We investigate how simultaneously recorded long-range power-law correlated multi-variate signals cross-correlate. To this end we introduce a two-component ARFIMA stochastic process and a two-component FIARCH process to generate coupled fractal signals with long-range power-law correlations which are at the same time lo…
Paper fine-tunes a language model to predict long-term stock buy signals.
problem Predicting long-term stock price movements with narrative text.
method Fine-tuning a small language model on 10-K reports for buy/sell decisions.
result Buy signals generated from 10-K text are most precise at 6 and 9 months, providing 4.8-9% improvement over random selection.
Study uses LCRN to detect driver distraction from EEG signals.
problem Improving road safety by detecting driver distraction.
method Used a Long-term Recurrent Convolutional Network (LCRN) for EEG-based driver distraction detection.
result LCRN model outperformed state-of-the-art TSC models in detecting driver distraction.
DICOD creates efficient shift-invariant representations for long signals.
problem Creating efficient shift-invariant representations for long signals.
method DICOD is a distributed convolutional sparse coding algorithm based on coordinate descent with locally greedy updates.
result DICOD achieves super-linear computational speed-up in a distributed setting.
In this paper, we show an approach to build deep learning algorithms for recognizing signals in distributed fiber optic monitoring and security systems for long perimeters. Synthesizing such detection algorithms poses a non-trivial research and development challenge, because these systems face stringent error (type I a…
The paper studies phase transitions in random matrices and tensor unfolding for detecting signals.
problem Phase transitions in singular values and vectors of large random matrices.
method Analysis of singular values and vectors of long rectangular random matrices, and tensor unfolding algorithm for asymmetric rank-one spiked tensor models.
result An exact threshold for tensor unfolding to detect signals, independent of unfolding procedure.
Improved signal processing for long-distance optical signals.
problem Compensating walk-off effect in long-distance optical signals.
method Sub-banded DSP architecture with deep learning for walk-off compensation.
result 2.8 dB SNR improvement over linear equalization.
New LSTM variants reduce complexity and parameters without sacrificing performance.
problem Complexity and large parameters in LSTM networks.
method Eliminating combinations of gating signals to reduce parameters.
result Three new LSTM variants achieve comparable performance to standard LSTM with fewer parameters.
Spectral methods predict long-term signals from linear and nonlinear systems.
problem Forecasting temporal signals from linear and nonlinear systems with arbitrary sampling.
method Introduces a spectral algorithm for linear signals and extends it to nonlinear systems using Koopman theory.
result The spectral methods achieve high accuracy in forecasting and uncertainty quantification.
Unified deep learning approach for time series forecasting using VMD-CNN-LSTM.
problem Time series forecasting problem.
method Proposes a unified deep learning approach with decomposition-reconstruction-ensemble framework using VMD-CNN-LSTM.
result The proposed approach outperforms benchmark approaches in forecasting accuracy.
Quaternion neural networks improve distant speech recognition.
problem Challenges in distant speech recognition due to noise and reverberation.
method Quaternion neural networks process multi-channel audio signals as quaternion entities, capturing internal and external dependencies.
result QLSTM outperforms real-valued LSTM on multi-channel distant speech recognition tasks.
HFformer outperforms LSTM in high-frequency trading with multiple signals.
problem Improving high-frequency trading performance using deep learning models.
method Introducing HFformer, a hybrid Transformer model for time series forecasting.
result HFformer achieves higher cumulative PnL than LSTM in backtesting.
AI investors signal higher debt in ESG firms, boosting portfolio management.
problem Determining the value of ESG investing amid AI investment trends.
method Cross-sectional regressions of ESG scores and debt ratios of S&P 500 firms.
result ESG scores signal higher debt in firms, supporting ESG investing.
Detects missing tensor signals in a KS subspace with high probability.
problem Detecting tensor signals with many missing entities in a KS subspace.
method Projecting the signal onto the KS subspace and bounding residual energy.
result Reliable detection is possible if the missing signal cardinality exceeds KS subspace dimensions.
Paper presents methods to create stock price confidence intervals using LSTM models.
problem Creating accurate confidence intervals for LSTM-estimated stock prices.
method Three bootstrap methods for dependent data, optimal block length selection, and benchmark comparison.
result Illustrated through stock price data, different bootstrap strategies provide varying confidence intervals.
Novel method detects spike-and-wave patterns in EEG signals.
problem Manual classification of spike-and-wave discharges in EEG signals is time-consuming and error-prone.
method The method divides EEG signals into time segments, applies Morlet 1-D decomposition, extracts scale, variance, and median from wavelet coefficients, and uses a k-NN classifier.
result The proposed method achieved 100% accuracy in detecting spike-and-wave patterns.
Paper presents DL models for ECG signal denoising.
problem Efficient denoising of ECG signals for wearable devices.
method CNNs, LSTM, RBM, filtering methods, wavelet-based technique.
result CNN model performs well for offline denoising.
GACELA fills long gaps in musical audio with a GAN and context conditioning.
problem Restoring long gaps in musical audio with varying complexity and duration.
method Generative adversarial network (GAN) with five parallel discriminators and context conditioning.
result Reduced artifacts in inpaintings from unacceptable to mildly disturbing.
LSTMs improve bond yield forecasting with unique signals.
problem Improving bond yield forecasting accuracy.
method Long short-term memory (LSTM) networks with sequence-to-sequence architectures and LSTM-LagLasso methodology.
result Univariate LSTM models with additional memory can achieve similar results as multivariate MLP models using exogenous information.
Model combines long-term and short-term memory using conceptors.
problem Transfer between long-term and short-term memory.
method Recurrent neural network with gated reservoir for short-term memory and conceptors for long-term memory.
result Standard operations on conceptors allow combining long-term memories and describing their effect on short-term memory.
TRP uses tree-based approach for market-neutral portfolios.
problem Creating non-binary, market-neutral portfolios with signed signals.
method Tree-based portfolio construction with minimum-spanning-tree and sector-anchored variants.
result TRP outperforms HRP in preserving signal direction and managing exposures.
The study finds cash productivity predicts stock performance in a specific subset of firms.
problem Predicting future stock performance using cash productivity.
method Using financial and market data, calculated cash returns as a proxy for operational efficiency, and tested a long-only strategy on Nasdaq-listed non-financial firms.
result Cash productivity has significant predictive power in a handpicked portfolio but limited across the broader Nasdaq universe.
Neural RDEs extend CDEs to irregular time series.
problem Modeling long irregular time series efficiently.
method Representing time series through log-signature and solving RDEs.
result Significant training speed-ups and improved model performance.
Advocates Agnostic Allocation for long-only portfolios to reduce risk and improve performance.
problem Excess concentration, high turnover, and low-risk factor exposure in classical portfolio construction methods.
method Agnostic Allocation Portfolios (AAPs) that mitigate extreme features of classical methods while achieving similar performance.
result AAPs represent a risk-based portfolio construction framework that can be implemented in various situations.
This paper uses Bayesian models to analyze CTA returns across short and long-term trends.
problem The relative merits and interactions of short- and long-term trend systems in CTA replication remain controversial.
method Dynamic decomposition of CTA returns into short-term trend, long-term trend, and market beta factors using a Bayesian graphical model.
result The blend of horizons shapes the strategy's risk-adjusted performance.
This work improves LSTM and GRU training stability and generalization.
problem Training instabilities in LSTMs and GRUs on long sequences.
method Developed a mean field theory to optimize initialization hyperparameters.
result Eliminates or reduces training instabilities and improves generalization.
New algorithm tackles non-stationary delayed feedback in recommender systems.
problem Challenges in learning from delayed feedback in non-stationary environments.
method Developed a UCRL-based algorithm for non-stationary, delayed bandits with intermediate observations.
result Sublinear regret guarantees for the proposed algorithm in non-stationary delayed environments.
We establish the existence of anomalous excess returns based on trend following strategies across four asset classes (commodities, currencies, stock indices, bonds) and over very long time scales. We use for our studies both futures time series, that exist since 1960, and spot time series that allow us to go back to 18…
The paper tackles energy disaggregation by improving dictionary learning with deep neural models.
problem Decomposing electricity signals of a whole home into its operating devices.
method Proposes a novel optimization program that learns both the dictionary and sparse coefficients using a deep neural model (LSTM-AE) to capture temporal energy signals.
result Significant improvement in disaggregation accuracy and F-score metrics compared to state-of-the-art methods.
We investigate the presence of residual multifractal background for monofractal signals which appears due to the finite length of the signals and (or) due to the long memory the signals reveal. This phenomenon is investigated numerically within the multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MF-DFA) for artificially g…
A method for inferring ground-truth signals from degraded sensor data.
problem Inferring ground-truth signals from multiple degraded sensor signals.
method Iterative correction of degraded signals using a Bayesian multi-sensor data fusion method.
result The method effectively infers ground-truth signals from noisy and degraded sensor data.
Posterior sampling estimator achieves near-optimal recovery guarantees for signals from any prior distribution.
problem Characterizing measurement complexity for signals from any prior distribution, including the entire space.
method Characterization of measurement complexity using posterior sampling estimator for Gaussian measurements and any prior distribution.
result Posterior sampling estimator achieves near-optimal recovery guarantees for signals from any prior distribution, robust to model mismatch.
Bayesian method suppresses low-frequency pulses in audio recordings.
problem Suppressing long pulses caused by mechanical defects in audio recordings.
method Bayesian approach using Gaussian Process for pulse location, signal interpolation, and tail estimation.
result Perceptual results similar to previous methods, performs well on naturally degraded signals.
New method separates mixed distributions without requiring samples of each source.
problem Separating mixed distributions in machine learning and signal processing.
method Neural Egg Separation method iteratively learns to separate known from unknown distributions.
result Neural Egg Separation outperforms current methods in audio and image separation tasks.
We study quantitatively the level of false multifractal signal one may encounter while analyzing multifractal phenomena in time series within multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MF-DFA). The investigated effect appears as a result of finite length of used data series and is additionally amplified by the long-t…
Study reveals 1/f noise in signals made from nonoverlapping rectangular pulses.
problem Analyzing 1/f noise in signals composed of nonoverlapping pulses. method Derived a general formula for power spectral density, analyzed rectangular pulse case.
result Observed pure 1/f noise until very low frequencies with long pulse durations. Hybrid pipeline detects spike-and-wave discharges in long-term EEG recordings.
problem Manual identification of spike-and-wave discharges in long-term EEG recordings is labour-intensive and error-prone.
method A hybrid pipeline that combines analytical features with a shallow ANN for SWD detection.
result The method correctly detected 384 out of 392 annotated SWD events, achieving high sensitivity and specificity.
New method uses adversarial training for blind source separation.
problem Blind single-channel source separation challenge.
method Adversarial training for independence of sources.
result Good performance validated on image sources.
This paper tackles RL in non-stationary environments, improving decision-making.
problem Develop optimal RL decisions in non-stationary environments.
method Adapted change point algorithm for detecting model changes and developed an RL algorithm.
result RL algorithm maximizes long-run reward in changing environments.
VFPred combines signal processing and machine learning for VF detection from short ECG signals.
problem Detecting Ventricular Fibrillation from short ECG signals.
method VFPred uses Empirical Mode Decomposition, Discrete Time Fourier Transform, and Support Vector Machine.
result VFPred achieves high sensitivity and specificity even from short 5-second signals.
Review of deep learning techniques for audio signal processing.
problem Improving audio signal processing using deep learning.
method Analysis of various deep learning models and techniques.
result Advancements in speech, music, and environmental sound processing.
PHASE predicts surgical complications from physiological signals.
problem Predicting adverse surgical outcomes from physiological signals.
method Self-supervised transfer learning for physiological signals.
result PHASE outperforms other approaches in predicting five surgical complications.
Paper proposes RRD to learn proxy rewards for sparse delayed rewards in episodic reinforcement learning.
problem Learning from sparse and delayed rewards in reinforcement learning.
method Randomized Return Decomposition (RRD) algorithm to redistribute rewards.
result Substantial improvement over baseline algorithms in experiments.
Paper develops real-time through-wall human pose imaging using RF signals.
problem Developing real-time vision through opaque objects.
method Many-to-Many Encoder/Decoder Paradigm, student/teacher learning, Residual CNN, RPN, LSTM.
result Accurately predicts human pose through visual occlusion using RF signals.
Graph Signal Processing improves stock market volatility forecasting.
problem Forecasting realized volatility in a global stock market context.
method Integrating Graph Signal Processing into the HAR model.
result The proposed model outperforms HAR-type benchmarks.
Max entropy exploration guides reinforcement learning agents to pursue achievable goals.
problem Achieving distant test-time goals in long-horizon tasks.
method Optimize entropy of historical achieved goals by focusing on sparsely explored areas.
result Order of magnitude better sample efficiency on long-horizon multi-goal tasks.
This paper explores robust recovery of a superposition of R distinct complex exponential functions from a few random Gaussian projections. We assume that the signal of interest is of 2N−1 dimensional and R<<2N−1. This framework covers a large class of signals arising from real applications in biology, automation,…
Stochastic defense improves natural classifiers against adversarial attacks.
problem Vulnerability of deep networks to adversarial attacks.
method Long-run MCMC sampling with Energy-Based Model for adversarial purification.
result Balancing memoryless and metastable behavior leads to effective purification and robust classification.