with abstention.
method CBA algorithm exploiting abstention to improve reward bounds.
result Achieved significant improvement in reward bounds for general confidence-rated predictors.
Predict accuracy of neural architectures using non-neural models.
problem Improving efficiency and effectiveness of neural architecture search.
method Used gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT) for accuracy prediction and pruned the search space based on features learned from GBDT.
result GBDT-based predictor achieves comparable or better accuracy than neural network-based predictors and is 22x more sample efficient on NASBench-101.
New loss function reduces outage probability in ML-assisted resource allocation.
problem Minimizing outage probability in ML-assisted resource allocation systems.
method Developed a novel loss function and trained an ML model to address the outage probability challenge.
result Exact and asymptotic expressions for the system's outage probability were established.
This paper presents Sparse Partitioning, a Bayesian method for identifying predictors that either individually or in combination with others affect a response variable. The method is designed for regression problems involving binary or tertiary predictors and allows the number of predictors to exceed the size of the sa…
New method uses quotient predictor space for better PAC-Bayes bounds, reducing KL divergence and improving model performance.
problem Overparameterized models with continuous symmetries can lead to biased predictions.
method Perform PAC-Bayesian analysis on quotient predictor space, constructing a canonical prior that reflects model's implicit bias.
result The new prior reduces KL divergence and improves model performance in experiments.
A graph VAE framework optimizes neural architectures in a continuous space.
problem Discovering efficient neural architectures in a discrete space.
method Graph VAE framework with VAE and GNN components, joint learning of predictors and decoders.
result The framework discovers powerful neural architectures with both excellent performance and high computational efficiency.
Optimal trading strategy with predictor and costs, derived equations and shape.
problem Optimal trading strategy in presence of price predictor, costs, and risk control.
method Path-integral method to derive equations for band edges, solved explicitly for Ornstein-Uhlenbeck predictor.
result Explicit equations and shape of the optimal band strategy derived and analyzed.
NPENAS improves neural architecture search efficiency and accuracy.
problem Efficient and accurate neural architecture search (NAS) for minimizing search costs.
method Proposes NPENAS, a neural predictor guided evolutionary algorithm that enhances exploration ability of evolutionary algorithms.
result NPENAS-BO and NPENAS-NP outperform existing NAS algorithms on NASBench-201, NASBench-101, and DARTS.
Develops Hamiltonian Score Matching and Generative Flows for machine learning.
problem Estimating score functions and designing generative models.
method Introduces Hamiltonian velocity predictors (HVPs) for score matching and generative flows.
result Hamiltonian Generative Flows (HGFs) rival leading generative modeling techniques.
GIDS reduces high-dimensional response and predictor spaces, improving interpretability and computational efficiency.
problem Challenges in modeling interactions among high-dimensional multimodal data.
method Graph Independence Dual Screening (GIDS) framework that reduces both response and predictor dimensions.
result GIDS reduces feature space to 9,000 CpGs and 2,000 transcripts, revealing coordinated regulatory mechanisms.
Efficiency criteria improve conformal predictors' performance.
problem Improving the performance of conformal predictors.
method Learning classifiers by minimizing observed fuzziness as a training objective function.
result Conformal predictors trained by minimizing observed fuzziness perform better than traditional ones.
Post-processing predictors reduces calibration errors for decision-making.
problem Predictors with low calibration error for machine learning may have high error for decision-making.
method Post-processing with ε distance to calibration adds noise to make predictions differentially private.
result Post-processing achieves O(√ε) ECE and CDL, asymptotically optimal.
UWM-JEPA predicts future scenarios in belief space, improving accuracy in partially observed environments.
problem Predicting future scenarios in partially observed environments with uncertainty.
method Introduces UWM-JEPA, a JEPA world model with a density-matrix latent and learned unitary predictor.
result UWM-JEPA achieves 0.77 accuracy on a hidden-velocity indicator task, outperforming LSTM-JEPA.
Improved Fréchet regression tackles noise and multicollinearity.
problem Addressing noise and multicollinearity in multi-label regression.
method Implicit regularization framework for explicit modeling of relationships.
result Effective modeling of complex dependencies without introducing biases.
A new Bayesian approach to linear system identification has been proposed in a series of recent papers. The main idea is to frame linear system identification as predictor estimation in an infinite dimensional space, with the aid of regularization/Bayesian techniques. This approach guarantees the identification of stab…
We consider rules for discarding predictors in lasso regression and related problems, for computational efficiency. El Ghaoui et al (2010) propose "SAFE" rules that guarantee that a coefficient will be zero in the solution, based on the inner products of each predictor with the outcome. In this paper we propose strong …
A method for reducing dimensions in Fréchet regression models.
problem Complex data objects in metric space-valued responses.
method Mapping metric-space valued random objects to real-valued variables and applying classical SDR.
result Consistent and asymptotically convergent method for Fréchet SDR.
Autoencoder performance is predicted by eigenvalues of weight matrices.
problem Predicting an autoencoder's generalization ability without dataset knowledge.
method Analyze Jacobian matrices' eigenvalues to bound mean squared errors.
result Eigenvalues are good predictors of MSE on test points.
Paper improves feature selection accuracy using transfer learning.
problem Improving feature selection accuracy in information criteria-based methods.
method Proposes TLCp, a transfer learning procedure based on Mallows' Cp.
result TLCp outperforms conventional Cp in accuracy and stability.
LIT-LVM improves linear predictors by estimating interaction terms with latent vectors.
problem Accurately estimating coefficients for interaction terms in linear predictors.
method Structured regularization using latent vectors to represent features.
result LIT-LVM achieves superior prediction accuracy compared to other methods.
Lasso is a widely used regression technique to find sparse representations. When the dimension of the feature space and the number of samples are extremely large, solving the Lasso problem remains challenging. To improve the efficiency of solving large-scale Lasso problems, El Ghaoui and his colleagues have proposed th…
A hybrid method combines GA and EN for feature selection in high-dimensional datasets.
problem Feature selection in high-dimensional datasets with high prediction error and computational inefficiency.
method Hybrid two-layer approach using Genetic Algorithm and Elastic Net.
result The hybrid method improves prediction accuracy and reduces computational time.
In this paper we explore the richness of information captured by the latent space of a vision-based generative model. The model combines unsupervised generative learning with a task-based performance predictor to learn and to exploit task-relevant object affordances given visual observations from a reaching task, invol…
The problem of forecasting conditional probabilities of the next event given the past is considered in a general probabilistic setting. Given an arbitrary (large, uncountable) set C of predictors, we would like to construct a single predictor that performs asymptotically as well as the best predictor in C, on any data.…
New method detects out-of-distribution samples in regression tasks.
problem Detecting instances far from training data in regression models.
method Estimating predictor entropy based on nearest neighbors and generative models.
result A new method for robust OOD detection in regression tasks.