Recent innovations in Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) provide new opportunities and challenges for integration of distributed energy resources (DERs) into the energy supply system as active market players. By increasing integration of DERs, novel market platform should be designed for these new market …
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
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The European market clearing problem is characterized by a set of heterogeneous orders and rules that force the implementation of heuristic and iterative solving methods. In particular, curtailable block orders and the uniform purchase price (UPP) pose serious difficulties. A block is an order that spans over multiple …
Paper introduces Cycles Protocol to integrate trade credit into market clearing.
Study uses MFG approach to model equilibrium pricing with market clearing condition.
This paper studies how relative performance concerns affect stock prices in a tree-like market model.
Two pension funds mutually insure against longevity risk.
Deep learning solves complex PA mean field games with market-clearing conditions.
Bidders in day-ahead electricity markets want to sell/buy electricity when their bids generate positive surplus and not to take an action when the reverse holds. However, non-convexities in these markets cause conflicts between the actions that the bidders want to take and the actual market results. In this work, we in…
The problem of market clearing is to set a price for an item such that quantity demanded equals quantity supplied. In this work, we cast the problem of predicting clearing prices into a learning framework and use the resulting models to perform revenue optimization in auctions and markets with contextual information. T…
In this study, we focus on the market clearing problem of Turkish day-ahead electricity market. We propose a mathematical model by extending the variety of bid types for different price regions. The commercial solvers may not find any feasible solution for the proposed problem in some instances within the given time li…
Study compares two market clearing methods for European power markets.
A framework models order book dynamics using point processes and mass transport.
Pari-mutuel markets are trading platforms through which the common market maker simultaneously clears multiple contingent claims markets. This market has several distinctive properties that began attracting the attention of the financial industry in the 2000s. For example, the platform aggregates liquidity from the ind…
Paper analyzes fire sales in a network of banks using VWAP and LOB pricing.
Graph neural networks improve systemic risk measures for financial networks.
We present a stochastic-local volatility model for derivative contracts on commodity futures able to describe forward-curve and smile dynamics with a fast calibration to liquid market quotes. A parsimonious parametrization is introduced to deal with the limited number of options quoted in the market. Cleared commodity …
Study optimizes SREC generation and trading in solar energy markets.
Modeling European spot power markets with game theory for Nash equilibria.
Method reconstructs financial networks from aggregate data, revealing critical link density.
Model asset pricing with habit formation in a large market.
In this paper we explain the wild fluctuations of financial prices from the intrinsic amplifying feedback of speculative supply and demand. Formally, we show that an asset return follows a multiplicative random growth with exogenous input, which is well-known to be a generic power-law generating process, and which coul…
The increasing penetration level of energy generation from renewable sources is demanding for more accurate and reliable forecasting tools to support classic power grid operations (e.g., unit commitment, electricity market clearing or maintenance planning). For this purpose, many physical models have been employed, and…
Study on price formation among investors with exponential utility and liabilities.
Financial economic models often assume that investors know (or agree on) the fundamental value of the shares of the firm, easing the passage from the individual to the collective dimension of the financial system generated by the Share Exchange over time. Our model relaxes that heroic assumption of one unique "true val…
The paper explains how to predict returns based on firm characteristics.
The smart grid vision entails advanced information technology and data analytics to enhance the efficiency, sustainability, and economics of the power grid infrastructure. Aligned to this end, modern statistical learning tools are leveraged here for electricity market inference. Day-ahead price forecasting is cast as a…
Recent empirical studies have demonstrated long-memory in the signs of orders to buy or sell in financial markets [2, 19]. We show how this can be caused by delays in market clearing. Under the common practice of order splitting, large orders are broken up into pieces and executed incrementally. If the size of such lar…
The paper analyzes how open-end fund sales affect prices and returns.
Study analyzes market equilibrium returns with price impact and transaction costs.
Informed traders strategically reveal noisier signals, making prices less responsive to public information.
Modeling pollution from competing firms using mean-field games.
A cost-effective approach to label acquisition using active learning markets.
Study on price formation in financial markets with a single default event.
Agent-based model simulates market dynamics with real-time order matching.
Study on stock price formation on trees with multi-population and non-rational agents.
We explore a model of the interaction between banks and outside investors in which the ability of banks to issue inside money (short-term liabilities believed to be convertible into currency at par) can generate a collapse in asset prices and widespread bank insolvency. The banks and investors share a common belief abo…
This paper uses a mean-field game to model stablecoin market dynamics and recovery.
Model equilibrium price in intraday electricity markets with uncertainty.
A new model for heterogeneous populations optimizes consumption and investment over short horizons.
We consider a dynamic market model where buyers and sellers submit limit orders. If at a given moment in time, the buyer is unable to complete his entire order due to the shortage of sell orders at the required limit price, the unmatched part of the order is recorded in the order book. Subsequently these buy unmatched …
Optimal penalties for RECs balance environmental and revenue impacts.
We study in this paper the time evolution of stock markets using a statistical physics approach. Each agent is represented by a spin having a number of discrete states or continuous states, describing the tendency of the agent for buying or selling. The market ambiance is represented by a parameter which plays …
This paper presents a model of capital accumulation for a large number of heterogenous producer-consumers in an exchange space in which interactions depend on agents' positions. Each agent is described by his production, consumption, stock of capital, as well as the position he occupies in this abstract space. Each age…