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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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124248371495 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for mean-field variational approximation

A new particle algorithm improves mean-field variational inference.

problem Efficiently approximating nonparametric posterior distributions in machine learning.
method Introduces PArticle VI (PAVI), a novel particle-based algorithm for nonparametric mean-field approximation.
result Obtains non-asymptotic error bounds for PArticle VI, providing the first end-to-end guarantee for particle-based MFVI.

We conduct non-asymptotic analysis on the mean-field variational inference for approximating posterior distributions in complex Bayesian models that may involve latent variables. We show that the mean-field approximation to the posterior can be well-approximated relative to the Kullback-Leibler divergence discrepancy m…

2019-11-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep Bayesian neural nets can use simpler weight approximations without sacrificing performance.

problem The need for complex weight posterior approximations in deep Bayesian neural networks.
method Theoretical and empirical analysis of mean-field variational inference in deep networks.
result Mean-field variational weight posteriors in deep networks can induce similar function-space distributions as complex approximations in shallower networks.

Bayesian model selection via mean-field variational approximation improves efficiency and accuracy.

problem Bayesian model selection under model mis-specification and latent variables.
method Mean-field variational approximation with non-asymptotic properties and geometric convergence.
result ELBO tends to select models closer to the true model than BIC as sample size increases.

The paper studies stability of mean-field variational inference for log-concave distributions.

problem Stability of mean-field variational inference for log-concave distributions.
method Novel approach via linearized optimal transport, lifting non-convex problem to convex optimization over transport maps.
result Dimension-free Lipschitz continuity of the MFVI optimizer with respect to the target distribution, measured in 2-Wasserstein distance.

Compact parameterization improves Bayesian neural network performance.

problem Improving performance of Bayesian neural networks using variational methods.
method Restricting variational distribution to a k-tied Normal distribution with low-rank factorization.
result Compact parameterization improves signal-to-noise ratio and convergence speed.

Geometric framework analyzes bias in variational inference for posterior functionals.

problem Analyzing the bias of posterior functionals under variational approximations.
method Developed a geometric framework to evaluate the bias of posterior functionals using the variational tangent space.
result The leading-order bias of a posterior functional is determined by its component orthogonal to the variational tangent space.

Mean-field variational methods are widely used for approximate posterior inference in many probabilistic models. In a typical application, mean-field methods approximately compute the posterior with a coordinate-ascent optimization algorithm. When the model is conditionally conjugate, the coordinate updates are easily …

2012-09-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops methods for structured variational inference with star-structured models.

problem Inference in models with interdependent variables.
method Star-structured variational inference, existence, uniqueness, self-consistency proofs, approximation error bounds, gradient-based algorithm.
result First results for existence, uniqueness, and self-consistency of variational approximations in star-structured models.

We develop a general variational inference method that preserves dependency among the latent variables. Our method uses copulas to augment the families of distributions used in mean-field and structured approximations. Copulas model the dependency that is not captured by the original variational distribution, and thus …

2015-06-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Many modern unsupervised or semi-supervised machine learning algorithms rely on Bayesian probabilistic models. These models are usually intractable and thus require approximate inference. Variational inference (VI) lets us approximate a high-dimensional Bayesian posterior with a simpler variational distribution by solv…

2017-11-15abs ↗pdf ↗

DADVI improves ADVI by using deterministic approximation for faster, more accurate posterior estimation.

problem Intractable posterior uncertainty estimates and lack of clear convergence criteria in ADVI.
method Replaces stochastic MFVB objective with deterministic Monte Carlo approximation (SAA) and uses second-order optimization.
result DADVI provides faster and more accurate posterior estimates with default settings.

New method for high-dimensional linear regression using empirical Bayes.

problem Estimating prior in high-dimensional linear regression.
method Variational empirical Bayes approach with NPMLE and mean field approximation.
result Established asymptotic consistency and computational efficiency of the method.

An autonomous variational inference algorithm for arbitrary graphical models requires the ability to optimize variational approximations over the space of model parameters as well as over the choice of tractable families used for the variational approximation. In this paper, we present a novel combination of graph part…

2012-07-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Wide BNNs with odd activations fail to approximate data under mean-field inference.

problem Theoretical limitations of mean-field variational inference in wide, deep Bayesian neural networks.
method Analysis of mean-field variational inference in fully-connected BNNs with odd activation functions and Gaussian likelihood.
result The optimal mean-field variational posterior predictive distribution converges to the prior predictive distribution as network width increases.

The paper introduces structured variational families to improve scalability in black-box variational inference.

problem Scalability issues in black-box variational inference, especially for large datasets and hierarchical models.
method Developed structured variational families that achieve better iteration complexity of O(N) compared to full-rank families.
result Structured variational families can achieve better scaling with respect to dataset size N, improving iteration complexity from O(N^2) to O(N).

Mean Field Variational Bayes (MFVB) is a popular posterior approximation method due to its fast runtime on large-scale data sets. However, it is well known that a major failing of MFVB is its (sometimes severe) underestimates of the uncertainty of model variables and lack of information about model variable covariance.…

2014-10-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper optimizes approximating high-dimensional diffusions by independent coordinates.

problem Optimizing approximations of high-dimensional diffusions by independent coordinates.
method Introduces independent projection as optimal for two criteria.
result Independent projection is optimal for two criteria related to entropy and convergence.

Variational Bayes (VB), also known as independent mean-field approximation, has become a popular method for Bayesian network inference in recent years. Its application is vast, e.g. in neural network, compressed sensing, clustering, etc. to name just a few. In this paper, the independence constraint in VB will be relax…

2018-03-29abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a family of variational approximations to Bayesian posterior distributions, called αα-VB, with provable statistical guarantees. The standard variational approximation is a special case of αα-VB with α=1α=1. When α(0,1]α\in(0,1], a novel class of variational inequalities are developed for linking the Bayes risk …

2017-10-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Efficiently identifies important variables in binary outcomes using variational Bayes.

problem Bayesian variable selection for binary outcomes with computational challenges.
method Mean-field variational Bayes approximation with closed-form updates and efficient inference algorithm.
result Successfully identifies important variables and is orders of magnitude faster than MCMC.

Topic models are Bayesian models that are frequently used to capture the latent structure of certain corpora of documents or images. Each data element in such a corpus (for instance each item in a collection of scientific articles) is regarded as a convex combination of a small number of vectors corresponding to `topic…

2018-02-02abs ↗pdf ↗

One of the core problems in variational inference is a choice of approximate posterior distribution. It is crucial to trade-off between efficient inference with simple families as mean-field models and accuracy of inference. We propose a variant of a greedy approximation of the posterior distribution with tractable bas…

2019-05-20abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method for efficient Gaussian process inference using sparse approximations.

problem Scalable and accurate inference for latent Gaussian processes.
method Variational approximation with sparse inverse Cholesky factors and double Kullback-Leibler minimization.
result The proposed method can achieve highly accurate approximations with polylogarithmic time complexity.

This work introduces a fixed-point optimization for variational inference.

problem Improving quantified uncertainty in predictions by optimizing a simplified distribution over parameters.
method Projective integral updates for high-dimensional variational inference.
result Efficient quasirandom quadrature sequence for mean-field distributions, leading to quasi-Newton variational Bayes (QNVB).

TM-VI uses flexible transformation models to approximate complex posteriors in Bayesian models.

problem Approximating complex posteriors in Bayesian models with limited flexibility.
method Transformation models for variational inference (TM-VI).
result TM-VI allows accurate approximation of complex posteriors in models with one parameter and works in a mean-field fashion for multi-parameter models.

Marginal MAP problems are notoriously difficult tasks for graphical models. We derive a general variational framework for solving marginal MAP problems, in which we apply analogues of the Bethe, tree-reweighted, and mean field approximations. We then derive a "mixed" message passing algorithm and a convergent alternati…

2012-02-14abs ↗pdf ↗

The choice of approximate posterior distribution is one of the core problems in variational inference. Most applications of variational inference employ simple families of posterior approximations in order to allow for efficient inference, focusing on mean-field or other simple structured approximations. This restricti…

2015-05-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Mean-field variational inference is a method for approximate Bayesian posterior inference. It approximates a full posterior distribution with a factorized set of distributions by maximizing a lower bound on the marginal likelihood. This requires the ability to integrate a sum of terms in the log joint likelihood using …

2012-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗