The paper solves a dynamic portfolio optimization problem using Riccati transformation.
problem Dynamic stochastic portfolio optimization involving expected and intertemporal utilities.
method Solving a fully nonlinear HJB equation through Riccati transformation into a quasi-linear parabolic equation.
result The numerical method based on semi-implicit scheme converges at second order.
We present a general approach to the pricing of products in finance and insurance in the multi-period setting. It is a combination of the utility indifference pricing and optimal intertemporal risk allocation. We give a characterization of the optimal intertemporal risk allocation by a first order condition. Applying t…
Intertemporal model for cost-efficient consumption using copulas.
problem Optimizing consumption over time considering risk preferences.
method Copulas for intertemporal structure, Distribution Builder for risk preferences, Black-Scholes and CEV models for demonstration.
result Demonstrates cost-efficient consumption model using copulas.
Investigates fund separations and stability for long-term optimal investments.
problem Optimizing long-term investments in an incomplete market with risky and safe assets.
method Analyzes three market models with different state variable processes to find optimal portfolios and prove convergence stability.
result Dynamic optimal portfolios converge to static portfolios over time, with vanishing sensitivities in the long run.
Study optimal consumption and investment for investors with Epstein-Zin preferences.
problem Optimal consumption and investment for investors with Epstein-Zin preferences in an incomplete market.
method Variational characterisation and direct method to prove existence of optimal policies.
result Existence and uniqueness of optimal consumption and investment policies.
Introduces RPU to explain randomization preference in dynamic settings.
problem Explains preference for randomization in dynamic investment problems.
method Introduces recursive perturbed utility (RPU) to incorporate randomization preference.
result Proves RPU-optimal portfolio policy is Gaussian and can be expressed in closed form.
In a market with stochastic investment opportunities, we study an optimal consumption investment problem for an agent with recursive utility of Epstein-Zin type. Focusing on the empirically relevant specification where both risk aversion and elasticity of intertemporal substitution are in excess of one, we characterize…
The standard asset pricing models (the CCAPM and the Epstein-Zin non-expected utility model) counterintuitively predict that equilibrium asset prices can rise if the representative agent's risk aversion increases. If the income effect, which implies enhanced saving as a result of an increase in risk aversion, dominates…
This paper develops, in a Brownian information setting, an approach for analyzing the preference for information, a question that motivates the stochastic differential utility (SDU) due to Duffie and Epstein [Econometrica 60 (1992) 353-394]. For a class of backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) including th…
Study uses FDA to analyze discount functions of different temperaments.
problem Traditional finance models fail to capture individual differences in investment choices.
method Functional Data Analysis (FDA) to investigate temporal discounting behaviors.
result Heterogeneity within each temperament revealed, suggesting diverse investor profiles.
Study adds investment gains and losses to recursive utility model, proving existence and uniqueness of utility process.
problem Existence and uniqueness of utility process in a recursive utility model with investment gains and losses.
method Generalized recursive utility model with constant elasticity of intertemporal substitution and relative risk aversion degree. Proved existence and uniqueness in a specific, finite-state Markovian setting.
result Utility process exists and is unique when agent derives nonnegative gain-loss utility, and non-existent or non-unique otherwise.
The purpose of this paper relies on the study of long term yield curves modeling. Inspired by the economic litterature, it provides a financial interpretation of the Ramsey rule that links discount rate and marginal utility of aggregate optimal consumption. For such a long maturity modelization, the possibility of adju…
We aim to generalize the results of Cai and Nitta (2007) by allowing both the utility and production function to depend on time. We also consider an additional intertemporal optimality criterion. We clarify the conditions under which the limit of the solutions for the finite horizon problems is optimal among all attain…
We solve a continuous-time game-theoretic problem for Kihlstrom-Mirman preferences.
problem Dynamic inconsistency in preferences due to multiattribute utility theory.
method Formalized an equilibrium control theory for continuous-time Markov processes.
result Equilibrium strategy and value function as solution to extended HJB system.
Intertemporal decision making involves choices among options whose effects occur at different moments. These choices are influenced not only by the effect of rewards value perception at different moments, but also by the time perception effect. One of the main difficulties that affect standard experiments involving int…
This paper considers utility indifference valuation of derivatives under model uncertainty and trading constraints, where the utility is formulated as an additive stochastic differential utility of both intertemporal consumption and terminal wealth, and the uncertain prospects are ranked according to a multiple-priors …
Wariness affects poverty traps and equilibrium diversity in economic models.
problem The impact of wariness on poverty traps and equilibrium diversity in economic models.
method An overlapping generations model to explore the effects of wariness on poverty traps and equilibrium diversity.
result Wariness can amplify or mitigate the likelihood of poverty traps and can lead to multiple intertemporal equilibria.
There is a consensus that human and non-human subjects experience temporal distortions in many stages of their perceptual and decision-making systems. Similarly, intertemporal choice research has shown that decision-makers undervalue future outcomes relative to immediate ones. Here we combine techniques from informatio…
This paper solves optimal investment-consumption problems for a risk-averse agent with special utility.
problem Optimal investment-consumption problem for a risk-averse agent with special utility.
method Introduced proper utility process and solved optimal investment-consumption problem.
result Existence and uniqueness of proper utility processes for a wide class of consumption streams.
A model for groundwater trading among stakeholders.
problem Groundwater trading among stakeholders in a basin.
method Optimization of production by agents considering water rights, consumption, and trading.
result Characterization of Nash equilibrium in a 1-period setting and initial insights into multi-period game.
Is the elasticity of intertemporal substitution (EIS) more or less than one? This question can be answered by confronting theoretical results of asset pricing models with investor behaviour during episodes of stock market panic. If we consider these episodes as periods of high risk aversion, then lower asset prices are…
The paper refutes standard asset pricing models and introduces new theories.
problem Inaccuracies in standard asset pricing models.
method Introduces new theories and empirical tests to explain asset pricing anomalies.
result New theories explain why standard models are inaccurate and provide insights.
We propose a class of discrete-time stochastic models for the pricing of inflation-linked assets. The paper begins with an axiomatic scheme for asset pricing and interest rate theory in a discrete-time setting. The first axiom introduces a "risk-free" asset, and the second axiom determines the intertemporal pricing rel…
Study asset pricing with reference-dependent preferences, finding matching equity premia.
problem Understanding asset pricing under reference-dependent preferences.
method Discrete-time consumption-based capital asset pricing model with reference-dependent preferences.
result Models can generate equity premia matching empirical estimates, showing procyclical price-dividend ratio and countercyclical equity premium.
Solves consumption-investment problem with random horizon under Epstein-Zin preferences.
problem Maximizing consumption and investment under random time horizons with Epstein-Zin utility.
method Backward stochastic differential equations with superlinear growth on unbounded random horizons.
result Optimal strategies differ significantly when moving from fixed to random time horizons.
Investigates stability of Epstein-Zin problem under market distortions.
problem Stability of Epstein-Zin problem in incomplete markets.
method Analyzes perturbations in returns and volatility, and interest rate; proves convergence of optimal solutions.
result Proves convergence of optimal consumption streams and value functions in the limit of model perturbations.
Study optimal consumption and portfolio strategies with no-borrowing constraint in financial markets.
problem Maximizing utility from consumption under constraints in a stochastic environment.
method Lagrange duality and singular control problem to solve dynamic no-borrowing constraint.
result Retrieve optimal portfolio and consumption plans via dual singular control problem.
Generative model improves time series prediction quality.
problem Lack of effective generative models for time series data.
method Proposed XIRP for time series, trained with WGAN-GP.
result XIRP significantly outperforms RNN-based models in predictive ability.
Optimizes pension fund strategies considering age-dependent risk preferences.
problem Maximizing utility of future consumption and wealth in DC pension plans.
method Solves optimal consumption and investment policies using Black-Scholes framework and HARA utility functions.
result Only extended model with time-varying preference parameters provides adequate fit for real-life data.
Study many-player investment-consumption games with power FPPs, finding market-risk preference affects consumption.
problem Investment and consumption optimization in a mean field competition setting.
method Solve many-player and mean field games using power FPPs, providing closed-form solutions.
result Market-risk relative consumption preference affects agent's consumption decisions.
Proposes a new consumption strategy based on martingale principles.
problem Optimizing consumption based on investment strategies without risk preferences.
method Introduces martingale consumption as a consumption pattern that adjusts to expected future consumption.
result Identifies explicit solutions in deterministic models and establishes uniqueness in general cases.
Unified econometric model for portfolio optimization and option valuation.
problem Time-varying volatility and heavy tails in asset returns.
method Multivariate affine GARCH(1,1) with Normal Inverse Gaussian innovations.
result Substantial wealth-equivalent utility losses from ignoring correlation and tail risk.
Study optimizes insurance and investment strategies for risk-averse insurers under ambiguity.
problem Optimizing insurance and investment strategies for risk-averse insurers under ambiguity.
method Solves a coupled FBSDE to derive optimal strategies and value function.
result Optimal consumption, investment, and reinsurance strategies influenced by risk aversion and EIS.
Study dynamic portfolio choice under rotating drivers, revealing a new geometric structure.
problem Investment under changing drivers with mutual independence.
method Analyzes geometric structure of portfolio choice, focusing on drivers and their rotation.
result Optimal policy separates into static and hedging components, reflecting the dynamic nature of drivers.
Extends wealth tax neutrality framework to stochastic volatility and non-homothetic preferences.
problem Ensuring wealth taxes are neutral under various economic conditions.
method Extended Frøseth's neutrality framework to stochastic volatility and non-homothetic preferences, identified four channels of non-neutrality, and applied the framework to global minimum wealth taxes.
result Non-uniform assessment, general equilibrium effects, progressive thresholds, and endogenous labour supply can cause non-neutrality under CRRA preferences.
Homeownership boosts wealth and welfare compared to renting, according to new research.
problem The conventional wisdom that renting is better than owning a home.
method Block-bootstrap lifecycle simulation to compare homeownership and renting strategies.
result Homeownership generates more wealth and welfare gains than renting, especially for households with high labor income.
Study examines how market dynamics affect emissions trading prices and abatement efforts.
problem Effectiveness of emissions markets depends on regulatory standards, costs, and abatement levels.
method Radner equilibrium framework that considers intertemporal decision-making and uncertainty.
result Variations in regulatory standards, costs, and abatement levels influence allowance prices and abatement efforts.
Paper presents a new insurance model equation for diverse structures.
problem Handling diverse insurance models with a single equation.
method Developed a canonical model construction and stochastic backward equations.
result Comparison theorems for different models follow from the new equation.
Study of recurrences in earthquakes, climate, financial time-series, etc. is crucial to better forecast disasters and limit their consequences. However, almost all the previous phenomenological studies involved only a long-ranged autocorrelation function, or disregarded the multi-scaling properties induced by potential…
New framework for calculating multivariate risk measures using Wishart process.
problem Quantifying multivariate risk measures in financial markets.
method Introducing a new analytical framework based on the Wishart process.
result Explicit computation of conditional tail risk measures up to two dimensions.
We present a novel approach to the pricing of financial instruments in emission markets, for example, the EU ETS. The proposed structural model is positioned between existing complex full equilibrium models and pure reduced form models. Using an exogenously specified demand for a polluting good it gives a causal explan…
MPC outperforms reactive budgeting in non-stationary return environments.
problem Optimizing budget allocation under non-stationary returns.
method Receding-horizon Model Predictive Control (MPC) compared to reactive policies.
result MPC consistently outperforms reactive budgeting when return dynamics are predictable.
Study shows online learning algorithms incentivize low-quality content, proposing new algorithms to improve quality.
problem Online learning algorithms in content recommender systems incentivize producers to create low-quality content.
method Analyzed the game between producers and content quality, designed new learning algorithms to incentivize high effort and quality.
result New algorithms incentivize producers to invest high effort and achieve high user welfare, improving content quality.
Paper develops methods for solving complex stochastic equations using Malliavin calculus.
problem Existence, uniqueness, and regularity of solutions to BSVIEs.
method Malliavin calculus for tackling diagonal processes and nonlinear dependence.
result Developed well-posedness results for BSVIEs, including probabilistic interpretation of PDEs and portfolio optimization.
The paper develops methods to estimate optimal treatment sequences under policy constraints.
problem Estimating the best sequence of treatments over multiple stages for individuals.
method Empirical welfare maximization approach, solving treatment assignment sequentially or simultaneously.
result Established convergence rates and upper bounds for estimation methods.
Direct measurements of Gini coefficients by conventional arithmetic calculations are a poor estimator, even if paradoxically, they include the entire population, as because of super-additivity they cannot lend themselves to comparisons between units of different size, and intertemporal analyses are vitiated by the popu…
Model shows how banks' fears of future defaults can cause immediate financial stress.
problem How banks' future default worries cause immediate financial stress.
method Dynamic interbank model with endogenous distress contagion, mark-to-market valuation adjustment, forward-backward approach.
result Distress contagion acts as a stochastic volatility term leading to clustering and down-market spikes.
New RL algorithms correct bias in dynamic data analysis.
problem Dynamic data generation and analysis create endogeneity issues.
method Instrument variable (IV)-based reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms.
result Established theoretical properties of IV-RL algorithms.