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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for location prediction

Study predicts climate data at distant locations using machine learning.

problem Predict climate variables at distant locations where comprehensive data collection is not feasible.
method Uses reservoir computing and vector autoregression models for prediction.
result Machine learning improves prediction accuracy for highly correlated data.

Paper proposes a graph neural network for accurate long-term ILI prediction.

problem Limited long-term prediction performance and spatio-temporal dependency in existing models.
method Cross-location attention based graph neural network (Cola-GNN) for time series embeddings and location aware attentions.
result Proposed method shows strong predictive performance and interpretable results for long-term epidemic predictions.

Proposes a feature transformation for spatio-temporal traffic models to improve performance and transferability.

problem Limited transferability of deep learning models for traffic flow prediction across different locations.
method Integrates Newell's traffic flow estimators to capture broader dynamics and incorporates spatial dependencies.
result Improves model performance in predicting traffic flows over different horizons.

CMDRNN predicts user location using WiFi fingerprints with deep learning.

problem Predicting user activity with WiFi fingerprints is challenging due to high dimensionality.
method Combines CNN, RNN, and MDN to model high-dimensional time-series data.
result CMDRNN effectively predicts user location using WiFi fingerprints.

In this paper we propose a new method to predict the final destination of vehicle trips based on their initial partial trajectories. We first review how we obtained clustering of trajectories that describes user behaviour. Then, we explain how we model main traffic flow patterns by a mixture of 2d Gaussian distribution…

2016-05-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Assessing the predictive accuracy of black box classifiers is challenging in the absence of labeled test datasets. In these scenarios we may need to rely on a human oracle to evaluate individual predictions; presenting the challenge to create query algorithms to guide the search for points that provide the most informa…

2018-10-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Graph neural networks improve residential location choice predictions.

problem Capturing spatial dependence in discrete choice models.
method Graph Neural Networks (GNN) for analyzing spatial alternatives.
result GNN-DCMs outperform classical models in residential location choice predictions.

New method improves spatial prediction validation accuracy.

problem Validation methods fail for spatial prediction tasks due to mismatch between validation and test locations.
method Proposes a new validation method that adapts existing covariate-shift ideas to spatial settings.
result Proves and demonstrates the new method's superiority in spatial prediction validation.

Calendar graph neural networks model user behavior with location and time data.

problem Modeling user behavior with location and time information for demographic prediction.
method Graph neural networks with a tripartite network of items, sessions, and locations, and a hierarchical calendar network.
result User embeddings preserve spatial and temporal patterns of various periodicity.

A model predicts solar irradiance without local data using satellite and weather forecasts.

problem Forecasting solar irradiance without local measurements for geographically dispersed solar generators.
method Uses satellite data and weather forecasts with a deep neural network trained on a subset of ground data.
result Proposed model performs as well or better than local models across 25 locations and prediction horizons.

Deep learning predicts user identity, activity, and location from Wi-Fi signals.

problem Privacy concerns and need for non-invasive user authentication, activity classification, and tracking.
method End-to-end deep learning framework using passive Wi-Fi signals.
result System autonomously predicts user identity, activity, and location without user intervention.

Deep learning has been used in many areas, such as feature detections in images and the game of go. This paper presents a study that attempts to use the deep learning method to predict turbomachinery performance. Three different deep neural networks are built and trained to predict the pressure distributions of turbine…

2018-06-12abs ↗pdf ↗

NAMLSS models provide interpretable neural regression for location, scale, and shape.

problem Lack of interpretability in deep learning models for complex data distributions.
method Combines classical statistical methods with DNNs for distributional regression.
result Achieves visual interpretability and predictive power of deep learning models.

Which song will Smith listen to next? Which restaurant will Alice go to tomorrow? Which product will John click next? These applications have in common the prediction of user trajectories that are in a constant state of flux over a hidden network (e.g. website links, geographic location). What users are doing now may b…

2015-11-03abs ↗pdf ↗

TraLFM models human mobility patterns from traffic trajectories.

problem Understanding human mobility patterns from traffic data.
method Latent factor modeling of sequential, personal, and temporal factors.
result TraLFM significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods in latent factor analysis and next location prediction.

Spatial blind source separation simplifies multivariate spatial prediction.

problem Predicting multivariate measurements at unobserved locations with spatial dependencies.
method Spatial blind source separation as a pre-processing tool compared to Cokriging and neural networks.
result Spatial blind source separation simplifies spatial prediction by avoiding cross-dependencies.

Interpretable ML models predict recidivism as well as non-interpretable methods and are more fair.

problem Improving recidivism prediction models for fairness and interpretability.
method Trained interpretable ML models on two recidivism datasets, compared to existing methods, and analyzed fairness.
result Interpretable ML models can predict recidivism as well as non-interpretable methods and are more fair.

This work proposes a student-teacher network for predicting hospital admission locations.

problem Accurate prediction of hospital admission locations to optimize resource allocation.
method Reinforcement learning approach where a teacher network selects data batches for a student network.
result The approach outperforms state-of-the-art methods on tabular data and image recognition.

Method reduces model bias in water temperature prediction using physics-guided GNNs.

problem Model bias in traditional physics-based models across different income and education levels.
method Physics-guided GNNs with refined neighbor selection and weights.
result Preserves equitable performance across different sensitive groups in the Delaware River Basin.

Bayesian model improves traffic prediction with uncertainty estimates.

problem Lack of uncertainty estimates in deep-learning traffic models.
method Proposes a Bayesian recurrent neural network with spectral normalization.
result Spectral normalization improves uncertainty estimates and generalizability.

MIP framework improves urban flow prediction by adapting to distribution shifts.

problem Distribution shifts in urban flow data make prediction models unreliable.
method Memory-enhanced Invariant Prompt learning with learnable memory bank.
result MIP ensures robust predictions by focusing on invariant features.

Two deep learning models improve indoor location prediction from WiFi fingerprints.

problem Indoor location prediction from WiFi fingerprints.
method Convolutional mixture density recurrent neural network and VAE-based semi-supervised learning model.
result Proposed models outperform existing methods in real-world datasets.

Accurately predicting the possible behaviors of traffic participants is an essential capability for future autonomous vehicles. The majority of current researches fix the number of driving intentions by considering only a specific scenario. However, distinct driving environments usually contain various possible driving…

2018-04-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Study uses neural networks to predict wall quantities in turbulent flows.

problem Predicting wall quantities in turbulent open channel flows.
method Training convolutional neural networks (FCN) and a proposed R-Net architecture to predict wall-shear-stress and wall pressure.
result R-Net architecture performs better and predicts wall quantities with around 10% error.

Study develops a new model for predicting individual mobility based on activity patterns.

problem Existing mobility prediction methods overlook underlying activity patterns.
method Activity-based hidden Markov model (IOHMM) using transit smart card data.
result Proposed model achieves similar prediction performance to LSTM but also provides behavioral insights.

Sparse Gaussian Processes improve scalability by learning inducing points from data.

problem Scaling issues in Gaussian Processes due to cubic computational cost.
method Amortized learning of inducing points and variational posterior parameters using neural networks.
result Significant reduction in the number of inducing points, improving scalability.

This paper benchmarks Bayesian models' ability to estimate predictive correlations, especially for active learning.

problem Benchmarking how accurately Bayesian models estimate predictive correlations, especially in active learning.
method Considered transductive active learning as a benchmark, introduced meta-correlations and cross-normalized likelihoods.
result Meta-correlations and cross-normalized likelihoods can efficiently evaluate predictive correlations and are consistent with TAL performance.

We utilize Wi-Fi communications from smartphones to predict their mobility mode, i.e. walking, biking and driving. Wi-Fi sensors were deployed at four strategic locations in a closed loop on streets in downtown Toronto. Deep neural network (Multilayer Perceptron) along with three decision tree based classifiers (Decisi…

2018-09-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep neural networks predict earthquake locations with high accuracy.

problem Predicting the location of earthquakes with high precision.
method Recurrent Convolutional Neural Networks (R-CNN) model that accounts for spatio-temporal dependencies.
result Neural networks model outperforms baseline models in predicting earthquakes with ROC AUC 0.975 and PR AUC 0.0890.

Learning node embeddings that capture a node's position within the broader graph structure is crucial for many prediction tasks on graphs. However, existing Graph Neural Network (GNN) architectures have limited power in capturing the position/location of a given node with respect to all other nodes of the graph. Here w…

2019-06-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Predicts destinations and routes from partial trajectory data.

problem Predicting destinations and routes from partial trajectory data for applications like parking suggestions and ride-sharing.
method Three-step procedure: k-d tree-based space discretization, recurrent neural network for destination prediction, and route calculation.
result Best models predict destinations with a mean error of 1.3 km and 1.43 km.