Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

91181272362 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for label uncertainty

Proposes a new batch selection method for multi-label classification.

problem Improving the accuracy of deep neural networks in multi-label classification tasks.
method Adapts uncertainty measures to multi-label data, considering label correlations and dynamic uncertainty.
result Improves performance and accelerates convergence of multi-label deep learning models.

New method quantifies uncertainty at class level for better decision-making.

problem Improving cost-sensitive decision-making in classification tasks.
method Label-wise decomposition of uncertainty measures based on non-categorical metrics.
result Proposed measures adhere to desirable properties and improve uncertainty quantification.

IUPM monitors machine learning models under gradual shifts using optimal transport and active labeling.

problem Gradual distribution shifts lead to unnoticed accuracy declines in machine learning models.
method Incremental Uncertainty-aware Performance Monitoring (IUPM) using optimal transport and active labeling.
result IUPM outperforms existing baselines in gradual shift scenarios and guides label acquisition more effectively.

GUST framework improves self-training by estimating node uncertainty and generating pseudo-labels.

problem Over-confidence in pseudo-labels during self-training.
method Graph-based uncertainty-aware self-training with stochastic node labeling.
result GUST achieves state-of-the-art performance, especially in sparse labeled data settings.

New method tackles label noise on imbalanced datasets by considering class-specific uncertainty.

problem Label noise and class imbalance in imbalanced datasets.
method Epistemic and aleatoric uncertainty-aware class-specific noise modeling.
result Proposed ULC framework improves performance on imbalanced datasets.

New method reduces model bias and variance by adjusting training sample weights based on label uncertainty.

problem Tradeoff between model bias and variance in classification models.
method Estimate label uncertainty, adjust training sample weights, and fine-tune decision boundary.
result Improves model performance and reduces variance in physical activity recognition.

Deep neural networks (DNNs) are powerful tools in computer vision tasks. However, in many realistic scenarios label noise is prevalent in the training images, and overfitting to these noisy labels can significantly harm the generalization performance of DNNs. We propose a novel technique to identify data with noisy lab…

2019-05-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Structured credal learning separates covariate shift and label disagreement.

problem Uncertainty in real-world learning tasks due to covariate shift and noisy labels.
method Introduces a structured credal learning framework that explicitly separates these sources.
result Geometric bounds and decomposition reveal how covariate shifts affect label disagreement contributions.

New method improves deep learning models in noisy label classification.

problem Improving deep learning models in noisy label classification.
method Analyzes loss and uncertainty changes during training, designs a new robust training method.
result Significantly outperforms other state-of-the-art methods in various deep learning models.

Study robustness of conformal prediction to label noise in regression and classification.

problem Robustness of conformal prediction to label noise in regression and classification.
method Characterized robustness of conformal prediction for both regression and classification problems, extending theory to control general loss functions.
result Conformal prediction and risk-controlling techniques can achieve conservative risk over clean ground truth labels with noisy labels.

The paper tackles uncertainty quantification for classification under label shift without assuming i.i.d. data.

problem Uncertainty quantification for classification under label shift in non-i.i.d. settings.
method The paper uses conformal prediction and post-hoc binning for distribution-free UQ, and reweights these methods for label shift.
result The reweighted methods improve UQ performance under label shift, preserving coverage and calibration.

Study benchmarks uncertainty quantification in chest X-ray classification.

problem Reliable uncertainty quantification for medical AI models.
method Evaluation of 13 uncertainty quantification methods on MIMIC-CXR-JPG dataset.
result Insights into effectiveness and disentanglement of epistemic and aleatoric uncertainties.

New federated conformal prediction method addresses label shift for uncertainty quantification.

problem Label shift in federated learning and its impact on uncertainty quantification.
method Quantile regression-based federated conformal prediction method with privacy constraints.
result Method provides valid coverage of prediction sets and differential privacy guarantees.

Algorithm constructs prediction sets with PAC guarantees in label shift settings.

problem Reliable uncertainty quantification in the face of distribution shift.
method Estimates predicted probabilities and confusion matrix, then propagates uncertainty through Gaussian elimination to compute confidence intervals and construct prediction sets.
result Satisfies PAC guarantees and produces smaller, more informative prediction sets.

A new method for active learning works well across all label budgets.

problem Active learning methods perform poorly in both low and high label budgets.
method Uncertainty Herding: a simple, computationally fast method that optimizes uncertainty coverage.
result Uncertainty Herding nearly optimizes distribution-level coverage and performs well across various active learning tasks.

New method corrects biased predictions and uncertainty estimates in classification with nuisance parameters.

problem Tackles biased predictions and invalid uncertainty estimates in classification with nuisance parameters.
method Proposes a method that estimates ROC across the entire nuisance parameter space to devise invariant cutoffs.
result Demonstrates effective domain adaptation and valid prediction sets with high power.

Study evaluates predictive uncertainty in malware detection.

problem Detecting dataset shift and adversarial examples in malware detection.
method Re-designed and built 24 Android malware detectors, quantified their uncertainties with nine metrics.
result Predictive uncertainty helps reliable malware detection but not adversarial evasion attacks.

New oracle uses uncertainty for active classification with noisy feedback.

problem Improving query complexity in interactive binary classifier learning.
method Proposes a new pairwise comparison oracle that considers uncertainty and an adaptive labeling algorithm.
result Demonstrates improved performance and efficiency compared to existing methods.

The paper introduces uncertainty quantification for NER models.

problem Current NER models lack uncertainty measures, leading to downstream errors.
method Full-Sequence and Subsequence Conformal Prediction framework.
result The method provides formal guarantees about the reliability of model predictions.

Proposes a novel graph self-training method with EM regularization for semi-supervised node classification.

problem Handles noisy graph structures and feature spaces in semi-supervised node classification.
method Introduces an Expectation-Maximization (EM) regularization scheme for uncertainty-aware pseudo-label generation and model retraining.
result Significantly outperforms strong baselines by up to 2.5% in accuracy.

Two strategies extend multi-label chaining for imprecise probability estimates.

problem Handling imprecise probability estimates in multi-label classification.
method Adapting multi-label chaining to use convex sets of distributions (credal sets).
result Adapted approaches produce relevant cautiousness on hard-to-predict instances.

Gaussian Processes outperform other models in estimating uncertainty for radiology report observation detection.

problem Uncertainty quantification in automatic data labelling for semi-supervised learning in clinical NLP.
method Investigation of uncertainty estimates from various predictive models using NLPP and MMPCL metrics.
result Gaussian Processes provide superior performance in quantifying uncertainty for radiology report observation detection.

Unsupervised domain adaptation (UDA) aims at inferring class labels for unlabeled target domain given a related labeled source dataset. Intuitively, a model trained on source domain normally produces higher uncertainties for unseen data. In this work, we build on this assumption and propose to adapt from source to targ…

2019-07-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved AI lung ultrasound segmentation using expert confidence values.

problem Label uncertainty in lung ultrasound due to subjective interpretation by radiologists.
method Designing a data annotation protocol capturing expert confidence, training AI on binarized labels with confidence thresholds.
result Improved AI segmentation and better clinical outcomes (e.g., S/F oxygenation ratio estimation, patient readmission prediction).

The paper introduces a method to quantify uncertainty in neural networks without parametric assumptions.

problem Uncertainty quantification for neural network predictions.
method Nonparametric estimation of conditional label distribution using Nadaraya-Watson kernel.
result The method effectively disentangles aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties.

The paper offers a method to create prediction sets with uncertainty control.

problem Calibrating and communicating uncertainty in machine learning predictions.
method Distribution-free, risk-controlling prediction sets using a holdout set to calibrate set sizes.
result Explicit finite-sample guarantees for error control in various machine learning tasks.

Domain adaptation is an important technique to alleviate performance degradation caused by domain shift, e.g., when training and test data come from different domains. Most existing deep adaptation methods focus on reducing domain shift by matching marginal feature distributions through deep transformations on the inpu…

2019-06-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper introduces methods for more reliable probabilistic predictions with confidence intervals.

problem Inaccurate labeling of datasets due to unreliable probabilistic predictions from weak labeling functions.
method Proposes a methodology to provide confidence intervals for label probabilities using uncertainty sets of distributions.
result Improves reliability of probabilistic predictions and provides confidence intervals for label probabilities.

Graph Posterior Network improves uncertainty estimation for node classification in interdependent graphs.

problem Uncertainty quantification for non-independent node-level predictions in graphs.
method Derives axioms for expected predictive uncertainty, proposes Graph Posterior Network (GPN) which performs Bayesian posterior updates.
result GPN outperforms existing approaches for uncertainty estimation in semi-supervised node classification.

Two-step conformal prediction method for adaptive bounding box uncertainties in multi-object detection.

problem Quantifying predictive uncertainty for multi-object detection in safety-critical applications.
method Developed a two-step conformal prediction approach to propagate uncertainty in predicted class labels into bounding box uncertainties, ensuring coverage for incorrectly classified objects.
result Desired coverage levels are satisfied with practically tight predictive uncertainty intervals on real-world datasets.

A Bayesian approach to multilabel classification using tree-based models.

problem Challenges in multilabel classification due to complex label relationships and correlations.
method Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) framework for modeling multilabel classification.
result Improved predictive performance compared to other models, including an oracle model.

Bayesian method improves deep learning for noisy EEG seizure detection.

problem Label noise in scalp EEG data hinders deep learning performance.
method Integrates domain knowledge into a Bayesian framework to inform deep learning models of label ambiguities.
result BUNDL enhances robustness of seizure detection systems under noisy label conditions.

Majority Vote is optimal for reliable data labeling under certain conditions.

problem Reliable data labeling requires aggregating multiple annotators' labels, but the optimality of Majority Vote is not well understood.
method Characterized conditions under which Majority Vote achieves the optimal label estimation error.
result Majority Vote optimally recovers labels for a given class distribution under tolerable annotation noise limits.

Framework controls uncertainty in LLMs without labels or probabilities.

problem Managing uncertainty in black-box LLMs without token-level probability or true labels.
method Integrates generative models, UCP, and conformal alignment to control uncertainty.
result Achieves close-to-nominal coverage and tighter thresholds than split UCP.

Bayesian neural networks improve uncertainty quantification with unlabelled data.

problem Over-confidence in predictions on covariate-shifted data.
method Approximate Bayesian inference using posterior regularisation with pseudo-labels from unlabelled data.
result Significant improvement in uncertainty quantification accuracy on covariate-shifted data.

Probabilistic SR method speeds up high-fidelity simulations with reliable uncertainty estimates.

problem Lack of reliable uncertainty quantification in deep-learning based SR methods.
method Statistical Finite Element Method and energy-based generative modeling.
result Efficient high-resolution predictions with inherent uncertainty estimates.

Paper improves MRI reconstruction by separating target labels and prediction error.

problem Improving MRI reconstruction accuracy by estimating prediction error.
method Proposes a novel method to estimate target labels and prediction error separately.
result Significantly better MRI reconstruction results achieved compared to state-of-the-art methods.

CAOS aggregates multiple one-shot predictors for efficient uncertainty quantification.

problem Lack of principled uncertainty quantification in one-shot prediction.
method CAOS, a conformal framework that aggregates multiple one-shot predictors and uses a leave-one-out calibration scheme.
result CAOS produces smaller prediction sets with reliable coverage compared to split conformal baselines.