Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

4038051,2081,610 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for measurement error models

The study examines methods to correct measurement error in nutritional epidemiology studies.

problem Measurement error in nutritional studies leads to biased and underconfident estimates.
method The article reviews various bias-correction models for exposure variables in nutritional epidemiology.
result Bias-correction methods are essential for accurate inference in nutritional studies.

Proposes a new model to handle noisy data in scientific research.

problem Measurement error in noisy data settings.
method Measurement error BART (meBART) integrates measurement error in Bayesian additive regression trees.
result meBART provides more accurate parameter estimation, robust uncertainty quantification, and superior predictive performance.

Robust variable selection for high-dimensional data with missing and measurement errors.

problem Missing data and measurement errors confound data distribution.
method Exponential loss function with inverse probability weighting and additive error models.
result The Atan punishment method improves robust variable selection.

Bounds on factual and counterfactual distributions under measurement error in discrete models.

problem Measurement errors in discrete data and their impact on inference.
method Expressing modeling assumptions as linear constraints and using linear programming to derive bounds.
result Sharp bounds on factual and counterfactual distributions for various models, including instrumental variable scenarios.

Paper identifies latent factors from noisy measurements using tensor decomposition.

problem Identification of latent factors from noisy, correlated measurements.
method Tensor decomposition of third order cross moments, Kruskal theorem, Kotlarski identity, generalized Kruskal rank.
result Full distribution of latent factors and measurement errors identified without injective measurements.

We present a novel method for variable selection in regression models when covariates are measured with error. The iterative algorithm we propose, MEBoost, follows a path defined by estimating equations that correct for covariate measurement error. Via simulation, we evaluated our method and compare its performance to …

2017-01-09abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper assesses quality measures for machine learning models using cross-validation.

problem Evaluating the accuracy and robustness of quality measures for machine learning models.
method Cross-validation approach to estimate prediction error and quantify explained variation. Confidence bounds and local quality measures derived from residuals.
result The reliability and robustness of quality measures are assessed through numerical examples and confidence bounds.

Study proposes method to estimate causal effects from noisy treatment data.

problem Estimating causal effects from noisy treatment data without side information.
method Deep latent variable model with neural network parameterization and amortized importance-weighted variational objective.
result Causal effect estimates are identifiable without side information and measurement error variance knowledge.

The paper models financial returns data with measurement error.

problem Modeling measurement error in financial returns data.
method Develops a stochastic model using a Lévy process and approximates the joint transition density via a stick-breaking representation. Implements MCMC and multilevel MCMC algorithms.
result Provides an approximation and sampling methods for Bayesian parameter estimation of the model.

New method detects causal relationships from noisy measurements.

problem Discover causal relationships from noisy, imperfect measurements.
method Transformed Independent Noise (TIN) condition and ordered group decomposition.
result Identifies causal graph structure without over-complete ICA.

New truthful calibration errors improve model ranking in multiclass prediction.

problem Non-truthful calibration errors can mislead model comparisons.
method Introduced perfectly truthful calibration errors for multiclass predictions.
result Truthful calibration errors preserve decision-theoretic dominance and stabilize model rankings.

Bayesian framework improves robustness in nonlinear regression models.

problem Measurement error, model misspecification, and distributional misspecification in regression analyses.
method Joint Dirichlet process prior on latent covariate-response distribution, updating with posterior pseudo-samples.
result Improved stability and consistency in estimators under increasing measurement error.

Study tackles causal structure learning in linear models with unobserved variables and measurement error.

problem Challenges of unobserved common causes and measurement error in causal structure learning.
method Introduces LV-SEM-ME model with four types of variables and characterizes identifiability under separability condition.
result Establishes form of identification robustness for target effect in broader LV-SEM-ME model.

Neural networks improve nonparametric regression with measurement errors.

problem Nonparametric regression with measurement errors.
method Proposes a neural network design using FNN, normalizing flow, and inference network.
result Neural network approach is more flexible and superior or comparable to classical methods.

Study uses DNNs for real-time EM inversion, highlighting model errors and proposing solutions.

problem Model errors in DNNs affect real-time geosteering decisions in EM measurements.
method Bayesian ensemble smoothing with DNNs for thousands of model evaluations, identifying multimodality.
result Model errors can lead to biased estimates, necessitating error reduction techniques.

When eliciting judgements from humans for an unknown quantity, one often has the choice of making direct-scoring (cardinal) or comparative (ordinal) measurements. In this paper we study the relative merits of either choice, providing empirical and theoretical guidelines for the selection of a measurement scheme. We pro…

2014-06-25abs ↗pdf ↗

This work bounds classification error in machine learning for low Bayes error conditions.

problem Understanding the error mismatch between Bayes error and model-based classification error.
method Applying classification error bounds to study the relationship with Kullback-Leibler divergence and proposing a linear approximation for low Bayes error conditions.
result A linear approximation of the classification error bound for low Bayes error conditions is proposed.

In safety-critical applications a probabilistic model is usually required to be calibrated, i.e., to capture the uncertainty of its predictions accurately. In multi-class classification, calibration of the most confident predictions only is often not sufficient. We propose and study calibration measures for multi-class…

2019-10-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper introduces a novel error measure for neural networks integrating statistical and information theory.

problem No single error measure is universally best for neural network training.
method Developed a novel error measure EExpAbsE_{ExpAbs} and integrated it into the Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm.
result Self-adaptive, dynamic learning algorithm improves both model accuracy and training process.

New measure assesses deep neural networks' robustness to adversarial attacks.

problem Deep learning's fragility to adversarial attacks limits its adoption in mission-critical applications.
method Introduces residual error as a new performance measure for assessing adversarial robustness.
result Demonstrates effectiveness of residual error in assessing robustness of deep neural networks.

The study corrects measurement error in evaluating health effects of multiple pollutants.

problem Bias in estimating health effects of air pollution constituents due to mismeasurement.
method Used a linear regression calibration model and extended DML approach to correct for measurement error.
result Identified two PM2.5 constituents (Br and Mn) that show a negative causal effect on cognitive function after correction.

This post introduces model calibration and evaluation measures, highlighting issues with a common measure.

problem Ensuring model confidence accurately reflects true outcomes.
method Explains common calibration definition, ECE, and its drawbacks.
result New evaluation measures needed for comprehensive model calibration.

Paper addresses group synchronization with incomplete measurements and proves linear convergence of GPM.

problem Orthogonal group synchronization with incomplete measurements and additive noise.
method Generalized power method (GPM) with local error bound analysis.
result Linear convergence of GPM to a global maximizer under general additive noise model.

This paper addresses measurement errors in high-dimensional compositional data using a log-contrast model calibration approach.

problem Measurement errors in high-dimensional regression models involving compositional covariates.
method Calibration approach for the linear log-contrast model under lenient sparsity conditions.
result Established asymptotic normality of the estimator for inference.

The paper evaluates forecast accuracy of realized volatility measures in large cross-sections.

problem Forecast evaluation of realized volatility measures in large cross-sections of financial data.
method Equal predictive accuracy testing procedures, LASSO shrinkage, measurement error correction, cross-sectional jump component measures.
result The augmented HAR model outperforms the standard HAR model in forecasting realized volatility.

New method calibrates asynchronous, error-prone covariates for longitudinal data.

problem Estimation biases and slow convergence in analyzing time-varying covariates with measurement error.
method Functional calibration approach based on functional principal component analysis.
result Asymptotically unbiased and consistent estimators for time-invariant coefficients; optimal convergence rate for time-varying coefficients.

Paper proves convergence of Kalman filter on Stiefel manifolds with measurement errors.

problem Filtering constant particle with measurement errors on Stiefel manifolds.
method Extended Kalman filter applied to Stiefel manifold-valued observations.
result Convergence of the extended Kalman filter proved for constant system process.

Gaussian process regression helps approximate Bayesian inverse problems efficiently.

problem Computational intractability of Bayesian posterior distributions in inverse problems.
method Gaussian process regression to build a surrogate model for the likelihood.
result Error between true and approximate posterior can be bounded by weighted L2L^2-norm error between true and approximate likelihood.

This paper refines human labeling as a measurement process, revealing four sources of variation.

problem Systematic variation in human labeling obscures model learning.
method Introduces a statistical framework to decompose labeling outcomes.
result Empirical evidence for four components of labeling variation.

Study recovers community structure from coarse graph measurements.

problem Community recovery from low-resolution graph measurements.
method Formalized coarsening process of graph measurements, developed conditions for perfect recovery.
result Simple and closed-form asymptotic conditions for perfect recovery of coarse graph communities.

AdapDISCOM tackles high-dimensional multimodal data with missingness and errors, improving prediction and biomarker selection.

problem High-dimensional multimodal data with block-wise missingness and measurement errors.
method AdapDISCOM introduces modality-specific weighting schemes to address heterogeneity and error magnitudes.
result AdapDISCOM consistently outperforms existing methods under heterogeneous contamination and heavy-tailed distributions.

Unified control theory and machine learning for safety in uncertain systems.

problem Safety guarantees for systems with measurement model uncertainty.
method Measurement-Robust Control Barrier Functions (MR-CBFs) for control synthesis.
result MR-CBFs ensure safety in perception systems with measurement model uncertainty.

Sources of variability in experimentally derived data include measurement error in addition to the physical phenomena of interest. This measurement error is a combination of systematic components, originating from the measuring instrument, and random measurement errors. Several novel biological technologies, such as ma…

2016-10-13abs ↗pdf ↗

We study in this paper the consequences of using the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) as a measure of quality for regression models. We show that finding the best model under the MAPE is equivalent to doing weighted Mean Absolute Error (MAE) regression. We show that universal consistency of Empirical Risk Minimiza…

2015-06-12abs ↗pdf ↗

This work analyzes discrete diffusion models using stochastic integrals, providing error bounds and insights.

problem Error analysis for discrete diffusion models remains less understood.
method Proposes a comprehensive framework based on Lévy-type stochastic integrals.
result Obtains the first error bound for the ττ-leaping scheme in KL divergence.

Fitting a simplifying model with several parameters to real data of complex objects is a highly nontrivial task, but enables the possibility to get insights into the objects physics. Here, we present a method to infer the parameters of the model, the model error as well as the statistics of the model error. This method…

2018-12-19abs ↗pdf ↗