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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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78155233310 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for interpretable updates

COMMOD debiases models with minimal and interpretable changes.

problem Inconsistent and costly model updates in fair machine learning.
method Introduced COMMOD, a novel algorithm for algorithmic fairness that minimizes changes and makes them interpretable.
result COMMOD achieves comparable performance to state-of-the-art debiasing methods while making minimal and interpretable changes.

Bayesian uncertainty quantification is flawed, according to new research.

problem Flawed interpretation of Bayesian uncertainty quantification.
method Discussion of Bayesian updating and optimization-based perspective, proposing measures of quality.
result Bayesian uncertainty quantification is not coherent with optimization-based perspective.

PrIU optimizes machine learning model updates after data cleaning.

problem Incrementally updating machine learning models after removing problematic training samples.
method Provenance-based approach for efficient model parameter updates.
result PrIU-opt achieves up to two orders of magnitude speed-up compared to retraining from scratch.

Shampoo achieves higher token efficiency than Muon in language models.

problem Understanding the relationship and relative data efficiency of Shampoo and Muon compared to Adam and Signum.
method Extensive experiments on language models, demonstrating Shampoo's higher efficiency and decomposing its updates.
result Shampoo's benefits are attributed to its application to weight matrices, challenging interpretations based on variance adaptation and whitening.

Proposes a probabilistic digital twin for dynamical systems using sparse Bayesian learning.

problem Creating and updating accurate digital twins for complex dynamical systems.
method Sparse Bayesian machine learning, two approaches: input-output and output-only.
result Identifies correct perturbation terms and associated parameters in dynamical systems.

We describe kk-MLE, a fast and efficient local search algorithm for learning finite statistical mixtures of exponential families such as Gaussian mixture models. Mixture models are traditionally learned using the expectation-maximization (EM) soft clustering technique that monotonically increases the incomplete (expec…

2012-03-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved backpropagation with consequentialism weight updates for neural networks.

problem Improving backpropagation for neural networks, especially with mini-batch training.
method Introducing consequentialism weight updates derived from NLMS for multi-layer neural networks.
result The proposed method outperforms traditional BP and mini-batch training.

When predictive models are used to support complex and important decisions, the ability to explain a model's reasoning can increase trust, expose hidden biases, and reduce vulnerability to adversarial attacks. However, attempts at interpreting models are often ad hoc and application-specific, and the concept of interpr…

2019-07-08abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we propose a probabilistic optimization method, named probabilistic incremental proximal gradient (PIPG) method, by developing a probabilistic interpretation of the incremental proximal gradient algorithm. We explicitly model the update rules of the incremental proximal gradient method and develop a syst…

2018-12-04abs ↗pdf ↗

S2MAM improves semi-supervised learning by selecting relevant variables and updating similarity metrics.

problem Joint learning from labeled and unlabeled data with geometric structure.
method Bilevel optimization scheme for automatic variable selection and similarity matrix update.
result The proposed S2MAM achieves robust and interpretable predictions.

In this paper we revisit the weighted likelihood bootstrap, a method that generates samples from an approximate Bayesian posterior of a parametric model. We show that the same method can be derived, without approximation, under a Bayesian nonparametric model with the parameter of interest defined as minimising an expec…

2017-09-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Learning an efficient update rule from data that promotes rapid learning of new tasks from the same distribution remains an open problem in meta-learning. Typically, previous works have approached this issue either by attempting to train a neural network that directly produces updates or by attempting to learn better i…

2019-08-30abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes and proposes a new stopping criterion for recursive Bayesian classification.

problem Limitations of conventional stopping criteria in recursive Bayesian classification.
method Geometric interpretation of state posterior progression and analysis of conventional criteria.
result Proposes a new stopping criterion to overcome limitations of conventional methods.

Microstructure of market dynamics is studied through analysis of tick price data. Linear trend is introduced as a tool for such analysis. Trend arbitrage inequality is developed and tested. The inequality sets limiting relationship between trend, bid-ask spread, market reaction and average update frequency of price inf…

2006-07-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Federated learning distributes model training among a multitude of agents, who, guided by privacy concerns, perform training using their local data but share only model parameter updates, for iterative aggregation at the server. In this work, we explore the threat of model poisoning attacks on federated learning initia…

2018-11-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved neural network ensembles using Stein Variational Newton updates.

problem Lack of efficient second-order information in current ensemble methods.
method Proposes a novel approximate Bayesian inference method integrating Stein Variational Newton updates with scalable Hessian approximations.
result Significantly faster convergence and more accurate posterior distribution approximations.

A method interprets black-box models using an ensemble of gradient boosting machines.

problem Local and global interpretation of black-box models.
method An ensemble of gradient boosting machines (GBMs) to form a generalized additive model.
result Efficiency and properties demonstrated on synthetic and real datasets.

We show that unconverged stochastic gradient descent can be interpreted as a procedure that samples from a nonparametric variational approximate posterior distribution. This distribution is implicitly defined as the transformation of an initial distribution by a sequence of optimization updates. By tracking the change …

2015-04-06abs ↗pdf ↗

We show how to convert ICL in linearized transformers into model weights.

problem Making in-context learning interpretable and permanent in large language models.
method Demonstrates equivalence between ICL and bias terms in linearized transformers, and develops ICLCA for exact conversion.
result Exact conversion of in-context learning into model weights is possible for linearized transformers.

Interpretable ML models predict recidivism as well as non-interpretable methods and are more fair.

problem Improving recidivism prediction models for fairness and interpretability.
method Trained interpretable ML models on two recidivism datasets, compared to existing methods, and analyzed fairness.
result Interpretable ML models can predict recidivism as well as non-interpretable methods and are more fair.

CPR models complex decision processes by breaking them into context-specific policies, improving interpretability and accuracy.

problem Interpreting dynamic human decision-making processes in medical contexts.
method Develops Contextualized Policy Recovery (CPR) framework for multi-task learning, modeling each context-specific policy as a linear map.
result Achieves state-of-the-art performance in predicting medical decisions, closing the gap between interpretable and black-box methods.

NSA-Flow optimizes matrix representations for interpretability in complex data.

problem Balancing interpretability and model flexibility in high-dimensional data.
method Non-negative Stiefel Approximating Flow (NSA-Flow) unifies sparse matrix factorization and orthogonalization.
result NSA-Flow yields sparse, stable, and interpretable representations.

Paper interprets contrastive learning dynamics using message passing.

problem Lack of rigorous understanding of contrastive learning dynamics.
method Casts contrastive objective into message passing scheme on augmentation graph.
result The learning dynamics of contrastive learning can be theoretically characterized.

Dynamic CBDT improves treatment effect estimation in clinical data.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in observational data with high accuracy and interpretability.
method Dynamic Regularized Causal Boosted Decision Trees (CBDT) integrating variance regularization and calibration.
result Significantly improved estimation accuracy and reliable coverage of true treatment effects.

Chance-constrained ActInf allows for small violations of constraints to drive goal-directed behavior.

problem Goal-directed behavior constrained by prior beliefs.
method Introducing chance constraints to ActInf, allowing for small violations of constraints.
result Chance-constrained ActInf allows for a trade-off between robust control and chance constraint violation.

A new gradient boosting method improves interpretability of probabilistic models.

problem Learning interpretable yet accurate probabilistic models with limited rule complexity.
method A new objective function that measures the angle between risk gradient and condition output vector projection.
result Significantly improves comprehensibility/accuracy trade-off of fitted ensemble.

We propose a general model explanation system (MES) for "explaining" the output of black box classifiers. This paper describes extensions to Turner (2015), which is referred to frequently in the text. We use the motivating example of a classifier trained to detect fraud in a credit card transaction history. The key asp…

2016-06-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Improves inference-time alignment for diffusion models without updating weights.

problem Aligning diffusion models without updating weights for high-reward outputs.
method Trust-Region Iterative Twisted Sequential Monte Carlo (TRI-TSMC) for variance reduction and efficiency.
result Improves primary alignment objectives on text generation tasks.

A new TS-SA method alleviates non-stationarity in TS algorithms for bandits.

problem Non-stationarity in existing TS algorithms for multi-armed bandits.
method Integrates stochastic approximation within TS framework, using Langevin Monte Carlo and SA steps.
result Establishes near-optimal regret bounds for TS-SA, with simplified analysis.

Over 50 years of work on group actions on 44-manifolds, from the 1960's to the present, from knotted fixed point sets to Seiberg-Witten invariants, is surveyed. Locally linear actions are emphasized, but differentiable and purely topological actions are also discussed. The presentation is organized around some of the …

2009-07-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Mixability of a loss is known to characterise when constant regret bounds are achievable in games of prediction with expert advice through the use of Vovk's aggregating algorithm. We provide a new interpretation of mixability via convex analysis that highlights the role of the Kullback-Leibler divergence in its definit…

2014-03-10abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper develops a stationary-distribution theory for Random Forest ensemble size selection.

problem Determining the optimal number of trees in Random Forests.
method Modeling the ensemble size as a birth-death Markov chain and deriving its stationary distribution.
result The stationary ensemble size BB_* scales as O(ε2)O(\varepsilon^{-2}) as ε0\varepsilon\downarrow 0.