Method identifies potential customers from limited data.
problem Efficiently market products to interested but non-loyal customers.
method Double Positive and Unlabeled (PU) learning approach.
result Proposed algorithm achieves efficient marketing.
On-device research index
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
169,341 papers · 148 categories
Trend · papers per month
48 results for “market loyalty”
Loyalty emerges in markets through repeated interaction and adaptation.
problem Can loyalty arise spontaneously in markets?
method Stylized model of double auction markets with adaptive traders.
result Segregated market states are stable and provide higher rewards.
TDA improves understanding of B2B customer loyalty.
problem Understanding and strengthening B2B customer relationships.
method Topological Data Analysis applied to commercial data.
result TDA enhances customer base understanding and predictive model accuracy.
This study measures liquidity risks in Aave, a blockchain lending protocol.
problem Liquidity risks in lending protocols, especially in Aave.
method Measurements of liquidity risks using Aave as a case study, focusing on available liquidity and market concentration.
result Liquidity risks in Aave are volatile and affect the protocol negatively, especially for repeat borrowers.
Study examines pricing strategies in competitive supply chains with discrete prices.
problem Inaccurate assumptions in traditional SC models for pricing decisions.
method Examines a SC model with one supplier and two manufacturers, considering customer demand segmentation and discrete price setting.
result Nash equilibria among manufacturers are not unique, and low denomination factors can lead to instability.
New models for bandit problems with fidelity rewards are introduced and analyzed.
problem Fidelity rewards in bandit problems to incentivize loyalty.
method Two models (loyalty-points and subscription) for fidelity rewards; stochastic and adversarial settings considered.
result Sublinear regret bounds for some models, worst case lower bounds for others.
ASOS uses embeddings to predict customer lifetime value.
problem Predicting future customer value for personalized shopping experiences.
method Generates embeddings of customers from data, improving over handcrafted features.
result Significant improvement in predicting customer lifetime value.
The study optimizes free trial lengths to boost subscriptions and consumer loyalty.
problem Optimizing free trial lengths to maximize customer acquisition and retention.
method A large-scale field experiment with personalized policy design and evaluation.
result Personalized free trial policies outperform uniform trial lengths.
Churn Prediction in Mobile Social Games: Towards a Complete Assessment Using Survival Ensemblesstat.ML
Survival ensembles improve churn prediction in mobile social games.
problem Predicting user churn in mobile social games to retain players.
method Survival analysis and ensemble learning techniques.
result Survival ensembles provide more accurate and robust churn predictions.
This paper uses bandit algorithms to reduce the cost of user interface experimentation in online retail.
problem Reducing the cost of user interface experimentation in online retail.
method Modeling user interface experimentation as an opportunistic bandit problem, reducing the cost of exploration.
result Significant regret reduction and improved contextual information for testing.
System uses TDA for user segmentation and demand forecasting.
problem User loyalty and demand forecasting challenges.
method TDA-based clustering of time series data with matrix factorization.
result Significantly higher accuracy in clustering and demand forecasting.
Model predicts customer behavior from incomplete data.
problem Predict customer behavior from missing demographic data.
method Structured regression on deficient data in evolving networks with neural features embedding.
result 4% to 130% improvement in accuracy over alternatives.
ChOracle predicts user return times to improve churn prediction.
problem Churn prediction in online services.
method Combining Temporal Point Processes and Recurrent Neural Networks with latent variables.
result Superior performance on various real-world datasets.
Numeraire marketsq-fin.MF
We study numeraire markets in open stock markets.
problem Understanding the numeraire portfolio in open stock markets.
method Constructed an example of a numeraire market that is asymptotically stable.
result Found an asymptotically stable numeraire market in open stock markets.
Optimal Market Making in the Chinese Stock Market: A Stochastic Control and Scenario Analysisq-fin.PM
Study optimizes market making in Chinese stock market with stochastic control and scenario analysis.
problem Limited research on market making in Chinese stock market.
method Optimal market making framework with exponential CARA utility function, accounting for market conditions and risks.
result Impact of volatility and stamp duty on market maker's profit and liquidity.
Study shows cryptocurrency market efficiency changes over time.
problem Measuring cryptocurrency market efficiency over time.
method Used a generalized least squares-based time-varying model to measure efficiency without sample size dependence.
result Bitcoin's market efficiency is higher than Ethereum's over most periods.
Derives financial models for markets with multidimensional Hermite motions.
problem Modeling financial markets with multidimensional Hermite motions.
method Derives conditions for no-arbitrage and market completeness, prices perpetual derivatives and forwards.
result Derives partial and partial-differential equations for pricing.
Open Marketsq-fin.MF
Open markets are a subset of equity markets with fixed top stocks, changing over time.
problem Understanding the dynamics and characteristics of open markets.
method Analyzing the similarities and differences between open markets and closed equity markets, and exploring specific topics like CAPM and portfolio construction.
result The equivalence of market viability and the existence of a numeraire portfolio holds in open markets, similar to closed markets.
Study applies market microstructure to Cuban informal currency market, finding market makers improve liquidity.
problem Understanding dynamics of informal currency markets.
method Modeling bid/ask intentions using Limit Order Book, applying Avellaneda-Stoikov model with Market Maker.
result Market Maker improves market quality and bid/ask dynamics.
A two-step market clearing method for local energy trading among prosumers and consumers.
problem Integrating distributed energy resources into local energy markets.
method Feeder-based market with Two-StepMarket Clearing (2SMC) mechanism.
result Maximizes market surplus and correct incentives for prosumers and consumers.
Study finds varying market efficiency in prewar and wartime Japanese stock market.
problem Measuring market efficiency in prewar and wartime Japanese stock market.
method Using a new market capitalization-weighted stock price index, the study examines market efficiency over time and historical events.
result The adaptive market hypothesis is supported in the prewar and wartime Japanese stock market, with efficiency varying over time and with historical events.
Incomplete markets are statistically indistinguishable from complete ones.
problem Statistical evaluation of market completeness under uncertainty.
method Investigation of discrete time stock market models, showing incompleteness is non-robust.
result Incomplete markets are statistically equivalent to complete ones.
Study uses Kalman-Filter to assess market efficiency in major stock markets.
problem Assessing market efficiency in major stock markets.
method Utilizes Kalman-Filter in two stages, assuming a trendline representing true market value.
result Significant portfolio returns in emerging and developed markets.
Study shows Chinese stock market returns are predictable over time, especially during market turbulence.
problem Predicting returns in the Chinese stock market is challenging due to market inefficiency.
method Used wild bootstrap automatic variance ratio test and generalized spectral test.
result Return predictability varies over time, with significant predictability during market turmoils.
We study the effect of globalization on the Korean market, one of the emerging markets. Some characteristics of the Korean market are different from those of the mature market according to the latest market data, and this is due to the influence of foreign markets or investors. We concentrate on the market network stru…
Study shows informed traders harm market makers but price discovery benefits outweigh costs.
problem Informed traders' impact on market makers' profitability.
method Agent-based model with heterogeneous learning agents, multi-agent reinforcement learning.
result Informed market order flow is harmful when aggregate informedness is low but beneficial as it increases.
Classifies financial markets up to financial indistinguishability.
problem Identifying distinct financial markets that are financially indistinguishable.
method Defined a notion of isomorphism for financial markets, classified complete one-period markets, and introduced the absolute market price of risk as an invariant.
result Proved a number of mutual fund theorems for markets with non-trivial automorphism groups.
This thesis applies RL to market making in China's commodity market.
problem Leverage RL for market making in China's commodity market.
method Developed an automatic trading system using RL.
result RL is feasible for market making in China's commodity market.
Predictive Optimized Model on Money Markets Instruments With Capital Market and Bank Rates Ratioq-fin.ST
Research predicts money market volume based on capital market and bank rates ratio.
problem Understanding the influence of capital market and bank rates on money market instruments.
method Correlation matrix and time series model to predict money market volume.
result Predictive model for money market instrument volume based on historical data.
The possibility of statistical evaluation of the market completeness and incompleteness is investigated for continuous time diffusion stock market models. It is known that the market completeness is not a robust property: small random deviations of the coefficients convert a complete market model into a incomplete one.…
Study examines market impact in high frequency options trading.
problem Understanding market impact in high frequency options trading.
method Proprietary database of metaorders, algorithmic approach based on implied volatility parameters.
result Similar market dynamics found in options market as in equity market.
The Impact of Designated Market Makers on Market Liquidity and Competition: A Simulation Approachq-fin.TR
This study examines how DMMs affect market liquidity and competition.
problem The impact of DMMs on market liquidity and competition.
method Agent-based simulations to explore the effects of varying competition levels and incentive structures among DMMs.
result Optimal competition among DMMs maximizes liquidity benefits without negatively impacting price discovery.
AI learns market manipulation through simulation, suggesting regulation.
problem Regulating AI to prevent market manipulation.
method Used a genetic algorithm in an artificial market simulation.
result AI discovered market manipulation as an optimal strategy.
Optimal market making strategy for electronic markets with persistent order flows.
problem Market making on electronic markets with persistent order flows.
method Formulated as a stochastic control problem, characterized by viscosity solutions, and implemented numerically.
result Characterization of an optimal market making strategy.
The paper finds that bear markets cause recessions and bull markets cause expansions, with bull markets having a stronger causal effect.
problem Understanding the asymmetric causal relationships between market conditions and economic cycles.
method Asymmetric causality tests using partial sums of positive and negative market components, with bootstrap simulations and leverage adjustments.
result Bear markets cause recessions and bull markets cause expansions, with bull markets having a stronger causal effect.
PRIME models cryptocurrency exchange market impact.
problem Understanding and predicting market impact in cryptocurrency exchanges.
method Developed a multi-agent simulation to model market impact.
result Allows better estimation of market slippage and knock-on consequences.
Article examines NFT market microstructure and trading risks.
problem Difficulty in distinguishing genuine NFTs from fads and scams.
method Analyzes price formation, market structure, and transparency.
result Provides due-diligence pointers to mitigate NFT trading risk.
Evaluating the Financial Market Function in Prewar Japan using a Time-Varying Parameter Modelq-fin.ST
This study evaluates prewar Japanese financial market efficiency using time-varying models.
problem Determining when prewar Japanese financial market lost its price formation function.
method Time-varying parameter model, generalized least squares-based time-varying vector autoregressive model.
result The prewar Japanese financial market lost its price formation function in 1932.
ABM simulates OTC government bond market dynamics, enhancing liquidity and stability.
problem Understanding and ensuring market stability and liquidity in OTC government bond markets.
method Developed a bespoke ABM to simulate market-maker interactions and test hypotheses.
result Greater agent diversity enhances market liquidity and reducing market-making costs improves stability.
This study examines how market makers balance risk and impact in foreign exchange markets.
problem Balancing risk management with market impact in foreign exchange markets.
method An intermediate scenario approach considering both instantaneous and permanent market impact components.
result Transient market impact is more prevalent than previously thought, challenging traditional market impact models.
This study analyzes the collective behavior of world stock markets using RMT.
problem Understanding the collective behavior and structure of interconnected world stock markets.
method Analysis of cross-correlation matrix using Random Matrix Theory (RMT).
result Emergence of a world financial market structure with three communities.
Paper interprets and improves pari-mutuel markets with ambiguity aversion.
problem Market maker's ambiguity aversion in pari-mutuel markets.
method New economic interpretation and algorithm (KPM) to control ambiguity.
result KPM retains properties of pari-mutuel markets and controls ambiguity.
Study shows how market efficiency changes during the pandemic.
problem Understanding market efficiency during the pandemic.
method Applied time-varying vector autoregression model.
result Market efficiency changes over time and can be improved by enhanced linkages.
Market Efficiency in Foreign Exchange Marketsphysics.soc-ph
We investigate the relative market efficiency in financial market data, using the approximate entropy(ApEn) method for a quantification of randomness in time series. We used the global foreign exchange market indices for 17 countries during two periods from 1984 to 1998 and from 1999 to 2004 in order to study the effic…
The structure of return spillovers is examined by constructing Granger causality networks using daily closing prices of 20 developed markets from 2nd January 2006 to 31st December 2013. The data is properly aligned to take into account non-synchronous trading effects. The study of the resulting networks of over 94 sub-…
Market-maker optimizes quotes based on strategic market-takers' behavior.
problem Optimizing market-making strategies in a strategic trading environment.
method Mean-field game approach to model strategic market-takers and derive optimal controls.
result Derivation of optimal controls for market-maker and market-taker.
This paper analyzes microstructure dynamics in coupled markets using CFMMs.
problem Quantifying contributions of CFMMs to market dynamics in coupled markets.
method Examined constant function market makers (CFMMs) in coupled markets, focusing on basket inflation/deflation.
result CFMMs contribute significantly to basket inflation/deflation in coupled markets.
Network analysis shows spillovers between 40 global markets, influenced by market size and time proximity.
problem Investment spillovers between global markets.
method Rolling windows analysis of stock index returns, Granger causality networks, spatial probit models.
result Market size and temporal proximity affect return spillovers.