Extended model ensures long-term survival of traders in limited stock market participation.
problem Limited stock market participation and survival of traders over long periods.
method Extended Basak and Cuoco (1998) model with different time-preference coefficients.
result Parameter restrictions ensure long-term survival of traders.
Background: Many authors have described MELD as a predictor of short-term mortality in the liver transplantation waiting list. However MELD score accuracy to predict long term mortality has not been statistically evaluated. Objective: The aim of this study is to analyze the MELD score as well as other variables as a pr…
Bayesian model improves cure fraction estimation in survival analysis.
problem Estimating cure fraction in survival analysis.
method Hierarchical Bayesian framework for semiparametric mixture cure model.
result Improved accuracy in capturing unobserved heterogeneity.
A framework combining HSMM and survival analysis for lifecycle-oriented mobility analysis.
problem Understanding individual metro usage dynamics over multi-year horizons.
method A state-based lifecycle modeling framework integrating HSMM and discrete-time survival analysis.
result Identification of interpretable mobility states, transition dynamics, and state-dependent exit and re-entry processes.
Extends Kyle model to multiple traders with different time-preference coefficients.
problem Existence and convergence of discrete-time Kyle models with multiple insiders.
method Extends Basak and Cuoco's model to include traders with different time-preference coefficients.
result Parameter restrictions ensure the existence of a Radner equilibrium and long-term survival of traders.
An optimal dynamic treatment regime (DTR) consists of a sequence of decision rules in maximizing long-term benefits, which is applicable for chronic diseases such as HIV infection or cancer. In this paper, we develop a novel angle-based approach to search the optimal DTR under a multicategory treatment framework for su…
Predict water pipe failures using machine learning and survival analysis.
problem Difficulty in accessing water pipes for maintenance.
method Classical and modern classifiers for short-term prediction, survival analysis for long-term forecast, and oversampling technique for imbalanced data.
result Identifies important risk factors for water pipe failures.
TMLE improves IPM estimation for ecological population dynamics.
problem Estimating key demographic properties from IPM data.
method Targeted Maximum Likelihood Estimation (TMLE) for IPMs.
result Robust and efficient estimators for IPM properties.
Unified framework for automatic debiased machine learning for various statistical parameters.
problem Inference on smooth functionals of nonparametric M-estimands.
method Unified framework using gradient, Hessian, and linear approximation; solves two risk minimization problems.
result Efficient autoDML estimators with double robustness and robustness to misspecification.
SurvMixClust clusters survival data and predicts individual survival curves.
problem Integrating clustering into survival analysis for precision medicine.
method SurvMixClust learns latent representations for clustering and predicts survival functions using a mixture of non-parametric experts.
result SurvMixClust creates balanced clusters with distinct survival curves, outperforming clustering baselines and competing with non-clustering models in predictive accuracy.
The paper predicts survival functions using random survival trees and concordance maximization.
problem Predicting conditional survival functions in right-censored data.
method The approach combines regression strategies with random survival trees and maximizes concordance.
result The proposed weighted predictor outperforms the usual survival cobra in terms of concordance.
Survival kernets scale deep kernel survival analysis to large datasets with interpretability and theoretical guarantees.
problem Scalable and interpretable deep kernel survival analysis for large datasets.
method Survival kernets use kernel netting for training set compression and XGBoost for warm-starting neural architecture search.
result Survival kernets achieve optimal time-dependent concordance index on various survival analysis datasets.
Survival MDN uses invertible functions to speed up survival analysis models.
problem Training neural ODEs for survival analysis is computationally expensive.
method Survival MDN applies an invertible positive function to MDN outputs.
result Survival MDN outperforms or matches other models on concordance, Brier score, and log-likelihood.
RSM provides insights into deep survival models' decision-making.
problem Ensuring trust in deep survival models' predictions for healthcare applications.
method Reverse survival model (RSM) framework that explains deep survival models' decisions.
result RSM extracts relevant features for deep survival models' predictions.
Neural network learns kernel functions for survival analysis and prediction intervals.
problem Predicting survival times for individuals based on similar training subjects.
method Develops a neural network framework to learn kernel functions for kernel survival analysis and uses these to construct valid prediction intervals.
result Neural network survival estimators are competitive with existing methods and provide valid prediction intervals.
Reduces survival analysis to common regression tasks.
problem Applying standard machine learning tools to survival analysis.
method Various reduction techniques to simplify survival analysis.
result Benchmark analysis shows improved predictive performance.
A new method clusters survival data using deep variational models.
problem Clustering survival data, a challenging task.
method Semi-supervised probabilistic approach with deep generative model.
result The method outperforms previous models in clustering and predicting survival times.
We investigate the effect of the proportional hazards assumption on prognostic and predictive models of the survival time of patients suffering from amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS). We theoretically compare the underlying model formulations of several variants of survival forests and implementations thereof, includ…
Optimal Survival Trees improve accuracy in medical data analysis.
problem Analyzing censored outcomes in medical data.
method Mixed-integer optimization and local search techniques.
result Improves accuracy in large datasets compared to existing methods.
A new microeconomic model is presented that aims at a description of the long-term unit sales and price evolution of homogeneous non-durable goods in polypoly markets. It merges the product lifecycle approach with the price dispersion dynamics of homogeneous goods. The model predicts a minimum critical lifetime of non-…
RSF models censored functional data for better survival analysis.
problem Modeling survival trajectories with censored data.
method Random Survival Forest for Censored Functional Data (RSF).
result Good performance in predicting survival variables.
Improves survival analysis across multiple domains with machine learning.
problem Adapting survival analysis to new or rare illness types with limited labeled data.
method Introduces a new survival metric and discrepancy measure for censored data, enabling domain adaptation.
result Superb performance on target domains, better treatment recommendations, and interpretable weight matrix.
HACSurv models dependencies between competing risks and censoring for improved survival analysis.
problem Inaccurate survival predictions due to ignoring dependencies between competing risks and censoring.
method HACSurv uses hierarchical Archimedean copulas to model dependencies and cause-specific survival functions.
result HACSurv improves accuracy in survival predictions and captures complex risk interactions.
Optimal survival trees ensemble reduces tree count and improves predictive performance.
problem Improving predictive performance in survival analysis.
method Grows a forest of optimal survival trees by ranking and selecting the best trees based on out-of-bag error.
result Reduces the number of trees in the ensemble while improving predictive performance.
In this paper we utilize a survival analysis methodology incorporating Bayesian additive regression trees to account for nonlinear and additive covariate effects. We compare the performance of Bayesian additive regression trees, Cox proportional hazards and random survival forests models for censored survival data, usi…
Efficiently clusters survival curves without computationally intensive resampling.
problem Identifying clusters of survival curves efficiently and scalably.
method Log-rank test combined with k-means clustering.
result Achieves comparable results to bootstrap-based methods but with improved efficiency.
Interpretable survival analysis improves heart failure risk prediction.
problem Improving heart failure risk prediction using survival analysis.
method Survival stacking, ControlBurn, Explainable Boosting Machines.
result Achieves state-of-the-art performance and provides novel insights.
auton-survival simplifies survival analysis for healthcare data.
problem Handling censored time-to-event data in healthcare.
method Open-source package for survival regression, adjustment, counterfactual estimation, phenotyping, and treatment effects.
result Demonstrates auton-survival's ability to support complex health and epidemiological questions.
SurvBESA predicts survival times using ensemble methods with self-attention.
problem Challenges in survival analysis due to censored data and unstable predictions.
method SurvBESA combines Beran estimators with a self-attention mechanism to predict survival times.
result SurvBESA outperforms state-of-the-art models in predicting survival times.
Data-driven approaches which aim to identify and predict player engagement are becoming increasingly popular in games industry contexts. This is due to the growing practice of tracking and storing large volumes of in-game telemetries coupled with a desire to tailor the gaming experience to the end-user's needs. These a…
GBEST model improves survival analysis for small datasets.
problem Challenges in survival analysis, especially with small data.
method Bayesian bootstrap and Beta Stacy bootstrap methods integrated into bagging tree models.
result GBEST model outperforms classical survival models in predictive performance and stability.
SurvFD and SurvSHAP-IQ provide interpretable survival models by analyzing feature interactions.
problem Non-additivity of hazard and survival functions limits standard additive explanation methods.
method SurvFD decomposes higher-order effects into time-dependent and time-independent components, extending Shapley interactions to time-indexed functions.
result SurvFD and SurvSHAP-IQ offer a new perspective on survival explanations, explicitly characterizing feature interactions.
Enhances patient failure prediction using dynamic survival models.
problem Lack of precise individual level prediction in conventional models.
method Developed counterfactual dynamic survival model (CDSM).
result Inflection point of estimated survival curves predicts patient failure time.
FinSurvival provides a large-scale financial survival modeling benchmark.
problem Lack of large-scale, realistic, and freely available datasets for benchmarking AI survival models.
method Derived 16 survival modeling tasks from cryptocurrency lending data using an automated pipeline.
result Demonstrated that existing AI survival models are not well-suited for these challenging tasks.
Paper proposes a new combined regression strategy for conditional survival prediction.
problem Improving survival prediction accuracy using conditional survival function.
method Uses regression-based weak learners with area-norm proximity measure to create an ensemble technique.
result The proposed model outperforms Random Survival Forest and selects important variables effectively.
Paper proposes robust methods for estimating optimal treatment rules with censored survival data.
problem Estimating optimal treatment rules for censored survival data.
method Developed two robust criteria and a sampling-based difference-of-convex algorithm for learning optimal treatment rules.
result Proposed methods show improved performance compared to existing methods in simulations and real data.
Bayesian framework improves survival prediction accuracy and uncertainty quantification.
problem Inaccurate uncertainty estimates in survival models.
method Bayesian framework combining variational inference, neural multi-task logistic regression, and sparsity-inducing prior.
result Better quantification of survival uncertainty and more accurate predictions.
To survive in the dynamically-evolving world, we accumulate knowledge and improve our skills based on experience. In the process, gaining new knowledge does not disrupt our vigilance to external stimuli. In other words, our learning process is 'accumulative' and 'online' without interruption. However, despite the recen…
CDVI improves variational inference for survival analysis by considering censoring mechanisms.
problem Challenges in applying variational methods to survival data, especially the dependence on censoring.
method Censor-dependent variational inference (CDVI) tailored for latent variable models in survival analysis.
result Significant improvements in estimating individual survival distributions.
Enhances interpretability of functional survival models.
problem Lack of interpretability in functional survival models limits practical use.
method Introduces novel methods to enhance interpretability of FST and explainability of FRSF.
result Proposed methods yield efficient, easy-to-understand decision trees.
SurvHTE-Bench benchmarks HTE estimation in survival analysis with diverse datasets.
problem Challenges in estimating HTEs from right-censored survival data.
method Modular synthetic datasets, semi-synthetic datasets, and real-world datasets.
result First rigorous comparison of survival HTE methods under diverse conditions.
R package for machine learning in survival analysis.
problem Limited machine learning interfaces for survival analysis.
method Provides a comprehensive machine learning interface for survival analysis.
result Systematic infrastructure for survival modeling and evaluation.
SurvivalPFN simplifies survival analysis through amortized Bayesian inference.
problem Selecting appropriate survival analysis methods requires expertise and can be time-consuming.
method SurvivalPFN uses a prior-data fitted network for in-context Bayesian inference.
result SurvivalPFN achieves strong predictive performance across diverse datasets.
New methods estimate survival functions with time-varying covariates.
problem Estimating survival functions with time-varying covariates.
method Generalized conditional inference and relative risk forests, adapted transformation forest.
result Proposed methods outperform traditional models in estimating survival functions.
DyS model improves survival analysis accuracy and interpretability.
problem Accurate and interpretable survival analysis models for healthcare.
method Feature-sparse Generalized Additive Model combining feature selection and interpretable prediction.
result DyS model outperforms other survival analysis models in interpretability and accuracy.
There has been increasing interest in modelling survival data using deep learning methods in medical research. Current approaches have focused on designing special cost functions to handle censored survival data. We propose a very different method with two steps. In the first step, we transform each subject's survival …
TabSurv adapts tabular neural networks for survival analysis.
problem Survival analysis on tabular data using deep learning methods.
method Adapts modern tabular architectures to survival analysis using Weibull distribution or non-parametric prediction. Optimizes SurvHL histogram loss function.
result TabSurv consistently outperforms classical and deep learning baselines on 10 real-world survival datasets.
Credit scoring plays a vital role in the field of consumer finance. Survival analysis provides an advanced solution to the credit-scoring problem by quantifying the probability of survival time. In order to deal with highly heterogeneous industrial data collected in Chinese market of consumer finance, we propose a nonp…