Combines ocean surface and interior data to study ocean dynamics.
problem Modeling local ocean currents and global climate patterns.
method Observation-driven framework using Latent-class regression.
result Improved prediction of vertical ocean temperature.
Study uses DMD to analyze oceanic features in Strait of Gibraltar.
problem Understanding complex oceanic features in Strait of Gibraltar.
method Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) applied to 3D MIT general circulation model simulations.
result Unveiled new elements and dynamics of the Strait of Gibraltar, including a secondary gyre and wave propagation.
Bayesian method detects mesoscale structures in pathway data networks.
problem Mesoscale structures in pathway data networks are hard to detect due to dependencies between interactions.
method Bayesian approach modeling optimal partitioning and higher-order dynamics.
result Method can recover both proximity-based and role-based groupings of nodes.
New approach learns latent motifs in networks for mesoscale structure analysis.
problem Understanding large-scale behavior in complex systems through mesoscale structures.
method Network dictionary learning (NDL) combining network sampling and nonnegative matrix factorization.
result Networks can be approximated using a small set of latent motifs.
OceanForecastBench offers a comprehensive benchmark for data-driven ocean forecasting models.
problem Lack of open-source, standardized benchmarks for data-driven ocean forecasting models.
method Proposes OceanForecastBench, a benchmark with high-quality data and evaluation pipeline.
result Offers the most comprehensive benchmarking framework for data-driven ocean forecasting.
Study of Bitcoin User Network structure over 8 years.
problem Analyzing Bitcoin User Network structure over time.
method Mesoscale structural properties analysis of Bitcoin User Network (BUN) from 2009 to 2017.
result Bitcoin User Network exhibits core-periphery structure with bow-tie topology, influenced by price fluctuations.
Optimizes deep learning models for ocean dynamics using Fourier neural operators.
problem Efficiently training deep learning models for ocean dynamics with optimal hyperparameters.
method Multiobjective hyperparameter optimization with DeepHyper for Fourier neural operators.
result Optimal hyperparameters significantly improved model performance in ocean dynamics forecasting.
Enhances ocean floor mapping with adaptive uncertainty estimates.
problem Inaccurate bathymetric data for precise ocean modeling.
method Block-based conformal prediction with VQ-VAE architecture.
result Significant improvements in reconstruction quality and uncertainty estimation reliability.
Study uses AI to simulate stock market behavior, revealing how trader psychology affects market stability.
problem Understanding how trader psychology impacts stock market stability at the mesoscale.
method Developed a multi-agent system with reinforcement learning, incorporating trader psychology traits.
result Agents with traits of delay discounting and greed lead to more stable markets.
Model accurately gates ocean microbes from high-frequency flow cytometry data.
problem Gating of high-frequency flow cytometry data for ocean microbes is challenging.
method Trend filtered mixture of experts with smooth parameter variation.
result Model accurately matches human-annotated gating and corrects errors.
Since the 2007-2009 financial crisis, substantial academic effort has been dedicated to improving our understanding of interbank lending networks (ILNs). Because of data limitations or by choice, the literature largely lacks multiple loan maturities. We employ a complete interbank loan contract dataset to investigate w…
Gaussian processes improved for ocean current reconstruction and divergence identification.
problem Reconstructing ocean currents from sparse buoy data.
method Proposed a Helmholtz decomposition-based approach to Gaussian processes for better physical modeling.
result Improved inference on ocean currents and divergence identification with minimal computational cost.
Deep learning model predicts wind-wave relationship.
problem Characterize ocean wave climate for engineering applications.
method Two-stage deep learning model: CNN for spatial features, LSTM for temporal dependencies.
result Predicts spatio-temporal relationship between wind and significant wave height.
OCEAN infers online task identities from context variables.
problem Online task inference for compositional tasks with context adaptation.
method Variational inference framework OCEAN models global and local context variables in a joint latent space.
result OCEAN provides more effective task inference with sequential context adaptation.
Study minimizers in large volume isoperimetric problems with a new flatness criterion.
problem Minimizers in isoperimetric problems with a compact obstacle.
method Study Plateau-type problem with free boundary, develop mesoscale flatness criterion.
result Identify isoperimetric residue in energy expansion for large volume.
This article explores the concepts of ocean wave multivariate multistep forecasting, reconstruction and feature selection. We introduce recurrent neural network frameworks, integrated with Bayesian hyperparameter optimization and Elastic Net methods. We consider both short- and long-term forecasts and reconstruction, f…
BALLAST optimizes Lagrangian observer placement for ocean vector fields.
problem Optimizing Lagrangian observer placement for time-dependent ocean vector fields.
method Bayesian active learning with look-ahead amendment for sea-drifter trajectories using a physics-informed spatio-temporal Gaussian process surrogate model.
result Noticeable benefits of BALLAST-aided observer placement strategies on synthetic and high-fidelity ocean models.
New model combines physics and machine learning for ocean dynamics.
problem Discovering hidden laws governing ocean dynamics.
method Develops Deep Neural Numerical Models (DNNMs) to learn hidden variables of physical laws.
result Illustrates DNNMs applied to Sea Surface Height dynamics, connecting to QG model.
SIMPGEN improves SWOT SSH data interpretation by removing noise and preserving fine-scale features.
problem Noisy data and limited fine-scale observations in oceanic processes.
method Simulation-Informed Metric and Prior for Generative Ensemble Networks (SIMPGEN) combining real SWOT observations with simulated reference data.
result SIMPGEN effectively removes noise, preserving fine-scale features better than existing neural methods.
Study uses echo-sounder buoys to analyze tuna schools' association with dFADs globally.
problem Understanding temporal trends of tuna schools' association to drifting objects.
method Applied Machine Learning to examine binary and regression outputs of tuna schools' colonization and disaggregation times.
result Median colonization and disaggregation times varied by ocean, with Pacific having longest soak and colonization times.
Novel spatio-temporal LSTM model forecasts oceanic variables across sensors and scales.
problem Data sparsity and lack of connected spatial and temporal information in environmental datasets.
method SPATIAL LSTM architecture that learns across spatial and temporal scales.
result Framework accurately forecasts oceanic variables with comparable performance to state-of-the-art models.
The paper develops sampling methods for ocean phenomena based on temperature and salinity measurements.
problem Improving oceanographic sampling with limited resources.
method Design criterion based on uncertainty in excursions of vector-valued Gaussian random fields.
result Demonstrates effective exploration of ambiguous regions for data-driven sampling.
Predicting illegal fishing on Patagonian Shelf using machine learning.
problem Improving detection of illegal fishing to conserve fish stocks.
method Combining vessel tracking data with oceanographic seascapes and machine learning models.
result Machine learning models predict illegal fishing with 69-96% confidence.
Model predicts phytoplankton subpopulations based on environmental factors.
problem Predicting phytoplankton dynamics under changing environmental conditions.
method Sparse mixture of multivariate regressions model.
result Identifies environmental covariates influencing phytoplankton subpopulations.
A big challenge in environmental monitoring is the spatiotemporal variation of the phenomena to be observed. To enable persistent sensing and estimation in such a setting, it is beneficial to have a time-varying underlying environmental model. Here we present a planning and learning method that enables an autonomous ma…
We develop a theory to represent dislocated single crystals at the mesoscopic scale by considering concentrated effects, governed by the distribution theory combined with multiple-valued kinematic fields. Our approach gives a new understanding of the continuum theory of defects as developed by Kroener (1980) and other …
ConfEviSurrogate improves surrogate model accuracy and uncertainty quantification.
problem Uncertainty in surrogate models hinders reliable analysis.
method Introduces ConfEviSurrogate, a novel model that learns evidential distributions, separates uncertainty sources, and provides reliable prediction intervals.
result Demonstrates accurate predictions and robust uncertainty estimates in various simulations.
In this pedagogical study, carried out by adopting standard mathematical methods of nonlinear dynamics, we have presented some simple analytical models to understand terminal behaviour in industrial growth. This issue has also been addressed from a dynamical systems perspective, with especial emphasis on the concept of…
The forecasting and reconstruction of ocean and atmosphere dynamics from satellite observation time series are key challenges. While model-driven representations remain the classic approaches, data-driven representations become more and more appealing to benefit from available large-scale observation and simulation dat…
Machine learning enhances ocean studies by analyzing sparse, multi-scale data.
problem Sparse, multi-scale ocean data limits traditional methods.
method Machine learning techniques applied to ocean observations, theory, and numerical simulations.
result ML can advance theoretical oceanographic exploration and numerical simulations.
This work builds an automated anomaly detection method for chaotic time series, and more concretely for turbulent, high-dimensional, ocean simulations. We solve this task by extending the Echo State Network by spatially aware input maps, such as convolutions, gradients, cosine transforms, et cetera, as well as a spatia…
New model predicts particle precipitation from magnetosphere to ionosphere.
problem Improving prediction of electron particle precipitation from magnetosphere to ionosphere.
method Compilation of new database, use of machine learning (ML) tools, neural network (PrecipNet).
result PrecipNet achieves >50% reduction in errors and better captures dynamic changes.
New GPs model edge functions on complex networks, capturing divergence and curl.
problem Modeling flow data on networks with independent learning of Hodge components.
method Developed Hodge-compositional edge GPs using Hodge decomposition.
result Hodge-compositional edge GPs can represent any edge function and capture flow relevance.
Schizophrenia, a mental disorder that is characterized by abnormal social behavior and failure to distinguish one's own thoughts and ideas from reality, has been associated with structural abnormalities in the architecture of functional brain networks. Using various methods from network analysis, we examine the effect …
Generative AI predicts Arctic sea ice dynamics over decades.
problem Reproducing realistic sea ice dynamics from days to decades is computationally challenging.
method Introduced GenSIM, a generative AI model trained on 20 years of sea-ice-ocean simulation data.
result Generative AI predicts realistic sea ice evolution for 30 years, capturing long-term trends and physical consistency.
This study introduces a framework for the forecasting, reconstruction and feature engineering of multivariate processes along with its renewable energy applications. We integrate derivative-free optimization with an ensemble of sequence-to-sequence networks and design a new resampling technique called additive resampli…
This work develops discrete Gaussian models for vector-valued data on triangular meshes.
problem Discrete representation of continuous vector-valued environmental data.
method Develops discrete intrinsic Gaussian processes for vector-valued data on triangular meshes using discrete differential operators.
result Models can capture harmonic flows, incorporate boundary conditions, and model non-stationary data.
We study minority games in efficient regime. By incorporating the utility function and aggregating agents with similar strategies we develop an effective mesoscale notion of state of the game. Using this approach, the game can be represented as a Markov process with substantially reduced number of states with explicitl…
We generalize Conway's approach to integral binary quadratic forms on Q to study integral binary hermitian forms on quadratic imaginary extensions of Q. In Conway's case, an indefinite form that doesn't represent 0 determines a line ("river") in the spine T associated with SL(2,Z) in the hyperbolic plane. In our genera…
New method predicts wave height exceedance probabilities.
problem Forecasting significant wave height to prevent coastal disasters.
method Point forecasting approach using cumulative distribution function.
result Proposed method outperforms existing approaches.
Machine learning improves sub-seasonal climate forecasting, especially gradient boosting and deep learning.
problem Predicting climate variables like temperature and precipitation in 2-week to 2-month time scales.
method Carefully constructed feature representations and ML approaches including gradient boosting and deep learning.
result ML methods can outperform climatological baselines and improve prediction accuracy.
New method models intensity functions on spheres using normalizing flows.
problem Modeling non-homogeneous Poisson process intensity functions on the sphere.
method Flexible bijective map using normalizing flows to transform intensity functions.
result Normalizing flows provide a flexible way to model intensity functions on spheres.
We derive a single pass algorithm for computing the gradient and Fisher information of Vecchia's Gaussian process loglikelihood approximation, which provides a computationally efficient means for applying the Fisher scoring algorithm for maximizing the loglikelihood. The advantages of the optimization techniques are de…
Lagrangian data assimilation is a complex problem in oceanic and atmospheric modeling. Tracking drifters in large-scale geophysical flows can involve uncertainty in drifter location, complex inertial effects, and other factors which make comparing them to simulated Lagrangian trajectories from numerical models extremel…
Deep CNN models improve spatio-temporal forecasting efficiency.
problem Efficiently forecasting spatio-temporal dynamics with realistic models.
method Hierarchical statistical IDE framework with CNN for dynamic extraction.
result CNN provides accurate, interpretable, and computationally efficient forecasts.
When a feed-forward neural network (FNN) is trained for source ranging in an ocean waveguide, it is difficult evaluating the range accuracy of the FNN on unlabeled test data. A fitting-based early stopping (FEAST) method is introduced to evaluate the range error of the FNN on test data where the distance of source is u…
The study shows portfolios based on core-periphery stock structure outperform traditional strategies.
problem Optimizing stock portfolios using mesoscale structures.
method Constructing portfolios based on the core-periphery profile of stocks from Pearson correlations.
result Portfolios based on the core-periphery profile of stocks outperform traditional strategies.
The paper identifies clusters in the World Trade Network using communicability distances.
problem Identifying clusters in the World Trade Network.
method Uses Estrada and vibrational communicability distances to find clusters maximizing a modularity function.
result Identifies specific distance thresholds that maximize modularity, revealing unique relationships between countries.