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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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4794140187 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for marginal memory

mGRN improves multivariate time series prediction by managing marginal and joint memories.

problem Extracting dependencies in multivariate sequential data with strong serial and cross-sectional dependencies.
method Developed a novel recurrent network architecture, Memory-Gated Recurrent Networks (mGRN), with gates for marginal and joint memories.
result mGRN consistently outperforms state-of-the-art architectures on various public datasets.

The paper explores how gradient descent trains associative memories, revealing oscillations and convergence issues.

problem Training dynamics of associative memories in overparameterized and underparameterized settings.
method Reduction to particle system dynamics, theory, and experiments.
result Oscillatory transitory regimes and benign loss spikes in overparameterized settings, suboptimal memorization in underparameterized settings.

Many robotic applications require the agent to perform long-horizon tasks in partially observable environments. In such applications, decision making at any step can depend on observations received far in the past. Hence, being able to properly memorize and utilize the long-term history is crucial. In this work, we pro…

2019-03-09abs ↗pdf ↗

One of the major challenges in training deep architectures for predictive tasks is the scarcity and cost of labeled training data. Active Learning (AL) is one way of addressing this challenge. In stream-based AL, observations are continuously made available to the learner that have to decide whether to request a label …

2019-09-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Linear memory stores associations up to a logarithmic scale, but listwise retrieval can handle a quadratic scale.

problem How many key-value associations can a linear memory store?
method Analyzed linear memory models for top-1 and listwise retrieval, proving phase transitions and developing asymptotic theories.
result Linear memory has a logarithmic capacity for top-1 retrieval and a quadratic capacity for listwise retrieval.

We introduce a new sequential Monte Carlo algorithm we call the particle cascade. The particle cascade is an asynchronous, anytime alternative to traditional particle filtering algorithms. It uses no barrier synchronizations which leads to improved particle throughput and memory efficiency. It is an anytime algorithm i…

2014-07-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Modeling financial markets with memory using fractional calculus and Brownian motion.

problem Capturing memory effects in financial markets using stochastic models.
method Fractional Langevin equation with colored noise generated by fractional Brownian motion.
result Anomalous marginal glass phase observed in some regions of the system.

Deep learning typically requires training a very capable architecture using large datasets. However, many important learning problems demand an ability to draw valid inferences from small size datasets, and such problems pose a particular challenge for deep learning. In this regard, various researches on "meta-learning…

2017-10-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Multi-class classification with a very large number of classes, or extreme classification, is a challenging problem from both statistical and computational perspectives. Most of the classical approaches to multi-class classification, including one-vs-rest or multi-class support vector machines, require the exact estima…

2018-11-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Efficient algorithm predicts unknown linear systems with long-term memory.

problem Predicting unknown and partially observed linear dynamical systems with long-term memory.
method Bounding the generalized Kolmogorov width of the Kalman filter model using spectral methods and conducting tight convex relaxation.
result Competes with Kalman filter in hindsight with only logarithmic regret.

We consider the problem of online prediction in a marginally stable linear dynamical system subject to bounded adversarial or (non-isotropic) stochastic perturbations. This poses two challenges. Firstly, the system is in general unidentifiable, so recent and classical results on parameter recovery do not apply. Secondl…

2020-02-06abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithms improve GP inference without approximations, achieving better results.

problem Inexact stochastic optimization methods in Gaussian Processes leading to biased results.
method Exact stochastic inference for GPs with finite dimensional RKHS, extending to infinite dimensions.
result Achieves better experimental results than existing methods in constrained resource settings.

Unified framework for removing unwanted information from machine learning models.

problem Removing undesirable features or data points from machine learning models while preserving utility.
method Information-theoretic regularization approach for data point and feature unlearning.
result Unified mathematical framework with provable guarantees for both data point and feature unlearning.

The study proves necessary conditions for robust decision-making in uncertain environments.

problem Conditions for robust decision-making in uncertain environments.
method Quantitative selection theorems and binary betting decisions.
result World models, belief-like memory, and persistent variables are necessary for strong task performance.

New theorems show agents need specific internal structures to perform well under uncertainty.

problem How do agents need to be structured to perform well under uncertainty?
method Proved selection theorems showing strong task performance forces specific internal structures.
result Strong task performance forces world models, belief-like memory, and persistent regime-tracking variables.

We show that a simple modification of the 1-nearest neighbor classifier yields a strongly Bayes consistent learner. Prior to this work, the only strongly Bayes consistent proximity-based method was the k-nearest neighbor classifier, for k growing appropriately with sample size. We will argue that a margin-regularized 1…

2014-07-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Recurrent neural networks have achieved excellent performance in many applications. However, on portable devices with limited resources, the models are often too large to deploy. For applications on the server with large scale concurrent requests, the latency during inference can also be very critical for costly comput…

2018-02-01abs ↗pdf ↗

In this work, we investigate Batch Normalization technique and propose its probabilistic interpretation. We propose a probabilistic model and show that Batch Normalization maximazes the lower bound of its marginalized log-likelihood. Then, according to the new probabilistic model, we design an algorithm which acts cons…

2018-02-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Variational inference (VI) and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) are two main approximate approaches for learning deep generative models by maximizing marginal likelihood. In this paper, we propose using annealed importance sampling for learning deep generative models. Our proposed approach bridges VI with MCMC. It gener…

2019-06-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Stochastic gradient MCMC (SG-MCMC) algorithms have proven useful in scaling Bayesian inference to large datasets under an assumption of i.i.d data. We instead develop an SG-MCMC algorithm to learn the parameters of hidden Markov models (HMMs) for time-dependent data. There are two challenges to applying SG-MCMC in this…

2017-06-14abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper proposes new cross-correlators using Price's Theorem and piecewise-linear decomposition.

problem Optimal method for estimating cross-correlations using finite samples.
method General mathematical framework using Price's Theorem and piecewise-linear decomposition.
result Some cross-correlators based on Huber's loss functions, MP functions, and LSE functions have higher SNR.

It was recently shown that architectural, regularization and rehearsal strategies can be used to train deep models sequentially on a number of disjoint tasks without forgetting previously acquired knowledge. However, these strategies are still unsatisfactory if the tasks are not disjoint but constitute a single increme…

2018-06-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper develops methods for estimating and forecasting integer-valued trawl processes.

problem Estimation and forecasting of continuous-time integer-valued trawl processes.
method Composite likelihood methods, focusing on pairwise likelihood.
result Consistency and asymptotic normality of the estimator in the short memory case.

Heretofore, neural networks with external memory are restricted to single memory with lossy representations of memory interactions. A rich representation of relationships between memory pieces urges a high-order and segregated relational memory. In this paper, we propose to separate the storage of individual experience…

2020-02-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Study uses IMFs and neural networks to predict economic time series, enhancing interpretability.

problem Improving prediction accuracy and interpretability of economic time series.
method Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMFs) derived from economic time series, combined with DeepSHAP for interpretability.
result The last IMFs are most influential, and high-frequency IMFs introduce noise.

DeepCCG adapts classifiers to representation shifts in one step.

problem Adapting classifiers to shifts in continuous representation.
method Empirical Bayesian approach using class conditional Gaussian classifier and KL divergence for selection.
result DeepCCG reduces performance change due to representation shifts.

Stable Hadamard Memory improves reinforcement learning by efficiently managing memory.

problem Memory models struggle in partially observable reinforcement learning environments.
method Introduces a novel memory model using the Hadamard product for efficient memory management and updates.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art memory-based methods on challenging benchmarks.

Many applications in speech, robotics, finance, and biology deal with sequential data, where ordering matters and recurrent structures are common. However, this structure cannot be easily captured by standard kernel functions. To model such structure, we propose expressive closed-form kernel functions for Gaussian proc…

2016-10-27abs ↗pdf ↗

New memory allocation scheme improves image generation performance.

problem Improving episodic and semantic memory representation in neural networks.
method Developed a hierarchical latent variable model with differentiable, locally block allocated latent memory.
result Improved conditional likelihood values on various datasets.

DAM with MRL improves relational reasoning in MANNs.

problem Limited performance of associative memory networks on complex relational reasoning tasks.
method Distributed Associative Memory architecture with Memory Refreshing Loss.
result Enhanced relation reasoning performance of MANNs on long temporal sequence data.

Unified statistical framework for LSTM model selection.

problem Model selection and hyperparameter tuning in LSTM networks is heuristic and computationally expensive.
method Proposes a statistical framework extending classical model selection ideas to LSTM networks.
result Improved performance of the proposed framework demonstrated on biomedical data.

We discuss memory models which are based on tensor decompositions using latent representations of entities and events. We show how episodic memory and semantic memory can be realized and discuss how new memory traces can be generated from sensory input: Existing memories are the basis for perception and new memories ar…

2017-08-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Model combines long-term and short-term memory using conceptors.

problem Transfer between long-term and short-term memory.
method Recurrent neural network with gated reservoir for short-term memory and conceptors for long-term memory.
result Standard operations on conceptors allow combining long-term memories and describing their effect on short-term memory.