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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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3557111,0661,421 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for joint modeling

Study proposes a new model for joint survival annuity valuation.

problem Valuation of joint survival annuities and options.
method Linear-rational Wishart mortality model based on stochastic matrix affine process.
result Derives closed-form expression for joint survival annuity and option.

Introduces joint Shapley values to measure feature importance in models.

problem Measuring the importance of feature sets in machine learning models.
method Extends Shapley's axioms to measure a set of features' average contribution to a model's prediction.
result Joint Shapley values provide unique insights and are more consistent with local intuitions.

Estimates joint causal effects using single-variable interventions on nonlinear models.

problem Estimating joint causal effects from single-variable interventions.
method Identifiability result and practical estimator for decomposing causal effects.
result Joint effects can be inferred without joint interventional data for nonlinear additive models.

Joint diffusion models improve data representation for both generation and prediction.

problem Inconsistent performance between generation and classification tasks in joint models.
method Extended vanilla diffusion model with a classifier for joint end-to-end training.
result Joint diffusion model outperforms state-of-the-art hybrid methods in classification and generation.

Improved multimodal variational models capture more complex joint distributions.

problem Limited expressiveness of multimodal variational models.
method Used normalizing flows to approximate and transform a simple parametric joint posterior into a more complex one.
result The model improves on state-of-the-art multimodal variational methods on various tasks.

Efficiently combines autoregressive and set-based models for joint distributions.

problem Joint distributions over multiple predictions from set-based models.
method Causal autoregressive buffer that caches context and captures dependencies.
result Up to 20x faster joint sampling and density evaluation, up to 7x lower memory usage.

Proposes joint LCA for multiview data to identify shared and view-specific components.

problem Extracting shared components sequentially from multiview data.
method Formulates a matrix decomposition model with joint and individual structures, proposes a penalty term objective function, and employs a refitting procedure.
result Achieves simultaneous estimation and rank selection for cross covariance.

Previous work has shown that popular trending events are important external factors which pose significant influence on user search behavior and also provided a way to computationally model this influence. However, their problem formulation was based on the strong assumption that each event poses its influence independ…

2019-03-01abs ↗pdf ↗

We investigate deep generative models that can exchange multiple modalities bi-directionally, e.g., generating images from corresponding texts and vice versa. Recently, some studies handle multiple modalities on deep generative models, such as variational autoencoders (VAEs). However, these models typically assume that…

2016-11-07abs ↗pdf ↗

A new framework CyGen models joint distributions using cyclic conditionals.

problem Modeling a joint distribution using only two conditional models without relying on an uninformative prior.
method Developed a general theory for operable equivalence criteria for compatibility and sufficient conditions for determinacy. Proposed CyGen framework and methods to achieve compatibility and determinacy.
result CyGen better fits data and captures more representative features compared to models using an uninformative prior.

The Neural Testbed evaluates joint predictions of neural agents, revealing their limitations.

problem Evaluating the quality of joint predictions generated by neural agents.
method Developed an open-source benchmark (The Neural Testbed) to assess agents' marginal and joint predictions.
result Popular Bayesian deep learning agents perform poorly on joint predictions, even with accurate marginal predictions.

TransformerLSR models longitudinal, recurrent, and survival data jointly.

problem Joint modeling of longitudinal measurements, recurrent events, and survival data with dependencies.
method Transformer-based deep learning framework integrating deep temporal point processes and latent structure representation.
result TransformerLSR effectively models all three components simultaneously, demonstrating necessity and effectiveness through simulations and real-world data.

The paper introduces BCART models for aggregate claim amount, improving frequency-severity and joint modeling.

problem Modeling aggregate claim amount with frequency-severity and joint dependencies.
method Developed three types of BCART models: frequency-severity, sequential, and joint models. Used various distributions for claim severity data.
result Weibull distribution outperforms gamma and lognormal for right-skewed, heavy-tailed claim severity data.

Credit risk analysis improved with a joint model for spatial and temporal effects.

problem Predicting borrower's time-to-event with spatial and temporal covariates.
method Spatio-Temporal Joint Model (STJM) using Bayesian hierarchical approach and INLA.
result Spatial effects improve joint model performance, but spatio-temporal interactions have less impact.

Joint Models for longitudinal and time-to-event data have gained a lot of attention in the last few years as they are a helpful technique to approach common a data structure in clinical studies where longitudinal outcomes are recorded alongside event times. Those two processes are often linked and the two outcomes shou…

2016-09-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes method for eliciting non-parametric joint priors using normalizing flows.

problem Learning complex non-parametric joint priors for model parameters.
method Expert elicitation combined with normalizing flows for generative modeling.
result Framework supports elicitation of both parametric and non-parametric priors.

Proposes a new model to better handle correlation risk in credit risk calculations.

problem Empirical evidence shows correlation risk is significant in credit risk models.
method Introduces a stochastic correlation extension of the Vasicek model using circular diffusion.
result Demonstrates how correlation volatility and persistence affect joint default and survival probabilities.

We employ the language of Cartan's geometry to present a model for studying vector spaces of Killing two-tensors defined in pseudo-Riemannian spaces of constant curvature under the action of the corresponding isometry group. We also discuss geometric properties of joint invariants of Killing two-tensors defined in the …

2006-12-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep networks have been successfully applied to learn transferable features for adapting models from a source domain to a different target domain. In this paper, we present joint adaptation networks (JAN), which learn a transfer network by aligning the joint distributions of multiple domain-specific layers across domai…

2016-05-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops a framework to quantify uncertainties in multiple ML models.

problem Uncertainty in ML model predictions and model inputs.
method Develops a theoretical framework to decouple and transform uncertainties.
result Generates joint distribution of ML predictions considering uncertainties.

Many natural signals exhibit a sparse representation, whenever a suitable describing model is given. Here, a linear generative model is considered, where many sparsity-based signal processing techniques rely on such a simplified model. As this model is often unknown for many classes of the signals, we need to select su…

2012-12-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Traditionally, when generative models of data are developed via deep architectures, greedy layer-wise pre-training is employed. In a well-trained model, the lower layer of the architecture models the data distribution conditional upon the hidden variables, while the higher layers model the hidden distribution prior. Bu…

2014-05-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Feature extraction and dimension reduction for networks is critical in a wide variety of domains. Efficiently and accurately learning features for multiple graphs has important applications in statistical inference on graphs. We propose a method to jointly embed multiple undirected graphs. Given a set of graphs, the jo…

2017-03-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Estimates joint probability distribution from 1-way marginals using low-rank tensors and random projections.

problem Nonparametric estimation of joint probability mass function (PMF) from limited data.
method Low-rank tensor decomposition and random projections to link data to PMF estimation.
result Estimates joint density from 1-way marginals using transformed space and novel algorithm.

Novel approach for estimating joint probability densities using tensor decompositions and dictionaries.

problem Estimating joint probability densities of mixed discrete and continuous variables.
method Low-rank tensor decomposition combined with dictionary learning.
result Better classification and lower error rates compared to existing methods.

First passage models, where corporate assets undergo correlated random walks and a company defaults if its assets fall below a threshold provide an attractive framework for modeling the default process. Typical one year default correlations are small, i.e., of order a few percent, but nonetheless including correlations…

2008-12-10abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper explores the relationship between joint mixability and negative dependence structures.

problem Understanding the connection between joint mixability and various negative dependence concepts.
method Analyzes the properties of joint mixes and their relation to negative dependence structures.
result Derives necessary and sufficient conditions for a joint mix to be negatively dependent.

New model improves multimodal autoencoders by learning joint and conditional distributions.

problem Limitations in recent multimodal autoencoders restrict their quality on complex datasets.
method Proposes a multistage training process with variational inference and Normalizing Flows, leveraging shared modality information.
result Achieves state-of-the-art results on benchmark datasets.

This paper presents a Bayesian method for estimating the rank of a low-rank tensor model of joint PMF.

problem Estimating the rank of a low-rank tensor model of joint PMF from observed data.
method Bayesian framework for estimating low-rank components and rank simultaneously, using variational inference.
result Automatic rank detection and improved estimation accuracy compared to cross-validation methods.

Missing data and noisy observations pose significant challenges for reliably predicting events from irregularly sampled multivariate time series (longitudinal) data. Imputation methods, which are typically used for completing the data prior to event prediction, lack a principled mechanism to account for the uncertainty…

2017-08-16abs ↗pdf ↗

New method certifies joint adversarial robustness of model ensembles.

problem Ensuring robustness of model ensembles against adversarial attacks.
method Proposes a novel technique to certify joint robustness, building on prior work on single-model robustness certification.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of certifying joint robustness of ensembles, improving understanding of ensemble defenses.

We discuss the general properties of the theory of joint invariants of a smooth Lie group action in a manifold. Many of the known results about differential invariants, including Lie's finiteness theorem, have simpler versions in the context of joint invariants. We explore the relation between joint and differential in…

2014-10-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Joint models for longitudinal and time-to-event data are commonly used in longitudinal studies to forecast disease trajectories over time. While there are many advantages to joint modeling, the standard forms suffer from limitations that arise from a fixed model specification, and computational difficulties when applie…

2018-03-27abs ↗pdf ↗