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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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12.5%25.0%37.5%50.0% · May 199319922001200920172026
48 results for investment decision making

The paper analyzes frameworks for integrating sustainability into investment decisions.

problem Understanding how ESG factors influence investment choices.
method Examined and analyzed various theoretical frameworks including Behavioral Finance, Modern Portfolio, and Risk Management.
result Investors increasingly integrate ESG factors to optimize financial outcomes and societal goals.

Investment decisions can benefit from incorporating an accumulated knowledge of the past to drive future decision making. We introduce Continual Learning Augmentation (CLA) which is based on an explicit memory structure and a feed forward neural network (FFNN) base model and used to drive long term financial investment…

2018-12-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Study optimal investment under imitation of decision-changing rates.

problem Optimal investment under imitation of decision-changing rates.
method Proposed integral disparity to quantify imitation, derived general solution using variational method, analyzed asymptotic properties, validated with real data.
result Investor's optimal decisions under imitation of decision-changing rates.

Interpretable AI model boosts investment confidence and profitability.

problem Challenges in financial forecasting and interpretability in decision-making models.
method SHAP-based explainability technique for interpretable AI models.
result Notable enhancement in investor's portfolio value.

Guided Learning improves end-to-end modeling for multi-stage decision-making.

problem Challenges in training unified neural networks for multi-stage decision-making.
method Guided Learning framework with a guide function and utility function.
result Significant improvement in performance over traditional methods.

Educational game on crypto investment helps students grasp macroeconomics.

problem Weak connections between microeconomic decision-making and macroeconomic concepts in classroom games.
method Design and study of an educational game on cryptocurrency investment.
result Engages students in understanding macroeconomics through incentivized individual investment decisions.

Study optimal investment with herd behavior using rational decision decomposition.

problem Optimal investment problem considering herd behavior between two agents.
method Introduce average deviation term, use variational method, rational decision decomposition, investment opinion.
result Quantitative analysis of herd behavior impact on investment decisions.

LLMs produce volatile sentence-level sentiment classifications that affect financial decision-making.

problem Volatile outputs from LLMs impact financial text understanding tasks.
method Case study on US equity market investing via news sentiment analysis.
result Volatile LLM outputs lead to significant variations in portfolio construction and returns.

A new framework AlphaMix combines multiple trading experts to improve stock investment decisions.

problem Inconsistent financial predictions and lack of model uncertainty in investment decisions.
method Reformulate quantitative investment as a multi-task learning problem, and propose AlphaMix framework.
result AlphaMix significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in financial criteria.

The Chain-of-Decision approach improves forecasting of financial professionals' trading decisions.

problem Challenges in forecasting professionals' behaviors, especially in trading decisions.
method Integrates an opinion-generator-in-the-loop to provide subjective analysis based on news items.
result Promising improvements in the proposed tasks' performance.

Paper proposes a new framework for combining investment strategies without market-specific assumptions.

problem Lack of a distribution-free and consistent preference framework for decision-making in combining investment strategies.
method Introduces a novel framework for decision-making in combining strategies, free from market conditions and statistical assumptions.
result Proposed strategies outperform individual component strategies in long-term wealth accumulation, with small tradeoffs in Sharpe ratios.

New method controls false discoveries in real-time data streams.

problem Online testing of hypotheses with strict error constraints and no future data.
method Structure-adaptive sequential testing (SAST) with alpha-investment algorithm.
result Substantial power gain over existing online testing rules.

Study uses FDA to analyze discount functions of different temperaments.

problem Traditional finance models fail to capture individual differences in investment choices.
method Functional Data Analysis (FDA) to investigate temporal discounting behaviors.
result Heterogeneity within each temperament revealed, suggesting diverse investor profiles.

This article introduces a framework to estimate the value of evidence-based decision making.

problem Lack of empirical tools to assess the value of evidence-based decision making and optimize statistical precision.
method Empirical framework using parametric and nonparametric empirical Bayes methods.
result The value of statistical evidence depends on how organizations translate it into policy decisions.

This study examines representation bias in open-source Qwen models for investment decisions.

problem Representation bias in financial applications of large language models.
method Balanced round-robin prompting over 150 U.S. equities, constrained decoding, token-logit aggregation.
result Firm size and valuation increase model confidence, while risk factors decrease it.

FinMem enhances LLM trading agents with layered memory and character design.

problem Developing purpose-driven LLM agents for financial decision-making.
method Integrates layered memory and character design modules into an LLM framework.
result Significantly enhanced trading performance in financial markets.

Investigates optimal consumption and investment using alternative data sources.

problem Optimal consumption and investment decisions under hidden economic regimes.
method Develops a novel duality theory for a jump-diffusion process with alternative data.
result Provides conditions for using control approach based on dynamic programming.

A general framework is suggested to describe human decision making in a certain class of experiments performed in a trading laboratory. We are in particular interested in discerning between two different moods, or states of the investors, corresponding to investors using fundamental investment strategies, technical ana…

2013-06-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Two critical questions about intergenerational outcomes are: one, whether significant barriers or traps exist between different social or economic strata; and two, the extent to which intergenerational outcomes do (or can be used to) affect individual investment and consumption decisions. We develop a model to explicit…

2018-04-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Financial advisors use KYC info but not client behaviours to guide investments.

problem Financial advisors use KYC info but not client behaviours to guide investments.
method Modified behavioural finance recency, frequency, monetary model for features; machine learning clustering algorithms.
result Trade and transaction frequency and volume are most informative for investor behaviours.

Paper presents a new method for better financial market forecasting.

problem Traditional investment strategies fail to capture market nuances and risks.
method Combines deep learning, factor integration, and correlated stock analysis.
result Enhanced diversification and performance capture in financial markets.

This review analyzes RL in finance, highlighting its advantages and challenges.

problem Complex financial decision-making problems where traditional methods fail.
method Systematic review of 167 articles from 2017-2025, focusing on market making, portfolio optimization, and algorithmic trading.
result RL offers advantages over traditional methods, particularly in market making, but challenges remain.

In this paper, optimal consumption and investment decisions are studied for an investor who can invest in a fixed interest rate bank account and a stock whose price is a log normal diffusion. We present the method of the HJB equation in order to explicitly solve problems of this type with modifications such as a fixed …

2014-09-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Algorithms are often used to produce decision-making rules that classify or evaluate individuals. When these individuals have incentives to be classified a certain way, they may behave strategically to influence their outcomes. We develop a model for how strategic agents can invest effort in order to change the outcome…

2018-07-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Machine learning outperforms crowd investors in predicting loan defaults and investment returns.

problem Determining if machine learning can outperform human decision-making in crowd lending.
method Using data from Prosper.com, a sophisticated ML algorithm was trained to predict loan defaults and investment returns.
result The ML algorithm outperforms crowd investors in predicting loan defaults and investment returns, especially for risky loans.

Enhances robo-advisors with client investment preference inference.

problem Accurately inferring clients' investment preferences from past activities.
method Stochastic control framework with continuous-time model and discounting scheme.
result Proves sufficient conditions for client investment preference identifiability.

MountainLion uses LLMs to interpret financial data and generate investment strategies.

problem Challenges in integrating heterogeneous data for financial trading.
method Multi-modal LLM-based agents that process textual and visual data.
result Improves returns and investor confidence through interpretable investment framework.

The study shows interest rates impact investment and funding negatively but positively on dividend decisions.

problem The effect of interest rates on financial decisions like investment, funding, and dividend.
method Correlation coefficient analysis and descriptive methods.
result Interest rates have a negatively insignificant effect on investment and funding decisions, but positively moderate effect on dividend decisions.

This study improves valuation of post-revenue biopharmaceutical assets using Pfizer's data.

problem Accurate valuation of post-revenue drug assets in biotech and pharma.
method Historical sales data analysis to forecast future sales and calculate Net Present Value.
result Demonstrates a method for more informed investment decisions in biotech and pharma.

Investment herding can reduce household consumption, a phenomenon called crowding-out effect.

problem Investment herding's impact on household consumption.
method Optimal control theory to model and solve for household investment and consumption decisions.
result Existence of crowding-out effect due to investment herding.

We introduce a novel theoretical framework for Return On Investment (ROI) maximization in repeated decision-making. Our setting is motivated by the use case of companies that regularly receive proposals for technological innovations and want to quickly decide whether they are worth implementing. We design an algorithm …

2019-05-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Study aims to optimize financial investments by balancing risk and reward efficiently.

problem Balancing risk and reward in dynamic financial investments.
method Proposes a reinforcement learning method to maximize expected quadratic utility, focusing on first and second moments of rewards.
result The proposed method yields MV-efficient policies that maximize expected reward without increasing variance.