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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,051 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for local variational approximation

Boosting Variational Inference improves posterior approximations with adaptive step-sizes.

problem Limited resources hinder the widespread adoption of Boosting Variational Inference.
method Characterized global curvature impact, introduced local curvature, and developed an approximate backtracking algorithm.
result New theoretical convergence rates and experimental validation demonstrate improved performance.

New method combines variational inference with particle filtering for nonlinear data.

problem Combining variational inference and Monte Carlo sampling for nonlinear data.
method Formulates gradient steepest descent method based on local optimal transport principles, embeds local mappings in RKHS, uses approximations to avoid adjoint evaluation.
result RKHS approximation is highly successful and superior to ensemble approximation for nonlinear observational operators.

Method for initializing Gaussian mixtures for variational inference with multi-modal distributions.

problem Challenges in variational inference with Gaussian mixtures due to multimodality and nonconvex loss functions.
method Optimization to find local maxima, local Gaussian approximations, and constrained least squares regression.
result Robust initialization improves variational inference performance and scalability.

Variational inference methods for latent variable statistical models have gained popularity because they are relatively fast, can handle large data sets, and have deterministic convergence guarantees. However, in practice it is unclear whether the fixed point identified by the variational inference algorithm is a local…

2017-03-21abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper introduces variational characterizations for local entropy and heat regularization in deep learning.

problem Understanding and optimizing loss regularizations in deep learning.
method Introducing variational characterizations and a two-step optimization scheme based on iterative shift and best Gaussian approximation in Kullback-Leibler divergence.
result The optimization schemes for local entropy and heat regularized loss differ only over the argument of the Kullback-Leibler divergence used for best Gaussian approximation.

We empirically evaluate a stochastic annealing strategy for Bayesian posterior optimization with variational inference. Variational inference is a deterministic approach to approximate posterior inference in Bayesian models in which a typically non-convex objective function is locally optimized over the parameters of t…

2015-05-25abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithms improve likelihood of finding global optima in Bayesian inference.

problem Finding global optima in Bayesian inference is difficult due to nonconvexity.
method Developed two algorithms: consistent Laplace approximation (CLA) and consistent stochastic variational inference (CSVI).
result Both CSVI and CLA improve likelihood of obtaining global optima compared to standard methods.

Many modern unsupervised or semi-supervised machine learning algorithms rely on Bayesian probabilistic models. These models are usually intractable and thus require approximate inference. Variational inference (VI) lets us approximate a high-dimensional Bayesian posterior with a simpler variational distribution by solv…

2017-11-15abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method for efficient inference in sequential latent-variable models.

problem Computational challenges in integrating subject-specific random effects.
method Anchored variational inference framework to approximate posterior distributions.
result The method achieves accurate estimation with significant computational gains.

We analyze consistency of αα-Rényi approximate posteriors for Bayesian models.

problem Consistency of variational Bayesian methods for intractable posteriors.
method We study αα-Rényi approximate posteriors, focusing on α>1α > 1 and characterizing good sequences.
result Sufficient conditions for consistency are identified, including the existence of a good sequence of distributions.

Variational inference is a powerful approach for approximate posterior inference. However, it is sensitive to initialization and can be subject to poor local optima. In this paper, we develop proximity variational inference (PVI). PVI is a new method for optimizing the variational objective that constrains subsequent i…

2017-05-24abs ↗pdf ↗

The variational autoencoder (VAE) is a generative model with continuous latent variables where a pair of probabilistic encoder (bottom-up) and decoder (top-down) is jointly learned by stochastic gradient variational Bayes. We first elaborate Gaussian VAE, approximating the local covariance matrix of the decoder as an o…

2016-04-18abs ↗pdf ↗

We develop a general variational inference method that preserves dependency among the latent variables. Our method uses copulas to augment the families of distributions used in mean-field and structured approximations. Copulas model the dependency that is not captured by the original variational distribution, and thus …

2015-06-10abs ↗pdf ↗

A scalable GPVAE method using local adjacencies to approximate GP inference.

problem Scalability issues in exact GP inference for large-scale GPVAEs.
method Neighbour-driven approximation strategy that confines computations to nearest neighbours.
result Outperforms other GPVAE variants in predictive performance and computational efficiency.

S-VBMC improves VBMC's exploration of complex posterior distributions.

problem Efficient inference for computationally expensive models with complex posterior distributions.
method Stacking multiple independent VBMC runs to create a robust global posterior approximation.
result Significant improvements in posterior approximation quality across various applications.

Geometric framework analyzes bias in variational inference for posterior functionals.

problem Analyzing the bias of posterior functionals under variational approximations.
method Developed a geometric framework to evaluate the bias of posterior functionals using the variational tangent space.
result The leading-order bias of a posterior functional is determined by its component orthogonal to the variational tangent space.

DSVNP uses global and local latent variables for improved neural process predictions.

problem Limited expressiveness of vanilla neural processes in capturing target-specific local variation.
method Introduces DSVNP combining global and local latent variables for prediction.
result Competitive prediction performance in multi-output regression and uncertainty estimation.

Variational Laplace improves Bayesian neural network performance without sampling.

problem Improving Bayesian neural network performance and calibration.
method Develops a new variational Laplace method for BNNs, exploiting curvature of likelihood.
result Variational Laplace outperforms standard VI methods in test performance and calibration.

Marginal MAP problems are notoriously difficult tasks for graphical models. We derive a general variational framework for solving marginal MAP problems, in which we apply analogues of the Bethe, tree-reweighted, and mean field approximations. We then derive a "mixed" message passing algorithm and a convergent alternati…

2012-02-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Variational inference (VI) combined with data subsampling enables approximate posterior inference over large data sets, but suffers from poor local optima. We first formulate a deterministic annealing approach for the generic class of conditionally conjugate exponential family models. This approach uses a decreasing te…

2014-11-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Study proposes a nonlocal approximation of the Willmore functional using fractional Allen-Cahn energies.

problem Approximating the Willmore functional using nonlocal methods.
method Gamma-convergence and fractional Laplacian analysis in Fermi coordinates.
result Proves ΓΓ-limsup estimate for the proposed nonlocal approximation.

We introduce incremental variational inference and apply it to latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA). Incremental variational inference is inspired by incremental EM and provides an alternative to stochastic variational inference. Incremental LDA can process massive document collections, does not require to set a learning …

2015-07-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Stochastic gradient descent optimizes Nyström samples for kernel matrix approximation.

problem Optimizing Nyström samples for kernel matrix approximation.
method Stochastic gradient descent applied to multisets of landmark points (Nyström samples) using a surrogate criterion (radial SKD).
result Local minimization of the radial SKD yields improved Nyström approximation accuracy.

New Thompson sampling uses local uncertainty for better decision making.

problem Sequential decision making with exploration-exploitation dilemma.
method Proposes a new probabilistic modeling framework using local latent variable uncertainty for Thompson sampling, with variational inference and semi-implicit structure.
result Thompson sampling guided by local uncertainty achieves state-of-the-art performance with low computational complexity.

Study shows TAP free energy minimization provides better posterior inference in high-dimensional linear models.

problem Deviation from true posterior mean and underestimation of posterior uncertainty in variational inference.
method Minimization of TAP free energy in a high-dimensional asymptotic framework, showing geometric and statistical properties.
result Local minimizer of TAP free energy provides consistent estimate of posterior marginals and correctly calibrated posterior inference.

A new method for multi-agent planning on graphs outperforms existing approaches.

problem Planning coordination among multiple interacting agents on a graph.
method Variational perturbation theory applied to inference in large networks.
result Our method outperforms state-of-the-art methods in non-local cost function scenarios.

Pathfinder uses quasi-Newton optimization for variational inference.

problem Approximating complex posterior distributions efficiently.
method Pathfinder combines quasi-Newton optimization with variational methods to approximate log densities.
result Pathfinder produces draws with lower KL divergence than ADVI and comparable to HMC, requiring fewer evaluations.

Local decision boundary approximation improves model explanations for complex models.

problem Challenges in explaining complex, opaque machine learning models.
method Train a variational autoencoder to learn a latent space and map it to meaningful attributes. Use these attributes to approximate the local decision boundary and explain model predictions.
result Can recover latent attributes that determine class decisions in a new benchmark data set.

This paper proposes a new method to improve VI approximations by capturing dependence between blocks using vector copulas.

problem Improving variational inference accuracy for complex models with challenging posteriors.
method Using vector copulas to model dependence between multivariate blocks, with learnable transport maps for flexible marginals.
result The proposed method produces more accurate posterior approximations than existing methods at limited computational cost.

New algorithms for high-dimensional HMMs reduce complexity by discarding non-local factors.

problem High-dimensional HMMs are computationally expensive to filter and smooth.
method Approximate filtering and smoothing via locality in factor graphs, avoiding exponential cost.
result Error bounds in local total variation norm are dimension-free, improving scalability.

Study short-maturity Asian option pricing in LSV models using large deviations theory.

problem Derive short-maturity asymptotics for Asian option prices in LSV models.
method Large deviations theory and novel expansion method.
result Explicit series expansions for the solution of the variational problem around the ATM point.

Variational inference has experienced a recent surge in popularity owing to stochastic approaches, which have yielded practical tools for a wide range of model classes. A key benefit is that stochastic variational inference obviates the tedious process of deriving analytical expressions for closed-form variable updates…

2018-03-28abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a novel distributed inference algorithm for continuous graphical models, by extending Stein variational gradient descent (SVGD) to leverage the Markov dependency structure of the distribution of interest. Our approach combines SVGD with a set of structured local kernel functions defined on the Markov blanket…

2017-11-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Approximate inference in high-dimensional, discrete probabilistic models is a central problem in computational statistics and machine learning. This paper describes discrete particle variational inference (DPVI), a new approach that combines key strengths of Monte Carlo, variational and search-based techniques. DPVI is…

2014-02-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Expectation propagation (EP) is a deterministic approximation algorithm that is often used to perform approximate Bayesian parameter learning. EP approximates the full intractable posterior distribution through a set of local approximations that are iteratively refined for each datapoint. EP can offer analytic and comp…

2015-06-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Variational Bayes (VB), also known as independent mean-field approximation, has become a popular method for Bayesian network inference in recent years. Its application is vast, e.g. in neural network, compressed sensing, clustering, etc. to name just a few. In this paper, the independence constraint in VB will be relax…

2018-03-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper improves variational inference for complex models.

problem Improving statistical accuracy of variational inference in high-dimensional models.
method Developed a general framework for MFVI and proposed a partially grouped VI algorithm.
result Proposed algorithm works and outperforms vanilla MFVI in mixed membership stochastic blockmodel.