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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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71141212282 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for item response probabilities

Item Response Theory (IRT) aims to assess latent abilities of respondents based on the correctness of their answers in aptitude test items with different difficulty levels. In this paper, we propose the β3β^3-IRT model, which models continuous responses and can generate a much enriched family of Item Characteristic Cur…

2019-03-10abs ↗pdf ↗

A new dataset tracks user interactions and click responses in online marketplaces.

problem Lack of exposure data in recommender systems datasets.
method Proposes a novel dataset including slates and click responses, allowing more accurate likelihood models.
result Models using exposure data show more natural likelihood, reducing bias towards previously exposed items.

Researchers study how teachers' advising relationships influence their perceptions of satisfaction and students, not policy influence.

problem Understanding the relationship between teachers' advising relationships and their perceptions of satisfaction and students.
method Proposed a novel joint model of network and item responses (JNIRM) with correlated latent variables.
result Teachers' advising relationships contribute more to satisfaction and students than to influence over educational policies.

New estimators improve Rasch model item parameter estimation for sparse data.

problem Estimating item parameters in sparse Rasch model data.
method Random pairing maximum likelihood estimator (RP-MLE) and its bootstrapped variant (MRP-MLE).
result RP-MLE and MRP-MLE are minimax optimal and provide precise item parameter estimates.

FedIRT enables privacy-preserving psychometric estimation without centralizing data.

problem Privacy and data governance concerns in centralized IRT estimation.
method Federated Item Response Theory (FedIRT) and FedIRT-DP for differentially private estimation.
result FedIRT matches accuracy of centralized estimators while preserving privacy.

Proposes β4β^{4}-IRT, a new IRT model with enhanced discrimination estimation.

problem Symmetry problem in β3β^3-IRT causing incorrect discrimination values.
method Gradient descent method, link functions, and new parameters for discrimination.
result Improved parameter recovery in experiments compared to β3β^3-IRT.

Bayesian method improves adaptive testing item selection, ensuring full item exposure.

problem Adaptive testing selects items to estimate ability, but must also ensure diverse item exposure.
method Formulated as Bayesian model averaging, deriving optimal item sampling probabilities.
result Stochastic method achieves full item bank exposure without sacrificing accuracy.

GPIRT uses Gaussian processes to estimate latent traits and IRFs from binary responses.

problem Nonparametric IRT models struggle to estimate flexible IRFs and latent traits simultaneously.
method GPIRT employs Gaussian process priors to relax IRF assumptions while estimating latent traits.
result GPIRT provides a flexible solution to IRT challenges, including active learning.

The paper presents a machine learning approach to multidimensional item response theory.

problem Modeling and predicting student performance from assessment data.
method Inspired by collaborative filtering, the paper defines a general class of models using penalized joint maximum likelihood (JML) for estimation and cross-validation for model selection.
result The high-dimensional model fit to large and sparse data does not lend itself well to traditional factor interpretation.

Item response theory (IRT) models for categorical response data are widely used in the analysis of educational data, computerized adaptive testing, and psychological surveys. However, most IRT models rely on both the assumption that categories are strictly ordered and the assumption that this ordering is known a priori…

2015-01-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Ensemble unsupervised anomaly detection using IRT for hidden ground truth.

problem Challenges in constructing an ensemble from unsupervised anomaly detection methods.
method Use Item Response Theory to compute latent traits and construct an ensemble that downplays noisy methods.
result Demonstrated effectiveness of IRT ensemble on extensive data repository.

LaRT models LLMs' response accuracy and CoT length to evaluate reasoning ability and speed.

problem Valid evaluation of Large Language Models (LLMs) via response accuracy and chain-of-thought length.
method Introduces Latency-Response Theory (LaRT) to jointly model response accuracy and CoT length using latent ability and latent speed.
result LaRT yields higher estimation accuracy and shorter confidence intervals for latent traits compared to IRT.

The paper analyzes regret in online recommendation systems with constraints.

problem Analyzing regret in online recommendation systems with user-item constraints.
method Theoretical analysis and algorithm design considering user-item constraints and unknown probabilities.
result Derives regret lower bounds and algorithms achieving these limits for various structural assumptions.

A new framework evaluates large language models efficiently and accurately.

problem Evaluation of large language models is challenging due to stochasticity and heterogeneity of benchmarks.
method Interpretable and scalable framework based on Item Response Theory (IRT) and majorization-minimization principle.
result Our method achieves superior scalability and interpretability compared to existing approaches.

Suppose that we wish to estimate a user's preference vector ww from paired comparisons of the form "does user ww prefer item pp or item qq?," where both the user and items are embedded in a low-dimensional Euclidean space with distances that reflect user and item similarities. Such observations arise in numerous se…

2019-05-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Adaptive cascade submodular maximization tackles sequential selection under uncertainty.

problem Maximizing expected utility from a set of items with unknown states and continuation probabilities.
method Proposed adaptive cascade submodular functions and a 0.12 approximation algorithm.
result Identified a class of functions (adaptive cascade submodular) that many practical applications satisfy.

An efficient algorithm selects the correct number of latent dimensions in multidimensional probit models.

problem Determining the correct number of latent dimensions in multidimensional probit graded response models.
method Adaptive Bayesian dimension selection framework using cumulative ordered spike-and-slab (COSS) prior and Albert--Chib latent response augmentation.
result The proposed method accurately recovers latent structures and avoids repeated model fitting.

The paper develops a method to estimate consumer preferences from observed rankings.

problem Estimating consumer preferences from partial ranking information.
method Interpreting observed rankings as pairwise comparisons, modeling latent utility, and correcting for selection bias.
result The method improves recommendation performance, especially for previously unconsumed products.

Most recommender systems recommend a list of items. The user examines the list, from the first item to the last, and often chooses the first attractive item and does not examine the rest. This type of user behavior can be modeled by the cascade model. In this work, we study cascading bandits, an online learning variant…

2016-03-17abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the problem of learning the nearest neighbor graph of a dataset of n items. The metric is unknown, but we can query an oracle to obtain a noisy estimate of the distance between any pair of items. This framework applies to problem domains where one wants to learn people's preferences from responses commonly …

2019-05-30abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper introduces our solution to the 2018 Duolingo Shared Task on Second Language Acquisition Modeling (SLAM). We used deep factorization machines, a wide and deep learning model of pairwise relationships between users, items, skills, and other entities considered. Our solution (AUC 0.815) hopefully managed to bea…

2018-05-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Previous work on recommender systems mainly focus on fitting the ratings provided by users. However, the response patterns, i.e., some items are rated while others not, are generally ignored. We argue that failing to observe such response patterns can lead to biased parameter estimation and sub-optimal model performanc…

2012-10-16abs ↗pdf ↗

In this article, we propose a novel probabilistic framework to improve the accuracy of a weighted majority voting algorithm. In order to assign higher weights to the classifiers which can correctly classify hard-to-classify instances, we introduce the Item Response Theory (IRT) framework to evaluate the samples' diffic…

2019-11-11abs ↗pdf ↗

The Rasch model is widely used for item response analysis in applications ranging from recommender systems to psychology, education, and finance. While a number of estimators have been proposed for the Rasch model over the last decades, the available analytical performance guarantees are mostly asymptotic. This paper p…

2018-06-09abs ↗pdf ↗

We introduce normalized nonnegative models (NNM) for explorative data analysis. NNMs are partial convexifications of models from probability theory. We demonstrate their value at the example of item recommendation. We show that NNM-based recommender systems satisfy three criteria that all recommender systems should ide…

2015-11-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Identity-link IRT improves TVD-MI scores without curvature violations.

problem Preserving additivity in TVD-MI scores for efficient LLM evaluation.
method Derives clipped-linear model from Gini entropy maximization, using identity link.
result Identity-link yields lower curvature violations (median curl 0.080-0.150) compared to probit/logit.