Proposes a probabilistic model to improve hydrology predictions and trust.
problem Noisy or missing basin characteristics impact streamflow prediction.
method Probabilistic inverse modeling framework to reconstruct basin characteristics.
result 6% improvement in R 2 R^2 R 2 for streamflow prediction, 17% reduction in uncertainty. A VAE model predicts material properties and microstructures.
problem Building forward and inverse structure-property linkages in materials science.
method Combines VAE with regression, using a two-level prior and multi-modal Gaussian mixture.
result The model achieves accurate forward and inverse predictions of material properties and microstructures.
Paper improves zero-shot protein stability prediction by clarifying free-energy foundations.
problem Improving zero-shot protein stability prediction using inverse folding models.
method Clarifying the free-energy foundations of inverse folding models and proposing better estimates of relative stability.
result Significant gains in zero-shot performance can be achieved with simple methods.
Seismic inversion method uses GAN to improve efficiency and accuracy.
problem Difficulty in combining geological knowledge with seismic data and assessing uncertainty.
method Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) for seismic inversion.
result GAN-generated models conform to observation data with low uncertainty.
New method uses FY loss for better inverse optimization.
problem Estimating unknown parameters from noisy and suboptimal solutions.
method Fenchel-Young loss approach for efficient gradient-based optimization.
result Significant improvement in parameter estimation accuracy and computational speed.
We present an adversarial active exploration for inverse dynamics model learning, a simple yet effective learning scheme that incentivizes exploration in an environment without any human intervention. Our framework consists of a deep reinforcement learning (DRL) agent and an inverse dynamics model contesting with each …
Bayesian ANN method predicts chaotic systems with uncertainty.
problem Estimating chaotic dynamical systems from noisy data.
method Bayesian Artificial Neural Networks for ODE inverse problems.
result Accurate time predictions and uncertainty bounds.
Paper finds funding rates on BitMEX predict Bitcoin inverse swap contracts.
problem Understanding the relationship between BitMEX funding rates and Bitcoin derivatives.
method Examined Heteroskedasticity of funding rates, established Granger causality, developed GARCH models for prediction.
result Funding rates on BitMEX predict Bitcoin inverse swap contracts.
We propose a novel method to forecast the future from the present using time-reversed data.
problem Forecasting the future from past data, exploiting temporal asymmetry.
method Retrodictive forecasting via inverse MAP optimization over a Conditional Variational Autoencoder (CVAE).
result The method successfully predicts future events in time-reversible and irreversible processes.
We introduce a new class of forward performance processes that are endogenous and predictable with regards to an underlying market information set and, furthermore, are updated at discrete times. We analyze in detail a binomial model whose parameters are random and updated dynamically as the market evolves. We show tha…
Develops inverse extended Kalman filter for predicting adversarial steps.
problem Predicting adversarial Kalman filter estimates from limited information.
method Proposes inverse extended Kalman filter (I-EKF) for non-linear systems with unknown inputs.
result Derives I-EKF with theoretical stability guarantees and consistency proofs.
iGNN tackles inverse graph prediction using invertible neural networks.
problem Inverse graph prediction problem in data analysis and machine learning.
method Developed invertible graph neural network (iGNN) to solve inverse prediction problem on graphs.
result iGNN model allows efficient generation from output labels and forward prediction.
This paper treats prediction markets as Bayesian inverse problems to quantify uncertainty and identify event outcomes.
problem Uncertainty and identifiability in prediction market outcomes from price-volume histories.
method Formulates prediction markets as Bayesian inverse problems, introduces a log-odds observation model, and derives posterior uncertainty quantification and identifiability criteria.
result Explicit diagnostics for informative and stable inference regimes, and validation through synthetic data experiments.
Unified approach for optimizing predictions in linear programming and inverse problems.
problem Optimizing predictions in linear programming and inverse problems.
method Maximum optimality margin approach.
result Unified approach that balances computational efficiency and theoretical properties.
Improves key instance detection in MIL models by using neural network inversion with sparseness constraint.
problem Limited key instance detection performance in attention-based deep MIL models due to skewed attention scores.
method Sparse network inversion with a sparseness constraint incorporated into neural network inversion, solved by proximal gradient method.
result Significantly improved key instance detection performance while maintaining bag-level prediction performance.
Transformer learns context and regularization for ICL in inverse problems.
problem Learning context and effective regularization for transformer-based in-context learning (ICL) in inverse problems.
method Introduced a linear transformer to learn inverse mapping from contextual examples to weight vectors, addressing rank-deficient problems.
result Transformer implicitly learns a prior distribution and effective regularization strategy, outperforming traditional methods.
The paper tackles inverse uncertainty quantification in neutron noise analysis.
problem Uncertainty in estimating material properties from noisy neutron correlation measurements.
method Surrogate models and inverse uncertainty quantification to account for measurement error and model bias.
result Improved prediction of neutron correlations and quantification of uncertainties.
DISPR uses diffusion models to predict 3D cell shapes from 2D images.
problem Predicting 3D cell shapes from 2D microscopy images.
method Diffusion model trained to predict 3D shapes from 2D microscopy images as a prior.
result Adding DISPR predictions to minority cell classes improves classification accuracy.
Waldo method constructs valid confidence regions for simulator-based inference.
problem Constructing valid confidence regions for simulator-based inference with high-dimensional data.
method Reframes Wald test statistic and uses regression-based machinery for Neyman inversion.
result Waldo method produces conditionally valid and precise confidence regions.
Machine learning models solve inverse eigenvalue problems for symmetric potentials and refractive indices.
problem Solving inverse eigenvalue problems for symmetric potentials and refractive indices.
method Supervised regression models (k-Nearest Neighbours, Random Forests, Multi-Layer Perceptron) trained on eigenvalue datasets.
result Machine learning methods can numerically solve inverse eigenvalue problems under appropriate parameter tuning.
SURGIN uses generative models to infer subsurface flow data efficiently.
problem Inefficient and task-specific inversion methods for subsurface multiphase flow.
method SURGIN integrates U-FNO surrogate with SGM for zero-shot conditional generation.
result Decent inference of heterogeneous geological fields and flow dynamics with uncertainty quantification.
New algorithms handle online prediction with bandit and delayed feedback, improving regret bounds.
problem Achieving finite bounds on surrogate regret with limited feedback.
method Proposed algorithms for bandit and delayed feedback, including inverse-weighted gradient and pseudo-inverse matrix estimators.
result Achieved improved surrogate regret bounds of O ( K T ) O(\sqrt{KT}) O ( K T ) and O ( T 2 / 3 ) O(T^{2/3}) O ( T 2/3 ) . New method can infer training data from deep neural networks with high success rates.
problem Model inversion attacks on deep neural networks pose privacy risks.
method Generative model-inversion attack using GANs and partial public information.
result Significant improvement in identifying private training data from deep models.
Bayesian geoacoustic inversion improved using MDN.
problem Efficiently solving Bayesian geoacoustic inversion problems.
method Deriving geoacoustic statistics from multidimensional posterior density using MDN, training the network on the whole parameter space.
result The network provides reliable predictions and good generalization performance, solving problems in seconds.
A new framework enhances IDW models for complex industrial datasets.
problem Low performance of IDW models in complex industrial datasets.
method Deep reinforcement learning network to enhance IDW models and learn hyperparameters.
result The proposed framework achieves differential spatial prediction and is more accurate than current IDW models.
GNet uses Gaussian processes for scalable, flexible neural networks.
problem Large-scale predictive modeling with high computational and storage costs.
method GNet employs Gaussian processes with nonparametric activation functions and a fast algorithm for training and predictions.
result GNet achieves competitive performance across various test problems, including nonlinear function prediction and real-world data regression.
GNet uses Gaussian processes for scalable, flexible neural networks.
problem Large-scale predictive modeling with high computational and storage costs.
method GNet employs Gaussian processes with nonparametric activation functions and a fast algorithm for efficient training and predictions.
result GNet achieves competitive performance across various test problems, including nonlinear function prediction and real-world data regression.
Identification of a groundwater contaminant source simultaneously with the hydraulic conductivity in highly-heterogeneous media often results in a high-dimensional inverse problem. In this study, a deep autoregressive neural network-based surrogate method is developed for the forward model to allow us to solve efficien…
PPI uses predictions and weighting to infer from partially labeled data.
problem Valid inference with partially labeled data.
method Combines model-based predictions with bias correction from labeled data, using Horvitz-Thompson and Hájek corrections.
result IPW-adjusted PPI with estimated propensities performs similarly to known-probability case.
Bayesian PINNs tackle uncertainty in inverse problems.
problem Uncertainty quantification in inverse problems.
method Hierarchical Bayesian formulation of PINNs with variational inference and Monte Carlo dropout.
result Quantification of uncertainties in reconstructed images.
RID-Noise improves robust design under noisy conditions using neural networks.
problem Design robustness under noisy environments.
method Robust Inverse Design under Noise (RID-Noise) using conditional invertible neural networks (cINNs).
result RID-Noise achieves more effective robust design compared to state-of-the-art methods.
New methods tackle statistical inverse problems with random data.
problem Statistical inverse problems with random experimental design.
method Spectral regularization, regularization by projection, convex penalties.
result Minimax rates in expectation and probability for convergence.
Autonomous vehicles (AVs) are on the road. To safely and efficiently interact with other road participants, AVs have to accurately predict the behavior of surrounding vehicles and plan accordingly. Such prediction should be probabilistic, to address the uncertainties in human behavior. Such prediction should also be in…
Develops inverse EKF for non-linear systems with stability guarantees and learning unknown dynamics.
problem Estimating adversary's Kalman-filtered estimates in highly non-linear systems.
method Proposes inverse extended Kalman filter (I-EKF) for second-order, Gaussian sum, and dithered forward models. Uses reproducing kernel Hilbert space for learning unknown dynamics.
result Derives theoretical stability guarantees for inverse second-order EKF.
The study explains YouTube commenters' behavior using rational inattention models.
problem Understanding and predicting YouTube commenters' behavior.
method Deep embedded clustering for user grouping, Bayesian revealed preferences for rationality testing, and behavioral economics constraints for attention span modeling.
result Most YouTube user groups optimize a Bayesian utility with rationally inattentive constraints.
New method designs multilayer nanoparticles using AI.
problem Difficult to design multilayer nanoparticles by trial and error.
method Combines genetic algorithm and neural network for inverse design.
result Successfully designs multilayer nanoparticles efficiently.
New framework maximizes perturbed samples for inverse classification with budget constraints.
problem Maximizing perturbed samples for desired classification outcomes under budget constraints.
method Gradient methods, stochastic processes, Lagrangian relaxations, Gumbel trick.
result Stochastic process-based algorithms outperform in different budget settings.
Enhances inverse design optimization with machine learning and reduced fidelity simulations.
problem Limited compute resources in inverse design optimization.
method Synergy of multi-fidelity simulations, machine learning, and search space reduction.
result Significant computational resource savings and improved optimization performance.
Deep models memorize training data in geophysical inversion, leading to biased posterior distributions.
problem Memorization of training data biases learned priors in geophysical inverse problems.
method Casting generative models' training as maximum likelihood, we show memorization results in a reweighted empirical distribution for diffusion models, leading to Gaussian mixture priors and posteriors.
result Memorization leads to posterior distributions that are likelihood-weighted lookup among stored training examples, affecting full waveform inversion outcomes.
Unified framework for forward and inverse PDE problems in multiphase media.
problem Non-differentiable inverse problems in discrete-valued material fields.
method GenPANIS: Latent-variable generative framework preserving discrete microstructures.
result Unified bidirectional inference with minimal labeled pairs and physics-aware decoder.
Many challenging image processing tasks can be described by an ill-posed linear inverse problem: deblurring, deconvolution, inpainting, compressed sensing, and superresolution all lie in this framework. Traditional inverse problem solvers minimize a cost function consisting of a data-fit term, which measures how well a…
The methodology developed in this article is motivated by a wide range of prediction and uncertainty quantification problems that arise in Statistics, Machine Learning and Applied Mathematics, such as non-parametric regression, multi-class classification and inversion of partial differential equations. One popular form…
This study improves uncertainty quantification in seismic inversion.
problem Uncertainty in seismic inversion due to limited data and model diversity.
method Integrates ensemble methods with importance sampling.
result More accurate uncertainty quantification in velocity models.
PnP-CM integrates CMs into PnP frameworks for efficient inverse problem solving.
problem Efficiently solving inverse problems with high-quality reconstructions.
method Reinterpreting CMs as proximal operators and integrating them into PnP frameworks.
result PnP-CM achieves high-quality reconstructions in as few as 4 NFEs.
Model predicts asset prices from initial shocks using neural networks.
problem Missing data on actual asset liquidations limits model calibration.
method Dual neural network structure, first stage maps shocks to liquidations, second stage uses liquidations to predict prices.
result Model accurately predicts equilibrium prices from initial shocks without liquidation data.
Improves inverse uncertainty quantification for time-dependent data using PCA and deep neural networks.
problem Efficiently quantify model input uncertainties from time-dependent experimental data.
method Functional PCA for dimensionality reduction, deep neural networks for surrogate modeling, Bayesian neural networks for uncertainty estimation.
result The proposed method reduces the computational cost and improves the agreement with experimental data.
New methods for parameter estimation in mechanistic models using data-consistent inversion.
problem Parameter estimation bias in Bayesian analysis for mechanistic models.
method Data-consistent inversion methods based on rejection sampling, MCMC, GANs, and constrained optimization.
result Improved parameter estimation without bias from uninformative priors.
We investigate the relationship between the structure of a discrete graphical model and the support of the inverse of a generalized covariance matrix. We show that for certain graph structures, the support of the inverse covariance matrix of indicator variables on the vertices of a graph reflects the conditional indepe…