Local polynomial regression (Fan and Gijbels 1996) is an important class of methods for nonparametric density estimation and regression problems. However, straightforward implementation of local polynomial regression has quadratic time complexity which hinders its applicability in large-scale data analysis. In this pap…
Proposes a new regression method using Lp-norms for non-Gaussian noise.
problem Non-Gaussian noise in residuals affects the performance of local least squares regression.
method Introduces local polynomial Lp-norm regression, replacing weighted least squares with weighted Lp-norm estimation. result Demonstrates superior performance over local least squares in one-dimensional data and higher dimensions.
Paper proposes a robust LPR method using similarity kernels.
problem Outliers and high-leverage points affect traditional LPR's accuracy.
method Integrates predictor and response variables in weighting mechanism using a conditional density kernel.
result Lower empirical bias compared to iterative robust LOWESS.
New approach to adaptively select bandwidths in nonparametric regression.
problem Adaptive bandwidth selection in nonparametric regression.
method Inspired by ℓ2-norms of interval projections, introduces a new bandwidth selection procedure. result Obtains non-asymptotic risk bounds for local polynomial regression methods that adapt to local Hölder exponent.
New estimator adapts to various error distributions.
problem Adapting to different error distributions in nonparametric regression.
method Introduces outrigger local polynomial estimator with modified weighted least squares.
result Minimax optimal over Hölder classes with multiplicative factor.
A mathematical framework connects neural networks and polynomial regression for better model understanding.
problem Neural networks are black boxes with challenges in dimensioning and prediction error evaluation.
method Developed a mathematical framework using Taylor expansion to relate neural networks and polynomial regression.
result Polynomial approximations from neural networks trained on polynomial data are accurate locally.
Shallow neural networks can represent polynomials efficiently.
problem Representing polynomials using shallow neural networks.
method Using shallow neural networks of width 2(R+d)d to represent d-variate polynomials of degree R. result Derives minimax optimal convergence rate for shallow networks to unknown univariate regression functions.
Proposes a continuous, differentiable model from local adaptive models.
problem Inadequate continuity and differentiability in over-parameterized models.
method A global continuous and differentiable model constructed from weighted averages of locally learned models.
result Achieves faster statistical convergence and improved performance in various settings.
Transformers can efficiently approximate nonparametric regression with minimal parameters and sequences.
problem Efficiently approximating nonparametric regression functions with transformers.
method Kernel-weighted polynomial basis and gradient descent.
result Achieves minimax optimal rate of convergence with fewer parameters and sequences.
Improved local multivariable regression for better inference with limited data.
problem Limited sample size hampers local polynomial/multivariable regression.
method Prediction-Powered Inference (PPI) algorithm for local multivariable regression.
result Significantly reduces estimation variance without increasing error.
Proposes LRR and LRLR for improving stock prediction accuracy.
problem Improving stock prediction accuracy through nonparametric classification.
method Local radial regression and logistic regression variant.
result LRLR outperforms LPoR and MS-k-NN in real-world stock datasets. New algorithm improves gradient-based ERM for smooth convex losses.
problem Empirical risk minimization of smooth, strongly convex loss functions.
method Iterative gradient-based method with local polynomial regression.
result Oracle complexity of O((pε−1)d/(2η)) for our algorithm. New method improves Gaussian kernel approximations for high-frequency data.
problem Limited scalability of kernel-based models to large data sets.
method Local random feature approximations using Maclaurin expansions and polynomial sketches.
result Significant improvement in kernel approximations and downstream performance for high-frequency data.
The problem of pricing Bermudan options using Monte Carlo and a nonparametric regression is considered. We derive optimal non-asymptotic bounds for a lower biased estimate based on the suboptimal stopping rule constructed using some estimates of continuation values. These estimates may be of different nature, they may …
This paper develops a new method to model treatment effects that are heterogeneous across different quantiles.
problem Modeling treatment effects that vary across different quantiles of the outcome distribution.
method The paper combines quantile classification with local polynomial estimation to build a decision tree and forest.
result The proposed QLPRT and QLPRF methods provide a new way to estimate and infer heterogeneous treatment effects.
New model handles complex non-linear relationships with hidden graph structures.
problem Modeling non-linear relationships with hidden graph-structured interactions.
method Block-diagonal localized mixture of polynomial experts (BLoMPE) regression model with penalized maximum likelihood selection criterion.
result Strong theoretical guarantee for finite-sample oracle inequality.
In this paper we develop the theory of parametric polynomial regression in Riemannian manifolds and Lie groups. We show application of Riemannian polynomial regression to shape analysis in Kendall shape space. Results are presented, showing the power of polynomial regression on the classic rat skull growth data of Book…
We tackle permutation in linear regression with a new inference framework.
problem Statistical investigation of permutation in linear regression models.
method Localization step followed by conditional Monte Carlo test and coefficient inference.
result Valid statistical inference procedures for permutation and regression coefficients.
Popular graph neural networks implement convolution operations on graphs based on polynomial spectral filters. In this paper, we propose a novel graph convolutional layer inspired by the auto-regressive moving average (ARMA) filter that, compared to polynomial ones, provides a more flexible frequency response, is more …
Paper tackles blind polynomial regression for unknown inputs.
problem Fitting a polynomial to unknown or partially known input data.
method Formally defines the problem, proposes algorithmic approaches, and applies to jitter-correction.
result Proposes effective methods for blind polynomial regression.
We consider the non-parametric regression problem under Huber's ε-contamination model, in which an ε fraction of observations are subject to arbitrary adversarial noise. We first show that a simple local binning median step can effectively remove the adversary noise and this median estimator is minimax optimal up t…
Accelerates ERM problems with LPI-GD and improved oracle complexity.
problem Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) problems with strong convexity and smoothness.
method Local Polynomial Interpolation-based Gradient Descent (LPI-GD) and accelerated methods.
result Oracle complexity improved to $ ilde{O}\left(\sqrtσ m^d \log(1/\varepsilon)
ight)$.
Volterra and polynomial regression models play a major role in nonlinear system identification and inference tasks. Exciting applications ranging from neuroscience to genome-wide association analysis build on these models with the additional requirement of parsimony. This requirement has high interpretative value, but …
Study introduces a new method for multiple parameter regularization in polynomial functional regression.
problem Handling varying regularization parameters in polynomial functional regression.
method Developed a theoretically grounded algorithm for multiple parameter regularization and model aggregation.
result Promising results from evaluations on synthetic and real-world data.
We propose a method called ideal regression for approximating an arbitrary system of polynomial equations by a system of a particular type. Using techniques from approximate computational algebraic geometry, we show how we can solve ideal regression directly without resorting to numerical optimization. Ideal regression…
For node level graph encoding, a recent important state-of-art method is the graph convolutional networks (GCN), which nicely integrate local vertex features and graph topology in the spectral domain. However, current studies suffer from several drawbacks: (1) graph CNNs relies on Chebyshev polynomial approximation whi…
Robust learning mixtures of linear regressions improve robustness.
problem Improving robustness in learning mixtures of linear regressions.
method Connecting mixtures of linear regressions and mixtures of Gaussians with thresholding for a quasi-polynomial time algorithm.
result The algorithm has significantly better robustness than previous results.
GD outperforms ridge regression and SGD in linear regression problems.
problem Comparing the risks of GD, ridge regression, and SGD in linear regression problems.
method Instance-wise finite-sample risk analysis of GD, ridge regression, and SGD.
result GD outperforms ridge regression and is incomparable with SGD in some cases.
Paper proves convergence rates for Gaussian kernel ridge regression.
problem Understanding convergence rates for Gaussian kernel ridge regression.
method Establishes polynomial convergence rates for KRR with fixed hyperparameters.
result First polynomial convergence rates for Gaussian kernel ridge regression.
This article proposes a novel solution for stretchy polynomial regression learning. The solution comes in primal and dual closed-forms similar to that of ridge regression. Essentially, the proposed solution stretches the covariance computation via a power term thereby compresses or amplifies the estimation. Our experim…
Conformal prediction improves prediction intervals for PCEs, especially in sparse cases.
problem Quantifying local model errors in PCEs for small datasets.
method Integration of conformal prediction methods (full and Jackknife+) into full and sparse PCEs.
result Better-calibrated prediction intervals for both full and sparse PCEs.
Polynomial-time algorithm for list-decodable linear regression with batches.
problem Efficiently decoding linear regression with a fraction of adversarial data.
method Polynomial time algorithm using batches of i.i.d. samples.
result Returns a list of size O(1/α^2) with one item close to true parameter.
Cryptocurrency prices predicted using LSTM, SVM, and polynomial regression.
problem Uncertainty in crypto coin values.
method Long Short Term Memory, Support Vector Machine, Polynomial Regression models.
result Support Vector Machine with linear kernel had the smallest mean square error.
Develops fast approximations for conditional Shapley values in linear and polynomial models.
problem Estimating conditional Shapley values using regression models is computationally expensive.
method A new approximative estimation method for conditional Shapley values using linear and polynomial regression models.
result Our method significantly reduces computation time compared to existing methods.
The study optimizes polynomial regression for learning under Gaussian distributions.
problem Agnostic learning of Boolean and real-valued functions under Gaussian distributions.
method LP duality and polynomial degree analysis for L1-regression. result Optimal SQ lower bounds for various function classes.
TensorSketch is an oblivious linear sketch introduced in Pagh'13 and later used in Pham, Pagh'13 in the context of SVMs for polynomial kernels. It was shown in Avron, Nguyen, Woodruff'14 that TensorSketch provides a subspace embedding, and therefore can be used for canonical correlation analysis, low rank approximation…
Paper proposes a method for early stopping in regression using reproducing kernels.
problem Early stopping for iterative learning algorithms in nonparametric regression.
method Data-driven rule based on minimum discrepancy principle, validated by fixed-point analysis of localized Rademacher complexities.
result The proposed rule is minimax-optimal and performs comparably to cross-validation.
We study trend filtering, a recently proposed tool of Kim et al. [SIAM Rev. 51 (2009) 339-360] for nonparametric regression. The trend filtering estimate is defined as the minimizer of a penalized least squares criterion, in which the penalty term sums the absolute kth order discrete derivatives over the input points…
We generalize the classical study of Alexander polynomials of smooth or PL locally-flat knots to PL knots that are not necessarily locally-flat. We introduce three families of generalized Alexander polynomials and study their properties. For knots with point singularities, we obtain a classification of these polynomial…
Fast nonparametric conditional independence testing via two-stage regression
problem Fast nonparametric conditional independence testing
method BLITZ (Broad-to-Local Independence Testing via residualiZation)
result Better null calibration than fast kernel, random-feature, and regression-based competitors
Investigates locally symmetric polynomial metrics in Riemannian and Finslerian surfaces.
problem Analyzing locally symmetric polynomial metrics in Riemannian and Finslerian surfaces.
method Examines Riemannian and Finslerian surfaces, providing necessary and sufficient conditions for locally symmetric fourth root metrics in 2D and more complex conditions for higher dimensions.
result Formulates conditions for positive definiteness of locally symmetric polynomial metrics in Finslerian surfaces and provides explicit examples.
By considering a (not necessarily locally-flat) PL knot as the singular locus of a PL stratified pseudomanifold, we can use intersection homology theory to define intersection Alexander polynomials, a generalization of the classical Alexander polynomial invariants for smooth or PL locally-flat knots. We show that the i…
Estimates functions on unknown manifolds using multiscale regression.
problem Regression on unknown low-dimensional manifolds embedded in high-dimensional spaces.
method Low-dimensional coordinates at multiple scales, local polynomial fitting, data-driven wavelet thresholding.
result Optimal learning rates for estimating functions with nonuniform regularity.
The paper develops AMP theory for sparse and robust regression with polynomial iterations.
problem Challenges in high-dimensional statistical estimation due to asymptotic theory breakdown.
method Non-asymptotic distributional theory of AMP for sparse and robust regression.
result First finite-sample non-asymptotic distributional theory of AMP for polynomial iterations.
New knot models analyze local entanglement for robust curve analysis.
problem Lack of local structural information in classical knot theory.
method Proposed multiscale and persistent Jones polynomials.
result Models are stable to small perturbations, robust for real-world applications.
The paper explores how low-degree polynomials can detect shuffled linear regression models.
problem Detecting multivariate shuffled linear regression models from independent Gaussian random matrices.
method Investigates the effectiveness of low-degree polynomial algorithms for distinguishing the model from independent Gaussian random matrices.
result Establishes a phase transition phenomenon in the performance of low-degree polynomial algorithms for distinguishing the model.
Study local moduli of Sasaki-Einstein metrics on specific polynomial links.
problem Understanding the local moduli of Sasaki-Einstein metrics on links of invertible polynomials.
method Analyzing Sasaki-Einstein metrics on links of invertible polynomials of cycle type and Thom-Sebastiani sums.
result For polynomials of cycle type, local moduli spaces are zero-dimensional. For Thom-Sebastiani sums, dimensions are positive.
Paper proposes algorithms to accurately identify breakpoints in piecewise regression.
problem Identifying accurate breakpoints in piecewise regression for better data fitting.
method Proposes novel greedy algorithms to minimize error and determine optimal breakpoints.
result The proposed algorithms outperform existing methods in accuracy and efficiency.