Solves a 60-year-old question on agreement measures in statistics.
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An explicit solution found for maximizing/minimizing agreement in a 2x2 table.
Near isospectrality forces full isospectrality for compact quotients of symmetric spaces.
ITF improves DSR but inflates curvature, while marginal likelihood reduces it, affecting QoIs.
Study examines liquidation, leverage, and optimal margin requirements in Bitcoin futures markets.
We consider the problem of learning an interpretable potential energy function from a Hamiltonian system's trajectories. We address this problem for classical, separable Hamiltonian systems. Our approach first constructs a neural network model of the potential and then applies an equation discovery technique to extract…
We solve the Plateau problem for marginally outer trapped surfaces in general Cauchy data sets. We employ the Perron method and tools from geometric measure theory to force and control a blow-up of Jang's equation. Substantial new geometric insights regarding the lower order properties of marginally outer trapped surfa…
Neural network models colloidal particle dynamics in non-equilibrium systems.
Proposes a Coulomb-like model for international trade flows, fitting real-world data.
Machine learning reconstructs aerodynamic forces from noisy data.
This paper generalizes the framework for arbitrage-free valuation of bilateral counterparty risk to the case where collateral is included, with possible re-hypotecation. We analyze how the payout of claims is modified when collateral margining is included in agreement with current ISDA documentation. We then specialize…
An active margin system for margin loans is proposed for Chinese margin lending market, which uses cash and randomly selected stock as collateral. The conditional probability of negative return(CPNR) after a forced sale of securities from under-margined account in a falling market is used to measure the risk faced by t…
Initial margin requirements are becoming an increasingly common feature of derivative markets. However, while the valuation of derivatives under collateralisation (Piterbarg 2010, Piterbarg2012), under counterparty risk with unsecured funding costs (FVA) (Burgard2011, Burgard2011, Burgard2013) and in the presence of re…
In this article, we combine replication pricing with expectation pricing for derivative trades that are partially collateralized by cash. The derivatives are replicated by underlying assets and cash, using repurchasing agreement (repo) and margining, which incur funding costs. We derive a partial differential equation …
We analyze the counterparty risk embedded in CDS contracts, in presence of a bilateral margin agreement. First, we investigate the pricing of collateralized counterparty risk and we derive the bilateral Credit Valuation Adjustment (CVA), unilateral Credit Valuation Adjustment (UCVA) and Debt Valuation Adjustment (DVA).…
In this paper we discuss the issue of computation of the bilateral credit valuation adjustment (CVA) under rating triggers, and in presence of ratings-linked margin agreements. Specifically, we consider collateralized OTC contracts, that are subject to rating triggers, between two parties -- an investor and a counterpa…
Enhances financial data signal-to-noise ratio using auto-encoders and mutual regularization.
A capsule is a collection of neurons which represents different variants of a pattern in the network. The routing scheme ensures only certain capsules which resemble lower counterparts in the higher layer should be activated. However, the computational complexity becomes a bottleneck for scaling up to larger networks, …
NDDV estimates data point value from a single stochastic trajectory.
In this article we investigate the restrictions imposed by the dominant energy condition (DEC) on the topology and conformal type of \textsl{possibly non-compact} marginally outer-trapped surfaces (thus extending Hawking's classical theorem on the topology of black holes). We first prove that an unbounded, stable margi…
This paper characterizes the equilibrium in a continuous time financial market populated by heterogeneous agents who differ in their rate of relative risk aversion and face convex portfolio constraints. The model is studied in an application to margin constraints and found to match real world observations about financi…
We present a detailed study on the mean first-passage time of volatility processes. We analyze the theoretical expressions based on the most common stochastic volatility models along with empirical results extracted from daily data of major financial indices. We find in all these data sets a very similar behavior that …
Simulated DAGs can mislead structure learning algorithms due to variance patterns.
Short sales are regarded as negative purchases in textbook asset pricing theory. In reality, however, the symmetry between purchases and short sales is broken by a variety of costs and risks peculiar to the latter. We formulate an optimal stopping model in which the decision to cover a short position is affected by two…
Proposes RLAR for efficient labeled data classification with robust margin and manifold structure.
Study benchmarks label noise detection methods, identifying best practices.
Locational Marginal Pricing aims to free UK power markets.
New method learns population dynamics from snapshots, outperforming existing models.
Speaker Recognition is a challenging task with essential applications such as authentication, automation, and security. The SincNet is a new deep learning based model which has produced promising results to tackle the mentioned task. To train deep learning systems, the loss function is essential to the network performa…
This paper provides a methodology for fast and accurate pricing of the long-dated contracts that arise as the building blocks of insurance and pension fund agreements. It applies the recursive marginal quantization (RMQ) and joint recursive marginal quantization (JRMQ) algorithms outside the framework of traditional ri…
This work introduces significativity indices for agreement values between classifiers.
Since Hobson's seminal paper [D. Hobson: Robust hedging of the lookback option. In: Finance Stoch. (1998)] the connection between model-independent pricing and the Skorokhod embedding problem has been a driving force in robust finance. We establish a general pricing-hedging duality for financial derivatives which are s…
SNAP improves robust computation by emphasizing trustworthy items and downweighting outliers.
A linear and lagged relationship between inflation, unemployment and labor force change rate, p(t)=A0UE(t-t0)+A1dLF(t-t1)/LF(t-t1)+ A2, where A0, A1, and A2 are empirical country-specific coefficients, was found for developed economies. The relationship obtained for France is characterized by A0=-1, A1=4, A2=0.095, t0=…
We propose a quasi-Monte Carlo algorithm for pricing knock-out and knock-in barrier options under the Heston (1993) stochastic volatility model. This is done by modifying the LT method from Imai and Tan (2006) for the Heston model such that the first uniform variable does not influence the stochastic volatility path an…
Optimizes UUV hull design with a two-orders-of-magnitude speedup.
Discriminatory trade liberalization policies are becoming more popular among world economies. Countries are motivated to enter for regional trade agreements to capture faster economic growth for alleviating poverty. In developing economies like most of the member countries of the Association of South East Asian Nations…
Model predicts EMF of Ni-Mn-Ga MSMA, improved with GRNN.
Although not a formal pricing consideration, gap risk or hedging errors are the norm of derivatives businesses. Starting with the gap risk during a margin period of risk of a repurchase agreement (repo), this article extends the Black-Scholes-Merton option pricing framework by introducing a reserve capital approach to …
New method uses normalizing flows to improve force fields for coarse-grained molecular dynamics.
New algorithm efficiently trains machine learning models to atomic forces data.
The use of CVA to cover credit risk is widely spread, but has its limitations. Namely, dealers face the problem of the illiquidity of instruments used for hedging it, hence forced to warehouse credit risk. As a result, dealers tend to offer a limited OTC derivatives market to highly risky counterparties. Consequently, …
Deep ReLU networks generalize well with few parameters.
The paper integrates dissipative and curl forces using geometric methods.
Choice models, which capture popular preferences over objects of interest, play a key role in making decisions whose eventual outcome is impacted by human choice behavior. In most scenarios, the choice model, which can effectively be viewed as a distribution over permutations, must be learned from observed data. The ob…
LFD method improves text classification by making features clearer and less label-leaking.
Improved CG force-field learning from all-atom data.
Financial markets are exposed to systemic risk (SR), the risk that a major fraction of the system ceases to function, and collapses. It has recently become possible to quantify SR in terms of underlying financial networks where nodes represent financial institutions, and links capture the size and maturity of assets (l…