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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,932 papers · 148 categories

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16314762 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for mean-reverting volatility

The paper values perpetual callable American volatility options using a mean-reverting volatility model.

problem Valuation of callable American volatility put options.
method Modeling volatility dynamics as a mean-reverting 3/2 process and proposing a pricing formula.
result The value of perpetual callable American volatility put options is discussed under given conditions.

Modified model prevents volatility from approaching zero.

problem Volatility in the Gatheral model can approach zero, making it statistically indistinguishable.
method Proposed a modified model with Skorokhod reflection to prevent volatility from approaching zero.
result The modified model prevents volatility from approaching zero, preserving the model's flexibility.

Recent empirical studies suggest that the volatilities associated with financial time series exhibit short-range correlations. This entails that the volatility process is very rough and its autocorrelation exhibits sharp decay at the origin. Another classic stylistic feature often assumed for the volatility is that it …

2017-06-29abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper studies efficient simulation methods for financial firm values under fast mean-reverting volatility.

problem Estimating the probability of firm default under fast mean-reverting stochastic volatility models.
method Approximations using ergodic averages and central limit theorem corrections for efficient simulation.
result Accuracy of approximations assessed through numerical simulation and payoff function estimation.

Study approximates weak error for specific stochastic models with rough and Gaussian mean-reverting volatility.

problem Approximating weak error for specific stochastic models with rough and Gaussian mean-reverting volatility.
method Used Euler type scheme with integrated kernels to study weak convergence rate.
result Obtained weak convergence rate of min(3α1,1)\min(3α-1,1) for discretised rough Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and stochastic rough volatility model.

The paper derives closed-form approximations for mean-reverting SABR models and calibrates them to equity volatilities.

problem Calibration of mean-reverting SABR models to equity volatilities.
method Derive closed-form approximations using a CIR process for volatility, lognormal process for volatility, and CIR process for squared volatility. Calibrate to empirical volatilities using a computer algebra system.
result Calibrated mean-reverting SABR models provide excellent fits to equity volatilities with only five parameters per surface.

New numerical method for non-linear asset price model with CEV volatility.

problem Describing stochastic volatility in asset price dynamics.
method Proposes a mean-reverting theta-rho model with CEV volatility, constructs a truncated EM method.
result Truncated EM solutions can evaluate path-dependent financial products.

We introduce a class of randomly time-changed fast mean-reverting stochastic volatility models and, using spectral theory and singular perturbation techniques, we derive an approximation for the prices of European options in this setting. Three examples of random time-changes are provided and the implied volatility sur…

2010-10-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Study on large portfolio losses with correlated volatility processes converging to a stochastic PDE.

problem Large portfolio losses with correlated volatility processes.
method Structural stochastic volatility model, mean-reverting diffusions, stochastic initial-boundary value problem.
result Convergence of empirical measure process to a stochastic PDE solution under certain conditions.

Mean-reverting assets are one of the holy grails of financial markets: if such assets existed, they would provide trivially profitable investment strategies for any investor able to trade them, thanks to the knowledge that such assets oscillate predictably around their long term mean. The modus operandi of cointegratio…

2015-09-20abs ↗pdf ↗

The validity of an approximation formula for European option prices under a general stochastic volatility model is proved in the light of the Edgeworth expansion for ergodic diffusions. The asymptotic expansion is around the Black-Scholes price and is uniform in bounded payoff func- tions. The result provides a validat…

2010-04-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimizes trading large volumes of volatile assets with fast mean-reverting volatility.

problem Challenges of executing large volumes of illiquid or volatile assets.
method Modeling uncertain volatility and liquidity with fast mean-reverting dynamics, using singular perturbation arguments and high-frequency data.
result Approximately optimal trade execution strategies under fast mean-reversion.

In this paper we want to exploit further the semi-discrete method appeared in Halidias and Stamatiou (2015). We are interested in the numerical solution of mean reverting CEV processes that appear in financial mathematics models and are described as non negative solutions of certain stochastic differential equations wi…

2015-02-10abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper models exchange rate risk premium using mean-reverting dynamics.

problem Empirical failure of uncovered interest parity (UIP).
method Modeling risk premium using Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process embedded in stochastic differential equation for exchange rate.
result The model shows strong predictive performance at short and long horizons, but underperforms at intermediate horizons.

The price of electricity is far more volatile than that of other commodities normally noted for extreme volatility. The possibility of extreme price movements increases the risk of trading in electricity markets. However, underlying the process of price returns is a strong mean-reverting mechanism. We study this featur…

2001-03-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Recent empirical studies suggest that the volatility of an underlying price process may have correlations that decay slowly under certain market conditions. In this paper, the volatility is modeled as a stationary process with long-range correlation properties in order to capture such a situation, and we consider Europ…

2016-04-01abs ↗pdf ↗

A new stochastic volatility model with quadratic drift prevents moment explosions and preserves stock price martingale property.

problem Avoiding moment explosions and preserving stock price martingale property in stochastic volatility models.
method Introduces a one-factor stochastic volatility model with quadratic drift and a linear dispersion function, showing that the quadratic term is crucial.
result The model prevents moment explosions and preserves the martingale property of the stock price process.

Paper prices geometric Asian options using a multifactor stochastic volatility model.

problem Pricing continuous geometric Asian options under multifactor stochastic volatility.
method Asymptotic expansion and perturbation techniques for both floating and fixed strike GAOs.
result Simplified pricing formulae for GAOs derived in a multifactor stochastic volatility framework.

Optimizes trading strategies with price impact, predictable returns, and stochastic volatility.

problem Dynamic portfolio optimization under complex market conditions.
method Multi-scale volatility expansion, singular and regular perturbations, asymptotic approximations.
result Improved portfolio strategy with reduced profit and loss (PnL) through corrections for small price impact.

Empirical study finds variance swap rate is affine in spot variance for S&P500 data.

problem Investigating the relationship between variance swap rate and spot variance.
method Empirical analysis using S&P500 data from 2006-2018, testing different models.
result Affine relationship between variance swap rate and spot variance is supported.

Investigates portfolio selection with transaction costs and stochastic volatility, using deep learning for computation.

problem Optimal portfolio selection with transaction costs and stochastic volatility.
method Two-factor stochastic volatility model, option-implied utility function, deep learning policy iteration.
result Deep learning method effectively computes optimal investment decisions under transaction costs and stochastic volatility.

We show that the moments of the distribution of historic stock returns are in excellent agreement with the Heston model and not with the multiplicative model, which predicts power-law tails of volatility and stock returns. We also show that the mean realized variance of returns is a linear function of the number of day…

2017-11-29abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the tail probabilities of stock returns for a general class of stochastic volatility models. In these models, the stochastic differential equation for volatility is autonomous, time-homogeneous and dependent on only a finite number of dimensional parameters. Three bounds on the high-volatility limits of the…

2018-09-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Leveraged ETFs can outperform their targets in certain market conditions, contrary to the volatility drag hypothesis.

problem The long-term performance decay of leveraged ETFs due to volatility drag.
method Unified framework incorporating AR(1) and AR-GARCH models, continuous-time regime switching, and flexible rebalancing frequencies.
result Return dynamics, including return autocorrelation, volatility clustering, and regime persistence, determine LETF performance.

Proposes a new model to better handle correlation risk in credit risk calculations.

problem Empirical evidence shows correlation risk is significant in credit risk models.
method Introduces a stochastic correlation extension of the Vasicek model using circular diffusion.
result Demonstrates how correlation volatility and persistence affect joint default and survival probabilities.

The Heston model stands out from the class of stochastic volatility (SV) models mainly for two reasons. Firstly, the process for the volatility is non-negative and mean-reverting, which is what we observe in the markets. Secondly, there exists a fast and easily implemented semi-analytical solution for European options.…

2010-10-08abs ↗pdf ↗