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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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4589134178 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for market indicators

The paper introduces a new financial market for environmental indices to attract investors.

problem Inherent risks and sustainability concerns in environmental investments.
method Quantitative measures, econometric analysis, dynamic asset pricing tools, and financial options.
result Monetization and construction of country-specific environmental indices as dollar-denominated assets.

Stock market indices are one of the most investigated complex systems in econophysics. Here we extend the existing literature on stock markets in connection with nonextensive statistical mechanics. We explore the nonextensivity of price volatilities for 34 major stock market indices between 2010 and 2019. We discover t…

2019-01-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Financial market created for wellbeing indices to mitigate socioeconomic risks.

problem Risk mitigation in financial indices of socioeconomic wellbeing.
method Developed new quantitative measure, created financial market, and implemented insurance instruments.
result Optimal portfolio weights and efficient frontiers for wellbeing indices.

Cryptocurrency forecasting model considers macro, sentiment, and technical indicators.

problem High price volatility in cryptocurrency markets.
method Dual-prediction mechanism incorporating macroeconomic fluctuations, technical indicators, and individual cryptocurrency price changes.
result The proposed model outperforms ten comparison methods in short-term cryptocurrency forecasting.

Study shows diverse data sources improve cryptocurrency forecasting models.

problem Improving cryptocurrency market forecasting accuracy.
method Integrating various data types, including on-chain metrics, traditional indices, and macroeconomic indicators.
result Data source diversity significantly enhances forecasting model performance.

The study assesses how financial markets' efficiency changed during the COVID-19 crisis.

problem The impact of COVID-19 on financial market efficiency.
method Dynamic estimation method for Hurst exponent and memory parameter using alpha-stable distribution and dependence structure.
result Financial markets' efficiency varied during the COVID-19 crisis, with some indices showing less impact than others.

QTMRL uses RL with multi-indicators to improve trading adaptability.

problem Traditional trading models fail in volatile markets due to rigid assumptions.
method Combines multi-indicators with RL for adaptive portfolio management.
result QTMRL outperforms baselines in profitability and risk control.

Cubic predicts stock market indices by fusing stock latent embeddings and converting to binary classification.

problem Challenges in predicting stock market indices due to isolated time series treatment and simple regression.
method Fusion of stock latent embeddings, binary encoding classification, and confidence-guided prediction.
result Cubic outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in stock index prediction tasks.

Study uses CSIE to estimate portfolio volatility relative to market.

problem Estimating relative volatility risk of stock portfolios.
method Cross-sectional intrinsic entropy (CSIE) model to estimate cross-sectional volatility.
result Discover sets of symbols that outperform market indices in terms of return with similar or lower risk.

Study shows gain-loss asymmetry in stock indices using a q-spin Potts model.

problem Understanding the dynamics of stock indices in complex markets.
method Developed a q-spin Potts model to represent stock market dynamics.
result Observed a self-organized gain-loss asymmetry in stock indices.

With the random matrix theory, we study the spatial structure of the Chinese stock market, American stock market and global market indices. After taking into account the signs of the components in the eigenvectors of the cross-correlation matrix, we detect the subsector structure of the financial systems. The positive …

2012-01-31abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper we look at the efficacy of different risk measures on energy markets and across several different stock market indices. We use both the Value at Risk and the Tail Conditional Expectation on each of these data sets. We also consider several different durations and levels for historical risk measures. Throu…

2011-11-18abs ↗pdf ↗

This study examined how the correlation and network structure of 30 global indices and 145 local Korean indices belonging to the KOSPI 200 have changed during the 13-year period, 2000-2012. The correlations among the indices were calculated. The results showed that although the average correlations of the global indice…

2014-02-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Study finds intrinsic multifractality in maize and barley spot markets, but not in wheat and rice.

problem Understanding the complex price behavior of global grain spot markets.
method Utilized multifractal fluctuation analysis (MF-DFA) to investigate intrinsic multifractality.
result Intrinsic multifractality found in maize and barley sub-indices, but not in wheat and rice.

Study shows investor sentiment boosts intraday trading in Chinese markets.

problem Impact of investor sentiment on intraday overtrading in Chinese A-share markets.
method High-frequency sentiment indices from social media analyzed for intraday overtrading in CSI 300 and CSI 500 constituents.
result Investor sentiment significantly increases intraday overtrading, especially among institutional investors.

Study examines short-term stress of COVID-19 on major global stock indices.

problem Short-term impact of COVID-19 on global stock markets.
method Secondary data from 41 stock exchanges in 32 countries, focusing on first reported cases.
result Volatility in stock markets increases with the rise of COVID-19 cases, and there is a significant negative correlation.

Using data from world stock exchange indices prior to and during periods of global financial crises, clusters and networks of indices are built for different thresholds and diverse periods of time, so that it is then possible to analyze how clusters are formed according to correlations among indices and how they evolve…

2011-11-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Motivated by recent financial crises significant research efforts have been put into studying contagion effects and herding behaviour in financial markets. Much less has been said about influence of financial news on financial markets. We propose a novel measure of collective behaviour in financial news on the Web, New…

2014-02-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Large and stable indices of the world wide stock markets such as NYSE and SP 500 together with NASDAQ -- the index representing markets of new trends, and WIG -- the index of the local stock market of Eastern Europe, are considered. Due to the relation between artificial insymmetrised patterns (AIP) and time series, st…

2002-07-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Enhanced stock market strategy using stress index and financial news sentiment analysis.

problem Improving risk assessment and prediction in equity markets.
method Combines financial stress indicator with sentiment analysis of financial news.
result Improved performance with higher Sharpe ratio and reduced drawdowns.

Crypto-assets perform better than gold as safe-havens during market crashes.

problem Evaluating safe-haven properties of crypto-assets and gold during the 2020 market crash.
method Comparative analysis of Crypto-assets (Tether, Cardano, Dogecoin, Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin, Ripple) and gold for European indices.
result Tether, Cardano, and Dogecoin exhibited hedging properties similar to gold, while gold was not more efficient as a safe-haven.

Study finds ESG investments more resilient than traditional equity indices during market turmoil.

problem Resilience of ESG investments during financial instability.
method Daily returns analysis using MGND and EGARCH-in-mean models.
result ESG investments show higher resilience compared to traditional equity indices during crises.

New model predicts financial market abnormalities using stock index uncertainties.

problem Forecasting abnormal financial fluctuations in the market.
method Quantitative analysis of mean and volatility uncertainties, constructing early warning indicators.
result Established a new abnormal fluctuations warning model.

We show that recent stock market fluctuations are characterized by the cumulative distributions whose tails on short, minute time scales exhibit power scaling with the scaling index alpha > 3 and this index tends to increase quickly with decreasing sampling frequency. Our study is based on high-frequency recordings of …

2007-04-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Study examines market response to concentrated policy communication using entropy measures.

problem Characterizing market response under concentrated policy communication.
method Jointly examines dispersion and information complexity (entropy) using sliding window cumulative entropy.
result Entropy captures both market volatility and narrative constraints, signaling coherent policy-driven moves.

This paper optimizes cryptocurrency portfolios by integrating sentiment analysis with technical indicators.

problem Effective portfolio management in volatile cryptocurrency markets.
method Dynamic portfolio strategy using technical indicators and sentiment analysis.
result The integrated approach outperforms traditional benchmarks and achieves stronger risk-adjusted returns.

Analyzes how Trump's tweets impact global stock markets.

problem Understanding the financial impact of presidential tweets on stock markets.
method Examined tweets from Donald Trump's presidency, collected from The Guardian and Bloomberg, and analyzed their effect on equity indices.
result Identified tweets that significantly influenced stock market indices.