Latent order book models have allowed for significant progress in our understanding of price formation in financial markets. In particular they are able to reproduce a number of stylized facts, such as the square-root impact law. An important question that is raised -- if one is to bring such models closer to real mark…
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48 results for “latent orders”
This research tackles ordering latent variables in normalizing flows.
problem Learning low-dimensional, meaningful representations in latent space.
method Nested dropout normalizing flows with ordered latent variables.
result A trade-off exists between flow likelihood and ordering quality.
Paper proposes a new method to identify causal graphs with latent variables using higher-order cumulants.
problem Estimating causal directed acyclic graphs with latent confounders.
method Uses higher-order cumulants to identify causal structures among observed and latent variables.
result Validates the proposed algorithm through simulations and real-world data.
The paper identifies causal effects in latent variable models using higher-order cumulants.
problem Challenges in identifying causal effects in latent variable models with latent confounders.
method Using higher-order cumulants, the paper addresses two challenging setups: a single proxy variable and underspecified instrumental variables.
result Causal effects are identifiable with a single proxy or instrument.
We consider learning a causal ordering of variables in a linear non-Gaussian acyclic model called LiNGAM. Several existing methods have been shown to consistently estimate a causal ordering assuming that all the model assumptions are correct. But, the estimation results could be distorted if some assumptions actually a…
The paper develops a method to predict the latent deterioration phase in limit order books before stress is observed.
problem Limit order books can transition rapidly from stable to stressed conditions, making it difficult to detect the latent deterioration phase.
method The paper formalizes a three-regime causal data-generating process and proposes a trigger-based detector combining MAX aggregation of complementary signal channels, a rising-edge condition, and adaptive thresholding.
result The proposed method achieves mean lead-time of +18.6 timesteps with perfect precision and moderate coverage, outperforming classical change-point and microstructure baselines.
Paper introduces OMD for ordered state transitions in SSMs.
problem Modeling ordered latent states in dynamic systems.
method Ordered Matrix Dirichlet (OMD) prior over ordered stochastic matrices.
result OMD models recover interpretable ordered latent structure without sacrificing predictive performance.
Active seriation recovers item order from noisy pairwise similarity measurements.
problem Recovering an unknown item ordering from noisy pairwise similarity measurements.
method Proposes an active seriation algorithm that provably recovers the latent ordering with high probability.
result Establishes optimal performance guarantees for successful recovery under a uniform separation condition.
We present Ordinary Differential Equation Variational Auto-Encoder (ODEVAE), a latent second order ODE model for high-dimensional sequential data. Leveraging the advances in deep generative models, ODEVAE can simultaneously learn the embedding of high dimensional trajectories and infer arbitrarily complex conti…
New method identifies latent variables with causal dependencies from observed data.
problem Identify latent variables with causal relationships from observed data.
method Linear causal disentanglement via higher-order cumulants, with perfect and soft interventions.
result Recovery of parameters via coupled tensor decomposition and polynomial equations.
Study adapts liquidity model to equity auctions, revealing accelerated event rates and reduced price impact.
problem Understanding and predicting price dynamics in equity auctions.
method Adapted latent/revealed order book framework to equity auctions, measuring order submissions, cancellations, and diffusion rates.
result Equity auctions exhibit accelerated event rates leading to reduced price impact and decreased volatility.
New method identifies causal direction with latent confounders.
problem Identifying causal direction in presence of multiple latent variables.
method Use of joint higher-order cumulant matrix properties.
result Causal asymmetry can be seen from rank deficiency properties of cumulant matrices.
The paper tackles causal disentanglement with linear models and interventions.
problem Identify latent variables in a causal model from observed data.
method Use linear transformations and interventions to uniquely identify latent variables.
result A single intervention on each latent variable is sufficient for identifying the latent causal model.
Differentiable relaxation for inferring partial orders from noisy linear data.
problem Inference of partial orders from linear data with noisy observations.
method Introducing a differentiable relaxation to model noisy linear extensions, replacing discontinuous precedence and feasibility with smooth surrogates.
result Smooth posterior that preserves partial-order semantics, supports gradient-based inference, and converges to hard likelihood.
StrTransformer recovers sources without labels by optimizing latent matrices and enforcing structural constraints.
problem Unsupervised blind source recovery in signal processing.
method Source-wise structured Transformer framework with latent source matrix optimization, structural regularization, and branch-specific weights.
result StrTransformer learns distinct temporal-scale structures and recovers source-aligned latent trajectories.
Paper introduces STSL, a second-order Tweedie sampler for efficient posterior sampling in inverse problems.
problem Computational challenges in sampling from posterior distributions using latent diffusion models.
method Introduces STSL, a novel second-order Tweedie sampler with tractable reverse process.
result STSL achieves 4X and 8X reduction in neural function evaluations compared to state-of-the-art solvers.
We extend the framework of variational autoencoders to represent transformations explicitly in the latent space. In the family of hierarchical graphical models that emerges, the latent space is populated by higher order objects that are inferred jointly with the latent representations they act on. To explicitly demonst…
Improved latent dynamics identification framework reduces training time and improves accuracy.
problem Accurate numerical solutions of partial differential equations require computationally expensive solvers.
method Sequential decoder training (mLaSDI) to correct residual errors from previous stages.
result mLaSDI consistently outperforms standard LaSDI, achieving lower prediction errors and reduced training time.
We consider to learn a causal ordering of variables in a linear non-Gaussian acyclic model called LiNGAM. Several existing methods have been shown to consistently estimate a causal ordering assuming that all the model assumptions are correct. But, the estimation results could be distorted if some assumptions actually a…
Context-aware recommender systems (CARSs) apply sensing and analysis of user context in order to provide personalized services. Adding context to a recommendation model is challenging, since the addition of context may increases both the dimensionality and sparsity of the model. Recent research has shown that modeling …
Hierarchical Partial-Order Models for Ranking
problem Rank aggregation combining ordered lists
method Hierarchical partial-order models
result Bayesian inference for latent poset hierarchy
New method identifies latent treatment effects from proxy models.
problem Identifying heterogeneous treatment effects under unobserved confounding.
method Compressed observable operator and spectral analysis of treatment effects.
result Eigenvalues of the operator represent latent treatment effects.
Sliding down the stairs: how correlated latent variables accelerate learning with neural networksstat.ML
Neural networks learn faster with correlated latent variables.
problem Efficiently learning from higher-order correlations in neural networks.
method Analytical derivation and simulations of two-layer neural networks.
result Correlations between latent variables speed up learning from higher-order correlations.
The latent order book of \cite{donier2015fully} is one of the most promising agent-based models for market impact. This work extends the minimal model by allowing agents to exhibit mean-reversion, a commonly observed pattern in real markets. This modification leads to new order book dynamics, which we explicitly study …
We describe a Markov latent state space (MLSS) model, where the latent state distribution is a decaying mixture over multiple past states. We present a simple sampling algorithm that allows to approximate such high-order MLSS with fixed time and memory costs.
We propose a probabilistic framework for modelling and exploring the latent structure of relational data. Given feature information for the nodes in a network, the scalable deep generative relational model (SDREM) builds a deep network architecture that can approximate potential nonlinear mappings between nodes' featur…
Method learns latent dynamics of complex systems from noisy data.
problem Challenging to construct ROMs from noisy high-dimensional data.
method Recurrent stochastic variational deep kernel learning (SVDKL).
result Framework accurately predicts system evolution in low-dimensional latent spaces.
Estimates latent positions in 1D torus from noisy pairwise affinities.
problem Estimating latent positions in a 1D torus from noisy pairwise affinities.
method Introduced an estimation procedure with provable localization error of .
result The estimation procedure provably localizes latent positions with a maximum error of .
New framework models non-exchangeable networks with latent orders and graphons.
problem Modeling non-exchangeable network data with complex dependencies.
method Latent orders and graphon-based approach for adjacency matrix probabilities.
result Consistent estimation and clustering of latent network structure.
Nonnegative matrix factorization (NMF) has been widely used in machine learning and signal processing because of its non-subtractive, part-based property which enhances interpretability. It is often assumed that the latent dimensionality (or the number of components) is given. Despite the large amount of algorithms des…
New algorithm disentangles latent features without strict assumptions.
problem Disentangling complex data-generating mechanisms into causally interpretable latent features.
method Linear CRL algorithm with topological ordering, pruning, and disentanglement.
result Recovering latent causal features up to an equivalence class under weaker assumptions.
ROAD-EnKFs use learned low-dimensional models to improve state reconstruction and forecasting.
problem Reconstructing and forecasting states of unknown or expensive systems.
method Learned low-dimensional surrogate models and ensemble Kalman filter integration.
result ROAD-EnKFs achieve higher accuracy at lower computational cost than existing methods.
Optimal task order improves continual learning performance.
problem Challenges in neural networks learning multiple tasks in sequence.
method Linear teacher-student model with latent factors, derived analytical expression.
result Two principles for optimal task order: least representative first and dissimilar adjacent tasks.
PLIs improve classifier performance by fine-tuning latent representations.
problem Difficult interpretation of high-dimensional latent representations in neural networks.
method Back-propagation of manual changes to low-dimensional embeddings using t-distributed stochastic neighbourhood embeddings.
result Manual separation of class clusters in latent space enhances classifier performance.
This work considers a computationally and statistically efficient parameter estimation method for a wide class of latent variable models---including Gaussian mixture models, hidden Markov models, and latent Dirichlet allocation---which exploits a certain tensor structure in their low-order observable moments (typically…
Deep generative networks have been widely used for learning mappings from a low-dimensional latent space to a high-dimensional data space. In many cases, data transformations are defined by linear paths in this latent space. However, the Euclidean structure of the latent space may be a poor match for the underlying lat…
Paper introduces models to discover complex structures in large hypergraphs.
problem Understanding dependency structures in complex systems represented as hypergraphs.
method Probabilistic models treating classes of similar units as nodes in a latent hypergraph, using low-rank representations.
result Improves link prediction and discovers interpretable structures in diverse real-world systems.
Probabilistic Latent Semantic Analysis is a novel statistical technique for the analysis of two-mode and co-occurrence data, which has applications in information retrieval and filtering, natural language processing, machine learning from text, and in related areas. Compared to standard Latent Semantic Analysis which s…
Unsupervised estimation of latent variable models is a fundamental problem central to numerous applications of machine learning and statistics. This work presents a principled approach for estimating broad classes of such models, including probabilistic topic models and latent linear Bayesian networks, using only secon…
Learning general latent-variable probabilistic graphical models is a key theoretical challenge in machine learning and artificial intelligence. All previous methods, including the EM algorithm and the spectral algorithms, face severe limitations that largely restrict their applicability and affect their performance. In…
New method recovers causal DAGs from general environments without strict assumptions.
problem Recovering causal DAGs from real-world data with varying distributions.
method Formalizes desiderata for causal representation learning in general environments, leveraging sufficient change conditions up to third-order derivatives.
result Fully recovers latent DAG and identifies latent variables up to minor indeterminacies under nonparametric mixing.
A new method for state estimation on complex networks.
problem Reconstructing latent dynamics from multivariate time-series on topological cell complexes.
method Topology-aware state space framework derived from stochastic partial differential equations, with state evolution following heat-like topological diffusion.
result The proposed method successfully recovers latent states and topological structures in real-world networks.
PCA outperforms random projections in retaining second order signals from latent groups.
problem Preserving second order structure in latent groups under unsupervised linear projections.
method Theoretical framework and quasi-exhaustive enumeration of projections.
result PCA outperforms random projections in retaining second order signals across a broad range of data-generating parameters.
Derives formulae for general permutation equivariant layers and presents a second order graph variational encoder.
problem Tackles the limitation of previous equivariant neural networks by considering permutations of matrices.
method Derives formulae for general permutation equivariant layers, including matrix permutations. Presents a second order graph variational encoder.
result Latent distribution of equivariant generative models must be exchangeable.
We describe a method for removing the effect of confounders in order to reconstruct a latent quantity of interest. The method, referred to as half-sibling regression, is inspired by recent work in causal inference using additive noise models. We provide a theoretical justification and illustrate the potential of the me…
Algorithm learns latent variables for thermodynamically-consistent deep neural networks.
problem Predicting time evolution of large-scale physical systems with thermodynamic consistency.
method Sparse autoencoders and structure-preserving neural networks.
result Method conserves total energy and entropy inequality for both conservative and dissipative systems.
Unified framework for disentangled representations using mechanistic independence.
problem Identifiability of disentangled latent factors under statistical dependencies.
method Introduces mechanistic independence to characterize latent factors by their actions on observed variables, proposing various independence criteria.
result Establishes conditions for identifiability of latent subspaces without statistical assumptions.
Spectral methods have greatly advanced the estimation of latent variable models, generating a sequence of novel and efficient algorithms with strong theoretical guarantees. However, current spectral algorithms are largely restricted to mixtures of discrete or Gaussian distributions. In this paper, we propose a kernel m…