Local no-arbitrage under capital gains taxes is weaker than in frictionless markets.
problem How local in time is the no-arbitrage property under capital gains taxes?
method Introducing robust local no-arbitrage (RLNA) and proving it under a sharp dichotomy condition.
result No-arbitrage alone does not imply the existence of an equivalent separating measure.
Develops a deep learning method for enforcing no-arbitrage in local volatility surfaces.
problem No-arbitrage conditions not enforced in deep learning approaches for local volatility.
method Jointly interpolates European vanilla option prices, enforcing no-arbitrage through modified loss functions or network architectures.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of enforcing no-arbitrage in local volatility surfaces using deep learning.
The paper defines symmetries in no-arbitrage markets.
problem Characterizing transformations preserving no-arbitrage.
method Geometric formalization in discrete time models.
result Local characterization of no-arbitrage symmetries.
Strict local martingales may admit arbitrage opportunities with respect to the class of simple trading strategies. (Since there is no possibility of using doubling strategies in this framework, the losses are not assumed to be bounded from below.) We show that for a class of non-negative strict local martingales, the s…
No arbitrage in financial markets with special semimartingales.
problem Proving the absence of arbitrage in non-numéraire financial markets.
method Proving the absence of arbitrage using a multiplicative special semimartingale deflator.
result The market is free of arbitrage if and only if there exists a multiplicative special semimartingale deflator.
Generative adversarial networks enforce no-arbitrage in volatility surface computation.
problem Efficiently compute volatility surfaces without arbitrage violations.
method Generative adversarial network (GAN) with no-arbitrage constraints.
result Proposed GAN model outperforms ANN approaches in accuracy and computational time.
Paper introduces P-sensitive functions and their applications in robust optimization and financial models.
problem Developing robust models for financial and optimization problems under uncertainty.
method Introducing P-sensitive functions and their localization representations, applying to optimization and financial models.
result P-sensitive functions are precisely those that can be localized, providing a new perspective on robust modeling.
Two ML approaches learn local volatility surfaces from option prices, with GP being arbitrage-free.
problem Interpolating European vanilla option prices to create a local volatility surface.
method Gaussian process regression and neural net with arbitrage penalties.
result GP approach is arbitrage-free and yields best out-of-sample calibration error.
The method constructs arbitrage-free option surfaces from noisy quotes using Chebyshev bases and a fog post-fit layer.
problem Constructing arbitrage-free option price surfaces from noisy bid-ask quotes.
method Chebyshev tensor bases, linear sampling, no-arbitrage operators, quadratic objective, OSQP solvers, fog post-fit layer, Hamiltonian energy.
result High inside-spread coverage (98-99%) and low no-arbitrage violations (below 1%) in stable periods, controlled leakage in stressed periods.
Derives conditions for no arbitrage in financial markets with stochastic or diffusion models.
problem Existence and absence of arbitrage in financial markets with stochastic or diffusion models.
method Integral tests, martingale and strict local martingale properties of stochastic exponentials, Markov switching models.
result Conditions for the existence of minimal martingale measure and its preservation under Markov switching.
Paper shows equivalence between NA and ACLMM in diffusion models.
problem No arbitrage condition and existence of ACLMM in general diffusion models.
method Investigates equivalence between NA and ACLMM in single asset diffusion market models.
result NA is equivalent to ACLMM plus mild conditions on scale function and absence of reflecting boundaries.
The study examines a financial model with sticky prices and finds no arbitrage when interest rate is zero.
problem Analyzing financial markets with sticky asset prices and proving no arbitrage conditions.
method Introduced a financial market model with a risky asset following a sticky geometric Brownian motion and a riskless asset with a constant interest rate. Proved no arbitrage conditions and derived pricing equations.
result No arbitrage conditions are met only when the interest rate is zero, and all replicable payoffs are derived under this condition.
Paper establishes robust no-arbitrage conditions under projective determinacy.
problem Understanding financial models under Knightian uncertainty.
method Adopting a projective framework, treating all model components uniformly in terms of measurability.
result Establishes characterizations of robust no-arbitrage condition under PD.
New characterisation of no-arbitrage condition in discrete time with multiple-priors.
problem Characterizing no-arbitrage in a multiple-priors setting.
method Proposed a new characterisation equivalent to existing no-arbitrage conditions.
result The new characterisation is equivalent to several no-arbitrage conditions and allows proof of important results.
Paper introduces prospective strict no-arbitrage for markets with transaction costs.
problem No-arbitrage condition in markets with transaction costs.
method Introduces prospective strict no-arbitrage, proves closedness of attainable portfolios.
result Prospective strict no-arbitrage implies closed attainable portfolios, equivalent to consistent price system.
New method for pricing financial products without no-arbitrage condition.
problem Pricing financial products without relying on no-arbitrage conditions.
method Convex duality and Fenchel conjugate for estimating super-replication cost.
result Endogenous weak no-arbitrage condition (AIP) leads to finite prices.
We propose a unified analysis of a whole spectrum of no-arbitrage conditions for financial market models based on continuous semimartingales. In particular, we focus on no-arbitrage conditions weaker than the classical notions of No Arbitrage and No Free Lunch with Vanishing Risk. We provide a complete characterisation…
A new framework forecasts implied volatility surfaces by separating learning and refinement stages.
problem Forecasting implied volatility surfaces is challenging due to stochastic future surfaces and static no-arbitrage constraints.
method Decoupled generative refinement framework using a conditional diffusion model and SAAM for surface refinement.
result The framework improves forecasting accuracy and reduces static no-arbitrage violations.
Paper develops a continuous-time framework for financial markets without stochastic calculus.
problem Developing continuous-time financial models without stochastic calculus.
method A general framework using conditional topologies and pseudo-distance topologies.
result No-arbitrage conditions hold in continuous time if and only if they hold in discrete time.
No-arbitrage leads to power-law market impact and rough volatility.
problem Understanding market impact and volatility dynamics.
method Mathematical proof and analysis of stochastic Volterra equations.
result Market impact function is power-law, implying rough volatility.
Analyzes robust martingale selection problem and its relation to no-arbitrage theory.
problem Martingale selection problem in a robust setting.
method Derives conditions for solvability and connects to no-arbitrage theory.
result Obtains versions of the Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing in various market conditions.
Abstract framework for no-arbitrage concepts in topological vector lattices.
problem Generalization of no-arbitrage concepts in topological vector lattices.
method Imposing a structural condition on trading strategies and deriving abstract FTAP.
result NUPBR, NAA1, and NA1 may not be equivalent in general setting. No arbitrage holds if a Pareto solution exists for vector-valued utility maximization.
problem Existence of no arbitrage in markets with transaction costs and multiple assets.
method Prove no arbitrage condition equivalent to Pareto solution for vector-valued utility maximization.
result A consistent price process can be constructed from the Pareto maximizer.
The paper sets criteria for no arbitrage in complex financial models.
problem Determining conditions for the absence of arbitrage in financial markets.
method Established deterministic conditions for no arbitrage, NUPBR, and NFLVR in diffusion market models.
result Provided criteria in terms of scale function and speed measure.
Deep learning models reconstruct volatility surfaces from noisy data under no-arbitrage constraints.
problem Reconstructing implied volatility surfaces from sparse and noisy option quotes.
method Compared multiple neural architectures including Transformers, U-Nets, and variational autoencoders.
result Transformer and U-Net architectures achieve strong reconstruction accuracy, especially under sparse observation regimes.
Analyzes hedging problems under various no-arbitrage conditions.
problem Existence of pricing functionals in general markets.
method Investigates duality properties and perturbation analysis of sub- and super-hedging problems.
result Perturbation analysis highlights the impact of smile extrapolation on exotic option bounds.
ARTEMIS combines deep learning and symbolic reasoning for financial predictions.
problem Lack of interpretability and economic principles in deep learning models in finance.
method Neuro-symbolic framework combining neural operators, stochastic differential equations, and symbolic distillation.
result ARTEMIS achieves state-of-the-art directional accuracy, outperforming all baselines on synthetic crash regime.
Monotonicity of normalized implied-volatility coordinates under no-arbitrage
problem Monotonicity of normalized implied-volatility coordinates under no-arbitrage
method Elementary discrete no-arbitrage proof
result Monotonicity principle extended to Bachelier implied volatility
We study the stability of several no-arbitrage conditions with respect to absolutely continuous, but not necessarily equivalent, changes of measure. We first consider models based on continuous semimartingales and show that no-arbitrage conditions weaker than NA and NFLVR are always stable. Then, in the context of gene…
In the context of jump-diffusion market models we construct examples that satisfy the weaker no-arbitrage condition of NA1 (NUPBR), but not NFLVR. We show that in these examples the only candidate for the density process of an equivalent local martingale measure is a supermartingale that is not a martingale, not even a…
The present paper deals with the characterization of no-arbitrage properties of a continuous semimartingale. The first main result, Theorem \refMainTheoremCharNA, extends the no-arbitrage criterion by Levental and Skorohod [Ann. Appl. Probab. 5 (1995) 906-925] from diffusion processes to arbitrary continuous semimartin…
We generalize Merton's asset valuation approach to systems of multiple financial firms where cross-ownership of equities and liabilities is present. The liabilities, which may include debts and derivatives, can be of differing seniority. We derive equations for the prices of equities and recovery claims under no-arbitr…
Study analyzes bond price covariation robustly under no-arbitrage conditions.
problem Identifying the number of statistically relevant factors in the bond market.
method Nonparametric analysis of realized covariations in a general no-arbitrage setting.
result A high number of factors is needed to describe term structure evolution and term structure of volatility varies over time.
We consider a strictly pathwise setting for Delta hedging exotic options, based on Föllmer's pathwise Itō calculus. Price trajectories are d-dimensional continuous functions whose pathwise quadratic variations and covariations are determined by a given local volatility matrix. The existence of Delta hedging strategie…
No-arbitrage constraints on implied variance slope are weak, leading to almost guaranteed arbitrage in many cases.
problem Weak constraints on implied variance slope in the Black-Scholes model lead to arbitrage opportunities.
method Analysis of constraints on implied variance slope and their implications for arbitrage.
result Arbitrage is almost always guaranteed in a wide range of slope values where constraints are enforced.
Reflected geometric Brownian motion models are not arbitrage-free.
problem No-arbitrage condition violation in financial markets.
method Analysis of reflected geometric Brownian motion models.
result Models violate even the weakest no-arbitrage condition.
The study uses reproducing kernels to model bond discount curves.
problem Estimating bond discount curves under no-arbitrage conditions.
method Introduced reproducing kernels as a regression basis for estimating bond discount curves.
result Reproducing kernels provide a tractable solution for calibrating models to market data.
Study no-arbitrage conditions in 1D diffusion markets with interest rates.
problem Determining no-arbitrage conditions in 1D diffusion markets with interest rates.
method Established deterministic criteria for no-arbitrage notions in terms of scale function and speed measure.
result Revealed various effects, e.g., NIP not excluded by reflecting boundaries.
A constrained informationally efficient market is defined to be one whose price process arises as the outcome of some equilibrium where agents face restrictions on trade. This paper investigates the case of short sale constraints, a setting which despite its simplicity, generates new insights. In particular, it is show…
New approach to asset pricing without martingale measures.
problem No-arbitrage condition and martingale measures in financial asset pricing theory.
method Convex duality and Fenchel conjugate for super-replication cost estimation.
result Super-hedging problem leads to a new condition called Absence of Immediate Profit (AIP).
We obtain a constructive criterion for robust no-arbitrage in discrete-time market models with transaction costs. This criterion is expressed in terms of the supports of the regular conditional upper distributions of the solvency cones. We also consider the model with a bank account. A method for construction of arbitr…
Introduces ambiguity in credit risk markets using intensity-based models.
problem Uncertainty in default intensity in credit markets.
method Introduces a framework considering ambiguity in default intensity, constructs equivalent martingale measures using Girsanov theorem, and derives no-arbitrage price intervals.
result Derives the interval of no-arbitrage prices for bond prices under ambiguity in default intensity.
We show that the existence of an equivalent local martingale measure for asset prices does not prevent negative prices for European calls written on positive stock prices. In particular, we illustrate that many standard no-arbitrage arguments implicitly rely on conditions stronger than the No Free Lunch With Vanishing …
Study a financial market with singular drift and no arbitrage, considering jumps and delays.
problem Model a financial market with singular drift and no arbitrage, considering jumps and delays.
method Use geometric Itô-Lévy process with singular drift term, incorporate jumps and delays, and apply white noise calculus.
result No arbitrage in the market when delay θ > 0, maximal value finite.
Based on a criterion of mathematical simplicity and consistency with empirical market data, a stochastic volatility model has been obtained with the volatility process driven by fractional noise. Depending on whether the stochasticity generators of log-price and volatility are independent or are the same, two versions …
Study examines no-arbitrage rules for converging asset prices under short-sales constraints.
problem Understanding no-arbitrage conditions for converging asset prices with short-sales restrictions.
method Translated NFLVR-S property into structure conditions and introduced fundamental supermartingale measure.
result Provides arbitrage portfolios when conditions for fundamental supermartingale measure are not met.
The paper develops no arbitrage results for trajectory based models by imposing general constraints on the trading portfolios. The main condition imposed, in order to avoid arbitrage opportunities, is a local continuity requirement on the final portfolio value considered as a functional on the trajectory space. The pap…
We discuss the no-arbitrage conditions in a general framework for discrete-time models of financial markets with proportional transaction costs and general information structure. We extend the results of Kabanov and al. (2002), Kabanov and al. (2003) and Schachermayer (2004) to the case where bid-ask spreads are not kn…