Paper proposes AI for stock market forecasting using external knowledge.
problem Forecasting stock prices influenced by external factors.
method Learning from historical data and external temporal knowledge graphs modeled as Hawkes processes.
result Dynamic representations effectively rank stocks based on returns.
Survey of methods to incorporate external knowledge into stock price prediction.
problem Challenges in predicting stock prices due to market volatility and non-linearity.
method Survey of methods for acquiring and incorporating external knowledge into stock price prediction models.
result Systematic synthesis of previous studies on external knowledge types and their application in stock price prediction.
Graph neural networks integrate causal knowledge for more accurate uplift modeling.
problem Identifying the most effective treatments and clients for marketing interventions.
method Combining graph neural networks with causal knowledge to estimate uplift values.
result The proposed method outperforms traditional approaches in predicting uplift values with minimal errors.
System constructs public competitor graph from financial reports.
problem Time-consuming and expert-laden manual extraction of corporate relationships.
method Financial report processing to generate reliable knowledge graph of corporate relationships.
result More than 83% of S\&P 500 companies' competition relationships retrieved.
DanSmp predicts stock movement using a hybrid-relational MKG and dual attention networks.
problem Predicting stock price trends in volatile financial markets.
method Constructs a bi-typed MKG with hybrid-relations and uses DanSmp, a dual attention network, to learn momentum spillover signals.
result DanSmp improves stock prediction accuracy using the MKG.
FinDKG uses LLMs to detect financial trends from news articles.
problem Detecting global financial trends from unstructured text data.
method Fine-tuned LLMs for generating DKGs, KGTransformer for analysis.
result KGTransformer outperforms existing thematic ETFs in financial thematic investing.
Predict stock movement by considering cross effects among stocks.
problem Challenges in predicting stock price movement due to cross effects among stocks.
method Multi-GCGRU framework combining GCN and GRU, encoding cross effects from financial domain knowledge and data-driven relationships.
result Our model outperforms other baselines in predicting stock movement.
Recently, there has been a surge of interest in the use of machine learning to help aid in the accurate predictions of financial markets. Despite the exciting advances in this cross-section of finance and AI, many of the current approaches are limited to using technical analysis to capture historical trends of each sto…
Unified framework predicts S&P500 index direction using transfer learning and causal graph.
problem Predicting the movement of financial indices like S&P500.
method Transfer learning, causal graph, multidisciplinary knowledge, VAE network.
result 74.3% accuracy, 67% F1-score, 0.42 Matthew correlation on 12 years test period.
In this paper, we propose a new product knowledge graph (PKG) embedding approach for learning the intrinsic product relations as product knowledge for e-commerce. We define the key entities and summarize the pivotal product relations that are critical for general e-commerce applications including marketing, advertiseme…
Proposes a hybrid model for stock market report classification using graph neural networks.
problem Lack of unified node embeddings for heterogeneous graphs in text datasets.
method Transductive hybrid approach combining unsupervised node representation learning and supervised node classification/edge prediction.
result Demonstrates the model's ability to classify stock market technical analysis reports.
Survey of AI in finance covering models, strategies, and knowledge systems.
problem Challenges in applying AI to financial markets, especially in high-frequency trading.
method Systematic analysis of financial AI across predictive models, decision frameworks, and knowledge augmentation systems.
result Critical trade-offs and gaps between theoretical advances and practical implementation in financial AI.
A new framework for knowledge graph embedding using sheaves.
problem Learning representations for entities and relations in knowledge graphs.
method Using cellular sheaves to describe knowledge graph embeddings with consistency constraints.
result A generalized framework for reasoning about knowledge graph embedding models.
FLARKO uses LLMs, KGs, and KTO to generate profitable, behaviorally aligned financial recommendations.
problem Financial recommendation systems often fail to account for behavioral and regulatory factors.
method FLARKO integrates LLMs, KGs, and KTO to generate profitable and behaviorally aligned recommendations.
result FLARKO consistently outperforms state-of-the-art recommendation baselines on behavioral alignment and joint profitability.
Method finds motifs in knowledge graphs, revealing their structure.
problem Identifying meaningful subunits in knowledge graphs.
method Inspired by simple graphs, the approach uses compression techniques to find motifs.
result Motifs found reflect the basic structure of the graph.
Proposes a graph-based approach for better stock prediction.
problem Long-range dependencies and chaotic property in stock prediction.
method Transforms time series into graphs, extracting structural information to resolve issues.
result Obtains the best performance among state-of-the-art benchmarks and highest cumulative profits in trading simulations.
Paper proposes KE-GCN for better graph embedding.
problem Efficiently leveraging complex graphs with heterogeneous entities and relations.
method Combines GCNs and knowledge embedding methods.
result Advantages in knowledge graph alignment and entity classification.
We present a family of novel methods for embedding knowledge graphs into real-valued tensors. These tensor-based embeddings capture the ordered relations that are typical in the knowledge graphs represented by semantic web languages like RDF. Unlike many previous models, our methods can easily use prior background know…
Proposes a new method for big portfolio selection using graph-based conditional moments.
problem Challenges in selecting portfolios for thousands of stocks.
method Graph-based Conditional Moments (GRACE) method: learns quantiles, means, variances, skewness, and kurtosis of stock returns.
result Shows superior performance compared to competitors, especially in measures of conditional variance, skewness, and kurtosis.
Knowledge graph embedding (KGE) is a technique for learning continuous embeddings for entities and relations in the knowledge graph.Due to its benefit to a variety of downstream tasks such as knowledge graph completion, question answering and recommendation, KGE has gained significant attention recently. Despite its ef…
ZSL-KG learns class representations from common sense knowledge graphs.
problem Predicting classes without labeled examples using semantic class representations.
method TrGCN, a novel transformer graph convolutional network, embeds nodes from common sense knowledge graphs in a vector space.
result ZSL-KG improves over existing methods on five out of six zero-shot benchmark datasets.
For sales and marketing organizations within large enterprises, identifying and understanding new markets, customers and partners is a key challenge. Intel's Sales and Marketing Group (SMG) faces similar challenges while growing in new markets and domains and evolving its existing business. In today's complex technolog…
Trading strategy uses analyst coverage network to outperform markets.
problem Leveraging spillover effects between firms through analyst network.
method Graph attention network to aggregate firm and network signals.
result Annualized returns of 29.44% and Sharpe ratio of 4.06.
Knowledge graphs capture structured information and relations between a set of entities or items. As such knowledge graphs represent an attractive source of information that could help improve recommender systems. However, existing approaches in this domain rely on manual feature engineering and do not allow for an end…
This work benchmarks neural embeddings for link prediction in evolving knowledge graphs.
problem Evaluating the robustness of neural embeddings in changing knowledge graphs.
method Proposes an open-source evaluation pipeline using relation-centric connectivity measures.
result Demonstrates the importance of simulating embedding accuracy for frequently updated knowledge graphs.
Knowledge graphs are a versatile framework to encode richly structured data relationships, but it can be challenging to combine these graphs with unstructured data. Methods for retrofitting pre-trained entity representations to the structure of a knowledge graph typically assume that entities are embedded in a connecte…
RAW-Explainer generates interpretable subgraph explanations for link predictions in knowledge graphs.
problem Interpreting GNN predictions for link prediction in heterogeneous settings is challenging.
method RAW-Explainer uses random walk objective and neural network to generate connected, concise subgraph explanations.
result RAW-Explainer strikes a balance between explanation quality and computational efficiency.
Knowledge graph completion aims to predict missing relations between entities in a knowledge graph. In this work, we propose a relational message passing method for knowledge graph completion. Different from existing embedding-based methods, relational message passing only considers edge features (i.e., relation types)…
This paper defines resilience in knowledge graph embeddings and surveys existing works.
problem Challenges in knowledge graph embedding models, including noise, missing information, distribution shift, and adversarial attacks.
method Unified definition of resilience, formalization in the context of knowledge graphs, systematic survey of existing works.
result Most existing works focus on robustness, leaving other aspects of resilience unexplored.
Increasingly large electronic health records (EHRs) provide an opportunity to algorithmically learn medical knowledge. In one prominent example, a causal health knowledge graph could learn relationships between diseases and symptoms and then serve as a diagnostic tool to be refined with additional clinical input. Prior…
Enhances knowledge graph completion with mixed geometry tensor factorization.
problem Capturing nuanced distributional properties in knowledge graphs.
method Combines Euclidean and hyperbolic geometries for tensor factorization.
result Improves link prediction accuracy with fewer parameters.
Study restricts causal graphs with expert knowledge.
problem Restricting causal graphs to include expert orientation knowledge.
method Prove properties, present new orientation rules, develop algorithms.
result Shows how to uniquely represent restricted essential ancestral graphs.
Low-dimensional embeddings of knowledge graphs and behavior graphs have proved remarkably powerful in varieties of tasks, from predicting unobserved edges between entities to content recommendation. The two types of graphs can contain distinct and complementary information for the same entities/nodes. However, previous…
Semantic TrueLearn uses semantic graphs to improve educational recommendation systems.
problem Challenges in handling semantic and hierarchical structure in knowledge areas.
method Introduces a novel learner model that exploits semantic relatedness between knowledge components using a Wikipedia link graph.
result Achieves statistically significant improvements in predictive performance for educational engagement.
We model GitHub interactions as a temporal knowledge graph for software engineering questions.
problem Insufficient performance of existing temporal models on extrapolated queries and time prediction.
method Introduced an extension to current temporal models using relative temporal information.
result Improved performance on extrapolated queries and time prediction.
Knowledge graph embedding, which aims to represent entities and relations as low dimensional vectors (or matrices, tensors, etc.), has been shown to be a powerful technique for predicting missing links in knowledge graphs. Existing knowledge graph embedding models mainly focus on modeling relation patterns such as symm…
Model forecasts global stock market volatility using dynamic graphs and all trading days.
problem Enhance forecasting accuracy and practical utility in global stock market volatility.
method Spatial-temporal graph neural network architecture to capture volatility spillover effect.
result Forecasting performance surpasses baseline models in all scenarios.
FinCARE combines financial data and AI reasoning to improve causal analysis of financial performance.
problem Correlation-based analysis fails to capture true causal relationships in financial performance.
method Hybrid framework integrating causal discovery algorithms with financial domain knowledge from SEC filings and LLM reasoning.
result KG+LLM-enhanced methods improve causal discovery across PC, GES, and NOTEARS by 36-366%.
Graphs evolve; GNNs learn from past tasks.
problem Learning from evolving graphs and new classes.
method Incremental training method for lifelong learning on graphs.
result Less than 50% of the GNN's receptive field is needed for 95% accuracy.
PyKEEN 1.0 simplifies KGE model creation and optimization.
problem Training and evaluating knowledge graph embeddings (KGEs).
method Composes KGEMs with various interaction models, training approaches, and loss functions. Implements automatic memory optimization and extensive HPO functionalities.
result PyKEEN 1.0 streamlines KGE model creation and optimization.
The paper extends graph embedding models to handle multiple relations.
problem Link prediction in multi-relational networks.
method Generalized pseudo-Riemannian embedding models to multi-relational networks, considering relations as submanifolds.
result Validation of the approach in link prediction tasks, including knowledge graph completion and biological domain analysis.
Improved RL for knowledge graph reasoning with entity types.
problem Challenges in path-based relational reasoning over knowledge graphs.
method Type-enhanced RL agent using GNN for neighborhood information.
result Outperforms state-of-the-art RL methods and discovers novel paths.
This paper studies aligning knowledge graphs from different sources or languages. Most existing methods train supervised methods for the alignment, which usually require a large number of aligned knowledge triplets. However, such a large number of aligned knowledge triplets may not be available or are expensive to obta…
Survey on using knowledge graphs for better recommender systems.
problem Data sparsity and cold start issues in recommender systems.
method Utilizes knowledge graphs to improve recommendation accuracy and provide explanations.
result Advantages of knowledge graph-based recommender systems.
Path queries on a knowledge graph can be used to answer compositional questions such as "What languages are spoken by people living in Lisbon?". However, knowledge graphs often have missing facts (edges) which disrupts path queries. Recent models for knowledge base completion impute missing facts by embedding knowledge…
New framework uses background knowledge to speed up causal discovery.
problem Scalable causal discovery for large datasets.
method Utilizes background knowledge during causal discovery process.
result Background knowledge reduces computational requirements and improves structure quality.
Knowledge graph construction consists of two tasks: extracting information from external resources (knowledge population) and inferring missing information through a statistical analysis on the extracted information (knowledge completion). In many cases, insufficient external resources in the knowledge population hinde…
GCTM integrates GCN into topic models for better topic learning from data streams.
problem Learning hidden topics from short and noisy data streams with concept drift.
method Proposes a graph convolutional topic model (GCTM) that learns from a knowledge graph and old data.
result Significantly better performance in probabilistic predictive measures and topic coherence.