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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,922 papers · 148 categories

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9.3%18.7%28.0%37.4% · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for liquid state machines

Novel method reconstructs liquidity data for CLMMs, optimizing dynamic liquidity strategies.

problem Challenges in evaluating and optimizing CLMMs due to lack of historical liquidity data.
method Reconstructs historical liquidity states from swap transaction data using machine learning.
result Identifies outperformance of dynamic liquidity strategies over uniform allocation benchmarks.

The search of unconventional magnetic and nonmagnetic states is a major topic in the study of frustrated magnetism. Canonical examples of those states include various spin liquids and spin nematics. However, discerning their existence and the correct characterization is usually challenging. Here we introduce a machine-…

2018-04-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Study uses machine learning to predict high-frequency trading liquidity.

problem Predicting minute-level price movements in high-frequency trading markets.
method Advanced machine learning techniques (Logistic Regression, SVM, Random Forest) applied to liquidity metrics.
result Random Forest algorithm shows superior accuracy in predicting price movements.

This paper formalizes Uniswap v3 using PTA and FST for rigorous analysis.

problem Formal modeling of Uniswap v3's concentrated liquidity for rigorous analysis.
method Formal state machine models using PTA and FST, proving rounding bounds.
result Formal justification of Uniswap v3's εε-slack and rounding safety.

Equivariant graph neural networks predict electron density for molecules, liquids, and solids.

problem Predicting electron density for molecules, liquids, and solids using machine learning.
method Equivariant graph neural networks for predicting electron density at query points.
result The model predicts electron density with accuracy beyond state of the art and significantly faster than traditional DFT methods.

The paper calculates optimal trading turnover in terms of asset liquidity and alpha autocorrelation.

problem Understanding optimal trading turnover in the context of asset liquidity and alpha autocorrelation.
method Developed a Gaussian process model to compute steady-state turnover explicitly, relating it to asset liquidity and alpha autocorrelation.
result Steady-state optimal turnover is given by γn+1γ\sqrt{n+1}, where γγ is a liquidity-adjusted risk-aversion and nn is the mean-reversion speed ratio.

Study shows pre-event L2 liquidity state predicts crypto futures liquidity better than event labels.

problem Understanding how crypto futures liquidity changes over time.
method Combining L2 order book data, trade-flow records, and macro-event windows to define discrete liquidity-state transitions and evaluate models.
result Pre-event L2 liquidity state predicts post-event liquidity regimes better than event labels, and order flow adds value only when layered on top of the state model.

Machine learning predicts liquid water properties from cluster data.

problem Accuracy of bulk properties from machine-learned potentials is limited by training data.
method Local, atom-centred descriptors enable prediction of bulk properties from cluster data.
result Excellent agreement with experimental and theoretical counterparts of liquid water properties.

Low-complexity spiking networks learn complex tasks with minimal trainable parameters.

problem Training complex reinforcement learning tasks with minimal resources.
method Reinforcement learning on simple networks of spiking neurons with random connections.
result Small random spiking networks achieve learning efficiency similar to humans on complex tasks.

The study examines when large trades are considered news or liquidity shocks in a market model.

problem Understanding when large trades are news or liquidity shocks in a market model.
method A sequential competitive limit order book model with asymmetric information and Student-t tails for liquidity demand.
result Heavy-tailed liquidity demand flattens and concavifies price impact, delaying price discovery.

Predicting stock jumps using liquidity and technical indicators.

problem Predicting intraday stock jumps in finance.
method Divide trading day into 5-minute intervals, use liquidity measures and technical indicators, apply machine learning algorithms.
result Initial evidence of predictability of jump arrivals and directions using level-2 stock data.

We refine toxicity bounds for dynamic liquidation incentives in CP-AMM systems.

problem Ensuring stability in dynamic liquidation incentives in automated market makers.
method Derived state-dependent toxicity bounds for dynamic liquidation incentives, reconciling them with CP-AMM price dynamics.
result State-dependent bounds and liquidity-depth-only condition for dynamic liquidation incentives.

The paper analyzes real-time methods to detect rapidly varying liquidity in markets.

problem Increased trade execution price uncertainty due to rapid price variations by high-frequency traders.
method A four-state Markov switching model to identify volatile liquidity states.
result The model can generate a signal to delay orders, reducing price volatility for market participants.

Many commonly used liquidity measures are based on snapshots of the state of the limit order book (LOB) and can thus only provide information about instantaneous liquidity, and not regarding the local liquidity regime. However, trading in the LOB is characterised by many intra-day liquidity shocks, where the LOB genera…

2014-06-20abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm uses machine learning to predict high-frequency trading returns.

problem Improving prediction accuracy in high-frequency trading.
method Iterative optimization and activation functions in deep learning, combined with VPINVPIN, GARCH, and SVM.
result The model significantly improved prediction of market liquidity and trading returns.

We study the effect of liquidity freezes on an economic agent optimizing her utility of consumption in a perturbed Black-Scholes-Merton model. The single risky asset follows a geometric Brownian motion but is subject to liquidity shocks, during which no trading is possible and stock dynamics are modified. The liquidity…

2010-04-09abs ↗pdf ↗

We introduce an event based framework of directional changes and overshoots to map continuous financial data into the so-called Intrinsic Network - a state based discretisation of intrinsically dissected time series. Defining a method for state contraction of Intrinsic Network, we show that it has a consistent hierarch…

2014-02-10abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider a framework for solving optimal liquidation problems in limit order books. In particular, order arrivals are modeled as a point process whose intensity depends on the liquidation price. We set up a stochastic control problem in which the goal is to maximize the expected revenue from liquidating the entire p…

2011-05-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Financial exchanges provide incentives for limit order book (LOB) liquidity provision to certain market participants, termed designated market makers or designated sponsors. While quoting requirements typically enforce the activity of these participants for a certain portion of the day, we argue that liquidity demand t…

2015-08-18abs ↗pdf ↗

A machine learning model with approximate rotational symmetry is tested and found stable.

problem The effects of broken symmetries in machine learning models.
method Testing a model with approximate rotational symmetry in various physical scenarios.
result The model remains stable even with noticeable symmetry artifacts, suggesting potential benefits.

We analyze linear McKean-Vlasov forward-backward SDEs arising in leader-follower games with mean-field type control and terminal state constraints on the state process. We establish an existence and uniqueness of solutions result for such systems in time-weighted spaces as well as a {convergence} result of the solution…

2018-09-12abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper examines how institutional liquidity affects prediction markets.

problem How institutional liquidity impacts prediction markets and their quality.
method Defines a market-quality lens, separates channels, and uses synthetic microstructure lab.
result Institutional liquidity does not necessarily translate to equal gains for all traders.

Study on liquidity providers' performance in decentralized exchanges.

problem Unclear profitability of liquidity providers in decentralized exchanges.
method Reconstructing LP PnL dynamics from on-chain events, introducing a new metric.
result Only about one out of six LPs avoids losses, suggesting open questions about LP participation motives.

Model predicts Chinese stock market liquidity and customer order behavior.

problem Understanding market liquidity and customer order behavior in the Chinese stock market.
method Dual state-space model using Fourier transform to connect volume-at-price buckets to correlations.
result Customer orders are correlated with market sentiment and stock returns, not with bond returns.

Regulators require financial institutions to estimate counterparty default risks from liquid CDS quotes for the valuation and risk management of OTC derivatives. However, the vast majority of counterparties do not have liquid CDS quotes and need proxy CDS rates. Existing methods cannot account for counterparty-specific…

2017-05-19abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper uses deep reinforcement learning to optimize stock liquidation strategies.

problem Optimizing liquidation strategies in the stock market considering market impact and trader risk.
method Multi-agent deep reinforcement learning model to learn optimal selling decisions.
result Reinforcement learning models can effectively solve realistic liquidation problems.

We study the optimal liquidation problem in a market model where the bid price follows a geometric pure jump process whose local characteristics are driven by an unobservable finite-state Markov chain and by the liquidation rate. This model is consistent with stylized facts of high frequency data such as the discrete n…

2016-06-16abs ↗pdf ↗

This study examines investor sentiment's impact on stock market liquidity and volatility using deep learning and TVP-VAR models.

problem Investor sentiment's impact on stock market liquidity and volatility.
method Deep learning BERT model for sentiment extraction and TVP-VAR model for time-varying analysis.
result Investor sentiment has a stronger impact on stock market liquidity and volatility, with more pronounced effects in short-term shocks.