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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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203405608810 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for interventional settings

Bayesian method for causal discovery from unknown general interventions.

problem Learning causal DAGs from unknown interventions that modify parent sets.
method Bayesian approach with MCMC for approximating posterior DAGs and intervention targets.
result Bayesian method can identify DAGs and intervention targets up to equivalence classes.

Our goal is to identify beneficial interventions from observational data. We consider interventions that are narrowly focused (impacting few covariates) and may be tailored to each individual or globally enacted over a population. For applications where harmful intervention is drastically worse than proposing no change…

2016-06-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Method identifies unknown intervention targets in structural causal models from diverse data.

problem Identifying unknown intervention targets in structural causal models from heterogeneous data.
method Two-phase approach: first recovers exogenous noises, second matches with endogenous variables.
result Proposed method uniquely identifies intervention targets under causal sufficiency assumption.

Paper characterizes causal graphs from hard interventions and proposes a learning algorithm.

problem Discovering causal structure from hard interventions and observational data.
method Proposes graphical constraints and a learning algorithm based on do-calculus.
result Characterizes interventional equivalence classes of causal graphs with latent variables.

Study efficient algorithms for identifying minimum interventional sets to learn causal relationships.

problem Identify the smallest set of interventions to learn causal relationships between a subset of edges.
method Develop algorithms for subset verification and search problems under assumptions of faithfulness, causal sufficiency, and ideal interventions.
result For subset verification, an efficient algorithm is provided to compute a minimum sized interventional set.

Model identifies causal structure from paired observational and interventional data with unknown soft interventions.

problem Identifying causal structure from observational and interventional data with unknown soft interventions.
method Proposes a scalable causal discovery model that aggregates subset-level PDAGs and applies contrastive cross-regime orientation rules.
result The model asymptotically recovers the identifiable PDAG and can orient additional edges compared to non-contrastive subset-restricted methods.

New algorithms improve causal graph discovery with adaptive interventions, even under worst-case interventional costs.

problem Discover causal relationships from data with adaptive interventions and node-dependent costs.
method Define new benchmarks and provide adaptive search algorithms for causal graph discovery.
result Logarithmic approximations achieved under various settings: atomic, bounded size interventions and generalized cost objectives.

Optimizes intervention design for causal discovery using integer programming.

problem Identifying causal structures from observational data due to confounding variables.
method Uses integer programming to design minimal intervention sets for causal structure identifiability.
result Provides exact and modular solutions adaptable to various experimental settings and constraints.

Method learns causal effects from multiple interventions in presence of unobserved confounders.

problem Disentangling causal effects from sets of interventions in the presence of unobserved confounders.
method Non-linear structural causal models with additive, multivariate Gaussian noise; algorithm that learns causal model parameters by pooling data from different regimes and maximizing combined likelihood.
result Identification proofs demonstrate that causal effects of single interventions can be learned from sets of interventions, even with unobserved confounders.

This work tackles causal graph discovery with stochastic interventions to minimize the number of interventions.

problem Discovering the true causal graph from observational data with limited interventions.
method Proposes a stochastic intervention model and studies verification and search problems with approximation algorithms.
result Provides approximation algorithms with competitive ratios for verification and search problems.

Simplified identification methods for causal inference with arbitrary interventional distributions.

problem Estimating cause-effect relationships from data with experimental interventions.
method Using Single World Intervention Graphs and nested model factorization, we provide algorithms for identifying causal parameters from mixed observational and interventional distributions.
result Our algorithms are complete for certain types of interventional marginal distributions.

Local approach learns causal structure of linear Gaussian polytree models from interventional data.

problem Learning causal structure of linear Gaussian polytree models from interventional data.
method First learns the skeleton and then orients edges of the polytree using second order statistics and low-dimensional marginal distributions.
result Consistent and scalable approach that handles problems with thousands of nodes.

Efficient algorithms learn causal graphs with minimal interventions.

problem Learning causal relationships between observed variables in the presence of latents.
method Bi-criteria approximation goal combining intervention design and graph property testing.
result Achieve intervention cost within a small constant factor of the optimal.

Study identifies causal relationships without direct supervision from unknown interventions.

problem Identify causal relationships from unknown interventions without direct supervision.
method General nonparametric setting with multiple datasets from unknown interventions.
result Identify ground truth latents and causal graph up to ambiguities.

This research tackles intervention-centric causal reasoning in learning agents by using meta-learning.

problem Learning agents lack the concept of interventions, making causal learning challenging.
method A meta-reinforcement learning algorithm is used to learn causal relationships from observational data.
result The approach enables agents to learn and manipulate the environment effectively.

New algorithm reduces interventional strategy complexity for causal graph discovery.

problem Designing efficient interventional strategies for causal graph discovery.
method Developed an r-adaptive algorithm for causal graph discovery that minimizes the number of interventions.
result Achieved an approximation of O(min{r, log n} * n^{1/min{r, log n}}) for the verification number.

Graph-coupled causal Bayesian optimization transfers information across related interventions.

problem Optimizing expensive systems where interventions are costly and causal effects are confounded.
method Ties intervention effects together through shared causal parameters, improving estimation.
result Information-gain and regret bounds show improved performance with shared mechanisms.

Game theory approach to predicting and responding to interventions based on causal relationships.

problem Optimizing predictions and interventions in response to observational data.
method Prediction-intervention game framework, focusing on invariant subsets of covariates.
result Stable-blanket predictors are optimal for certain follower objectives and under specific conditions.

This paper identifies the minimal set of nodes for optimal conditional interventions in causal bandits.

problem Optimizing decision-making in causal bandits with conditional interventions.
method Graphical characterization and efficient algorithm to identify the minimal set of nodes.
result The proposed algorithm significantly prunes the search space and accelerates convergence rates.

Estimates effects of multiple interventions with hidden confounders using single-variable interventions.

problem Estimating effects of multiple interventions in the presence of hidden confounders.
method Identifiability under nonlinear structural causal model with additive Gaussian noise; pooling and joint likelihood maximization.
result Proven identifiability and superior performance compared to baseline.

fCBO optimizes interventions in causal graphs using Gaussian processes.

problem Optimizing interventions in known causal graphs.
method Functional causal Bayesian optimization (fCBO) using Gaussian processes and expected improvement acquisition.
result Functional interventions can lead to better target effects and optimal conditional effects.

Combines adversarial and interventional robustness for machine learning models.

problem Designing robust models for distribution shifts in machine learning.
method RISe formulation using distributionally robust optimization.
result Demonstrates efficacy of RISe approach with synthetic and real-world datasets.

Paper tackles confounded ANMs, estimating ACEs with minimal interventions.

problem Estimating causal effects in the presence of unobserved confounders.
method Interventional distributions and randomized algorithm to reduce the number of required interventions.
result Poly-logarithmic number of interventions sufficient to infer causal effects in confounded ANMs.

This work sets a universal lower bound for learning causal DAGs with atomic interventions.

problem Learning causal DAGs using only observational data results in a Markov equivalence class, requiring interventions to fully orient.
method Developed CBSP orderings and used them to prove a universal lower bound on the number of single-node interventions needed.
result The universal lower bound is within a factor of two of the minimum number of single-node interventions required to fully orient a given Markov equivalence class.

New method for selective prediction under interventions learns causal structure from data.

problem Tight uncertainty sets in selective conformal prediction under unknown interventional settings.
method Partial causal structure learning for descendant indicators, contamination-robust coverage theorem, algorithms for descendant discovery and distance estimation.
result Valid selective conformal prediction under contamination up to 30% with controlled coverage.

The paper tackles matching a desired mean in causal systems through shift interventions.

problem Matching a desired mean in causal systems.
method Defining Markov equivalence classes, proposing active learning strategies, deriving lower bounds.
result Proposed active learning strategies require fewer interventions than previous approaches, especially for certain graph classes.

Introduces CStrees for modeling context-specific causal models from observational and interventional data.

problem Modeling context-specific causal relationships from mixed data types.
method Introduces CStrees with a novel factorization criterion and graphical characterization for context-specific conditional independence models.
result Derives a graphical characterization of model equivalence for observational CStrees and extends it to CStree models under context-specific interventions.

New method identifies causal relationships from interventions in complex systems.

problem Learning causal representations from unknown, latent interventions with general nonlinear mixing.
method Strong identifiability results with unknown single-node interventions, using geometric structure of transformed data.
result First instance of causal identifiability from non-paired interventions for deep neural network embeddings.

We consider the minimum cost intervention design problem: Given the essential graph of a causal graph and a cost to intervene on a variable, identify the set of interventions with minimum total cost that can learn any causal graph with the given essential graph. We first show that this problem is NP-hard. We then prove…

2018-10-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Motivated by applications in computational advertising and systems biology, we consider the problem of identifying the best out of several possible soft interventions at a source node VV in an acyclic causal directed graph, to maximize the expected value of a target node YY (located downstream of VV). Our setting im…

2017-01-10abs ↗pdf ↗

We model the default contagion process in a large heterogeneous financial network under the interventions of a regulator (a central bank) with only partial information which is a more realistic setting than most current literature. We provide the analytical results for the asymptotic optimal intervention policies and t…

2017-10-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Method estimates causal effects from combined interventional and observational data.

problem Estimating causal effects from unobserved confounders.
method Causal reduction method replacing latent confounders with a single latent confounder.
result Improves estimation accuracy from combined data without observing all confounders.

Study identifies components of unknown interventions in a mixture.

problem Identify components of a mixture of unknown interventions on a causal Bayesian Network.
method Construct example showing components not identifiable. Prove identifiability under mild conditions. Develop efficient algorithm for recovery. Analyze performance in simulation.
result Components of a mixture of unknown interventions can be uniquely identified under certain conditions.

Bayesian method for inferring causal relations from mixed observational and interventional data.

problem Challenges in causal inference from heterogeneous study conditions with unknown soft interventions.
method Interventional Bayesian Gaussian equivalent score for a mixture of observational and interventional data.
result Effective characterisation of posterior distributions of causal structures and intervention effects.

Study functional confounders in causal inference, enabling estimable effects.

problem Causal inference challenges with functional confounders violating positivity.
method Functional interventions, functional positivity, gradient fields, Level-set Orthogonal Descent Estimation (LODE).
result Valid causal effect estimation under certain conditions.

New method uses neural networks to learn causal graphs from interventional data.

problem Challenges in learning causal directed acyclic graphs from data.
method Reformulates as continuous constrained optimization, uses neural networks, leverages interventional data.
result Method compares favorably to state of the art in various settings.