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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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2655307951,060 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for market generators

AlphaLogics mines market logic to generate interpretable alpha factors.

problem Complex, opaque alpha factors from factor mining overlook market logic.
method Market Logic Mining, Factor Generation and Optimization, Market Logic Generation and Optimization.
result AlphaLogics improves predictive metrics and risk-adjusted returns over baselines.

Paper generalizes Hardy-Rogers maps for market equilibrium analysis in duopoly markets.

problem Existence and uniqueness of market equilibrium in duopoly markets with non-differentiable, nonlinear response functions.
method Coupled fixed points approach for generalized Hardy-Rogers maps.
result Enriched understanding of market equilibrium in duopoly markets with non-differentiable response functions.

Generative Adversarial Networks simulate realistic market interactions.

problem Lack of agent-level historical data limits market simulation realism.
method Conditional Generative Adversarial Networks (CGANs) trained on real data.
result CGAN-based synthetic market generator outperforms previous methods in market responsiveness and realism.

TRADES generates realistic market simulations for financial modeling.

problem Generating realistic and responsive market simulations for financial tasks.
method TRADES uses a transformer-based denoising diffusion probabilistic engine to generate time series order flows conditioned on market state.
result TRADES improves market simulation metrics by 3.27-3.48 over state-of-the-art (SoTA) methods.

Market-GAN adds context control to financial market data generation.

problem Lack of context labels and precision in generating context-aligned financial data.
method Proposes Contextual Market Dataset and Market-GAN architecture integrating GAN, autoencoder, and supervisors.
result Market-GAN outperforms state-of-the-art models in Dow Jones data generation.

This research improves capital efficiency and impermanent loss in cryptocurrency markets using multi-token trading pools.

problem Poor impermanent loss and capital efficiency in automated market makers.
method Analysis and construction of a multi-token token proactive market maker (MPMM).
result MPMM shows better impermanent loss and capital efficiency than comparable market makers.

Almost twenty years ago, E.R. Fernholz introduced portfolio generating functions which can be used to construct a variety of portfolios, solely in the terms of the individual companies' market weights. I. Karatzas and J. Ruf recently developed another methodology for the functional construction of portfolios, which lea…

2018-09-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Financial market dynamics is rigorously studied via the exact generalized Langevin equation. Assuming market Brownian self-similarity, the market return rate memory and autocorrelation functions are derived, which exhibit an oscillatory-decaying behavior with a long-time tail, similar to empirical observations. Individ…

2010-10-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Modeling price formation in intraday electricity markets with renewable generation.

problem Price formation and optimal trading strategies in intraday electricity markets with intermittent renewable generation.
method Developed a tractable equilibrium model using stochastic control theory to identify optimal strategies and exhibit Nash equilibrium.
result Identified optimal trading strategies and exhibited Nash equilibrium in closed form for a finite number of agents and in the asymptotic framework of mean field games.

Study tests financial market efficiency using random number generator tests.

problem Check for informational efficiencies in financial markets.
method Analysed binary daily returns as random number generators, split analysis by annual and company levels, investigated longer-term efficiency over Nasdaq-listed companies.
result Information efficiency varies across years and reflects large-scale market impacts.
Open Marketsq-fin.MF

An open market is a subset of an entire equity market composed of a certain fixed number of top capitalization stocks. Though the number of stocks in the open market is fixed, the constituents of the market change over time as each company's rank by its market capitalization fluctuates. When one is allowed to invest al…

2019-12-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Two markets should be considered isomorphic if they are financially indistinguishable. We define a notion of isomorphism for financial markets in both discrete and continuous time. We then seek to identify the distinct isomorphism classes, that is to classify markets. We classify complete one-period markets. We define …

2018-10-08abs ↗pdf ↗

TradeFM learns market microstructure from trade events, improving financial model accuracy.

problem Lack of generalizable models for market microstructure.
method Generative Transformer model trained on billions of trade events, using scale-invariant features and universal tokenization.
result TradeFM generates rollouts that match key stylized facts of financial returns and outperforms existing models.

Neuro-symbolic traders suppress market prices, highlighting risks to stability.

problem Understanding and quantifying the influence of AI-generated financial models on markets.
method Developed virtual neuro-symbolic traders using deep generative models and tested them in a virtual market.
result Neuro-symbolic traders suppress market prices compared to historical data, indicating potential market instability.

In a financial market model, we consider variations of the problem of minimizing the expected time to upcross a certain wealth level. For exponential Levy markets, we show the asymptotic optimality of the growth-optimal portfolio for the above problem and obtain tight bounds for the value function for any wealth level.…

2009-04-13abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes binary option markets with exogenous information and price sensitivity.

problem Analyzing binary option markets with exogenous information and price sensitivity.
method Derive and analyze a continuous model of binary option markets with exogenous information, using Filippov surfaces and general assumptions on purchasing rules.
result Price always converges when exogenous information is constant, and price sensitivity affects price lag vs. information.

This study examines whether the efficiency of cryptocurrency markets (Bitcoin and Ethereum) evolve over time based on Lo's (2004) adaptive market hypothesis (AMH). In particular, we measure the degree of market efficiency using a generalized least squares-based time-varying model that does not depend on sample size, un…

2019-04-20abs ↗pdf ↗

A Deep Q-Learning framework tackles market-making by incorporating closing auctions.

problem Managing end-of-day risk in market-making models.
method Developed a Deep Q-Learning framework that anticipates closing auctions and continuously refines projected clearing prices.
result The Deep Q-Learning framework outperforms classical market-making models in simulations and real data.

Considered an important macroeconomic indicator, the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) on Manufacturing generally assumes that PMI announcements will produce an impact on stock markets. International experience suggests that stock markets react to negative PMI news. In this research, we empirically investigate the stock…

2018-06-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Study on liquidity and market efficiency in auction games with imperfect information.

problem Generating liquidity in illiquid auction markets with imperfect information.
method Characterized Nash equilibria in a two-player game with imperfect information, linking market spreads to signal strength.
result Without incentives, the market is inefficient and does not lead to trades. Quadratic fees indexed on half spread can generate liquidity.

China's stock market is the largest emerging market all over the world. It is widely accepted that the Chinese stock market is far from efficiency and it possesses possible linear and nonlinear dependence. We study the predictability of returns in the Chinese stock market by employing the wild bootstrap automatic varia…

2016-11-13abs ↗pdf ↗

We present a new framework for Hermite fractional financial markets, generalizing the fractional Brownian motion and fractional Rosenblatt markets. Considering pure and mixed Hermite markets, we introduce a strategy-specific arbitrage tax on the rate of transaction volume acceleration of the hedging portfolio as the pr…

2017-09-26abs ↗pdf ↗

This study uses AI to analyze financial market coverage from YouTube videos.

problem Challenges in analyzing a large number of financial market videos.
method Used Whisper model to generate text from videos, applied natural language processing.
result Highlights dynamics of financial market coverage and identifies trending topics.

Model approximates market prices and returns without prior market dynamics.

problem Simultaneously approximate market prices and log returns.
method GDN model of Kratsios and Papon (2022) for generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process.
result Universal approximation guarantees for conditional distributions and contingent claims.

We propose a simple stochastic model of market behavior. Dividing market participants into two groups: trend-followers and fundamentalists, we derive the general form of a stochastic equation of market dynamics. The model has two characteristic time scales: the time of changes of market environment and the characterist…

2003-07-08abs ↗pdf ↗

A generalization of the Cont-Bouchaud market model to three markets agrees with the correlations netween New York, Tokyo, and Frankfurt observed by Vandewalle et al.

2001-10-22abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes how stock market dimensionality changes impact portfolio performance.

problem Impact of dimensional changes on portfolio performance in a changing market.
method Development of self-financing stock portfolios in a stochastic portfolio theory framework with dimensional jumps.
result Quantification of how listing or delisting events and market shocks affect portfolio return.

Uniswap -- and other constant product markets -- appear to work well in practice despite their simplicity. In this paper, we give a simple formal analysis of constant product markets and their generalizations, showing that, under some common conditions, these markets must closely track the reference market price. We al…

2019-11-08abs ↗pdf ↗

This study optimizes crypto-market trading conditions without assuming convexity.

problem Optimizing crypto-market trading conditions without convexity.
method Rigorous mathematical analysis of constant function market makers under quasilinear trade functions.
result Quasilinear trade functions can replicate convex functions' robustness against arbitrage.

In this paper we explore the usage of deep reinforcement learning algorithms to automatically generate consistently profitable, robust, uncorrelated trading signals in any general financial market. In order to do this, we present a novel Markov decision process (MDP) model to capture the financial trading markets. We r…

2019-07-09abs ↗pdf ↗